• Title/Summary/Keyword: Failure Prognostic

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Patterns of failure and prognostic factors in resected extrahepatic bile duct cancer: implication for adjuvant radiotherapy

  • Koo, Tae Ryool;Eom, Keun-Yong;Kim, In Ah;Cho, Jai Young;Yoon, Yoo-Seok;Hwang, Dae Wook;Han, Ho-Seong;Kim, Jae-Sung
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.63-69
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: To find the applicability of adjuvant radiotherapy for extrahepatic bile duct cancer (EBDC), we analyzed the pattern of failure and evaluate prognostic factors of locoregional failure after curative resection without adjuvant treatment. Materials and Methods: In 97 patients with resected EBDC, the location of tumor was classified as proximal (n = 26) and distal (n = 71), using the junction of the cystic duct and common hepatic duct as the dividing point. Locoregional failure sites were categorized as follows: the hepatoduodenal ligament and tumor bed, the celiac artery and superior mesenteric artery, and other sites. Results: The median follow-up time was 29 months for surviving patients. Three-year locoregional progression-free survival, progression-free survival, and overall survival rates were 50%, 42%, and 52%, respectively. Regarding initial failures, 79% and 81% were locoregional failures in proximal and distal EBDC patients, respectively. The most common site was the hepatoduodenal ligament and tumor bed. In the multivariate analysis, perineural invasion was associated with poor locoregional progression-free survival (p = 0.023) and progression-free survival (p = 0.012); and elevated postoperative CA19-9 (${\geq}37U/mL$) did with poor locoregional progression-free survival (p = 0.002), progression-free survival (p < 0.001) and overall survival (p < 0.001). Conclusion: Both proximal and distal EBDC showed remarkable proportion of locoregional failure. Perineural invasion and elevated postoperative CA19-9 were risk factors of locoregional failure. In these patients with high risk of locoregional failure, adjuvant radiotherapy could be considered to improve locoregional control.

Etiologies, Prognostic Factors, and Outcomes of Pediatric Acute Liver Failure in Thailand

  • Getsuwan, Songpon;Lertudomphonwanit, Chatmanee;Tanpowpong, Pornthep;Thirapattaraphan, Chollasak;Tim-Aroon, Thipwimol;Wattanasirichaigoon, Duangrurdee;Treepongkaruna, Suporn
    • Pediatric Gastroenterology, Hepatology & Nutrition
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.539-547
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: Pediatric acute liver failure (PALF) is a serious condition; however, data on PALF in developing countries are sparse, particularly concerning molecular diagnosis and liver transplantation (LT). This study aimed to determine the causes, outcomes, and prognostic factors of PALF. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of children (age <15 years) with PALF diagnosed using the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases criteria at our center from 2011 to 2016. The collected data included laboratory results, complications, outcomes, and potential factors associated with death and LT. Results: We included a total of 27 patients, with a median age of 2 years (interquartile range, 3 months to 4 years). Viral infection was the most common etiology (n=8, 30%), predominantly dengue infection (n=4). A total of 16 patients (59%) died and 11 patients survived (3 patients with LT). The prognostic factors associated with death or LT requirement were grade IV hepatic encephalopathy (p<0.01), hypotension (p=0.02), gastrointestinal bleeding (p=0.03), increased intracranial pressure (p=0.04), and higher peak serum lactate level (p=0.01). Peak serum lactate ≥6 mmoL/L had a sensitivity of 79% and a specificity of 88% for predicting mortality or the necessity of LT. Conclusion: Viral infection was the most common cause of PALF. The mortality rate remained high, and a considerable number of patients required LT. In addition to several clinical factors, peak serum lactate could be a potential marker for predicting poor outcomes in PALF.

Patient outcomes and prognostic factors associated with colonic perforation surgery: a retrospective study

  • Lee, Do-bin;Shin, Seonhui;Yang, Chun-Seok
    • Journal of Yeungnam Medical Science
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.133-140
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    • 2022
  • Background: Despite advances in surgery and intensive perioperative care, fecal peritonitis secondary to colonic perforation is associated with high rates of morbidity and mortality. This study was performed to review the outcomes of patients who underwent colonic perforation surgery and to evaluate the prognostic factors associated with mortality. Methods: A retrospective analysis was performed on 224 consecutive patients who underwent emergency colonic perforation surgery between January 2008 and May 2019. We divided the patients into survivor and non-survivor groups and compared their surgical outcomes. Results: The most common cause of colon perforation was malignancy in 54 patients (24.1%), followed by iatrogenic perforation in 41 (18.3%), stercoral perforation in 39 (17.4%), and diverticulitis in 37 (16.5%). The sigmoid colon (n=124, 55.4%) was the most common location of perforation, followed by the ascending colon, rectum, and cecum. Forty-five patients (20.1%) died within 1 month after surgery. Comparing the 179 survivors with the 45 non-survivors, the patient characteristics associated with mortality were advanced age, low systolic blood pressure, tachycardia, organ failure, high C-reactive protein, high creatinine, prolonged prothrombin time, and high lactate level. The presence of free or feculent fluid, diffuse peritonitis, and right-sided perforation were associated with mortality. In multivariate analysis, advanced age, organ failure, right-sided perforation, and diffuse peritonitis independently predicted mortality within 1 month after surgery. Conclusion: Age and organ failure were prognostic factors for mortality associated with colon perforation. Furthermore, right-sided perforation and diffuse peritonitis demonstrated a significant association with patient mortality.

Diagnostic/prognostic health monitoring system and evaluation of a composite bridge

  • Mosallam, A.;Miraj, R.;Abdi, F.
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.397-413
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    • 2009
  • Composite bridges offer many advantages compared to current steel and aluminum bridges. This paper presents the results of a comprehensive on-going research program to develop innovative Diagnostic Prognostic System (DPS) and a structural evaluation of Composite Army Bridge (CAB) system. The DPS is founded on three technologies: optical fiber sensing, remote data transmission, and virtual testing. In developing this system, both laboratory and virtual test were used in different damage scenarios. Health monitoring with DPS entailed comparing live strain data to archived strained data in various bridge locations. For field repairs, a family of composite chords was subjected to simple ramp loads in search of ultimate strength. As such, composite bridge specimens showcased their strengths, heralded the viability of virtual testing, highlighted the efficacy of field repair, and confirmed the merits of health monitoring.

Maintenance-based prognostics of nuclear plant equipment for long-term operation

  • Welz, Zachary;Coble, Jamie;Upadhyaya, Belle;Hines, Wes
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.49 no.5
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    • pp.914-919
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    • 2017
  • While industry understands the importance of keeping equipment operational and well maintained, the importance of tracking maintenance information in reliability models is often overlooked. Prognostic models can be used to predict the failure times of critical equipment, but more often than not, these models assume that all maintenance actions are the same or do not consider maintenance at all. This study investigates the influence of integrating maintenance information on prognostic model prediction accuracy. By incorporating maintenance information to develop maintenance-dependent prognostic models, prediction accuracy was improved by more than 40% compared with traditional maintenance-independent models. This study acts as a proof of concept, showing the importance of utilizing maintenance information in modern prognostics for industrial equipment.

The Prognostic Factors That Influence Long-Term Survival in Acute Large Cerebral Infarction

  • Cho, Sung-Yun;Oh, Chang-Wan;Bae, Hee-Joon;Han, Moon-Ku;Park, Hyun;Bang, Jae-Seung
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • v.49 no.2
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    • pp.92-96
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    • 2011
  • Objective : We retrospectively evaluated the prognostic factors that can influence long-term survival in patients who suffered acute large cerebral infarction. Methods : Between June 2003 and October 2008, a total of 178 patients were diagnosed with a large cerebral infarction, and, among them, 122 patients were alive one month after the onset of stroke. We investigated the multiple factors that might have influenced the life expectancies of these 122 patients. Results : The mean age of the patients was $70{\pm}13.4$ years and the mean survival was $41.7{\pm}2.8$ months. The mean survival of the poor functional outcome group ($mRS{\geq}4$) was $33.9{\pm}3.3$ months, whereas that of the good functional outcome group ($mRS{\leq}3$) was $58.6{\pm}2.6$ months (p value=0.000). The mean survival of the older patients (270 years) was $29.7{\pm}3.4$ months, whereas that of the younger patients (<70 years) was much better as $58.9{\pm}3.2$ months (p value=0.000). Involvement of ACA or PCA territory in MCA infarction is also a poor prognostic factor (p value=0.021). But, other factors that are also known as significant predictors of poor survival (male gender, hypertension, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, diabetes mellitus, a previous history of stroke, smoking, and dyslipidemia) did not significantly influence the mean survival time in the current study. Conclusion : Age (older versus younger than 70 years old) and functional outcome at one month could be critical prognostic factors for survival after acute large cerebral infarction. Involvement of ACA or PCA territory is also an important poor prognostic factor in patients with MCA territorial infarction.

Prognostic significance of lymphovascular invasion in patients with prostate cancer treated with postoperative radiotherapy

  • Jeong, Jae-Uk;Nam, Taek-Keun;Song, Ju-Young;Yoon, Mee Sun;Ahn, Sung-Ja;Chung, Woong-Ki;Cho, Ick Joon;Kim, Yong-Hyub;Cho, Shin Haeng;Jung, Seung Il;Kwon, Dong Deuk
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.215-223
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: To determine prognostic significance of lymphovascular invasion (LVI) in prostate cancer patients who underwent adjuvant or salvage postoperative radiotherapy (PORT) after radical prostatectomy (RP) Materials and Methods: A total of 168 patients with prostate cancer received PORT after RP, with a follow-up of ≥12 months. Biochemical failure after PORT was defined as prostate-specific antigen (PSA) ≥0.2 ng/mL after PORT or initiation of androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) for increasing PSA levels regardless of the value. We analyzed the clinical outcomes including survivals, failure patterns, and prognostic factors affecting the outcomes. Results: In total, 120 patients (71.4%) received salvage PORT after PSA levels were >0.2 ng/mL or owing to clinical failure. The 5-year biochemical failure-free survival (BCFFS), clinical failure-free survival (CFFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), overall survival, and cause-specific survival rates were 78.3%, 94.3%, 95.0%, 95.8%, and 97.3%, respectively, during a follow-up range of 12-157 months (median: 64 months) after PORT. On multivariate analysis, PSA level of ≤1.0 ng/mL at the time of receiving PORT predicted favorable BCFFS, CFFS, and DMFS. LVI predicted worse CFFS (p = 0.004) and DMFS (p = 0.015). Concurrent and/or adjuvant ADT resulted in favorable prognosis for BCFFS (p < 0.001) and CFFS (p = 0.017). Conclusion: For patients with adverse pathologic findings, PORT should be initiated as early as possible after continence recovery after RP. Even after administering PORT, LVI was an unfavorable predictive factor, and further intensive adjuvant therapy should be considered for these patients.

Prognostic Significance of Left Axis Deviation in Acute Heart Failure Patients with Left Bundle branch block: an Analysis from the Korean Acute Heart Failure (KorAHF) Registry

  • Choi, Ki Hong;Han, Seongwook;Lee, Ga Yeon;Choi, Jin-Oh;Jeon, Eun-Seok;Lee, Hae-Young;Lee, Sang Eun;Kim, Jae-Joong;Chae, Shung Chull;Baek, Sang Hong;Kang, Seok-Min;Choi, Dong-Ju;Yoo, Byung-Su;Kim, Kye Hun;Cho, Myeong-Chan;Park, Hyun-Young;Oh, Byung-Hee
    • Korean Circulation Journal
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    • v.48 no.11
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    • pp.1002-1011
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    • 2018
  • Background and Objectives: The prognostic impact of left axis deviation (LAD) on clinical outcomes in acute heart failure syndrome (AHFS) with left bundle branch block (LBBB) is unknown. The aim of this study was to determine the prognostic significance of axis deviation in acute heart failure patients with LBBB. Methods: Between March 2011 and February 2014, 292 consecutive AHFS patients with LBBB were recruited from 10 tertiary university hospitals. They were divided into groups with no LAD (n=189) or with LAD (n=103) groups according to QRS axis <-30 degree. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Results: The median follow-up duration was 24 months. On multivariate analysis, the rate of all-cause death did not significantly differ between the normal axis and LAD groups (39.7% vs. 46.6%, adjusted hazard ratio, 1.01; 95% confidence interval, 0.66, 1.53; p=0.97). However, on the multiple linear regression analysis to evaluate the predictors of the left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), presence of LAD significantly predicted a worse LVEF (adjusted beta, -3.25; 95% confidence interval, -5.82, -0.67; p=0.01). Right ventricle (RV) dilatation was defined as at least 2 of 3 electrocardiographic criteria (late R in lead aVR, low voltages in limb leads, and R/S ratio <1 in lead V5) and was more frequent in the LAD group than in the normal axis group (p<0.001). Conclusions: Among the AHFS with LBBB patients, LAD did not predict mortality, but it could be used as a significant predictor of worse LVEF and RV dilatation (Trial registry at KorAHF registry, ClinicalTrial.gov, NCT01389843).

Pseudonormal or Restrictive Filling Pattern of Left Ventricle Predicts Poor Prognosis in Patients with Ischemic Heart Disease Presenting as Acute Heart Failure

  • Lee, Jae-Geun;Beom, Jong Wook;Choi, Joon Hyouk;Kim, Song-Yi;Kim, Ki-Seok;Joo, Seung-Jae
    • Journal of Cardiovascular Imaging
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.217-225
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    • 2018
  • BACKGROUND: In patients with acute heart failure (AHF), diastolic dysfunction, especially pseudonormal (PN) or restrictive filling pattern (RFP) of left ventricle (LV), is considered to be implicated in a poor prognosis. However, prognostic significance of diastolic dysfunction in patients with ischemic heart disease (IHD) has been rarely investigated in Korea. METHODS: We enrolled 138 patients with IHD presenting as AHF and sinus rhythm during echocardiographic study. Diastolic dysfunction of LV was graded as ${\geq}2$ (group 1) or 1 (group 2) according to usual algorithm using E/A ratio and deceleration time of mitral inflow, E'/A' ratio of tissue Doppler echocardiography and left atrial size. RESULTS: Patients in group 1 showed higher 2-year mortality rate ($36.2%{\pm}6.7%$) than those in group 2 ($13.6%{\pm}4.5%$; p = 0.008). Two-year mortality rate of patient with LV ejection fraction (LVEF) < 40% ($26.8%{\pm}6.0%$) was not different from those with LVEF 40%-49% ($28.0%{\pm}8.0%$) or ${\geq}50%$ ($13.7%{\pm}7.4%$; p = 0.442). On univariate analysis, PN or RFP of LV, higher stage of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and higher New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional class were poor prognostic factors, but LVEF or older age ${\geq}75$ years did not predict 2-year mortality. On multivariate analysis, PN or RFP of LV (hazard ratio [HR], 2.52; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.09-5.84; p = 0.031), higher stage of CKD (HR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.14-2.17; p = 0.006) and higher NYHA functional class (HR, 1.81; 95% CI, 1.11-2.94; p = 0.017) were still significant prognostic factors for 2-year mortality. CONCLUSIONS: PN or RFP of LV was a more useful prognostic factor for long-term mortality than LVEF in patients with IHD presenting as AHF.

Clinical Experiences of Multiple Organ Failure after Surgery for Acquired Cardiovascular Disease

  • 김병열
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.275-284
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    • 1990
  • A serious problem after cardiovascular surgery known as Multiple Organ Failure[MOF] whereby several vital organs successively demonstrate dysfunction in spite of intensive postoperative treatment has recently arisen. We have made a retrospective study of the clinical records of 137 patients who underwent cardiovascular surgery during past two years [1987-1988]. Fourteen patients [10%] developed multi-organ failure postoperatively with the results of seven death [50%]. In fatal group, preoperative poor cardiac function [Cardiac Index<2.0L/min/m2] was considered important prognostic factor and infection 5 disseminated intravascular coagulation complicating gastrointestinal bleeding were the leading cause of death. In conclusion, evaluation of multiple factors concerning multi-organ failure demonstrates preoperative poor functional preservation of vital organs is the main factor. So early diagnosis k management for each of the failing organs & prevention of infection are mandatory of the treatment of these critically ill patients.

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