• Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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• 제19권2호
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• pp.59-78
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• 2012

The purpose of this longitudinal case study is to shed light on the reliability problems of IS performance evaluation by analyzing the discrepancy between ex ante evaluation in 2011 and ex post evaluation in 2012. Through an information system development project of a public enterprise, the gap between ex ante and ex post evaluation was ascertained and the causes as to why such gap occurs and the success factors that can solve the problems were derived. The ex ante evaluation of IS performance was performed based on both IS success model and BSC model and the ex post evaluation was carried out at the time after the target system has been built up by applying the evaluation measures and process that are similar to the ex ante evaluation. In the ex ante evaluation the business performance improved by the target system was estimated to 18.2%. On the other hand, it was seen as being low at 15.2% in the ex post evaluation and the differences were found to be statistically significant in 6 out of 10 measures. The reasons as to why such gap occurs were diagnosed as being of 2 types : (1) changes in the evaluation psychology according to the differences in the evaluation objectives; and (2) excessive expectation levels of the target system that is formed at the time of the ex ante evaluation. In other words, the users who have excessive expectations tend to overestimate in the ex ante evaluation and, in the ex post evaluation, tend to underestimate lower than the actual performance mainly due to disappointment on the results that do not meet the early expectations. As solutions to overcome the reliability problem of ex ante evaluation, 3 factors were derived : (1) the temperance of excessive expectation levels of the users; (2) a clear definition of the scope and functionality of the target system; and (3) actual commitments for the evaluations of IT performance.

• Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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• 제15권1호
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• pp.203-224
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• 2008

The purpose of this study is to investigate the evaluation perspectives of IT business value and empirically analyze the differences of evaluation perspectives between ex ante evaluation and post implementation evaluation, and among various information system types. 4 evaluation perspectives which have been used in the previous studies and in the field of industry practices are financial, customer, internal process, and growth, which are based on the BSC model. Data of 98 information systems have been collected from 89 companies including manufacturers, banks, insurances, and stock trading companies. As results of multi-way MANOVA test, 3 out of 8 hypothesis have been accepted statistically. While the order of importance of 4 perspectives in ex ante evaluation is customer, financial, internal process, and growth, the order of post implementation evaluation appears to be much different : that is, internal process, customer, financial, and growth. These findings provide insights for both IT practitioners and researchers.

• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2011년도 정기총회 및 추계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.2182-2191
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• 2011

Postmortem evaluation through the dictionary and the lack of points for the wrong strategy to respond to the avoid the prediction is important. However, the prevailing system of ex post facto assessment of postmortem simply does not have statistical figures to be provided only for the conditions. Thus, in this study, rail business is mainly evaluation procedures and evaluation of the verification system of ex post facto evaluation as to the issue, do not improve.

• 농업과학연구
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• 제43권3호
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• pp.468-480
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• 2016

As the existing FTAs' implementations are being accelerated, ex-post assessments, such as tariff schedules and agricultural trade analyses results, have been emerging as important national issues for the agricultural sector. Korea-Chile FTA is the first FTA in Korea, and more than ten years have passed since April 2004. It will be necessary to measure the impacts of the agreement on the domestic agricultural industry by analyzing concessions made on traded items of farm products on prices, agricultural trade, and so on. The purpose of this study is to prepare for the request for ex-post assessments on the agricultural sector by trade negotiation procedural law. Additionally, by providing policy direction for agricultural policy segments requiring amendments and supplements through an ex-post assessment, we can more objectively evaluate the conflicting arguments between the agricultural and non-agricultural sectors. Current evaluation methods about ex-post impact assessment of FTA are generally comparison analysis on the change of trade balance before and after FTA implementation. However, this simple comparison analysis cannot be said to pure FTA effects and objective, tightening economic impact assessment of the FTA because of all combined situations such as effects of exchange rates, international macroeconomic changes, climate change, and the occurrence of pests. This research attempts to use dynamic analysis as its ex-post assessment methodology and is expected to contribute to future policy evaluation.

• 수산경영론집
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• 제41권1호
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• pp.1-24
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• 2010

The main goal of the study is to propose an objective and standardized evaluation system of stock enhancement programs. In order to achieve this goal, the study first suggested the need for stock enhancement program evaluation system through the review of current status and problems. Second, the study identified possible problems of the existing stock enhancement program evaluation by reviewing domestic and foreign evaluation systems. Finally the study proposed a new evaluation system and implementation plan of it. This study also classified the program evaluation criteria into ex-ante evaluation and ex-post evaluation according to the evaluation point in time, and applied the economic, political and technical feasibility tests into the evaluation of the stock enhancement program in order to solve the current problems of the evaluation. The evaluation process of the stock enhancement program is composed of an evaluation system design, estimation of weights using the analytical hierarchy process, design of estimation standard, conversion of scores and final summary of the evaluation. The central government takes the lead in the evaluation of the regional (metropolitan city or province) projects and the regional government is in charge of the evaluation of the local (city or county) projects. For the implementation of the ex-ante evaluation, either the regional or local governments ask for the evaluation and then submit an evaluation plan and other necessary documents to the upper level governments. The ex-post evaluation is then carried out by the upper level governments.

• 기술혁신연구
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• 제3권1호
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• pp.55-83
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• 1995

This paper addresses three central decision-making problems frequently encountered in developing evaluation checklists for ex-post evaluation of R&D projects at private R&D centers: 1) what kind of evaluation elements and factors should be included in the evaluation forms\ulcorner 2) how much weight should be assigned to each evaluation factor and element\ulcorner and 3) could the same evaluation elements and factors with weights be applied all the project type(research, development, and engineering)\ulcorner To answer these questions, we identified the evaluation elements/factors based on the review of relevant literature and measured the perceptions of researchers, R&D managers, and top managements of the three private R&D centers to get the information about the importance levels of the elements and the weights of the factors for each of the three project types. The findings include that 1) all the evaluation elements derived from the literature exhibited high importance levels, and 2) the importance levels of the elements and the weights of the factors were quite varied along the project types. Theoretical and practical implications of the findings for ex-post evaluation of R&D projects are discussed.

• 국제지역연구
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• 제22권1호
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• pp.161-202
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• 2018

본 연구의 목적은 한국의 무상원조 평가 동향을 분석하는 것이다. 이를 위해서 한국국제협력단(KOICA)에서 발행한 평가보고서를 OECD DAC 평가기준을 중심으로 검토하였다. 또한 유 무상 원조기관의 평가 역사와 발전과정을 설명한다. 연구질문은 두 가지로 요약할 수 있다. 첫째, 한국 무상원조의 평가기준과 접근방법론은 OECD DAC 가입을 전후로 어떻게 변화되었는가, 둘째, OECD DAC의 평가기준은 KOICA 사후평가 보고서에 어떻게 반영되어 있는가이다. 연구 분석 자료는 1998년부터 2016년까지 KOICA 홈페이지에 게시된 개별 사업평가보고서이다. 약 28여년간 발행된 KOICA의 사업평가 보고서에 대한 개략적인 분석, 그리고 사후평가 보고서를 중심으로 '평가결과'와 '제언' 부분을 내용분석(content analysis)하였다. 주요 분석결과는 세 가지로 요약할 수 있다. 첫째, OECD DAC의 5대 평가기준인 적절성, 효율성, 효과성, 영향력, 지속가능성에 대한 언급 빈도가 높아지고, 평가기법에 있어 정량평가기법 활용이 증가하고 있다. 둘째, OECD DAC 가입을 전후로 한국 기업진출, 한국의 국가위상 제고에 대한 내용 보다는 수원국의 소득증대, 경제성장 등의 논의가 확대되고 있음을 확인했다. 셋째, 2011년 부터 발행된 사후평가 보고서에는 사업설계매트릭스(PDM), 기초선조사(baseline data) 등 평가지표, 성과 등과 관련된 단어들이 기하급수적으로 증가하였다. 본 연구는 한국의 무상원조사업 사후평가 방식이 최근 국제사회의 기준을 적극적으로 수용하고 있으며, 보고서의 양적, 질적 변화를 위해 다양한 평가방법을 활용하고 있음을 확인하였다.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제17권7호
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• pp.648-655
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• 2016

FTA 이행이 가속화될수록 기 체결된 FTA 대상국별 농산물 양허 내용, 농산물 교역 등을 분석하여 국내 농업에 미치는 영향을 사후 평가하는 것이 중요한 과제로 등장되고 있다. 한 EU FTA는 우리나라가 체결한 거대 FTA 중 하나로, 2016년 7월에 이행 5년 차로 통상절차법에 따라 농업에 대한 사후영향평가에 대한 연구수요를 대비하는 데, 본 연구의 목적이 있다. 또한, 이러한 평가를 통해 수정 및 보완이 필요한 부분에 대한 정책방향이 제시되어야 농업계와 비농업계의 상반된 주장을 보다 객관적으로 평가할 수 있다. 현재 일반적인 기 체결 FTA에 대한 사후 경제적 영향평가는 발효시점을 기준으로 전후를 비교하여 무역수지가 변화하였는가를 평가하는 것이나, 이는 순수한 FTA 효과라 할 수 없으며, 환율, 국제거시지표의 변화, 수출입국의 기상이변 및 병해충 발생 등 수급변화가 모두 혼재한 상황으로 객관적인 기 체결 FTA에 대한 경제적 영향 평가를 할 수 없었다. 그러나 이번 연구로 시도된 동태적 사후영향평가방법으로 한 EU 발효 후 4년간의 전체 농업GDP 누적 감소액은 2,178억 원으로 계측되었다. 가장 큰 영향을 받은 품목은 돼지를 중심으로 축산물이고, 그 다음으로 곡물, 채소 순으로 분석되었다. 또한 이번 연구로 시도된 동태적 사후영향평가방법론으로 향후 진행될 사후정책평가연구에 기여를 할 것으로 기대한다.

• 도로교통
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• 통권93호
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• pp.6-13
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• 2003

• 기술혁신학회지
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• 제9권4호
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• pp.812-841
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• 2006

본 연구는 중소벤처평가지표의 개선을 위해 t-test, 요인분석, 로짓회귀분석을 이용하여 평가지표의 판별력을 분석하였다. 연구결과를 요약하면 하면 다음과 같다. 첫째, 중소벤처평가지표의 분류정확도가 93%를 보이고 있어 기존 재무비율을 이용한 선행연구의 예측력과 비슷한 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 통상적으로 중소벤처지원기관의 평가지표는 기술성지표, 사업성지표, 시장성지표로 구성되어 있는데 본 연구의 요인분석 결과 6개의 평가지표로 구성되는 것이 바람직함을 보이고 있다. 셋째, 중소벤처성과에 영향을 미치는 요인들로, 기존 연구에서도 주장된 기업가정신(entrepreneurship)을 나타내는 경영자기술역량, 경영자경영역량 그리고 사업성인 것으로 나타났다. 그리고 이들의 비중(영향정도)는 비슷한 것으로 나타났다.