• 제목/요약/키워드: Excess parameters

검색결과 305건 처리시간 0.03초

Estimating dose-response curves using splines: a nonparametric Bayesian knot selection method

  • Lee, Jiwon;Kim, Yongku;Kim, Young Min
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제29권3호
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    • pp.287-299
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    • 2022
  • In radiation epidemiology, the excess relative risk (ERR) model is used to determine the dose-response relationship. In general, the dose-response relationship for the ERR model is assumed to be linear, linear-quadratic, linear-threshold, quadratic, and so on. However, since none of these functions dominate other functions for expressing the dose-response relationship, a Bayesian semiparametric method using splines has recently been proposed. Thus, we improve the Bayesian semiparametric method for the selection of the tuning parameters for splines as the number and location of knots using a Bayesian knot selection method. Equally spaced knots cannot capture the characteristic of radiation exposed dose distribution which is highly skewed in general. Therefore, we propose a nonparametric Bayesian knot selection method based on a Dirichlet process mixture model. Inference of the spline coefficients after obtaining the number and location of knots is performed in the Bayesian framework. We apply this approach to the life span study cohort data from the radiation effects research foundation in Japan, and the results illustrate that the proposed method provides competitive curve estimates for the dose-response curve and relatively stable credible intervals for the curve.

Geometrical shape and self-shielding effect of burnable poison particles on pin-in block type HTGR neutronic performance

  • Jamiyansuren Terbish;Odmaa Sambuu
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제56권6호
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    • pp.2388-2394
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    • 2024
  • In our previous works, two different spherical burnable poison particles (BPPs) as B4C and Gd2O3 in pin-in block type HTGR core had utilized to suppress the excess reactivity and to control long-term reactivity during the burnup period. In the present work, we performed the neutronic analysis of a prismatic HTGR operating at 850 ℃ with thermal power of 100 MW containing spherical and cylindrical BPPs and then studied the self-shielding effect of BPPs and shape effect. The calculations were performed when the surface area (1) or volume (2) of cylindrical BPPs equals to that of the spherical BPPs. The calculations showed that the neutronic parameters were slightly better for the second case than the first one, such as the excess reactivity of the reactor core at the beginning of the cycle were more suppressed, the core lifetime were more extended, and the fuel-burning were more efficiently. The neutron spectrum in each region of the cylindrical BBPs slightly differs than that of the spherical BPPs. Therefore, the self-shielding effect of BPPs on reactor core performance depends on the particle's geometrical shape.

7구역진단기의 Factor AA의 유형분석과 임상지표와의 상관성 연구 (A Study on the Correlation between the Patterns of Factor AA in a 7-zone-diagnostic System and the Clinical Parameters)

  • 유정석;이휘용;이장원;장소영;차정호;이진석;송범용
    • Journal of Acupuncture Research
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.159-170
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    • 2007
  • Objectives : The 7-zone-diagnostic system is a diagnostic device to predetermine bodily locations by measuring the energy of a living body. This study was to investigate the relation between the different patterns of Factor AA in a 7-zone-diagnostic system and clinical parameters. The purpose of this study is to relate Korean traditional medicine and western medicine using the data from the 7-zone-diagnostic system and the clinical parameters. Methods : This study was carried out with the data from some clinical parameters. We made two groups according to the Factor AA patterns of VEGA-DFM 722, the 7-zone-diagnostic system The Factor AA patterns of Group A named hyperenergy is all the red bar graphs that arehigher than the normal range. The Factor AA patterns of Group B named hypoenergy is all the red bar graphs that are lower than the normal range. After the data from clinical parameters corresponding with conditions of each group were selected, the data from clinical parameters among each group was analyzed statistically. Results : The values of Weight, GOT, r-GTP, Uric acid and BMI of Group A are higher than those of Group B. The values of Sodium and Phosphorus of Group A are lower than those of Group B. Conclusions : To conclude, it is thought that Group A has a heat-excess type but Group B has colddeficient type.

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Modeling the effects of excess water on soybean growth in converted paddy field in Japan 1. Predicting groundwater level and soil moisture condition - The case of Biwa lake reclamation area

  • Kato, Chihiro;Nakano, Satoshi;Endo, Akira;Sasaki, Choichi;Shiraiwa, Tatsuhiko
    • 한국작물학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국작물학회 2017년도 9th Asian Crop Science Association conference
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    • pp.315-315
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    • 2017
  • In Japan, more than 80 % of soybean growing area is converted fields and excess water is one of the major problems in soybean production. For example, recent study (Yoshifuji et al., 2016) suggested that in the fields of shallow groundwater level (GWL) (< 1m depth), rising GWL even in a short period (e.g. 1 day) causes inhibition of soybean growth. Thus it becomes more and more important to predict GWL and soil moisture in detail. In addition to conventional surface drainage and underdrain, FOEAS (Farm Oriented Enhancing Aquatic System), which is expected to control GWL in fields adequately, has been developed recently. In this study we attempted to predict GWL and soil moisture condition at the converted field with FOEAS in Biwa lake reclamation area, Shiga prefecture, near the center of the main island of Japan. Two dimensional HYDRUS model (Simuinek et al., 1999) based on common Richards' equation, was used for the calculation of soil water movement. The calculation domain was considered to be 10 and 5 meter in horizontal and vertical direction, respectively, with two layers, i.e. 20cm-thick of plowed layer and underlying subsoil layer. The center of main underdrain (10 cm in diameter) was assumed to be 5 meter from the both ends of the domain and 10-60cm depth from the surface in accordance with the field experiment. The hydraulic parameters of the soil was estimated with the digital soil map in "Soil information web viewer" and Agricultural soil-profile physical properties database, Japan (SolphyJ) (Kato and Nishimura, 2016). Hourly rainfall depth and daily potential evapo-transpiration rate data were given as the upper boundary condition (B.C.). For the bottom B.C., constant upward flux, which meant the inflow flux to the field from outside, was given. Seepage face condition was employed for the surrounding of the underdrain. Initial condition was employed as GWL=60cm. Then we compared the simulated and observed results of volumetric water content at depth of 15cm and GWL. While the model described the variation of GWL well, it tended to overestimate the soil moisture through the growing period. Judging from the field condition, and observed data of soil moisture and GWL, consideration of soil structure (e.g. cracks and clods) in determination of soil hydraulic parameters at the plowed layer may improve the simulation results of soil moisture.

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수도수중 염소 소독부산물로 인한 건강위해성 평가에 관한 연구 - 서울시 수도수중 Trihalomethanes 및 Haloaceticnitriles을 중심으로 - (Health Risk Assessment of Disinfection By-products by Chlorination in Tap Water Ingestion)

  • 정용;신동천;양지연;박연신;김준성
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • 제12권3_4호
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    • pp.31-41
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    • 1997
  • Public concerns about hazardous health effect from the exposure to organic by-products of the chlorination have been increased. There are numerous studies reporting that chlorination of drinking water produces numerous chlorinated organic by-products including THMs, HAAs, HANs. Some of these products are known to be animal carcinogens. The purpose of this study was to estimate health risk of DBPs by chlorinated drinking water ingestion in Seoul based on methodologies that have been developed for conducting risk assessment of complex-chemical-mixture. The drinking water sample was collected seperately at six water treatment plant in Seoul at March, April, 1996. In tap water of households in Seoul, DBPs were measured wilfh the mean value of 36.6 $\mu$g/L. Risk assessment processes,. which include processes for the estimation of human cancer potency using animal bioassay data and calculation of human exposure, entail uncertainties. In the exposure assessment process, exposure scenarios with various assumptions could affect the exposure amount and excess cancer risk. The reference dose of haloacetonitriles was estimated to be 0.0023 mg/kg/day by applying dibromoacetonitrile NOAEL and uncertainty factor to the mean concentration. In the first case, human excess cancer risk was estimated by the US EPA method used to set the MCL (maximum contaminant level). In the second and third case, the risk was estimated for multi-route exposure with and without adopting Monte-Carlo simulation, respectively. In the second case, exposure input parameters and cancer potencies used probability distributions, and in the third case, those values used point estimates (mean, and maximum or 95% upper-bound value). As a result, while the excess cancer risk estimated by US EPA method considering only direct ingestion tended to be underestimated, the risk which was estimated by considering multi-route exposure without Monte-Carlo simulation and then using the maximum or 95% upper-bound value as input parameters tended to be overestimated. In risk assessment for Trihalomethanes, considering multi-route exposure with adopting Monte-Carlo analysis seems to provide the most reasonable estimations.

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직접분사식 암모니아 전소 엔진에서 점화 시기와 공기과잉률의 변경에 따른 연소 및 배기, 효율 특성 비교 (Comparison of Combustion, Emissions and Efficiency Characteristics as Varying Spark Timings and Excess air ratios in an Ammonia-fueled Direct Injection Spark Ignition Engine)

  • 장용훈;박철웅;김용래;최영;민찬기;이승우;백홍길;이정우
    • 한국가스학회지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2023
  • 산업혁명의 발달로 인해 급격하게 증가된 온실가스 배출량을 저감하기 위해 배기 배출물 규제가 계속해서 강화되고 있다. 이를 만족시키기 위해선 친환경 연료의 사용은 필수적이다. 미래의 친환경 연료로서 수소가 주목받고 있지만, 물질적 특성으로 인해 취급과 보관에 큰 어려움을 겪고 있어, 이에 대안으로 암모니아가 제안되었다. 암모니아는 수소 대비 상온 조건에서 쉽게 액화가 가능하며, 에너지밀도가 높다. 이에 엔진의 연료로서 암모니아의 적용성을 검토하기 위해 직접분사식 암모니아 전소 엔진에서 연소제어인자의 변경에 따른 실험을 진행하였다. 본 실험은 점화시기(Spark Timing)와 공기과잉률(Excess Air Ratio) 두 개의 변수를 변경하여 실험을 진행하였다.엔진 속도 1,500 RPM 및 중부하 이상(제동 토크 200 Nm)의 조건에서 암모니아 전소를 하였을 때, 연소 안정성과 질소산화물, 미연 암모니아 등의 배기 배출물의 경향을 관찰하였다. 연소제어인자의 최적화를 통해 암모니아만을 연료로 사용한 경우에도 안정적인 연소가 가능한 조건을 찾을 수 있었고, 향후 운전영역 확장을 위한 전략을 적용할 계획이다.

납의 다경로 노출에 의한 건강위해성평가 : 우리 나라 일부 지역 성인들을 대상으로 (Health Risk Assessment of Lead Exposure through Multi-pathways in Korea)

  • 정용;황만식;양지연;조성준
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.203-216
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    • 1999
  • This paper describes a set of multi-pathway models for estimating health risk to lead. The models link concentrations of an environmental contaminant (lead) in air, water and food to human exposure through inhalation, ingestion, and dietary routes. Exposure is used as the foundation for predicting risk of health detriment within the population. The process of estimating exposure using often limited data and extrapolating to a large diverse population requires many assumption, inferences, and simplification. This paper is divided into four section. The first section provides lead contaminant levels on obtaining environmental concentration of air, tap water, and foods. The second section provides a discussion of exposure parameters and uncertainty associated predicting human health risk of contaminants. The third and fourth section illustrate lifetime average daily exposure (LADE) and excess cancer risk (ECR) based on exposure parameters. The relationship between concentration of lead in an environmental medium and human exposure is determined with pathway exposure factors (PEFs). The calculation of LADE and ECR is carried out using Monte-Carlo simulation with probability density function of exposure parameters. Examination of the result reveals that, for lead exposure, ingestion (food) is the dominant route of exposure rather than inhalation (air), and ingestion (tap eater).

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SENSITIVITY ANALYSES OF THE USE OF DIFFERENT NEUTRON ABSORBERS ON THE MAIN SAFETY CORE PARAMETERS IN MTR TYPE RESEARCH REACTOR

  • Kamyab, Raheleh
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제46권4호
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    • pp.513-520
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, three types of operational and industrial absorbers used at research reactors, including Ag-In-Cd alloy, $B_4C$, and Hf are selected for sensitivity analyses. Their integral effects on the main neutronic core parameters important to safety issues are investigated. These parameters are core excess reactivity, shutdown margin, total reactivity worth of control rods, thermal neutron flux, power density distribution, and Power Peaking Factor (PPF). The IAEA 10 MW benchmark core is selected as the case study to verify calculations. A two-dimensional, three-group diffusion model is selected for core calculations. The well-known WIMS-D4 and CITATION reactor codes are used to carry out these calculations. It is found that the largest shutdown margin is gained using the $B_4C$; also the lowest PPF is gained using the Ag-In-Cd alloy. The maximum point power densities belong to the inside fuel regions surrounding the central flux trap (irradiation position), surrounded by control fuel elements, and the peripheral fuel elements beside the graphite reflectors. The greatest and least fluctuation of the point power densities are gained by using $B_4C$ and Ag-In-Cd alloy, respectively.

Detrended fluctuation analysis of magnetic parameters of solar active regions

  • Lee, Eo-Jin;Moon, Yong-Jae
    • 천문학회보
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    • 제41권1호
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    • pp.81.2-81.2
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    • 2016
  • Many signals in the nature have power-law behaviors, namely they are "scale-free". The method of detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA), as one of the popular methods (e.g., Rescaled range analysis and Spectral analysis) for determining scale-free nature of time series, has a very important advantage that the DFA can be applied to both stationary and non-stationary signals. The analysis of time series using the DFA has been broadly used in physiology, finance, hydrology, meteorology, geology, and so on. We performed the DFA of 16 Spaceweather HMI Active Region Patch (SHARP) parameters for 38 HMI Active Region Patches (HARPs) obtained by Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) from May 2010 to June 2014. The main results from this study are as follows. (1) The most of the time series data are non-stationary. (2) The DFA scaling exponents of "mean vertical current density" for 38 HARPs have a negative correlation coefficient (-0.41) with flare index. (3) The DFA scaling exponents of parameters such as "Sum of the absolute value of net currents per polarity", "Absolute value of the net current helicity", and "Mean photospheric excess magnetic energy density" for the most active HARPs having more than 10 major flares, have positive correlation coefficients (0.64, 0.59, and 0.53, respectively) with the ratio of "the number of CMEs associated with major flares" to "the number of major flares". Physical interpretations on our results will be discussed.

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토양 내 바이오폴리머 혼합에 의한 Camelina sativa L.의 Zn 과잉 스트레스 피해 경감 효과 (Biopolymer Amended Soil Reduces the Damages of Zn Excess in Camlina sativa L.)

  • 신정호;김현성;김은석;안성주
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.262-273
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구에서 사용한 바이오폴리머 (biopolymer)는 친환경 제방 건설 소재로 연구 되고 있다. 이러한 바이오폴리머를 토양에 혼합할 경우 이온결합 및 수소결합을 통해 토양의 강도 증진 효과가 잘 알려져 있지만 바이오폴리머와 혼합된 토양이 식물에 미치는 영향은 자세히 알려져 있지 않다. 본 연구는 Zn 과잉 스트레스 조건에서 바이오폴리머의 토양 혼합이 Camelina sativa L. (Camelina)에 미치는 영향을 분석 하였다. Camelina의 생장실험을 기반으로, Zn 과잉 스트레스에 대한 최적의 바이오폴리머 혼합 비율은 0.5%로 결정하여 연구를 진행하였다. Zn 과잉 스트레스 하에서, BG 또는 XG 혼합구의 Camelina는 바이오폴리머 비혼합구에 비해 높은 생장을 보였으며, Zn 과잉 스트레스 피해 지표인 Malondialdehyde (MDA) 함량과 전해질유출도의 감소를 나타냈다. 바이오폴리머의 Zn 결합능을 DTZ (1,5-diphenylthiocarbazone)을 이용하여 분석한 결과, BG 또는 XG 모두 명확한 Zn 흡착 반응을 보였다. DTZ 염색 및 ICP-OES 분석에서, Zn 과잉 스트레스에 의한 Camelina의 Zn 흡수량이 BG 또는 XG 혼합에 의해 현저히 감소함을 확인하였다. 그리고, BG 또는 XG의 혼합은 Camelina의 중금속 수송체 Heavy metal ATPase (HMA)의 발현을 유도하지 않았으며, 야생형 (wildtype, WT)보다 CsHMA3가 과발현 된 Camelina에서 BG 또는 XG 혼합구와 유사한 수준의 Zn 과잉 스트레스 저감 효과를 확인하였다. 결론적으로, 바이오폴리머의 토양 혼합은 바이오폴리머와 Zn 사이의 결합에 의해 Camelina에 과도한 Zn 이온이 흡수되는 것을 방지하여 Zn 독성 피해를 감소시키는 것으로 확인되었다. 더 나아가 바이오폴리머의 토양혼합은 제방강화뿐만 아니라 중금속으로 오염된 토양에서 식물 생존에 긍정적으로 작용할 것이라 판단된다.