• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimation factor

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Optimized pricing based on proper estimation of rating factor distribution (요율 요소 분포 추정을 통한 가격 최적화 방안 연구)

  • Kim, Yeong-Hwa;Jeon, Chul-Hee
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.987-998
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    • 2016
  • Auto insurance is an insurance product that requires the proper application of pricing techniques due to intense market competition and the rate regulations of financial authorities. Especially, population change according to aging and rating faction segmentation mainly affect the pricing process. This study suggests a pricing optimization methodology through the proper estimation of age factors. To properly estimate the future distribution of age factor, age change, renewal and conversion of customers are considered as main effects for the optimization of estimation and application. The properness and effectiveness for the suggested method will be proved by a comparison of results applied (one for current distribution and the other for future distribution) at the off-balance process. This study suggests an appropriate risk estimation methodology based on optimization that uses the proper estimation of future distribution to protect from the over or under estimation of risk.

Development of the Driving path Estimation Algorithm for Adaptive Cruise Control System and Advanced Emergency Braking System Using Multi-sensor Fusion (ACC/AEBS 시스템용 센서퓨전을 통한 주행경로 추정 알고리즘)

  • Lee, Dongwoo;Yi, Kyongsu;Lee, Jaewan
    • Journal of Auto-vehicle Safety Association
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.28-33
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    • 2011
  • This paper presents driving path estimation algorithm for adaptive cruise control system and advanced emergency braking system using multi-sensor fusion. Through data collection, yaw rate filtering based road curvature and vision sensor road curvature characteristics are analyzed. Yaw rate filtering based road curvature and vision sensor road curvature are fused into the one curvature by weighting factor which are considering characteristics of each curvature data. The proposed driving path estimation algorithm has been investigated via simulation performed on a vehicle package Carsim and Matlab/Simulink. It has been shown via simulation that the proposed driving path estimation algorithm improves primary target detection rate.

IMPERVIOUS SURFACE ESTIMATION USING REMOTE SENSING IMAGES AND TREE REGRESSIOIN

  • Kim, Soo-Young;Kim, Jong-Hong;Heo, Joon;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • v.1
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    • pp.239-242
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    • 2006
  • Impervious surface is an important index for the estimation of urbanization and environmental change. In addition, impervious surface has an influence on the parameters of rainfall-runoff model during rainy season. The increase of impervious surface causes peak discharge increasing and fast concentration time in urban area. Accordingly, impervious surface estimation is an important factor of urban rainfall-runoff model development and calibration. In this study, impervious surface estimation is performed by using remote sensing images such as landsat-7 ETM+ and high resolution satellite image and regression tree algorithm based on case study area ? Jungnang-cheon basin in Korea.

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Influences of Energy Production Estimation Errors on Project Feasibility Indicators of a Wind Project and Critical Factor Analysis by AHP (풍력발전사업 에너지생산량 산정 오차가 사업성지표에 미치는 영향 및 AHP를 이용한 중요인자 분석)

  • Kim, Youngkyung;Chang, Byungman
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2013
  • Case studies are made to investigate the relationship between the accuracy of energy production estimation and project feasibility indicators such as rate of return on equity (ROE) and debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) for three wind farm projects. It is found out that 1% improvement in the accuracy of energy production estimation may enhance the ROE by more than 0.5% in the case of P95, thanks to improved financing terms. AHP survey shows that MCP correlation of measured in situ wind data with long term wind speed distribution and hands-on experiences of flow analysis are more important than other factors for more precise annual energy production estimation.

Effects of Covariance Modeling on Estimation Accuracy in an IMU-based Attitude Estimation Kalman Filter (IMU 기반 자세 추정 칼만필터에서 공분산 모델링이 추정 정확도에 미치는 영향)

  • Choi, Ji Seok;Lee, Jung Keun
    • Journal of Sensor Science and Technology
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.440-446
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    • 2020
  • A well-known difficulty in attitude estimation based on inertial measurement unit (IMU) signals is the occurrence of external acceleration under dynamic motion conditions, as the acceleration significantly degrades the estimation accuracy. Lee et al. (2012) designed a Kalman filter (KF) that could effectively deal with the acceleration issue. Ahmed and Tahir (2017) modified this method by adjusting the acceleration-related covariance matrix because they considered covariance modeling as a pivotal factor in the estimation accuracy. This study investigates the effects of covariance modeling on estimation accuracy in an IMU-based attitude estimation KF. The method proposed by Ahmed and Tahir can be divided into two: one uses the covariance including only diagonal components and the other uses the covariance including both diagonal and off-diagonal components. This paper compares these three methods with respect to the motion condition and the window size, which is required for the methods by Ahmed and Tahir. Experimental results showed that the method proposed by Lee et al. performed the best among the three methods under relatively slow motion conditions, whereas the modified method using the diagonal covariance with a high window size performed the best under relatively fast motion conditions.

Estimation of emission rate for railroad rolling stock sources in Busan Metropolitan City (부산광역시에서 철도차량 배출원에 의한 오염물질 배출량 산정)

  • 이화운;김유근;김희만;박종길;장난심;이희령
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.407-415
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    • 2001
  • A case of air pollution study of estimation of emission rate for source to railroad rolling stock and emissive character about is unusual. Recent emission rate of railroad rolling stock was estimated with emission factor of EPA in three region(Seoul, Incheon, and Gyeonggido). But this EPA factor could be incorrect because Korea and America have a different railroad environment in the variety of fuel and character of railroad rolling stock In this study, emission rate of each line, car and region(district) with omission factor of Korean case(National Railroad Administration, 1997) was estimated. In Busan Metropolitan City, railroad rolling stocks were divided accoding to, each line, car and service. Particularly, the Idle fuel rate omitted in the preceding study was included in calculation fuel rate. Total emission rate of Busan Metropolitan City was 887.41 t/year Each emission rates of Kyeongbu line, Donghaenambu line, Gaya line, Uam line, Bujeon line, and idle was 489.15t, 196.46t, 33.94t, 12.66t, 6.47t, and 48.75t, respectively.

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A Comparative Study on the Evaluation of Bearing Capacity for Driven Pile in Static Load Test (현장정재하시험 결과를 통한 타입말뚝 지지력 판정법 비교 연구)

  • Chun, Byung-Sik;Seo, Deok-Dong;Choi, Heon-Kil;Yoon, Hwan-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2005.03a
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    • pp.677-686
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    • 2005
  • The allowable bearing capacity of a pile, the most important factor in stability estimation, is determined by applying safety factor to the ultimate load or yield load. There are several but contradictory methods available in current design codes to estimate the allowable bearing capacity and the safety factor. This paper analyzes load-settlement curves obtained from 19 static load tests measured from 11 sites. At all tests, the load is applied until apparent failure is observed. The validity of the ultimate and yield load estimation method and load caculated from the settlement criterion is investigated through comparison with the measured data. In addition, a new procedure to estimate allowable load and safety factor is proposed. Additional data from field static load tests, such as those incorporated in this study, are needed to more reliably apply the proposed method in design practice.

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