• 제목/요약/키워드: External Validation

검색결과 200건 처리시간 0.022초

노즐 내부 유동 소음원에 의한 공력 소음의 정량적 분석 (A quantitative analysis of aerodynamic noise by sound sources from a nozzle inflow)

  • 이권기;정철웅;박경훈
    • 한국음향학회지
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    • 제41권6호
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    • pp.698-704
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    • 2022
  • 본 논문에서는 노즐 내부 유동의 소음원으로부터 발생되어 방사되는 공력 소음을 정량적으로 분석하였으며, 이를 외부 방사소음 결과와 비교하였다. 세가지 종류의 노즐 형상에 대해 내부 및 외부 유동을 정확히 예측하기 위해 고해상도 수치해석 기법인 비정상 압축성 대와류모사(Large Eddy Simulation, LES) 기법을 사용하였다. 와류소음원(Vortex Sound Source)을 통해 유동소음원을 확인하였으며, 이를 통해 노즐 내부 형상에서 주요 유동소음원의 분포를 확인하였다. 노즐 내부 유동의 와류소음원 레벨과 외부 방사 소음의 예측결과 및 측정결과와 비교하였으며, 이를 통해 정량적 분석을 검증하였다.

시스템 사고를 이용한 국방 사업분석 레버리지 전략 (A Leverage Strategy of the Defense Program Analysis Based on Systems Thinking)

  • 서혁;이상은
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.77-95
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    • 2009
  • The ever-increasing government budget constraints have led to a continued decline in the increase rate for defense spending, and the government's 5-year National Fiscal Management Plan has served to reinforce the verification and validation procedures for the Force Improvement Programs (FIP) budget requirements and performance. Additionally, as large programs are controlled in accordance with the Total Program Cost Management Guidelines, timely and credible feasibility study and performance measurement need to be conducted. Due to these internal and external circumstances, needs have surged for feasibility and economic effectiveness study for big ticket projects in the FIP sector, with an increasing number of studies conducted by external research institutes. However, questions have been raised regarding the credibility and thoroughness of the program analyses performed by these research institutes due to various restrictions. This paper analyzes and identifies the structural limitations and problems using a systems thinking approach, and examines the systemic characteristics of the program analysis system. It also presents policy intervention recommendations based on the theory of systems thinking, a method to regularize and reinforce the program analysis system. Policy interventions recommended to ensure alignment of the external studies to the clear analysis objectives and resolve the bottlenecks in the external analysis include training those in charge of external study commissioning for a short term intervention, and increasing the number of research institutes and consulting agencies utilizing analysis and evaluation experts who transition to the private sector from the military for a long term intervention. additionally presented are strategies and policy alternatives to best utilize these policy interventions. They will contribute to the stable funding of Force Improvement Programs and efficient utilization of defense budget.

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External validation of IBTR! 2.0 nomogram for prediction of ipsilateral breast tumor recurrence

  • Lee, Byung Min;Chang, Jee Suk;Cho, Young Up;Park, Seho;Park, Hyung Seok;Kim, Jee Ye;Sohn, Joo Hyuk;Kim, Gun Min;Koo, Ja Seung;Keum, Ki Chang;Suh, Chang-Ok;Kim, Yong Bae
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • 제36권2호
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    • pp.139-146
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: IBTR! 2.0 nomogram is web-based nomogram that predicts ipsilateral breast tumor recurrence (IBTR). We aimed to validate the IBTR! 2.0 using an external data set. Materials and Methods: The cohort consisted of 2,206 patients, who received breast conserving surgery and radiation therapy from 1992 to 2012 at our institution, where wide surgical excision is been routinely performed. Discrimination and calibration were used for assessing model performance. Patients with predicted 10-year IBTR risk based on an IBTR! 2.0 nomogram score of <3%, 3%-5%, 5%-10%, and >10% were assigned to groups 1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively. We also plotted calibration values to observe the actual IBTR rate against the nomogram-derived 10-year IBTR probabilities. Results: The median follow-up period was 73 months (range, 6 to 277 months). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.607, showing poor accordance between the estimated and observed recurrence rate. Calibration plot confirmed that the IBTR! 2.0 nomogram predicted the 10-year IBTR risk higher than the observed IBTR rates in all groups. High discrepancies between nomogram IBTR predictions and observed IBTR rates were observed in overall risk groups. Compared with the original development dataset, our patients had fewer high grade tumors, less margin positivity, and less lymphovascular invasion, and more use of modern systemic therapies. Conclusions: IBTR! 2.0 nomogram seems to have the moderate discriminative ability with a tendency to over-estimating risk rate. Continued efforts are needed to ensure external applicability of published nomograms by validating the program using an external patient population.

시민참여형 도시온도 모니터링의 실효성에 관한 연구 (A study on the Effectiveness of Urban air temperature Through Citizen Participation)

  • 김은섭;이동근;원지은;최선경;김미화;배채영;박상진
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
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    • 제23권5호
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    • pp.87-98
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    • 2020
  • At the point of implementing policies related to urban heat through the overall environmental assessment of the city using national data, citizen science projects that can collect data in a wide range are emerging for effective policy establishment. Although the utility of citizen data is improving, data quality is a primary concern for researchers employing public participation in scientific research. In this study, validation was conducted based on citizen data acquired in the "Suwon City Heat Map Project", and the applicability to temperature monitoring was confirmed based on the results. As a result of analyzing the validity verification of citizen data using three methods, the data result value is 0.843, RMSE: 0.683℃, and a meaningful value was found within 3km of national data. We found that citizen data utilization is high through the results of this study and These projects are expected to be used as basic data for establishing effective policies or can be reflected in the various planning.

Refining and Validating a Two-stage and Web-based Cancer Risk Assessment Tool for Village Doctors in China

  • Shen, Xing-Rong;Chai, Jing;Feng, Rui;Liu, Tong-Zhu;Tong, Gui-Xian;Cheng, Jing;Li, Kai-Chun;Xie, Shao-Yu;Shi, Yong;Wang, De-Bin
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권24호
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    • pp.10683-10690
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    • 2015
  • The big gap between efficacy of population level prevention and expectations due to heterogeneity and complexity of cancer etiologic factors calls for selective yet personalized interventions based on effective risk assessment. This paper documents our research protocol aimed at refining and validating a two-stage and web-based cancer risk assessment tool, from a tentative one in use by an ongoing project, capable of identifying individuals at elevated risk for one or more types of the 80% leading cancers in rural China with adequate sensitivity and specificity and featuring low cost, easy application and cultural and technical sensitivity for farmers and village doctors. The protocol adopted a modified population-based case control design using 72, 000 non-patients as controls, 2, 200 cancer patients as cases, and another 600 patients as cases for external validation. Factors taken into account comprised 8 domains including diet and nutrition, risk behaviors, family history, precancerous diseases, related medical procedures, exposure to environment hazards, mood and feelings, physical activities and anthropologic and biologic factors. Modeling stresses explored various methodologies like empirical analysis, logistic regression, neuro-network analysis, decision theory and both internal and external validation using concordance statistics, predictive values, etc..

한국판 스포츠영재육성환경질문지(TDEQ) 타당성 검증 (Validation of the Korean Version of the Talent Development Environment Questionnaire for Sport)

  • 최영준;황승현
    • 한국체육학회지인문사회과학편
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    • 제54권5호
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    • pp.207-219
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구는 Martindale et al.(2010)이 개발한 스포츠영재육성환경 질문지(TDEQ)를 개념검토, 내적구조검토, 외적관계검토 등의 개념적, 통계적 검증단계를 거쳐 우리문화에 적합하게 활용될 수 있는지를 확인하였다. 번역본 작성 절차에 따라 문항에 대한 개념검토가 이루어졌고, 제작된 질문지는 244명(고등학생 : 117명, 대학생 : 127명)의 학생선수를 대상으로 자료가 수집되었다. 내적구조는 탐색적/확인적 요인분석, 신뢰도분석 등을 통해 검토되었고, 그 결과 5요인 32문항의 한국판 TDEQ가 최종 완성되었다. 또한 상관분석과 집단차이분석을 이용하여 외적관계에 대한 검토가 이루어졌으며, 타당도를 추가로 확보하였다. 본 연구를 통해 검증된 한국판 TDEQ는 스포츠영재에 대한 탐색, 발굴, 선택, 육성 등의 단계에서 진단 및 평가도구로 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

Simulation, design optimization, and experimental validation of a silver SPND for neutron flux mapping in the Tehran MTR

  • Saghafi, Mahdi;Ayyoubzadeh, Seyed Mohsen;Terman, Mohammad Sadegh
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제52권12호
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    • pp.2852-2859
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    • 2020
  • This paper deals with the simulation-based design optimization and experimental validation of the characteristics of an in-core silver Self-Powered Neutron Detector (SPND). Optimized dimensions of the SPND are determined by combining Monte Carlo simulations and analytical methods. As a first step, the Monte Carlo transport code MCNPX is used to follow the trajectory and fate of the neutrons emitted from an external source. This simulation is able to seamlessly integrate various phenomena, including neutron slowing-down and shielding effects. Then, the expected number of beta particles and their energy spectrum following a neutron capture reaction in the silver emitter are fetched from the TENDEL database using the JANIS software interface and integrated with the data from the first step to yield the origin and spectrum of the source electrons. Eventually, the MCNPX transport code is used for the Monte Carlo calculation of the ballistic current of beta particles in the various regions of the SPND. Then, the output current and the maximum insulator thickness to avoid breakdown are determined. The optimum design of the SPND is then manufactured and experimental tests are conducted. The calculated design parameters of this detector have been found in good agreement with the obtained experimental results.

자기결합방식의 이식형 인공중이의 제안 (Proposal of Magnetic Coupling Type Implantable Middle Ear Hearing Aid)

  • 정영숙;윤영호;박재훈;송병섭;이승하;김명남;조진호
    • 대한의용생체공학회:의공학회지
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    • 제19권5호
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    • pp.487-495
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    • 1998
  • 본 논문에서는 회로가 간단하고 체내에 삽입되는 부분이 영구자석만.:-로 이루어져있는 새로운 방식의 이식형 인공중이를 제안하였다. 트랜스듀서의 갭 조정이 필요없어 수술이 간편해지며, 코일을 외부로 보이지 않게 옷 내부에 둘 수 있어서 미용적인 측면에서도 우수하다. 제안된 이식형 인공중이의 성능을 측정하고 난청자의 청각 역치에 맞는 시스템을 설계하기 위하여 트랜스듀서를 통해 내이로 전달되는 힘을 정량적으로 해 석하였으며, 진동특성 실험을 통해서 이 해석의 타당성을 증명하였다. 또한 사람의 측두골을 이용하여 직접 침골(incus)의 진동변위를 측정하였다. 이 실험으로 제안된 시스템이 실제로 사람의 몸에 설치되었을 때 이소골(ossicles)을 충분히 진동시킬 수 있음을 증명하였다.

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외부챔버와 유연한 튜브로 연결된 LCD 패널 검사기 방진용 공기 스프링의 열 및 동적 연성거동에 대한 연구: PART II, 실험적 검증 및 고찰 (Study on the Thermal and Dynamic Behaviors of Air Spring for vibration isolation of LCD panel inspecting machine connected with an External Chamber through a flexible tube: PART II, Experimental validation and investigation)

  • 석종원;이주홍;김필기
    • 반도체디스플레이기술학회지
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.43-49
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    • 2011
  • In this study, the dynamic characteristics of an air spring connected with an external chamber through a flexible tube are examined. The uncoupled dynamic parameters of the air spring are identified through experiments, followed by the suggestion of a model-based approach to obtain the remaining coupled dynamic parameters using the various frequency response functions derived in PART I paper [1]. To improve or control the damping characteristics of the air spring, this vibration isolation air spring system is physically established in laboratory scale. And we attempt to identify various parameters used to describe to air spring system by both theoretically [1] and experimentally, which is performed in this report. The damping parameter of the tube system is identified through experiments on the system incorporated with the air cylinder, and a nonlinear regression procedure is employed to find solutions. The resulting value is used to expect the frequency response function of dynamic pressure in the top chamber (air spring) with respect to that in the bottom chamber (external chamber). Comparison with the experimental data supports the validity of the present estimation procedures. Also, the dynamic mechanism of the damping effects particularly in a low frequency range is investigated through this experimental endeavor.

Validation of a Model for Estimating Individual External Dose Based on Ambient Dose Equivalent and Life Patterns

  • Sato, Rina;Yoshimura, Kazuya;Sanada, Yukihisa;Sato, Tetsuro
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • 제47권2호
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    • pp.77-85
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    • 2022
  • Background: After the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station (FDNPS) accident, a model was developed to estimate the external exposure doses for residents who were expected to return to their homes after evacuation orders were lifted. However, the model's accuracy and uncertainties in parameters used to estimate external doses have not been evaluated. Materials and Methods: The model estimates effective doses based on the integrated ambient dose equivalent (H*(10)) and life patterns, considering a dose reduction factor to estimate the indoor H*(10) and a conversion factor from H*(10) to the effective dose. Because personal dose equivalent (Hp(10)) has been reported to agree well with the effective dose after the FDNPS accident, this study validates the model's accuracy by comparing the estimated effective doses with Hp(10). The Hp(10) and life pattern data were collected for 36 adult participants who lived or worked near the FDNPS in 2019. Results and Discussion: The estimated effective doses correlated significantly with Hp(10); however, the estimated effective doses were lower than Hp(10) for indoor sites. A comparison with the measured indoor H*(10) showed that the estimated indoor H*(10) was not underestimated. However, the Hp(10) to H*(10) ratio indoors, which corresponds to the practical conversion factor from H*(10) to the effective dose, was significantly larger than the same ratio outdoors, meaning that the conversion factor of 0.6 is not appropriate for indoors due to the changes in irradiation geometry and gamma spectra. This could have led to a lower effective dose than Hp(10). Conclusion: The estimated effective doses correlated significantly with Hp(10), demonstrating the model's applicability for effective dose estimation. However, the lower value of the effective dose indoors could be because the conversion factor did not reflect the actual environment.