• 제목/요약/키워드: Event approach

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RECURRENT PATTERNS IN DST TIME SERIES

  • Kim, Hee-Jeong;Lee, Dae-Young;Choe, Won-Gyu
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.101-108
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    • 2003
  • This study reports one approach for the classification of magnetic storms into recurrent patterns. A storm event is defined as a local minimum of Dst index. The analysis of Dst index for the period of year 1957 through year 2000 has demonstrated that a large portion of the storm events can be classified into a set of recurrent patterns. In our approach, the classification is performed by seeking a categorization that minimizes thermodynamic free energy which is defined as the sum of classification errors and entropy. The error is calculated as the squared sum of the value differences between events. The classification depends on the noise parameter T that represents the strength of the intrinsic error in the observation and classification process. The classification results would be applicable in space weather forecasting.

쳬계신뢰성에 기초한 사장교의 안전도 및 내하력 평가 (System Reliability-Based Safety and Capacity Evaluation of Cable-Stayed Bridges)

  • 조효남;이승재;임종권;김보헌
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 1996년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.105-112
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    • 1996
  • A practical approach for the assessment of system reliability-based safety and load carring capacity under vehicle traffics is proposed for the realistic evaluation of safety and rating of cable-stayed bridges. A partial event tree analysis model incorporating major critical failure paths is suggested as a practical tool for the system reliability analysis and system reliability-based capacity rating. The proposed approach for the system reliability analysis and system reliability-based rating is applied to the safety assessment of the Jindo Bridge which is one of two existing cable-stayed bridges in Korea. The results of analyses at the system level based on the system reliability are compared with those at the element level.

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Modeling of RC Frame Buildings for Progressive Collapse Analysis

  • Petrone, Floriana;Shan, Li;Kunnath, Sashi K.
    • International Journal of Concrete Structures and Materials
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2016
  • The progressive collapse analysis of reinforced concrete (RC) moment-frame buildings under extreme loads is discussed from the perspective of modeling issues. A threat-independent approach or the alternate path method forms the basis of the simulations wherein the extreme event is modeled via column removal scenarios. Using a prototype RC frame building, issues and considerations in constitutive modeling of materials, options in modeling the structural elements and specification of gravity loads are discussed with the goal of achieving consistent models that can be used in collapse scenarios involving successive loss of load-bearing columns at the lowest level of the building. The role of the floor slabs in mobilizing catenary action and influencing the progressive collapse response is also highlighted. Finally, an energy-based approach for identifying the proximity to collapse of regular multi-story buildings is proposed.

A new extended Birnbaum-Saunders model with cure fraction: classical and Bayesian approach

  • Ortega, Edwin M.M.;Cordeiro, Gauss M.;Suzuki, Adriano K.;Ramires, Thiago G.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.397-419
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    • 2017
  • A four-parameter extended fatigue lifetime model called the odd Birnbaum-Saunders geometric distribution is proposed. This model extends the odd Birnbaum-Saunders and Birnbaum-Saunders distributions. We derive some properties of the new distribution that include expressions for the ordinary moments and generating and quantile functions. The method of maximum likelihood and a Bayesian approach are adopted to estimate the model parameters; in addition, various simulations are performed for different parameter settings and sample sizes. We propose two new models with a cure rate called the odd Birnbaum-Saunders mixture and odd Birnbaum-Saunders geometric models by assuming that the number of competing causes for the event of interest has a geometric distribution. The applicability of the new models are illustrated by means of ethylene data and melanoma data with cure fraction.

Fuzzy Syntactic Pattern Recognition Approach for Extracting and Classifying Flaw Patterns from and Eddy-Current Signal Waveform

  • Kang, Soon-Ju
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and information Science
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    • 제2권4호
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    • pp.59-65
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    • 1997
  • In this paper, a general fuzzy syntactic method for recognition of flaw patterns and for the measurement of flaw characteristic parameters for a non-destructive inspections signal, called eddy-current, is presented. Solutions are given to the subtasks of primitive pattern selection, signal to symbol transformation, pattern grammar formulation, and event-synchronous flaw pattern extraction based on the grammars. Fuzzy attribute grammars are used as the model for the pattern grammar because of their descriptive power in the face of uncertain constraints caused by nose or distortion in the signal waveform, due to their ability to handle syntactic as well as semantic information. This approach has been implemented and the performance of eh resultant system has been evaluated using a library of law patterns obtained from steam generator tubes in nuclear power plants by an eddy current-based non-destructive inspection method.

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취약성 매트릭스를 이용한 사이버 공격 및 방어 모델링 (Cyber Attack and Defense Modeling Using Vulnerability Metrics)

  • 이장세;지승도;최규석
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.11-20
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    • 2004
  • The major objective of this paper is to perform modeling of cyber attack and defense using vulnerability metrics. To do this, we have attempted command level modeling for realizing an approach of functional level proposed by Nong Ye, and we have defined vulnerability metrics that are able to apply to DEVS(Discrete Event System Specification) and performed modeling of cyber attack and defense using this. Our approach is to show the difference from others in that (i) it is able to analyze behaviors of systems being emerged by interaction between functional elements of network components, (ii) it is able to analyze vulnerability in quantitative manner, and (iii) it is able to establish defense suitably by using the analyzed vulnerability. We examine an example of vulnerability analysis on the cyber attack and defense through case study.

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취약성 매트릭스를 이용한 사이버 공격 및 방어 모델링 (Cyber Attack and Defense Modeling Using Vulnerability Metrics)

  • 이장세;지승도
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국시뮬레이션학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.191-198
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    • 2003
  • The major objective of this paper is to perform modeling of cyber attack and defense using vulnerability metrics. To do this, we have attempted command level modeling for realizing an approach of functional level proposed by Nong Ye, and we have defined vulnerability metrics that are able to apply to DEVS(Discrete Event System Specification) and performed modeling of cyber attack and defense using this. Our approach is to show the difference from others in that (ⅰ) it is able to analyze behaviors of system emerged by interaction with functional elements of components composing network and each other, (ⅱ) it is able to analyze vulnerability in quantitative manner, and (ⅲ) it is able to establish defense suitably by using the analyzed vulnerability. We examine an example of vulnerability analysis on the cyber attack and defense through case study.

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기업 액티비티 모델 통합을 위한 계층적인 모델링 접근법 (The Hierarchical Modeling Approach for Integrating the Enterprise Activity Model)

  • Jun, H.B.;Suh, H.W.
    • 한국CDE학회논문집
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.157-168
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    • 2001
  • The description of enterprise activities is the basis fur process improvement and information system building. To describe such activities, it is necessary to model the enterprise activities from the abstraction level to the implementation level in a stepwise and integrated form. For this reason, several modeling approaches have been proposed. However, most of them lacked the stepwise or integration aspects although some of them covered overall levels. This study proposes the hierarchical modeling approach for integrating the enterprise activity model from the abstraction level to the implementation level systematically. It is composed of five modeling levels such as function level, process level, task level, document workflow level, and event flow level. This study discusses the definition and characteristics of each level and compare our modeling frame with other modeling methodologies in case study.

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원전의 부분충수운전에 대한 동적 신뢰도평가 (A New Method for Assessing Dynamic Reliability for the Mid-loop Operation)

  • 제무성;박군철
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.52-59
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    • 1996
  • This paper presents a new approach for assessing the dynamic reliability in a complex system such as a nuclear power plant. The method is applied to a dynamic analysis of the potential accident sequences which may occur during mid-loop operation. Mid-loop operation is defined as an operation to make RCS water level below the top of the flow area of the hot legs at the junction with the reactor vessel for repairs and maintenance of steam generators and reactor coolant pumps for a specific time. The Idea behind this approach consists of both the use of the concept of the performance achievement/requirement correlation and of a dynamic event tree generation method. The assessment of the system reliability depends on the determination of both the required performance distribution and the achieved performance distribution. The quantified correlation between requirement and achievement represents a comparison between two competing variables. It is demonstrated that this method is easily applicable and flexible in that it can be applied to any kind of dynamic reliability problem.

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A Study on the Implementation Effect of Accident Management Strategies on Safety

  • Moosung Jae;Kim, Dong-Ha;Jin, Young-Ho
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.247-256
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    • 1996
  • This paper presents a new approach for assessing accident management strategies using containment event trees (CETs) developed during an individual plant examination (IPE) for a reference plant (CE type, 950 MWe PWR). Various accident management strategies to reduce risk have been proposed through IPE. Three strategies for the station blackout sequence are used as an example : 1) reactor cavity flooding only, 2) primary system depressurization only, and 3) doing both. These strategies are assumed to be initiated at about the time of core uncovery. The station blackout (SBO) sequence is selected in this paper since it is identified as one of the most threatening sequences to safety of the reference plant. The effectiveness and adverse effects of each accident management strategy are considered synthetically in the CETs. A best estimate assessment for the developed CETs using data obtained from NUREG-1150, other PRA results, and the MAAP code calculations is performed. The strategies are ranked with respect to minimizing the frequencies of Various containment failure modes. The proposed approach is demonstrated to be very flexible in that it can be applied to any kind of accident management strategy for any sequence.

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