• 제목/요약/키워드: Extreme design value

검색결과 139건 처리시간 0.022초

Computational method in database-assisted design for wind engineering with varying performance objectives

  • Merhi, Ali;Letchford, Chris W.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제32권5호
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    • pp.439-452
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    • 2021
  • The concept of Performance objective assessment is extended to wind engineering. This approach applies using the Database-Assisted Design technique, relying on the aerodynamic database provided by the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST). A structural model of a low-rise building is analyzed to obtain influence coefficients for internal forces and displacements. Combining these coefficients with time histories of pressure coefficients on the envelope produces time histories of load effects on the structure, for example knee and ridge bending moments, and eave lateral drift. The peak values of such effects are represented by an extreme-value Type I Distribution, which allows the estimation of the gust wind speed leading to the mean hourly extreme loading that cause specific performance objective compromises. Firstly a fully correlated wind field over large tributary areas is assumed and then relaxed to utilize the denser pressure tap data available but with considerably more computational effort. The performance objectives are determined in accordance with the limit state load combinations given in the ASCE 7-16 provisions, particularly the Load and Resistance Factor Design (LRFD) method. The procedure is then repeated for several wind directions and different dominant opening scenarios to determine the cases that produce performance objective criteria. Comparisons with two approaches in ASCE 7 are made.

고속도로 통행차량 통계 분석을 통한 단독차량의 활하중 효과 추정 (Estimation of Live Load Effect of Single Truck Through Probabilistic Analysis of Truck Traffic on Expressway)

  • 윤태용;안상섭;권순민;백인열
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2016
  • PURPOSES : This study estimated the load effect of a single heavy truck to develop a live load model for the design and assessment of bridges located on an expressway with a limited truck entry weight. METHODS : The statistical estimation methods for the live load effect acting on a bridge by a heavy vehicle are reviewed, and applications using the actual measurement data for trucks traveling on an expressway are presented. The weight estimation of a single vehicle and its effect on a bridge are fundamental elements in the construction of a live load model. Two statistical estimation methods for the application of extrapolation in a probabilistic study and an additional estimation method that adopts the extreme value theory are reviewed. RESULTS : The proposed methods are applied to the traffic data measured on an expressway. All of the estimation methods yield similar results using the data measured when the weight limit has been relatively well observed because of the rigid enforcement of the weight regulation. On the other hand, when the estimations are made using overweight traffic data, the resulting values differ with the estimation method. CONCLUSIONS : The estimation methods based on the extreme distribution theory and the modified procedure presented in this paper can yield reasonable values for the maximum weight of a single truck, which can be applied in both the design and evaluation of a bridge on an expressway.

한국 연안 극치 파고 분포의 확산모수 특성 (Characteristics of Spread Parameter of the Extreme Wave Height Distribution around Korean Marginal Seas)

  • 정신택;김정대;고동휘;김태헌
    • 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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    • 제21권6호
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    • pp.480-494
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    • 2009
  • 장기간의 극치 파랑자료는 연안 및 항만구조물의 계획 및 설계에서 매우 중요한 인자이다. 그러나, 한국 연안 심해파는 관측 자료가 한정되어 있으므로 기상정보로부터 사후추정한 장기간의 파랑자료를 이용하고 있다. 한국해양연구원(2005)에서는 1979년부터 2003년까지의 한국연안 106개 지점의 극치 파랑 자료를 제시하였다. 본 연구에서는 이 자료를 활용하여 최적 극치분포 함수를 분석하고, Goda(2004)가 제안한 확산모수를 산정하였다. 산정된 확산모수는 모멘트법으로 산정한 결과와 잘 일치하였다. 그러나, 확산모수가 외국사례보다 큰 1.0에서 2.8에 이르고 있기 때문에 차후 설계파에 대한 검토가 필요하다.

부유식 파력발전장치용 계류선의 설계 및 안전성 검토에 관한 연구 (Investigation of Safety and Design of Mooring Lines for Floating Wave Energy Conversion)

  • 정동호;남보우;신승호;김현주;이호생;문덕수;송제하
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.77-85
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    • 2012
  • A study was performed on the design of a mooring line to maintain the position of a floating WEC (wave energy conversion) system. The procedure to design a mooring line is set up and the safety of the designed mooring system is evaluated using commercial software, Orcaflex. The characteristics curve for one line is analyzed to determine the properties and pretension of a mooring line. While considering the ocean environmental condition and importance of a floating WEC system, a multi-line layout is determined. A 4-point mooring system with 4 lines shows the instability in the yaw motion of the floating WEC system under a designed ocean environmental condition. The redesigned 4-point mooring system with 8 lines is found to be safe on the condition of a harsh ocean environment. The floating WEC system with the redesigned mooring system also shows stable motion in surge and pitch under operating conditions. From a parametric study on the mooring line length, the extreme value of the mooring line tension is found to be very sensitive to the pretension and length of mooring line. The results of this study can contribute to the establishment of a design procedure for mooring lines.

한국의 대중문화에 Animation Character가 미치는 부정적인 영향 (A Negative Effect of Animation Character in Mass Culture of Korea)

  • 김홍산;신정숙
    • 디자인학연구
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.147-154
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    • 2001
  • 애니메이션 캐릭터는 아이디어 지향의 고 부가가치 산업으로 다양한 시너지 효과를 창출하기 때문에 경제적인 측면만으로도 그 가치가 높다. 무엇보다도 애니메이션 캐릭터의 가치는 대중문화 커뮤니케이터로서의 역할에 있다. 애니메이션 캐릭터의 범람속에서 생활하는 대중들은 캐릭터에 의해 표현되는 다양한 성격과 행동에 영향받고 있다. 그러나 범람이라고 할만큼 대중의 생활을 둘러싸고 있는 애니메이션 캐릭터들의 성격과 행동들은 주로 극단적인 성향을 나타내고 있어, 대중사회의 유지와 존속에 필요한 역할모델의 제시에 부정적인 기능을 하고 있다.

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감마분포를 따르는 재료강도의 신뢰도 예측과 응용 (Estimation and Application of Reliability Values for Strength of Material Following Gamma Distribution)

  • 박성호;김재훈
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제36권2호
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    • pp.223-230
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    • 2012
  • 취성이 큰 재료의 강도는 일반적으로 정규분포 또는 와이블분포로 설명되어 왔으나 감마분포도적합할 수 있다. 재료의 파손이 가해진 응력의 연속된 값 중 가장 큰 값에 좌우된다면 극치분포를 적용하는 것이 합당하다. 본 논문에서는 재료강도가 감마분포를 따르며 극치분포하는 응력이 작용할 경우 응력-강도 간섭이론에 기반하여 신뢰도 계산식을 제시하였으며, 확률분포 파라미터별 신뢰도와 안전율 및 변동계수와의 관계를 통하여 신뢰도 계산식의 유효성을 입증하였다. 안전율과 변동계수에 기반한 신뢰도 예측방법으로 목표 신뢰도가 설정되었을 때 최소한 요구되는 안전율과 최대로 허용되는 응력의 변동계수를 예측할 수 있다.

LH-모멘트에 의한 극치홍수량의 빈도분석을 위한 적정분포형 유도 (Derivation of Optimal Distribution for the Frequency Analysis of Extreme Flood using LH-Moments)

  • 맹승진;이순혁
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농공학회 2002년도 학술발표회 발표논문집
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    • pp.229-232
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    • 2002
  • This study was conducted to estimate the design flood by the determination of best fitting order of LH-moments of the annual maximum series at six and nine watersheds in Korea and Australia, respectively. Adequacy for flood flow data was confirmed by the tests of independence, homogeneity, and outliers. Gumbel (GUM), Generalized Extreme Value (GEV), Generalized Pareto (GPA), and Generalized Logistic (GLO) distributions were applied to get the best fitting frequency distribution for flood flow data. Theoretical bases of L, L1, L2, L3 and L4-moments were derived to estimate the parameters of 4 distributions. L, L1, L2, L3 and L4-moment ratio diagrams (LH-moments ratio diagram) were developed in this study.

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The Gringorten estimator revisited

  • Cook, Nicholas John;Harris, Raymond Ian
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.355-372
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    • 2013
  • The Gringorten estimator has been extensively used in extreme value analysis of wind speed records to obtain unbiased estimates of design wind speeds. This paper reviews the derivation of the Gringorten estimator for the mean plotting position of extremes drawn from parents of the exponential type and demonstrates how it eliminates most of the bias caused by the classical Weibull estimator. It is shown that the coefficients in the Gringorten estimator are the asymptotic values for infinite sample sizes, whereas the estimator is most often used for small sample sizes. The principles used by Gringorten are used to derive a new Consistent Linear Unbiased Estimator (CLUE) for the mean plotting positions for the Fisher Tippett Type 1, Exponential and Weibull distributions and for the associated standard deviations. Analytical and Bootstrap methods are used to calibrate the bias error in each of the estimators and to show that the CLUE are accurate to better than 1%.

Regional flood frequency analysis of extreme rainfall in Thailand, based on L-moments

  • Thanawan Prahadchai;Piyapatr Busababodhin;Jeong-Soo Park
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.37-53
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    • 2024
  • In this study, flood records from 79 sites across Thailand were analyzed to estimate flood indices using the regional frequency analysis based on the L-moments method. Observation sites were grouped into homogeneous regions using k-means and Ward's clustering techniques. Among various distributions evaluated, the generalized extreme value distribution emerged as the most appropriate for certain regions. Regional growth curves were subsequently established for each delineated region. Furthermore, 20- and 100-year return values were derived to illustrate the recurrence intervals of maximum rainfall across Thailand. The predicted return values tend to increase at each site, which is associated with growth curves that could describe an increasing long-term predictive pattern. The findings of this study hold significant implications for water management strategies and the design of flood mitigation structures in the country.

기후변화에 따른 주요 도시의 하수도 침수 재현기간 예측 (Prediction of Return Periods of Sewer Flooding Due to Climate Change in Major Cities)

  • 박규홍;유순유;뱜바도지 엘베자르갈
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.41-49
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    • 2016
  • In this study, rainfall characteristics with stationary and non-stationary perspectives were analyzed using generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution and Gumbel distribution models with rainfall data collected in major cities of Korea to reevaluate the return period of sewer flooding in those cities. As a result, the probable rainfall for GEV and Gumbel distribution in non-stationary state both increased with time(t), compared to the stationary probable rainfall. Considering the reliability of ${\xi}_1$, a variable reflecting the increase of storm events due to climate change, the reliability of the rainfall duration for Seoul, Daegu, and Gwangju in the GEV distribution was over 90%, indicating that the probability of rainfall increase was high. As for the Gumbel distribution, Wonju, Daegu, and Gwangju showed the higher reliability while Daejeon showed the lower reliability than the other cities. In addition, application of the maximum annual rainfall change rate (${\xi}_1{\cdot}t$) to the location parameter made possible the prediction of return period by time, therefore leading to the evaluation of design recurrence interval.