• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimation factor

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A Study on Real-time State Estimation for Smart Microgrids (스마트 마이크로그리드 실시간 상태 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Bae, Jun-Hyung;Lee, Sang-Woo;Park, Tae-Joon;Lee, Dong-Ha;Kang, Jin-Kyu
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2012.03a
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    • pp.419-424
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    • 2012
  • This paper discusses the state-of-the-art techniques in real-time state estimation for the Smart Microgrids. The most popular method used in traditional power system state estimation is a Weighted Least Square(WLS) algorithm which is based on Maximum Likelihood(ML) estimation under the assumption of static system state being a set of deterministic variables. In this paper, we present a survey of dynamic state estimation techniques for Smart Microgrids based on Belief Propagation (BP) when the system state is a set of stochastic variables. The measurements are often too sparse to fulfill the system observability in the distribution network of microgrids. The BP algorithm calculates posterior distributions of the state variables for real-time sparse measurements. Smart Microgrids are modeled as a factor graph suitable for characterizing the linear correlations among the state variables. The state estimator performs the BP algorithm on the factor graph based the stochastic model. The factor graph model can integrate new models for solar and wind correlation. It provides the Smart Microgrids with a way of integrating the distributed renewable energy generation. Our study on Smart Microgrid state estimation can be extended to the estimation of unbalanced three phase distribution systems as well as the optimal placement of smart meters.

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Time Variant Parameter Estimation using RLS Algorithm with Adaptive Forgetting Factor Based on Newton-Raphson Method (Newton-Raphson법 기반의 적응 망각율을 갖는 RLS 알고리즘에 의한 원격센서시스템의 시변파라메타 추정)

  • Kim, Kyung-Yup;Lee, Joon-Tark
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2007.04a
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    • pp.435-439
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    • 2007
  • This paper deals with RLS algorithm using Newton-Raphson method based adaptive forgetting factor for a passive telemetry RF sensor system in order to estimate the time variant parameter to be included in RF sensor model. For this estimation with RLS algorithm, phasor typed RF sensor system modelled with inductive coupling principle is used. Instead of applying constant forgetting factor to estimate time variant parameter, the adaptive forgetting factor based on Newton-Raphson method is applied to RLS algorithm without constant forgetting factor to be determined intuitively. Finally, we provide numerical examples to evaluate the feasibility and generality of the proposed method in this paper.

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Probabilistic Estimation of Thermal Fatigue Performance of Three-Way Catalyst Substrate (삼원 촉매 담체의 확률론적 열피로 성능 평가)

  • Cho, Seok-Swoo
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.38 no.6
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    • pp.669-676
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    • 2014
  • A three-way catalyst substrate for domestic passenger car satisfies the design criteria for exhaust gas exchange and pressure drop but does not have satisfactory thermal fatigue performance. Prefracture faults in this three-way catalyst substrate has often been discovered in vehicle repair or vehicle inspection facilities. This paper presents a thermal fatigue performance estimation method for a three-way catalyst substrate using a probabilistic strength reduction factor model. This method is superior to the thermal fatigue performance estimation method for a three-way catalyst substrate that uses a deterministic strength model.

Impulsive sound localization using crest factor of the time-domain beamformer output (빔형성기 출력의 파고율을 이용한 충격음의 방향 추정)

  • Seo, Dae-Hoon;Choi, Jung-Woo;Kim, Yang-Hann
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2014.10a
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    • pp.713-717
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    • 2014
  • This paper presents a beamforming technique for locating impulsive sound source. The conventional frequency-domain beamformer is advantageous for localizing noise sources for a certain frequency band of concern, but the existence of many frequency components in the wide-band spectrum of impulsive noise makes the beamforming image less clear. In contrast to a frequency-domain beamformer, it has been reported that a time-domain beamformer can be better suited for transient signals. Although both frequency- and time-domain beamformers produce the same result for the beamforming power, which is defined as the RMS value of its output, we can use alternative directional estimators such as the peak value and crest factor to enhance the performance of a time-domain beamformer. In this study, the performance of three different directional estimators, the peak, crest factor and RMS output values, are investigated and compared with the incoherent interfering noise embedded in multiple microphone signals. The proposed formula is verified via experiments in an anechoic chamber using a uniformly spaced linear array. The results show that the peak estimation of beamformer output determines the location with better spatial resolution and a lower side lobe level than crest factor and RMS estimation in noise free condition, but it is possible to accurately estimate the direction of the impulsive sound source using crest factor estimation in noisy environment with stationary interfering noise.

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The Evaluation Model for Natural Resource Conservation Areas - Focused on Site Selection for the National Trust - (자연자원 보전지역의 평가모형 - 내셔널 트러스트 후보지 선정을 중심으로 -)

  • 유주한;정성관
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.39-49
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    • 2002
  • The purpose of this study is to propose an objective and rational methodology for the selection of proposed sites far the National Trust(NT), which is the new alterative proposal far the conservation of natural environments destroyed by injudicious land development and economic growth. That is to enforce many analysis for the effective estimation of rare ecological and landscape resources and to propose a model based on estimation and united indicators. Using the estimative model, we apply it to the selection of the proposed site in micro scale and simultaneously offer the basic methodology of effective and systematic land conservation in macro scale. The results of this study are as follows: 1) The results of analysis for the reliability of estimative items and indicators, presented no problem in that the coefficient of reliability was over 0.7. 2) The correlation measure of the estimative indicator indicated that 'succession'and 'regenerating restorability' were highly correlative in the item of plants. Another three items showed a tendency to be alike. 3) The results of factor analysis on the characteristics of indicators, classified plants into four categories including a stable factor. The item of animals was classified as a stable and rare factor. The item of landscape was classified as a physical and mental factor and the environment as a pollutional and conditional factor. 4) The model of estimation created through factor analysis was valid for the approval of the regression model because significant probability was 0.00. When we consider the NT proposed site as a complex body that is composed of diverse natural and manmade resources, certainly the synthetic methodology of estimation is needed. If these studies are carried out, NT sites will be selected more rationally and effectively than at present. Consequently, they have the potential to play a core role of natural ecosystem conservation in Korea.

Strength Estimation of Injection Molded Plastic Stepped Spur Gear (사출 성형 플라스틱 단붙이 기어의 강도평가)

  • 정태형;문창기;하영욱
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.92-97
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    • 2004
  • The aim of this study is to estimate the strength of injection molded plastic stepped gear. We considered stepped gear as plate model which are fixed by two edges. While, on the other sides are free. Normal gear is calculated by Lewis formula which can be derived quite simply from the equation for the stress at the root of a cantilever beam. Stress ratio(step factor) is represented for the ratio of the bending stress of normal and the bending stress of stepped gear, and it is plotted by face width factor. This study is propose the step factor added in Dupont equation which are strength estimation of step gear

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Real-Time Haptic Rendering for Multi-contact Interaction with Virtual Environment (가상현실을 위한 다중 접촉 실시간 햅틱 랜더링)

  • Lee, Kyung-No;Lee, Doo-Yong
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.14 no.7
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    • pp.663-671
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents a real-time haptic rendering method for multi-contact interaction with virtual environments. Haptic systems often employ physics-based deformation models such as finite-element models and mass-spring models which demand heavy computational overhead. The haptic system can be designed to have two sampling times, T and JT, for the haptic loop and the graphic loop, respectively. A multi-rate output-estimation with an exponential forgetting factor is proposed to implement real-time haptic rendering for the haptic systems with two sampling rates. The computational burden of the output-estimation increases rapidly as the number of contact points increases. To reduce the computation of the estimation, the multi-rate output-estimation with reduced parameters is developed in this paper. Performance of the new output-estimation with reduced parameters is compared with the original output-estimation with full parameters and an exponential forgetting factor. Estimated outputs are computed from the estimated input-output model at a high rate, and trace the analytical outputs computed from the deformation model. The performance is demonstrated by simulation with a linear tensor-mass model.

A Case Study on Suitability Analysis of Solid Waste Landfill Site utilizing GIS (GIS를 활용한 폐기물 매립지의 적지분석 사례연구)

  • Lee, Jin-Duk;Yeon, Sang-Ho;Kim, Sung-Gil
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.33-49
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    • 2000
  • This research demonstrates the application of GIS to the selection of the waste landfill site through the case study of a urban area. The estimation factors for the suitability analysis of the waste landfill site were determined. The database was built through collection, input, and transformation of data. The recent land cover classification data and NDVI data which were obtained through processing of satellite imagery were incorporated into GIS data as estimation factors. The relative weights of importance among 2nd category estimation factors were determined by the pairwise comparison method. Also relative weights of 1st category estimation factors which are divided into the social-economical factor and the natural environmental factor were combined with those of 2nd category estimation factors. As the results of this case study, the suitability analysis was conducted in accordance with various estimation criteria. The highest suitability index was obtained in the case where we considered the relative weights of 2nd category estimation factors as different in the viewpoint which regards the social economical factor as important.

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A Study of the Bituminous Coal Oxidation Factor in Large Scale Boilers for Estimating GHG Emissions

  • Lee, See-Hyung;Kim, Jin-Su;Lee, Jeong-Woo;Lee, Seung-Hee;Lee, Seong-Ho;Jeon, Eui-Chan
    • Asian Journal of Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.189-195
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    • 2011
  • Korea-specific GHG emissions should be estimated correctly in order to ensure effective measurement of climate change variables. The use of country-specific data that reflects fuel and technology characteristics is needed for accurate GHG emissions estimation. Oxidation factors are used to convert existing data into equivalent GHG emissions, and changes in these oxidation factors are directly related to changes in emissions. As such, the oxidation factor is one of the most important variables in using country-specific data to determine GHG emissions. In this study, the oxidation factor of bituminous coal in large scale boilers was estimated using 4,527 data points sampled from eight large-scale boilers that had been using bituminous coal for two years. The average oxidation factor was determined to be 0.997, which is lower than the oxidation factor of 1 that is recommended by the IPCC G/L for large scale boilers when estimating national GHG emissions. However, an oxidation factor less than 1 is assumed for fluidized bed boilers, internal combustion engines, and other small-scale boilers. Accordingly, studies on oxidation factor estimation should be continued to allow for accurate estimation of GHG emissions.

Estimation of Failure Rate and Acceleration Factor in Accelerated Life Testing under Type-I Censoring (정시중단 가속수명시험에서 고장률과 가속계수의 추정)

  • Kong, Myung Bock;Park, Il Gwang
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.145-149
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    • 2003
  • We consider the estimation of failure rate and acceleration factor under type-I censoring without using acceleration model when testing is conducted in only one highly accelerated condition. Failure times of an item are assumed to be exponentially distributed. It is also assumed that the uncertainty about the acceleration factor, the failure time contraction ratio between accelerated condition and use condition, can be modeled by the uniform or gamma prior distribution of appropriate parameters. We respectively use Bayes and maximum likelihood approaches to estimate acceleration factor and failure rate in the use condition. An example is given to show how the method can be applied.