• Title/Summary/Keyword: FX margin

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Margin and Funding Liquidity: An Empirical Analysis on the Covered Interest Parity in Korea (우리나라 외환시장의 차익거래 유인에 대한 분석)

  • Jeong, Daehee
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.29-52
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    • 2012
  • During the global financial turmoil in 2007-2008, deviation from the covered interest parity (CIP) between the Korean won and US dollar through the foreign exchange swap has escalated in its magnitude beyond 1,000bp in November 2008, and it still persists around 100bp level. In this paper, we examine a newly developed margin based asset pricing model using Kalman filter approach and show that the escalation of the CIP deviation is found to be significantly related to the global dollar funding illiquidity and country-specific funding conditions. Furthermore, we find evidence that the poor funding conditions (or higher margins) are driven by the general money market illiquidity and may lead to higher funding illiquidity, which suggests the reinforcing effects of the liquidity spiral. We also show that the supply of dollar liquidity and improved funding conditions help alleviate the deviations from the parity, however the persistent anomaly is found to be related to the high level of volatility in the FX swap market.

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Development and Evaluation of a Portfolio Selection Model and Investment Algorithm utilizing a Markov Chain in the Foreign Exchange Market (외환 시장에서 마코브 체인을 활용한 포트폴리오 선정 모형과 투자 알고리즘 개발 및 성과평가)

  • Choi, Jaeho;Jung, Jongbin;Kim, Seongmoon
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.1-17
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we propose a portfolio selection model utilizing a Markov chain for investing in the foreign exchange market based on market forecasts and exchange rate movement predictions. The proposed model is utilized to compute optimum investment portfolio weights for investing in margin-based markets such as the FX margin market. We further present an objective investment algorithm for applying the proposed model in real-life investments. Empirical performance of the proposed model and investment algorithm is evaluated by conducting an experiment in the FX market consisting of the 7 most traded currency pairs, for a period of 9 years, from the beginning of 2005 to the end of 2013. We compare performance with 1) the Dollar Index, 2) a 1/N Portfolio that invests the equal amount in the N target assets, and 3) the Barclay BTOP FX Index. Performance is compared in terms of cumulated returns and Sharpe ratios. The results suggest that the proposed model outperforms all benchmarks during the period of our experiment, for both performance measures. Even when compared in terms of pre- and post-financial crisis, the proposed model outperformed all other benchmarks, showing that the model based on objective data and mathematical optimization achieves superior performance empirically.

The study of foreign exchange trading revenue model using decision tree and gradient boosting (외환거래에서 의사결정나무와 그래디언트 부스팅을 이용한 수익 모형 연구)

  • Jung, Ji Hyeon;Min, Dae Kee
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.161-170
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    • 2013
  • The FX (Foreign Exchange) is a form of exchange for the global decentralized trading of international currencies. The simple sense of Forex is simultaneous purchase and sale of the currency or the exchange of one country's currency for other countries'. We can find the consistent rules of trading by comparing the gradient boosting method and the decision trees methods. Methods such as time series analysis used for the prediction of financial markets have advantage of the long-term forecasting model. On the other hand, it is difficult to reflect the rapidly changing price fluctuations in the short term. Therefore, in this study, gradient boosting method and decision tree method are applied to analyze the short-term data in order to make the rules for the revenue structure of the FX market and evaluated the stability and the prediction of the model.

Treatment outcome of ductal carcinoma in situ patients treated with postoperative radiation therapy

  • Lim, Yu Jin;Kim, Kyubo;Chie, Eui Kyu;Han, Wonshik;Noh, Dong Young;Ha, Sung W.
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: To evaluate the outcome of ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) patients who underwent surgery followed by radiation therapy (RT). Materials and Methods: We retrospectively reviewed 106 DCIS patients who underwent surgery followed by postoperative RT between 1994 and 2006. Ninety-four patients underwent breast-conserving surgery, and mastectomy was performed in 12 patients due to extensive DCIS. Postoperative RT was delivered to whole breast with 50.4 Gy/28 fx. Tumor bed boost was offered to 7 patients (6.6%). Patients with hormonal receptor-positive tumors were treated with hormonal therapy. Results: The median follow-up duration was 83.4 months (range, 33.4 to 191.5 months) and the median age was 47.8 years. Ten patients (9.4%) had resection margin <1 mm and high-grade and estrogen receptor-negative tumors were observed in 39 (36.8%) and 20 (18.9%) patients, respectively. The 7-year ipsilateral breast tumor recurrence (IBTR)-free survival rate was 95.3%. Resection margin (<1 or ${\geq}1$ mm) was the significant prognostic factor for IBTR in univariate and multivariate analyses (p < 0.001 and p = 0.016, respectively). Conclusion: Postoperative RT for DCIS can achieve favorable treatment outcome. Resection margin was the important prognostic factor for IBTR in the DCIS patients who underwent postoperative RT.

A Study on Optimization of Spray Type Flue Gas Desulfurization (FGD) System (모사 탈황흡수탑을 이용한 Spray Type 탈황설비 최적운전 방안에 관한 연구)

  • An, Hi-Soo;Park, Seung-Soo;Kim, Ki-Hyoung;Kim, Young-Ho
    • Applied Chemistry for Engineering
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.29-35
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    • 2007
  • Recently, due to narrow margin on design factor of flue gas desulfurization (FGD) systems or aging of systems, some problems such as decrease of $SO_2$ removal efficiency and difficulty on coping with unstable state are arising on FGD systems. On this study, to cope with these problems several methods such as adjustment of reagent pH, inlet $SO_2$ concentration, variation of units of operation pump, installation of liquid distribution ring (LDR) were attempted to increase the $SO_2$ removal using spray type simulated FGD system. Also, sulfite and Al/Fx ion effects on limestone blinding were experimented. When three absorber recirculation pumps were operated, $SO_2$ removal was increased by 12% in comparison with that of two pumps operation. $SO_2$ removal was increased by 2~7% after installation of LDR. Dissolved oxygen increased up to 0.5 ppm and limestone binding effect was alleviated after injection of dibasic acid (DBA) with the concentration of 500 and 1,000 ppm. When $Al^{3+}$ and $F^-$ ions were coexisting, the dissolution rate of limestone was decreased by 20%.

Treatment of Salivary Duct Carcinoma: A Case Report (타액선관 상피암의 치험례)

  • Moon, Suk Ho;Yoo, Gyeol;Choi, Yun Seok;Lim, Jin Soo;Han, Ki Taik
    • Archives of Craniofacial Surgery
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.23-26
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    • 2008
  • Salivary duct carcinoma is a high-grade adenocarcinoma arising from the ductal epithelium and has very low prevalence. We report a case of salivary duct carcinoma in high risk group with satisfactory result. A 65-year-old male was referred to our clinic complaining of mass on Rt. cheek. Preoperative CT and MRI shows $2.0{\times}1.9cm$ sized multilobulated, cystic mass on the superficial lobe of Rt. parotid gland and multiple lymph node enlargement thorough the Rt. internal jugular chain. Total parotidectomy and modified radical neck dissection with adjuvant radiation therapy was performed. Pathologic result was salivary duct carcinoma and resection margin was free. Postoperative radiation therapy with 6400 cGy($200cGy{\times}12fx$) was performed. During the 24-months of follow up periods, recurrence or complications associated with operation and radiation therapy was not observed. Salivary duct carcinoma is rare disease with very poor prognosis. Lymph node metastasis is commonly accompanied at the time of diagnosis. Distant metastasis is the most common cause of death. Total parotidectomy, radical neck disssection and adjuvant radiation therapy can be the appropriate modality for the control of the salivary duct carcinoma especially in high risk group.