• 제목/요약/키워드: FLEXPART

검색결과 11건 처리시간 0.02초

수도권 영역의 시간 후방 모드 WRF-FLEXPART 모의를 위한 입자 수에 따른 무작위 오차의 정량 분석 (Quantitative Analysis of Random Errors of the WRF-FLEXPART Model for Backward-in-time Simulation over the Seoul Metropolitan Area)

  • 우주완;이재형;이상현
    • 대기
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    • 제29권5호
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    • pp.551-566
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    • 2019
  • Quantitative understanding of a random error that is associated with Lagrangian particle dispersion modeling is a prerequisite for backward-in-time mode simulations. This study aims to quantify the random error of the WRF-FLEXPART model and suggest an optimum number of the Lagrangian particles for backward-in-time simulations over the Seoul metropolitan area. A series of backward-in-time simulations of the WRF-FLEXPART model has conducted at two receptor points by changing the number of Lagrangian particles and the relative error, as a quantitative indicator of random error, is analyzed to determine the optimum number of the release particles. The results show that in the Seoul metropolitan area a 1-day Lagrangian transport contributes 80~90% in residence time and ~100% in atmospheric enhancement of carbon monoxide. The relative errors in both the residence time and the atmospheric concentration enhancement are larger when the particles release in the daytime than in the nighttime, and in the inland area than in the coastal area. The sensitivity simulations reveal that the relative errors decrease with increasing the number of Lagrangian particles. The use of small number of Lagrangian particles caused significant random errors, which is attributed to the random number sampling process. For the particle number of 6000, the relative error in the atmospheric concentration enhancement is estimated as -6% ± 10% with reduction of computational time to 21% ± 7% on average. This study emphasizes the importance of quantitative analyses of the random errors in interpreting backward-in-time simulations of the WRF-FLEXPART model and in determining the number of Lagrangian particles as well.

공기괴 역궤적 분석을 위한 FLEXPART Lagrangian Particle Dispersion 모델의 최적화 및 자동화 (Parameter Optimization and Automation of the FLEXPART Lagrangian Particle Dispersion Model for Atmospheric Back-trajectory Analysis)

  • 김주일;박선영;박미경;리선란;김재연;조춘옥;김지윤;김경렬
    • 대기
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.93-102
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    • 2013
  • Atmospheric transport pathway of an air mass is an important constraint controlling the chemical properties of the air mass observed at a designated location. Such information could be utilized for understanding observed temporal variabilities in atmospheric concentrations of long-lived chemical compounds, of which sinks and/or sources are related particularly with natural and/or anthropogenic processes in the surface, and as well as for performing inversions to constrain the fluxes of such compounds. The Lagrangian particle dispersion model FLEXPART provides a useful tool for estimating detailed particle dispersion during atmospheric transport, a significant improvement over traditional "single-line" trajectory models that have been widely used. However, those without a modeling background seeking to create simple back-trajectory maps may find it challenging to optimize FLEXPART for their needs. In this study, we explain how to set up, operate, and optimize FLEXPART for back-trajectory analysis, and also provide automatization programs based on the open-source R language. Discussions include setting up an "AVAILABLE" file (directory of input meteorological fields stored on the computer), creating C-shell scripts for initiating FLEXPART runs and storing the output in directories designated by date, as wells as processing the FLEXPART output to create figures for a back-trajectory "footprint" (potential emission sensitivity within the boundary layer). Step by step instructions are explained for an example case of calculating back trajectories derived for Anmyeon-do, Korea for January 2011. One application is also demonstrated in interpreting observed variabilities in atmospheric $CO_2$ concentration at Anmyeon-do during this period. Back-trajectory modeling information introduced in this study should facilitate the creation and automation of most common back-trajectory calculation needs in atmospheric research.

WRF/FLEXPART를 이용한 한반도 동남지역 계절별 공기괴 이동 패턴 분석 (Analysis of Seasonal Air Parcel Movement Pattern in South-Eastern Part of the Korean Peninsula Using WRF/FLEXPART)

  • 이현미;이화운;이순환
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.327-337
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    • 2012
  • Air pollution inventories are aggregated around south-eastern part of the Korean Peninsular including Busan, Ulsan, and Changwon cities. Because densely populated cities are concentrated in this region, air pollutants emitted from one of these cities tend to be impacted on the air quality of other cities. In order to clarify the seasonal movement pattern of emitted particles, several numerical simulations using WRF/FLEXPART were carried out. Four cases were selected for each season. The Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF) reproduced atmospheric flow fields with nested grids. The seasonal pattern of air mass of study area was determined by backward and forward trajectories. As a result, the air parcel moves from northwest to southeast due to northwesterly winds in spring and winter. Also air parcel transports from south to north in summer, and moves from west to east. Because the air mass moves differently in each season, these characteristics should be considered when performing air quality analysis.

2011년 기리시마 화산 분화에 따른 화산재 이동 및 침적에 관한 수치모의실험 (Numerical Simulation of Volcanic Ash Dispersion and Deposition during 2011 Eruption of Mt. Kirishima)

  • 이순환;장은숙;윤성효
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제35권4호
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    • pp.237-248
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    • 2014
  • 화산재의 확산 특성을 분석하고, 침적량의 예측 가능성을 평가하기 위하여, 2011년 1월26일 분화가 시작된 일본 기리시마 화산을 대상으로 WRF와 확산모형 FLEXPART를 이용한 수치모의실험을 실시하였다. 지상 1 km 이하 대기경계층내의 화산재 확산 특성은 26일 방출된 입자의 경우 주풍을 따라 집중되는 경향을 보이지만, 27일 방출된 화산재는 큐슈남부에 발달한 고기압의 영향으로 기리시마 만까지 확산된다. 겨울철의 강한 시베리아 기단이 발달한 26일의 경우, 기리시마 화산 풍하측에 위치한 미야기 현 중앙 산악 후면의 좁은 영역에서 집중적으로 침적이 이루어진다. 또한 분화 지역 주변의 국지적인 고기압의 발달은 화산재의 수평 확산을 증대시키는 역할을 한다. 침적량의 분포는 정량적인 측면에서 실제 화산 분출에 따른 영향과 매우 유사한 경향성을 보이고, 제시한 수치모의실험은 화산재의 이동 및 침적량 예측 및 산정에 적절하다고 판단된다.

라그랑지안 입자확산모델을 이용한 광양만 권역에서의 공기괴 재순환현상 수치모의 (Numerical Simulation for Recirculation of Air Mass in the Coastal Region Using Lagrangian Particle Dispersion Model)

  • 이화운;이현미;이순환;최현정
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.157-170
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    • 2010
  • Air mass recirculation is a common characteristic in the coastal area as a result of the land-sea breeze circulation. This study simulates the recirculation of air mass over the Gwangyang Bay using WRF-FLEXPART and offers a basic information about the effective domain size that can reflect recirculation. For this purpose, WRF is set up four nested domains and three cases are selected. Subsequently FLEXPART is operated on the basis of WRF output. During the clear summer days with weak wind speed, particles that emitted from Yeosu national industrial complex and Gwangyang iron works flow into emission sources because of the land-sea breeze. When land-sea breeze is strengthen, the recirculation phenomena appears clearly. However particles aren't recirculated under weak synoptic condition. Also plume trajectory is analyzed and as a consequence, the smallest domain area have to be multiplied by 1.3 to understand recirculated dispersion pattern of particles.

백두산 분화 강도에 따른 화산재 확산 사례 분석 (A Case Analysis of Volcanic Ash Dispersion under Various Volcanic Explosivity Index of the Mt. Baegdu)

  • 이순환;장은숙;이현미
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.280-293
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    • 2012
  • 다양한 지질학적 분화 강도에 따른 백두산 화산분출물의 확산 특성과 이들 분출물이 한반도에 미치는 영향을 분석하기 위하여 대기역학모형 WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting)와 확산모형 FLEXPART를 이용하여 수치실험을 실시하였다. 연구 대상일은 화산재 유입이 예상되는 2010년 10월 21일의 종관장이며, 방출 후 48시간 동안 화산재의 이동을 분석하였다. 백두산 분화 후 한반도에 유입되는 강하화산재의 크기는 0.05 mm 이하가 대부분을 차지하며, 큰 입자는 확산에 의한 이동이 작기 때문에 유입가능성이 크지 않았다. 분화강도에 따른 화산재의 이동 특성을 보면, 분화강도 차이에 따른 입자의 분포도의 차이는 크지 않으나, 수밀도의 차이는 크게 나타났다. 한반도 내 도시별 화산재의 침적량 분석에서 화산재가 기류를 타고 동해에서 유입되고 태백산맥의 차폐효과에 의하여 한반도 동쪽에 위치한 강릉, 부산의 침적량이 초기에 증가하는 경향을 나타내며, 지역별 침적량은 일시에 급격하게 증가할 수 있다.

백두산 화산 분출물 확산 예측에 대기흐름장 평균화가 미치는 영향 (Impact of Meteorological Wind Fields Average on Predicting Volcanic Tephra Dispersion of Mt. Baekdu)

  • 이순환;윤성효
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.360-372
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    • 2011
  • 백두산 화산분출물의 이류와 확산 예측 특성을 살펴보기 위하여 3차원 대기역학 모형인 WRF와 입자 확산 모형인 FLEXPART를 결합하여 다양한 수치실험을 실시하였다. 기상자료의 시간 평균화에 따른 영향을 보기 위하여 네가지 서로 다른 평균화 기간을 가진 수치 실험을 실시하였다. 본 연구에 적용된 기상자료의 평균화 기간은 각각 1개월, 10일, 3일이다. 또한 평균화를 실시하지 않은 실시간자료를 이용한 수치실험도 실시하였다. 기상자료의 평균화 시간이 길어질수록 주풍성분인 동서 방향의 운동이 뚜렷해지고, 짧을수록 주풍의 법선 방향인 남북 운동이 명확하게 나타나며, 화산분출물을 가정한 입자의 확산 역시 동일한 특성이 나타난다. 상하층의 바람은 강도의 차이가 명확하고, 평준화 기간에 따른 영향이 다르게 나타나기 때문에 상층입자와 하층입자의 이동과 지상 침적이 다양하게 나타난다. 또한 한반도의 지상 침적은 방출고도 2 km 이하의 입자가 주로 영향을 미친다. 따라서 기상자료의 평균화 시간 간격이 화산분출물의 지상 침적을 결정하는 하나의 요인으로 작용하기 때문에, 확산 실험 전에 적절한 기상자료의 시간평균을 결정할 필요가 있다.

고리 원자력 발전 단지 사고 발생에 따른 방사능 물질 확산 가능성의 계절적 특성 연구 (Numerical Estimates of Seasonal Changes of Possible Radionuclide Dispersion at the Kori Nuclear Power Plants)

  • 김지선;이순환;박강원;이성광;최세용;조규찬;이혁우
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제27권6호
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    • pp.425-436
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    • 2018
  • To establish initial response scenarios for nuclear accidents around the Kori nuclear power plants, the potential for radionuclide diffusion was estimated using numerical experiments and statistical techniques. This study used the numerical model WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting) and FLEXPART (Flexible Particle dispersion model) to calculate the three-dimensional wind field and radionuclide dispersion, respectively. The wind patterns observed at Gijang, near the plants, and at meteorological sites in Busan, were reproduced and applied to estimates of seasonally averaged wind fields. The distribution of emitted radionuclides are strongly associated with characteristics of topography and synoptic wind patterns over nuclear power plants. Since the terrain around the power plants is complex, estimates of radionuclide distribution often produce unexpected results when wind data from different sites are used in statistical calculations. It is highly probable that in the summer and autumn, radionuclides move south-west, towards the downtown metropolitan area. This study has clear limitations in that it uses the seasonal wind field rather than the daily wind field.

광양만 권역의 영역 설정에 따른 입자확산 및 대기질 수치모의 비교 (Numerical Simulation and Comparison of Particle Dispersion and Air Quality with Domain Setting of Gwangyang Bay Area)

  • 이현미;이화운;이순환
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제26권6호
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    • pp.591-605
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    • 2010
  • Recirculation of airmass in coastal region occurs because of the change from land to sea breeze and was shown to produce a contrary result on air quality. This study examines the numerical simulation to analyze the effect of recirculation flow in Gwangyang Bay, Korea. For this purpose two case studies are performed by the WRF-FLEXPART-CMAQ modeling system, each for a different Meso-Synoptic Index. Additionally this research make a comparative study of large domain (Domain L) and small domain (Domain S). The horizontal wind fields are simulated from WRF. Changes in the land-sea breeze have an effect on the particle dispersion modeling. The numerical simulation of air quality is carried out to investigate the recirculation of ozone. Ozone is transported to eastward under strong synoptic condition (Case_strong) because of westerly synoptic flow and this pattern can confirm in all domain. However ozone swept off by the land breeze and then transported to northward along sea breeze under conditions of clear sky and weak winds (Case_weak). In this case re-advected ozone isn't simulate in Domain S. The study found that recirculation of airmass must be concerned when numerical simulation of air quality is performed in coastal region, especially on a sunny day.