• 한국도로학회논문집
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• 제19권5호
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• pp.1-11
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• 2017

PURPOSES : This study is aimed at development of a stochastic pavement deterioration forecasting model using National Highway Pavement Condition Index (NHPCI) to support infrastructure asset management. Using this model, the deterioration process regarding life expectancy, deterioration speed change, and reliability were estimated. METHODS : Eight years of Long-Term Pavement Performance (LTPP) data fused with traffic loads (Equivalent Single Axle Loads; ESAL) and structural capacity (Structural Number of Pavement; SNP) were used for the deterioration modeling. As an ideal stochastic model for asset management, Bayesian Markov multi-state exponential hazard model was introduced. RESULTS:The interval of NHPCI was empirically distributed from 8 to 2, and the estimation functions of individual condition indices (crack, rutting, and IRI) in conjunction with the NHPCI index were suggested. The derived deterioration curve shows that life expectancies for the preventive maintenance level was 8.34 years. The general life expectancy was 12.77 years and located in the statistical interval of 11.10-15.58 years at a 95.5% reliability level. CONCLUSIONS : This study originates and contributes to suggesting a simple way to develop a pavement deterioration model using the total condition index that considers road user satisfaction. A definition for level of service system and the corresponding life expectancies are useful for building long-term maintenance plan, especially in Life Cycle Cost Analysis (LCCA) work.

• 전기의세계
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• 제31권5호
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• pp.368-374
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• 1982

This paper describes a combined algorithm for short-term-load forecating. One of the specific features of this algorithm is that the base, weather sensitive and residual components are predicted respectively. The base load is represented by the exponential smoothing approach and residual load is represented by the Box-Jenkins methodology. The weather sensitive load models are developed according to the information of temperature and discomfort index. This method was applied to Korea Electric Company and results for test periods up to three years are given.

• 한국토양비료학회지
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• 제50권5호
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• pp.409-421
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• 2017

Recently Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) technology offers new opportunities for assessing crop growth condition using UAV imagery. The objective of this study was to select optimal vegetation indices and regression model for estimating of rice growth using UAV images. This study was conducted using a fixed-wing UAV (Model : Ebee) with Cannon S110 and Cannon IXUS camera during farming season in 2016 on the experiment field of National Institute of Crop Science. Before heading stage of rice, there were strong relationships between rice growth parameters (plant height, dry weight and LAI (Leaf Area Index)) and NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) using natural exponential function ($R{\geq}0.97$). After heading stage, there were strong relationships between rice dry weight and NDVI, gNDVI (green NDVI), RVI (Ratio Vegetation Index), CI-G (Chlorophyll Index-Green) using quadratic function ($R{\leq}-0.98$). There were no apparent relationships between rice growth parameters and vegetation indices using only Red-Green-Blue band images.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 2006년도 제37회 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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• pp.29-31
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• 2006

The most crucial requirement of a power system is o supply quality electric energy to customers without interrution. This problem is directly related to reliability of power system. Reliability assessment of power system has been an important topic for the past several decades. This paper deals with reliability assessment of a 154kV power substation n KEPCO. In his paper, exponential distribution is used to calculate reliablity index. The failure rate data that are utilited for reliablity index based on the realistic system. Also, FTA(Fault Tree Analysis) is used to compute substation reliablity

• Advances in concrete construction
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.149-159
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• 2020

The present work proposes new engineering models for determining corrosion initiation time in concrete reinforcing steels in marine environment. The models are based on Fick's second law that is commonly used for chloride diffusion. The latter is based on deterministic analyses involving the most influencing parameters such as distance of the concrete structure from the seaside, depth of steel concrete cover, ambient temperature, relative humidity and the water-cement ratio. However, a realistic corrosion initiation time cannot be estimated because of the uncertainties associated to the different parameters of the models. Therefore a reliability approach using FORM/SORM method has been applied to develop the proposed engineering models integrating a limit state function and a reliability index β. As a result, the corrosion initiation time is expressed by new exponential engineering models where the uncertainties are associated to the model parameters. The main emerging result is a realistic decision tool for corrosion planning inspection.

• 한국산림과학회지
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• 제88권1호
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• pp.47-54
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• 1999

지위지수(地位指數) 12등급인 곰솔임분에 대한 최적(最適)의 직경(直徑) 및 수고생장함수(樹高生長函數)를 linear transformation(1), linear transformation(2) 등 2개의 선형식(線型式)과 exponential, Gompertz, Chapman-Richards, Weibull 등 4개의 비선형식(非線型式)에 의하여 도출하였다. 이들 함수에 의하여 추정된 직경 및 수고생장과 실측치인 직경 및 수고생장간의 상호관계를 분석하였다. 곰솔임분의 임령에 따른 직경과 수고생장을 추정한 결과는 선형식보다 비선형식의 적합성이 높게 나타났으며, 직경생장에는 Gompertz식, 그리고 수고생장에는 Chapman-Richards식의 적합성이 높게 나타났으나, 이들 비선형식간의 큰 차이는 없는 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 앞으로 이들 비선형식을 적용하여 현실임분(現實林分)의 직경과 수고생장을 추정하여야 할 것으로 사료된다.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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• 제16권4호
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• pp.901-922
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• 2007

본 연구는 하계냉방수요가 기온관련변수의 변화에 대해 어떤 반응을 보이는가, 또 어떤 종류의 기온관련변수가 하계냉방수요에 대한 설명변수로 더 적절한가를 보기 위해 일반적인 선형모형은 물론 각기 다른 특성을 가지고 있는 지수모형과 파워모형, S곡선모형 등 비선형모형을 이용하여 2004년부터 2007년까지 최근 4년간 자료를 분석하였다. 실증분석결과 본 연구에서는 기온관련변수들 가운데 불쾌지수가 일최고기온에 비해 설명력이 우수하다는 사실과 함께 하계냉방전력수요가 전체 4개년도 중 2006년을 제외한 다른 모든 연도들에 대해 지수모형을 따라 기온관련변수의 변화에 대응하고 있는 사실을 규명하였다. 또 소득수준의 향상을 반영하는 비냉방전력수요의 꾸준한 증가와 함께 냉방전력수요도 기온관련변수에 매년 더욱 민감하게 반응하고 있는 사실도 발견하였다.

• 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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• 제54권11호
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• pp.548-556
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• 2005

Reliability evaluation of power distribution system is very important to both power utilities and customers. It present the probabilistic number and duration of interruption such as failure rate, SATDI, SAIFI, and CAIDI. However, it has a fatal weakness at reliability index because of accuracy of failure rate. In this paper, the Time-varying Failure Rate(TFR) of power distribution system equipment is extracted from the recorded failure data of KEPCO(Korea Electric Power Corporation) in Korea. For TFR extraction, it is used that the fault data accumulated by KEPCO during 10 years. The TFR is approximated to bathtub curve using the exponential(random failure) and Weibull(aging failure) distribution function. In addition, Kaplan-Meier estimation is applied to TFR extraction because of incomplete failure data of KEPCO. Finally, Probability plot and regression analysis is applied. It is presented that the extracted TFR is more effective and useful than Mean Failure Rate(MfR) through the comparison between TFR and MFR

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제35권2호
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• pp.30-36
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• 2012

This study is aimed to show that an asymmetric load in the frontal plane leads to an increase in low back loading and fatigue in comparison with a symmetric load when workers lift an external weight by investigating previous studies and verifying the phenomenon with an experiment. Ten male subjects are required to lift and hold an given external load at 70cm height during 50sec, then the EMG amplitude and median frequency on bilateral low back muscle groups (Longissimus, Iliocostalis, and Multifidus) are recorded and analyzed. Independent variables are two-level load weight (13kg, 20kg) and three-level LCG (Center, 6.5cm to the right, and 13cm to the right), and dependent variables are EMG amplitude average, difference, and Fatigue Index (FI). Results show that load weight increases significantly amplitude average and FI, but LCG does significantly amplitude difference and FI significantly (P-value < 0.05). Also the correlation coefficient between amplitude difference and FI is over 0.99. These implies that trunk loading should be explained by not EMG amplitude but muscle fatigue aspect since the association between an external load and amplitude is linear, but the relationship between an external load and median frequency as muscle fatigue index is almost exponential.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제19권6호
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• pp.837-847
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• 2012

Inverse Gaussian distribution is widely used in applications to analyze and model right-skewed data. To assess the appropriateness of the distribution prior to data analysis, Mudholkar and Tian (2002) proposed an entropy-based test of fit. The test is based on the entropy power fraction(EPF) index suggested by Gokhale (1983). The simulation results report that the power of the entropy-based test is superior compared to other goodness-of-fit tests; however, this observation is based on the small-scale simulation results on the standard exponential, Weibull W(1; 2) and lognormal LN(0:5; 1) distributions. A large-scale simulation should be performed against various alternative distributions to evaluate the power of the entropy-based test; however, the use of a theoretical method is more effective to investigate the powers. In this paper, utilizing the information discrimination(ID) index defined by Ehsan et al. (1995) as a mathematical tool, we scrutinize the power of the entropy-based test. The selected alternative distributions are the gamma, Weibull and lognormal distributions, which are widely used in data analysis as an alternative to inverse Gaussian distribution. The study results are provided and an illustrative example is analyzed.