• 제목/요약/키워드: Estimation factor

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Bayes tests of independence for contingency tables from small areas

  • Jo, Aejung;Kim, Dal Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.207-215
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    • 2017
  • In this paper we study pooling effects in Bayesian testing procedures of independence for contingency tables from small areas. In small area estimation setup, we typically use a hierarchical Bayesian model for borrowing strength across small areas. This techniques of borrowing strength in small area estimation is used to construct a Bayes test of independence for contingency tables from small areas. In specific, we consider the methods of direct or indirect pooling in multinomial models through Dirichlet priors. We use the Bayes factor (or equivalently the ratio of the marginal likelihoods) to construct the Bayes test, and the marginal density is obtained by integrating the joint density function over all parameters. The Bayes test is computed by performing a Monte Carlo integration based on the method proposed by Nandram and Kim (2002).

A Study on the Fatigue Life Estimation Using Butt Weld Bead Profiles (용접 비드 형상을 이용한 용접 시편의 피로수명 예측 연구)

  • 김재훈;구병춘
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.125-129
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    • 2004
  • This study investigates the fatigue lift estimation of butt weld specimen for the railway vehicle by examining butt weld bead profiles. The butt weld beads, which are welded by semi-robot method, have non-uniform bead profiles described by $\theta$, p and h. The stress concentration factors, K$\_$t/, are changed by different $\theta$, p and h from 1.395 to 2.863. Hence, the sensitivity of K$\_$k/ is changed by each $\theta$, p and h. As $\theta$ becomes lower and p and h become higher, K$\_$t/ increases. The fatigue life can be estimated very closely for the AAY specimens without residual stress using only butt weld bead profiles. But, for the AAN specimens with residual stress, the fatigue life must be estimated by considering both the weld bead profiles and the residual stress data.

Suggestions for the Estimation of the Methane Emission from a Landfill Site

  • Lee, Kyungho;Jeon, Eunjeong;Lee, Youngmin;Park, Junghyun
    • Journal of Urban Science
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.69-73
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    • 2020
  • Sudokwon landfill("Sudokwon" means regions of Seoul, Kyunggi and Incheon metropolitan cities in Korea), the world's largest sanitary landfill, has been systematically managing statistics on the incoming and dumping wastes and satisfactorily controlling pollutants including leachate and LFG. According to our long time experience of LFG field monitoring, the emission of GHG from landfill estimated by the IPCC Guideline showed much difference with our results. C&D waste has high concentration of sulfate compared to other wastes. Increased C&D waste of dumping waste had changed the COD/sulfate ratio in the landfill, which caused the increase of H2S gas and the decrease of CH4 gas. But the IPCC estimation method does not consider the effects of sulfate. In addition to that, the oxidation factor of the cover soil is set to the default values of 0.1 but the measured values by the field monitoring, are showing much higher than that, especially in the closed landfill.

Online Load Estimation Method of High Frequency Induction Heat System (고주파 유도가열 장치의 실시간 부하예측 기법에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Tae-Joon;Kim, Tae-Won;Lee, Seung-Hee;Lee, Jin-Hee;Han, Mu-Ho;Lee, Hwang-Ha
    • Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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    • 전력전자학회 2010년도 하계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.123-124
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    • 2010
  • 본 논문은 고주파 유도가열 장치의 실시간 부하 예측 기법을 제안한다. 인버터 출력전압과 콘덴서 양단전압을 센싱하여 adaptive parameter estimation 기법을 이용하여 피가열체인 부하의 등가저항과 인덕턴스를 구한다. 제안된 방법을 이용하여 부하 발열량과 콘덴서 뱅크의 Q factor를 실시간 예측할 수 있다. 콘덴서 뱅크의 Q factor를 통해 부하 부담률을 알 수 있으므로 뱅크의 파손 등의 사고를 미연에 방지 할 수 있게 한다. 본 논문에서 제안한 알고리즘의 타당성을 시뮬레이션을 통해 확인하였고 모의실험장치에 적용하여 실험을 통해 검증하였다.

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The Success requirement of implementing Medicare's SGR in Korea (Medicare의 SGR을 우리나라에 도입하기 위한 전제)

  • 오동일
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • 제3권3호
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    • pp.221-226
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    • 2002
  • The SGR system which is the basis for setting Medicare conversion factor updates was enacted since 1992. The SGR sets a target rate of spending growth based on factors influencing medical costs. In our situation of Fee Contracts in Korea, there exist much conflicts with SGR. This article seeks how we can implement the SGR system successfully in Korea. The major points are estimation of real economic parameters, adjustment of prior estimation, consideration of important factors influencing medical costs.

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Biased SNR Estimation using Pilot and Data Symbols in BPSK and QPSK Systems

  • Park, Chee-Hyun;Hong, Kwang-Seok;Nam, Sang-Won;Chang, Joon-Hyuk
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • 제16권6호
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    • pp.583-591
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    • 2014
  • In wireless communications, knowledge of the signal-to-noise ratio is required in diverse communication applications. In this paper, we derive the variance of the maximum likelihood estimator in the data-aided and non-data-aided schemes for determining the optimal shrinkage factor. The shrinkage factor is usually the constant that is multiplied by the unbiased estimate and it increases the bias slightly while considerably decreasing the variance so that the overall mean squared error decreases. The closed-form biased estimators for binary-phase-shift-keying and quadrature phase-shift-keying systems are then obtained. Simulation results show that the mean squared error of the proposed method is lower than that of the maximum likelihood method for low and moderate signal-to-noise ratio conditions.

The Camparative study of NHPP Extreme Value Distribution Software Reliability Model from the Perspective of Learning Effects (NHPP 극값 분포 소프트웨어 신뢰모형에 대한 학습효과 기법 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Hee Cheul
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2011
  • In this study, software products developed in the course of testing, software managers in the process of testing software test and test tools for effective learning effects perspective has been studied using the NHPP software. The finite failure non-homogeneous Poisson process models presented and the life distribution applied extreme distribution which used to find the minimum (or the maximum) of a number of samples of various distributions. Software error detection techniques known in advance, but influencing factors for considering the errors found automatically and learning factors, by prior experience, to find precisely the error factor setting up the testing manager are presented comparing the problem. As a result, the learning factor is greater than automatic error that is generally efficient model could be confirmed. This paper, a numerical example of applying using time between failures and parameter estimation using maximum likelihood estimation method, after the efficiency of the data through trend analysis model selection were efficient using the mean square error.

Transmission Line Fault Location Algorithm Using Estimated Local Source Impedance (자기단 전원임피던스 추정을 이용한 송전선 고장점표정 알고리즘)

  • Kwon, Young-Jin;Kim, Su-Hwan;Kang, Sang-Hee
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • 제58권5호
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    • pp.885-890
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    • 2009
  • A fault location algorithm using estimated local source impedance after a fault is proposed in this paper. The method uses after fault data only at the local end. It uses the negative sequence current distribution factor for more accurate estimation. The proposed algorithm can keep up with the variation of the local source impedance. Therefore, the proposed algorithm especially is valid for a transmission line interconnected to a wind farm that the equivalent source impedance changes continuously. The performance of the proposed algorithm was verified under various fault conditions using the Simpowersystem of MATLAB Simulink. The proposed algorithm is largely insensitive to the variation in fault distance and fault resistance. The test results show a very high accurate performance.

Linear Measurement Error Variance Estimation based on the Complex Sample Survey Data

  • Heo, Sunyeong;Chang, Duk-Joon
    • Journal of Integrative Natural Science
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    • 제5권3호
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    • pp.157-162
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    • 2012
  • Measurement error is one of main source of error in survey. It is generally defined as the difference between an observed value and an underlying true value. An observed value with error may be expressed as a function of the true value plus error term. In some cases, the measurement error variance may be also a function of the unknown true value. The error variance function can be rewritten as a function of true value multiplied by a scale factor. This research explore methods for estimation of the measurement error variance based on the data from complex sampling design. We consider the case in which the variance of mesurement error is a linear function of unknown true value, and the error variance scale factor is small. We applied our results to the U.S. Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (the U.S. NHANES III) data for empirical analyses, which has replicate measurements for relatively small subset of initial respondents's group.

Inference for exponentiated Weibull distribution under constant stress partially accelerated life tests with multiple censored

  • Nassr, Said G.;Elharoun, Neema M.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.131-148
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    • 2019
  • Constant stress partially accelerated life tests are studied according to exponentiated Weibull distribution. Grounded on multiple censoring, the maximum likelihood estimators are determined in connection with unknown distribution parameters and accelerated factor. The confidence intervals of the unknown parameters and acceleration factor are constructed for large sample size. However, it is not possible to obtain the Bayes estimates in plain form, so we apply a Markov chain Monte Carlo method to deal with this issue, which permits us to create a credible interval of the associated parameters. Finally, based on constant stress partially accelerated life tests scheme with exponentiated Weibull distribution under multiple censoring, the illustrative example and the simulation results are used to investigate the maximum likelihood, and Bayesian estimates of the unknown parameters.