• 제목/요약/키워드: Failure Rate Model

검색결과 631건 처리시간 0.027초

부속유용항공기의 규모결정 (Determination of the Mean Size of Cannibalization Aircraft)

  • 이규복;하석태
    • 한국국방경영분석학회지
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.113-129
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    • 1990
  • This paper presents the simulation model to decide the mean size of cannibalization aircraft (MSCA) under steady state when an airbase makes use of cannibalization to support the spare parts of an airfleet. In this model, the essential factors such as mission requirements, mission time, failure time, repair time, repair capability, inventory policy, cannivalization rule are considered. The model is constructed with above factors and actual airbase operating rules for a basis. Because of the tangled interdependencies among the each factors, it is inevitable to construct the model by the simulation technique. The mission and support system of the airbase is considered as a closed queueing network with a finite number of unit The troubled aircrafts are repaired in accordance with the priorities that are determined by their repair times. The illustrative example of the model, using the actual data of xx-airbase, is presented. The model would be a useful tool not only to determine the MSCA and the size of scheduled maintenance aircraft but to evaluate the NORS (not operationally ready supply) rate and the availability of an airfleet.

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2차원 무료 보증이 종료된 이후의 보전정책 (Maintenance Policies Following the Expiration of Two-Dimensional Free Replacement Warranty)

  • 김호균
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.6-11
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    • 2015
  • Maintenance plays an important role in keeping product availability, reliability and quality at an appropriate level. In this paper, two-types of maintenance policies are studied following the expiration of two-dimensional (2D) free replacement warranty. Both the fixed-maintenance-period policy and the variable-maintenance-period policy are based on a specified region of the warranty defined in terms of age and usage where all failures are minimally repaired. An accelerating failure time (AFT) model is used to allow for the effect of usage rate on product degradation. The maintenance model that arises following the expiration of 2D warranty is discussed. The expected cost rates per unit time from the user's point of view are formulated and the optimal maintenance policies are determined to minimize the expected cost rate to the user. Finally numerical examples are given to illustrate the optimal maintenance polices.

소프트웨어 신뢰도 성장모델의 일반형 (A generalized form of software reliability growth)

  • 유재년
    • 전자공학회논문지C
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    • 제35C권5호
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    • pp.11-16
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    • 1998
  • We analyze the software reliability growth models for the specified period from the viewpoint of theory of differential equations. we defien a genralized form of reliability growth models as follws: dN(t)/dt = b(t)f(N(t)), Where N(t) is the number of remaining faults and b(t) is the failure rate per software fault at time t. We show that the well-known three software reliability growth models - Goel - Okumoto, s-shaped, and Musa-Okumoto model- are special cases of the generalized form. We, also, extend the generalized form into an extended form being dN(t)/dt = b(t, .gamma.)f(N(t)), The genneralized form can be obtained if the distribution of failures is given. The extended form can be used to describe a software reliabilit growth model having weibull density function as a fault exposure rate. As an application of the generalized form, we classify three mentioned models according to the forms of b(t) and f(N(t)). Also, we present a case study applying the generalized form.

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변곡 S-형 소프트웨어 신뢰도성장모형의 베이지안 모수추정 (Bayesian Estimation for Inflection S-shaped Software Reliability Growth Model)

  • 김희수;이종형;박동호
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제37권4호
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    • pp.16-22
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    • 2009
  • The inflection S-shaped software reliability growth model (SRGM) proposed by Ohba(1984) is one of the most commonly used models and has been discussed by many authors. The main purpose of this paper is to estimate the parameters of Ohba's SRGM within the Bayesian framework by applying the Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques. While the maximum likelihood estimates for these parameters are well known, the Bayesian method for the inflection S-shaped SRGM have not been discussed in the literature. The proposed methods can be quite flexible depending on the choice of prior distributions for the parameters of interests. We also compare the Bayesian methods with the maximum likelihood method numerically based on the real data.

Edge Flame : Why Is It So Hot in Combustion?

  • 김종수
    • 한국연소학회지
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2000
  • A turbulent combustion model, based on edge flame dynamics, is discussed in order to predict global extinction of turbulent flames. The model is applicable to the broken flamelet regime of turbulent combustion, in which global extinction of turbulent flame is achieved by gradual expansion of flame holes. The edge flame dynamics is the key mechanism to describe the flame hole expansion or contraction. For flames with Lewis numbers near unity, there is a $Damk{\ddot{o}}hler$ number, namely the crossover $Damk{\ddot{o}}hler$ number, at which edge flame changes its direction of propagation. The parametric region between the quasi-steady extinction condition and the edge-flame crossover condition is a metastable region, in that flames without edge can stay in their burning states while flames with edge have to retract to expand quenching holes. Using the above properties of edge flame, Hartley and Dold proposed a Lagrangian hole dynamics, which allows us to simulate transient variation of quenching holes. In their model, each stoichiometric surface is subjected to a random sequence of scalar dissipation rate compatible to the equilibrium turbulence. Then, each stoichiometric surface will evolve, according to the combustion map, dependent on the scalar dissipation rate and existence of flame edge, If all the burning surfaces are annihilated, the event can be declared as a global extinction. The consequence obtained from the above model also can be used as a subgrid model to determine local extinction occurring in a calculation grid.

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실업급여 수급권자의 실업기간과 재취업에 관한 실증연구: 모수적 생존모델(Log-Normal Model)을 이용한 분석 (A Study of Unemployment Duration: A Survival Analysis Using Log Normal Model)

  • 강철희;김교성;김진욱
    • 한국사회복지학
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    • 제37권
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    • pp.1-31
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    • 1999
  • 실직자의 재취업 실태 및 실업기간에 관한 실증연구는 지난 수 십년간 실업(고용)보험의 연구에 있어 중요한 부분을 차지하여 왔지만, 우리나라에서는 이러한 주제에 관한 체계적 실증 연구가 매우 부족한 실정이다. 본 연구는 1996년 7월부터 1997턴 12월까지 18개월간 총 60,141명의 실업급여 수급권자 중 1997년 6월까지의 실업급여 수급권자 40,175명을 대상으로 생존분석의 Life table 분석과 Accelerated Failure Time 모델분석을 실시하여, 실직자 및 실업급여 관련 변수들이 실업탈피 기대기간(expected unemployment period)에 미치는 영향력을 측정 분석하였다. 생존분석결과 최장 실직기간까지 실업상태로 남아있는 수급권자들의 비율(누적생존율)이 64.83%나 되었다. Accelerated Failure Time 모델 중 Log-Normal Model에 의한 분석결과 교육수준과 상시근로자수를 제외한 대부분의 독립변수들이 재취업까지의 기대기간에 통계적으로 유의미한 영향력을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 실종분석 결과를 바탕으로 고학력, 고임금을 받던 화이트칼라 노동자들에 대한 적극적 노동시장정책의 필요성과 지역 및 업종의 재취업여건 차이를 감안한 실업대책의 필요성을 제언하였으며, 실업급여의 제도적 변수가 나타내는 순수한 효과를 파악하기 위한 다각적인 후속연구의 필요성을 제기하였다.

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병원의 활동기준원가를 이용한 총체적 질관리 모형 및 질비용 산출 모형 개발 (Development of the Model for Total Quality Management and Cost of Quality using Activity Based Costing in the Hospital)

  • 조우현;전기홍;이해종;박은철;김병조;김보경;이상규
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.141-168
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    • 2001
  • Healthcare service organizations can apply the cost of quality(COQ) model as a method to evaluate a service quality improvement project such as Total Quality Management (TQM). COQ model has been used to quantify and evaluate the efficiency and effectiveness of TQM project through estimation between cost and benefit in intervention for a quality Improvement to provide satisfied services for a customer, and to identify a non value added process. For estimating cost of quality, We used activities and activity costs based on Activity Based Costing(ABC) system. These procedures let the researchers know whether the process is value-added by each activity, and identify a process to require improvement in TQM project. Through the series of procedures, health care organizations are service organizations can identify a problem in their quality improvement programs, solve the problem, and improve their quality of care for their costumers with optimized cost. The study subject was a quality improvement program of the department of radiology department in a hospital with n bed sizes in Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA). The principal source of data for developing the COQ model was total cases of retaking shots for diagnoses during five months period from December of the 1998 to April of the 1999 in the department. First of the procedures, for estimating activity based cost of the department of diagnostic radiology, the researchers analyzed total department health insurance claims to identify activities and activity costs using one year period health insurance claims from September of the 1998 to August of the 1999. COQ model in this study applied Simpson & Multher's COQ(SM's COQ) model, and SM's COQ model divided cost of quality into failure cost with external and internal failure cost, and evaluation/prevention cost. The researchers identified contents for cost of quality, defined activities and activity costs for each content with the SM's COQ model, and finally made the formula for estimating activity costs relating to implementing service quality improvement program. The results from the formula for estimating cost of quality were following: 1. The reasons for retaking shots were largely classified into technique, appliances, patients, quality management, non-appliances, doctors, and unclassified. These classifications by reasons were allocated into each office doing re-taking shots. Therefore, total retaking shots categorized by reasons and offices, the researchers identified internal and external failure costs based on these categories. 2. The researchers have developed cost of quality (COQ) model, identified activities by content for cost of quality, assessed activity driving factors and activity contribution rate, and calculated total cost by each content for cost for quality, except for activity cost. 3. According to estimation of cost of quality for retaking shots in department of diagnostic radiology, the failure cost was ₩35,880, evaluation/preventive cost was ₩72,521, two times as much as failure cost. The proportion between internal failure cost and external failure cost in failure cost is similar. The study cannot identify trends on input cost and quality improving in cost of qualify over the time, because the study employs cross-sectional design. Even with this limitation, results of this study are much meaningful. This study shows possibility to evaluate value on the process of TQM subjects using activities and activity costs by ABC system, and this study can objectively evaluate quality improvement program through quantitative comparing input costs with marginal benefits in quality improvement.

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주기적인 유지보수 계획에 따른 중고제품에 대한 최적 향상수준 (Optimization of Improvement Level for Second-Hand Product with Periodic Maintenance Schedule)

  • 김대경;김진우;박동호
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.151-162
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    • 2013
  • 중고제품 특히 고가인 중고품에 대한 점증하는 수요로 인하여 그러한 제품에 대한 보증과 보전정책이 최근 제품의 신뢰성을 향상시키기 위해 연구되고 있다. 이 논문에서는 사용한 년 수 x에서 고객에 의해서 구입된 중고제품에 대한 주기적인 유지보수모형을 연구하였다. 구입할 때 판매자는 제품의 고장율을 줄이기 위해서 그리고 각각의 유지보수가 수행되고 난 이후에 신뢰성을 향상시키기 위해서 정해진 보증기간을 제공한다. 만일 연속적인 유지보수 사이에서 고장이 일어난다면 단지 최소수리가 행해진다. 보증정책에 대해서 보증기간동안에 주기적인 유지보수 점검과 더불어 각 고장에 관해서는 무상 비재생수리를 한다. 따라서 이러한 보증정책 하에서 보증기간에 일어난 모든 유지보수와 수리비용은 판매자에게 부과된다. 제안된 주기적인 유비보수 계획에 대해서 보증기간 동안에 판매자에게 부과된 기대 총비용을 계산하기 위한 모형과 판매자의 측면에서 총기대보증비용을 최소화하기 위한 각 유지보수에서 고장율의 최적향상수준을 유도한다. 또한 제안된 방법들에 근거해서 최적향상수준에 대한 수치적인 결과를 제시한다.

기계화사단 정비대대 능력 평가에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Evaluation of Maintenance Capability for A Maintenance Battalion in the Mechanized Division)

  • 백종찬;강성진
    • 한국국방경영분석학회지
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.142-155
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    • 1996
  • In this research, our objective is to develop a model which could evaluate the maintenance capability for a maintenance battalion in the mechanized division. To analyze the maintenance system, we obtained various data related to maintenance capability and described the maintenance process as a network type. This network type model is then translated to SLAM-II network model to simulate the system. The simulation model can be operated by using appropriate input data and simulation results are obtained. The simulation model can be applied in various way. Through the simulation we could find the bottle neck point in the maintenance process. Also the maximum capability of maintenance with on hand asset and the wartime supportability can be evaluated. The mode provides sensitivity analysis by changing various imput data such as the number of repairmen, repair time, failure rate and so on.

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벽-유동(Wall-Flow) 모노리스(Monolith) 디젤 입자상물질 필터 트랩의 재생모델에 의한 수치 시뮬레이션 (Computational Simulation by One-Dimensional Regeneration Model of Wall-Flow Monolith Diesel Particulate Filter Trap)

  • 김광현;박정규
    • 한국자동차공학회논문집
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    • 제3권6호
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    • pp.41-54
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    • 1995
  • A mathematical model for wall-flow monolith ceramic diesel particulate filter was developed in order to describe the processes which take place in the filter during regeneration. The major output of the model comprises ceramic wall temperature and regeneration time(soot reduction). Various numerical tests were performed to demonstrate how the gas oxygen concentration, flow rate and the initial particulate trap loading affect the regeneration time and peak trap temperature. The model is shown to b in reasonable agreement with the published experimental results. This model can be applied to predict the thermal shock failure due to high temperature during combustion regeneration process.

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