• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimation techniques

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Assessment of merging weather radar precipitation data and ground precipitation data according to various interpolation method (보간법에 따른 기상레이더 강수자료와 지상 강수자료의 합성기법 평가)

  • Kim, Tae-Jeong;Lee, Dong-Ryul;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.12
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    • pp.849-862
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    • 2017
  • The increased frequency of meteorological disasters has been observed due to increased extreme events such as heavy rainfalls and flash floods. Numerous studies using high-resolution weather radar rainfall data have been carried out on the hydrological effects. In this study, a conditional merging technique is employed, which makes use of geostatistical methods to extract the optimal information from the observed data. In this context, three different techniques such as kriging, inverse distance weighting and spline interpolation methods are applied to conditionally merge radar and ground rainfall data. The results show that the estimated rainfall not only reproduce the spatial pattern of sub-hourly rainfall with a relatively small error, but also provide reliable temporal estimates of radar rainfall. The proposed modeling framework provides feasibility of using conditionally merged rainfall estimation at high spatio-temporal resolution in ungauged areas.

Evaluating Applicability of SRTM DEM (Shuttle Radar Topography Mission Digital Elevation Model) in Hydrologic Analysis: A Case Study of Geum River and Daedong River Areas (수문인자추출에서의 SRTM DEM (Shuttle Radar Topography Mission Digital Elevation Model) 적용성 평가: 대동강 및 금강 지역 사례연구)

  • Her, Younggu;Yoo, Seung-Hwan
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.55 no.6
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    • pp.101-112
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    • 2013
  • Shuttle Radar Topography Mission Digital Elevation Model (SRTM DEM) offers opportunities to make advances in many research areas including hydrology by providing near-global scale elevation measurements at a uniform resolution. Its wide coverage and complimentary online access especially benefits researchers requiring topographic information of hard-to-access areas. However, SRTM DEM also contains inherent errors, which are subject to propagation with its manipulation into analysis outputs. Sensitivity of hydrologic analysis to the errors has not been fully understood yet. This study investigated their impact on estimation of hydrologic derivatives such as slope, stream network, and watershed boundary using Monte Carlo simulation and spatial moving average techniques. Different amount of the errors and their spatial auto-correlation structure were considered in the study. Two sub-watersheds of Geum and Deadong River areas located in South and North Korea, respectively, were selected as the study areas. The results demonstrated that the spatial presentations of stream networks and watershed boundaries and their length and area estimations could be greatly affected by the SRTM DEM errors, in particular relatively flat areas. In the Deadong River area, artifacts of the SRTM DEM created sinks even after the filling process and then closed drainage basin and short stream lines, which are not the case in the reality. These findings provided an evidence that SRTM DEM alone may not enough to accurately figure out the hydrologic feature of a watershed, suggesting need of local knowledge and complementary data.

Auto-detection of Halo CME Parameters as the Initial Condition of Solar Wind Propagation

  • Choi, Kyu-Cheol;Park, Mi-Young;Kim, Jae-Hun
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.315-330
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    • 2017
  • Halo coronal mass ejections (CMEs) originating from solar activities give rise to geomagnetic storms when they reach the Earth. Variations in the geomagnetic field during a geomagnetic storm can damage satellites, communication systems, electrical power grids, and power systems, and induce currents. Therefore, automated techniques for detecting and analyzing halo CMEs have been eliciting increasing attention for the monitoring and prediction of the space weather environment. In this study, we developed an algorithm to sense and detect halo CMEs using large angle and spectrometric coronagraph (LASCO) C3 coronagraph images from the solar and heliospheric observatory (SOHO) satellite. In addition, we developed an image processing technique to derive the morphological and dynamical characteristics of halo CMEs, namely, the source location, width, actual CME speed, and arrival time at a 21.5 solar radius. The proposed halo CME automatic analysis model was validated using a model of the past three halo CME events. As a result, a solar event that occurred at 03:38 UT on Mar. 23, 2014 was predicted to arrive at Earth at 23:00 UT on Mar. 25, whereas the actual arrival time was at 04:30 UT on Mar. 26, which is a difference of 5 hr and 30 min. In addition, a solar event that occurred at 12:55 UT on Apr. 18, 2014 was estimated to arrive at Earth at 16:00 UT on Apr. 20, which is 4 hr ahead of the actual arrival time of 20:00 UT on the same day. However, the estimation error was reduced significantly compared to the ENLIL model. As a further study, the model will be applied to many more events for validation and testing, and after such tests are completed, on-line service will be provided at the Korean Space Weather Center to detect halo CMEs and derive the model parameters.

Fundamental Matrix Estimation and Key Frame Selection for Full 3D Reconstruction Under Circular Motion (회전 영상에서 기본 행렬 추정 및 키 프레임 선택을 이용한 전방향 3차원 영상 재구성)

  • Kim, Sang-Hoon;Seo, Yung-Ho;Kim, Tae-Eun;Choi, Jong-Soo
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.10-23
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    • 2009
  • The fundamental matrix and key frame selection are one of the most important techniques to recover full 3D reconstruction of objects from turntable sequences. This paper proposes a new algorithm that estimates a robust fundamental matrix for camera calibration from uncalibrated images taken under turn-table motion. Single axis turntable motion can be described in terms of its fixed entities. This provides new algorithms for computing the fundamental matrix. From the projective properties of the conics and fundamental matrix the Euclidean 3D coordinates of a point are obtained from geometric locus of the image points trajectories. Experimental results on real and virtual image sequences demonstrate good object reconstructions.

Estimating the Socioeconomic Costs of Child Poverty (아동 빈곤의 사회경제적 비용 추계)

  • Kim, Soo Jung;Chung, Ick-Joong
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.69 no.3
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    • pp.9-33
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    • 2017
  • This study estimated the socioeconomic costs of child poverty. Based on previous studies, the present study organized component categories for direct and indirect costs of child poverty, and estimated the cost of each category in 2015 through the collection of existing data and Delphi survey techniques among experts. The total socioeconomic costs of child poverty were compared to Korea's GDP. The results of this study were as follows. First, the socioeconomic costs of child poverty in Korea in 2015 ranged from 55 trillion KW(3.5% of GDP) to 99 trillion KW(6.5% of GDP). Second, the indirect socioeconomic costs of child poverty are much higher than the direct costs. Third, among the total cost categories, costs related to productivity loss and unemployment accounted for the largest portion of both the socioeconomic costs based upon absolute poverty and relative poverty. Crime costs are the second largest. Based on these results, we discussed the importance of early intervention for children in poverty; implementation of two-generation program that intervenes simultaneously with parents and children; and long-term, continuous and integrated intervention for high-risk groups such as poor children.

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A Global-Local Approach for Estimating the Internet's Threat Level

  • Kollias, Spyridon;Vlachos, Vasileios;Papanikolaou, Alexandros;Chatzimisios, Periklis;Ilioudis, Christos;Metaxiotis, Kostas
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.407-414
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    • 2014
  • The Internet is a highly distributed and complex system consisting of billion devices and has become the field of various kinds of conflicts during the last two decades. As a matter of fact, various actors utilise the Internet for illicit purposes, such as for performing distributed denial of service attacks (DDoS) and for spreading various types of aggressive malware. Despite the fact that numerous services provide information regarding the threat level of the Internet, they are mostly based on information acquired by their sensors or on offline statistical sampling of various security applications (antivirus software, intrusion detection systems, etc.). This paper introduces proactive threat observatory system (PROTOS), an open-source early warning system that does not require a commercial license and is capable of estimating the threat level across the Internet. The proposed system utilises both a global and a local approach, and is thus able to determine whether a specific host is under an imminent threat, as well as to provide an estimation of the malicious activity across the Internet. Apart from these obvious advantages, PROTOS supports a large-scale installation and can be extended even further to improve the effectiveness by incorporating prediction and forecasting techniques.

Output Data Analysis of Simulation: A Review (시뮬레이션 출력 자료 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Chang, Byeong-Yun
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.11-16
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    • 2012
  • Simulation is the imitation of the operation of a real-world process or system over time. It concerns the study of the operating characteristics of real systems. Typically, a simulation project consists of several steps such as data collection, coding, model verification, model validation, experimental design, output data analysis, and implementation. Among these steps of a simulation study this paper focus on statistical analysis methods of simulation output data. Specially, we explain how to develop confidence interval estimators for mean ${\mu}$ in terminating and non-terminating simulation cases. We, then, explore the estimation techniques for $f({\mu})$, where the function $f({\bullet})$ is a nonlinear that is continuously differentiable in a neighborhood of ${\mu}$ with $f'({\mu}){\neq}0$.

Conceptual Design for Lifetime Test System for LED Headlamps on Rolling Stock (철도차량용 LED전조등의 수명시험 장치 구축을 위한 개념설계)

  • Ohn, Jung-Ghun;Jeong, Ki-Seok;Chung, Jong-Duk
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.111-116
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    • 2015
  • LED luminaires as a lighting system have attracted much research attention due to their high efficiency and long lifetimes. However, disappointing outcomes have been noted in terms of performance levels and lifetimes as compared to desired system requirements in practice due to certain electrical and thermal characteristics of LEDs. LM-80 and TM-21 established by IESNA are the best known standards for lifetime test procedures and estimation techniques. However, they only handle LED light sources without guaranteeing the LED luminaire in a reliability test. They also operate for more than 6,000 hours and undergo various stresses, such as the operating current and temperature. Therefore, a lifetime standard for LED luminaires has not yet been established. This paper proposes a conceptual design of a lifetime test system for LED headlamps depending on the operating environment. Eventually, this method can assist with evaluations of the validity of lifetime standard tests of LED headlamps.

Cepstral Feature Normalization Methods Using Pole Filtering and Scale Normalization for Robust Speech Recognition (강인한 음성인식을 위한 극점 필터링 및 스케일 정규화를 이용한 켑스트럼 특징 정규화 방식)

  • Choi, Bo Kyeong;Ban, Sung Min;Kim, Hyung Soon
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.316-320
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, the pole filtering concept is applied to the Mel-frequency cepstral coefficient (MFCC) feature vectors in the conventional cepstral mean normalization (CMN) and cepstral mean and variance normalization (CMVN) frameworks. Additionally, performance of the cepstral mean and scale normalization (CMSN), which uses scale normalization instead of variance normalization, is evaluated in speech recognition experiments in noisy environments. Because CMN and CMVN are usually performed on a per-utterance basis, in case of short utterance, they have a problem that reliable estimation of the mean and variance is not guaranteed. However, by applying the pole filtering and scale normalization techniques to the feature normalization process, this problem can be relieved. Experimental results using Aurora 2 database (DB) show that feature normalization method combining the pole-filtering and scale normalization yields the best improvements.

The Accuracy Analysis of Design Profile Generation using 3D Digital Terrain Model (3D DTM을 이용한 설계용 프로파일 생성 정확도 분석)

  • Um, Dae-Yong;Lee, Eun-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.583-590
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    • 2008
  • In construction work's design process, we must carry out a topographical survey for construction reserved land and to the basis of this, production of profile is indispensable factor for the purpose of every construction work such as road, rail way, canal and etc. From this research, the production of profile about construction reserved land, using topographical information of digital topographical map produced by NGIS project, construct precision 3D terrain model and from this, propose plans for utilizing by producing automatic profile. With the aim of this, extract every layers of main facilities and altitude from digital topographical map and while producing 3D terrain model by using this, we product automatic profile from precision 3D terrain model. And we was carried out to check whether the automatic produced profile's accuracy could be accepted at actual estimation by mutual analysis. It is considered that the result of the research could be suggested as a new techniques concept which can reduce the designing period and expenses and increase the efficiency of affair in the design process for the construction.