• 통상정보연구
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• 제19권3호
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• pp.107-127
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• 2017

본 연구는 신흥국 수출 확대를 위해 한국의 ICT 제품의 국제경쟁력을 비교 분석하였다. 이를 위해 한국의 주력 수출품인 ICT 제품 중 2016년 수출액 기준 상위 ICT 10개 제품을 선정하여 수출 확대 가능성이 높은 ASEAN Big 6(인도네시아, 말레이시아, 태국, 베트남, 필리핀, 싱가포르)에서 중국과 국제경쟁력을 비교 분석하였다. 2009년부터 2016년까지 수출생존지수(ESI), 무역수지기여도(CTB), 세계수출시장점유율(EMS)로 분석한 결과, 한국은 ASEAN에 대한 수출 증가와 세계수출시장점유율(EMS) 상승으로 수출 편중 현상이 높아지고 있고 중국과 비교해서 수출경쟁력이 높은 것으로 나타났지만 2015년 이후 급속한 수입 증가로 무역수지와 무역수지기여도(CTB)는 적자와 비교열위 상태로 전환되었으며 수출 생존성도 약화되는 모습을 보였다. 중국은 수출과 세계수출시장점유율(EMS), 수출 생존성은 하락 추세를 보였지만 무역수지와 무역수지기여도(CTB)에서 비교 열위가 개선되는 모습을 보여 한국과 달리 ASEAN에 대한 수출 편중이 감소하는 것으로 나타났다.

• 무역학회지
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• 제47권6호
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• pp.247-267
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• 2022

Since the Korea-Vietnam FTA was signed in 2015, trade between the two countries has increased rapidly, accounting for 6.8% of Vietnam's exports and 17.9% of its imports in 2020. The two countries show differences in import and export items. Vietnam has a high export ratio of agri-food products or products with the low-middle level of technology, while Korea has a high export ratio of products with the upper-middle level. The purpose of this study is to present implications by analyzing changes in trade competitiveness between Vietnam and Korea by technology level (2002-2020). For this purpose, statistics from UN Comtrade were used, and methodologies such as market share, Export Market Share (EMS), Trade Specialization Index (TSI), Intra-Industrial Trade Index (IIT), Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA), and BCG Matrix were used. The results of the study are as follows. First, when looking at Vietnam's trade structure with South Korea by technology level, it was analyzed that the trade deficit widened as it showed a competitive disadvantage in high-tech, ICT, middle- and low-level technology items, excluding low-end technology items. Second, in terms of market share, the market share of Vietnamese products in the Korean market is continuously increasing, while the Korean market share in Vietnam is gradually decreasing from 2017. Third, Vietnam's export competitiveness to Korea by technology level shows that low-level technologies are competitive, but they are inferior in competitiveness in all other technology level, and especially in areas with high technology level, the level of inferiority is high. In conclusion, the trade relationship between Vietnam and Korea has maintained a mutually complementary rather than competitive relationship, which is expected to continue in the future.

• STI Policy Review
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• 제3권1호
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• pp.46-62
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• 2012

This study investigates the effects of the two most important indicators of a nation's state of scientific infrastructure: R&D investment and the number of R&D researchers engaged in high-tech product export competitiveness for a panel of 11 countries/economies from East Asia from 1994 to 2010. A GMM panel estimation method was employed to account for the dynamic effect of trade and to control for un-observed country specific effects that may arise due to an inter-country differences and intra-country dynamics. Accordingly, the empirical results reveal that (once controlled for the influence of per capita income) physical capital and infrastructure, a 1% increase in a country's expenditure on the ratio of R&D to GDP may increase high-tech product export performance by approximately $397 million per year. Other factors constant, a 1% increase in the number of R&D researchers is expected to increase the ability to export high-tech products by approximately $67 million. The East Asian development experience demonstrates how latecomers can follow systematic industrialization and join the handful of economies that have come a long way toward closing the knowledge gap with the global technological leaders. However, this does not mean that the policy approaches and overall commitments pursued by each East Asian economy in relation to R&D investment and acquisition of an adequate pool of researchers, and their ultimate achievements in high-tech product export competitiveness were uniform. As a result, there is still a significant variation among countries/economies in terms of performance. This study recommended a number of potential tools and policy instruments that may assist policy makers to foster R&D as an engine to enhance the high-tech product export competitiveness.

• 기술혁신연구
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• 제5권2호
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• pp.48-79
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• 1997

This study aims to evaluate and identify the patterns of the technological competitiveness of the Korean industry. Such statistics as R&D expenditure and R&D manpower as input indexes, US patent registrations and export sales as output indexse were used. It was turned out that such industrial types as specialized-suppliers industries, scale-intensive industries and science-intensive industries showed relatively strong technical competitiveness. However, resource-intensive industries and labor-intensive industries which had maintained a competitive advantage in the 1970s and the 1980s appeared to be gradually losing their technological competitiveness. These results are by and large in accordance with the trends of export performance. This study conducted the canonical discriminant analysis in order to test the correctness of the patterns displayed in the technological competitiveness of the Korean industry. The result of the analysis showed that the five patterns of technical strength of the Korean industries are significantly independent each other for four respective variables which are used to distinguish industries. This implies that the ex ante industrial classification into five types was correct in terms of the ex post statistics, and that the patterns of technological competitiveness discovered in this study are also statistically correct.

• 지능정보연구
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• 제28권1호
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• pp.175-196
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• 2022

우리나라의 주력 산업 중 하나였던 정보통신 및 가전 산업은 점차 수출 비중이 낮아지는 등 수출 경쟁력이 약화되고 있다. 본 연구는 이런 정보통신 및 가전 산업의 수출 제고를 돕기 위해서 객관적으로 수출경쟁력을 분석하고 수출 유망국가를 제시하고자 했다. 본 연구는 수출경쟁력 평가를 위해서 네트워크 분석 중 구조적 특징, 중심성 그리고 구조적 공백 분석을 수행했다. 유망 수출 국가를 선정하기 위해서는 기존에 경제적 요인 외에도 이미 형성된 글로벌 무역 네트워크(ITN) 즉 글로벌 밸류체인(GVC)의 특성을 고려할 수 있는 새로운 변수를 제안했다. 국가간 무역 네트워크 분석에서 Exponential Random Graph Model(ERGM)을 통해 도출된 개별적인 링크에 대한 조건부 로짓값(log-odds)을 수출가능성을 나타낼 수 있는 대리변수로 가정했다. 이런 ERGM의 링크 연결 가능성까지 고려해 수출 유망국가를 추천하는 데는 모수적 접근 방법과 비모수적 접근 방법을 각각 활용했다. 모수적 방법에서는 ERGM에서 도출된 네트워크의 링크별 특성값을 기존의 경제적 요인에 추가 고려하여 우리나라 정보통신 및 가전 산업 수출액을 예측하는 회귀분석 모형을 개발했다. 또한 비모수적 접근 방법에서는 클러스터링 방법을 바탕으로 한 Abnormality detection 알고리즘을 활용했는데, 2개 Peer(동배)에서 벗어난 이상값을 찾는 방법으로 수출 유망국가를 제안했다. 연구 결과에 따르면, 해당 산업 수출 네트워크의 구조적 특징은 이전성이 높은 연결망이었으며, 중심성 분석결과에 따르면 우리나라는 수출에 규모에 비해서 영향력이 약한 것으로 나타났고, 구조적 공백 분석결과에서 수출 효율성이 약한 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구가 제안한 추천모델에 따르면 모수 분석에서는 이란, 아일랜드, 북마케도니아, 앙골라, 파키스탄이 유망 수출 국가로 나타났으며, 비모수 분석에서는 카타르, 룩셈부르크, 아일랜드, 북마케도니아, 파키스탄이 유망 국가로 분석되었으며, 분석방법에 따라 추천된 국가에서는 일부 차이가 나타났다. 본 연구결과는 GVC에서 우리나라 정보통신과 가전 산업의 수출경쟁력이 수출 규모에 비해서 높지 않음을 밝혔고, 따라서 수출이 더욱 감소될 수 있음을 보였다. 또한 본 연구는 이렇게 약화된 수출경쟁력을 높일 수 있는 방안으로 다른 국가들과의 GVC 네트워크까지 고려해 수출유망 국가를 찾는 방법을 제안했다는데 의의가 있다.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제41권1호
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• pp.1-14
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• 2019

This paper studies whether export diversification mitigated the negative effect of the global financial crisis on exports using the Korean case. Specifically, we use annual data on the exports of 24 Korean manufacturing industries from 2000 to 2016 and examine whether the negative effect of the crisis on exports was less prevalent in industries that were more diversified in terms of country and product. We also examine whether export competitiveness, as measured by the revealed comparative advantage index by industry, had a mitigating effect on trade during the crisis. In order to study these issues, we use panel regression with a fixed-effect model for 24 Korean manufacturing industries. From our empirical analysis, we find that country diversification weakened the negative impact of the global financial crisis on Korea's exports, whereas neither product diversification nor export competitiveness did so.

• 산경연구논집
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.5-10
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• 2017

Purpose - The purpose of this paper was to analyze the Chinese government's announcement of the RMB's appreciation on July 1, 2010, and its aim was to ascertain whether the appreciation has affected Chinese export prices by empirically measuring the degree of the exchange rate pass-tough on those prices. Research design, data, and methodology - Using 73 HS trade categories with cross-industry and time-series data, the panel estimation of a fixed-effects model has been applied to measure the degree and stability of any exchange rate pass-through effects. The estimation results show that the export prices of most trade categories were affected by the exchange rate changes. The pass-through effect was generally small, at about -0.485, and statistically significant in most export prices. Results - The empirical results indicate that China would lose its advantage and competitiveness in export if the RMB were appreciated continuously and rapidly because its export goods would no longer operate under strong monopolistic competition. Conclusions - The implications for China's exchange rate policy suggest that it would be better for the RMB to appreciate slowly and gradually rather than radically. It is clear that it would be allow the capital free flow in Chinese overall economic interest to reduce the continuous appreciation pressure on the currency and pave the way for improvements in export distribution competitiveness.

• 한국의상디자인학회지
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.23-33
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• 2007

Clothing exports of Korea has grown rapidly till the latter half of the 1980's, contributing Korean economic development. However from the 1990's, the amount, the world market share and the international competitiveness of clothing exports have declined. Based on these phenomena, the purpose of this study was to identify the characteristics of export articles in Korean Clothing Trade focused on the 1990's. Statistical data of clothing articles(SITC 84 : Articles of apparel & clothing accessories) were used. The relative importance, trade orientation tendency and unit price of each export clothing articles were analyzed. The results of the study were as follows. On the relative importance, trade orientation tendency and unit price of each export clothing articles, outer garments or products that required complicated production process(e.g., coats, suits, ensembles, jackets, dress) had been decreased in the portion and weakened in the export orientation tendency. But one item in a set or casual wear like trousers, skirts, blouses, shirts, Jerseys, pullovers, T-shirts has been increased in the portion and risen in the unit price. These trends means that clothing exports of Korea were more focused on those category and the international competitiveness on those articles were advanced. From these results, this study can be contributed to establish the concrete clothing export articles strategies of Korean firms.

• 무역상무연구
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• 제63권
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• pp.261-282
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• 2014

A Silk Road was connecting East and West with trade route. The role From the ancient, Silk Road is situated in the Central Asia such as Kazakhstan, thus logistics sector was important more than others. This theme is the study of the Export Competitiveness of Korea-Kazakhstan trade. This paper analyses between Korea and Kazakhstan's trade used by TSI(trade specification index), IITI(intra-industry trade index) and CTBI(contribution to trade balance index). The World Bank is already addressing Kazakhstan's logistics inefficiencies is the lowest tier. Thus, Kazakhstan governments should encourage efficiency in Logistic parts. And more Korea is supporting to decrease Logistic cost.

• 수산경영론집
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• 제34권2호
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• pp.141-164
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• 2003

This study analysis the market status and competitive structure of Korean fishery in Japan import market, and derive policy implications for seeking main causes. Specifically', trade state between Korea and Japan is discovered and theoretical model is also used to analysis competitiveness between two countries. And then real measuring methods of competitive index is Introduced, the status of Korean fishery products in Japan import market is analysed totally through the study of comparative predominance and export competition. The analysis is based on the statistical methods such as RCA, RMI, and CMS. In summary, first, Korean fishery products have the comparative predominance in Japan, China and Thailand, but they have the comparative inferiority in USA, considering research results. Second, competitiveness of fishery products between Korea and in Japan import market extreme, relatively, competitiveness of Korean fishery products for Thailand's fishery products is lowest. Third, Korean fishery products maintain unconstant pattern, but competitive inputs result in increasing export to Japan generally.