• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimation accuracy

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Accuracy Measures of Empirical Bayes Estimator for Mean Rates

  • Jeong, Kwang-Mo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.845-852
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    • 2010
  • The outcomes of counts commonly occur in the area of disease mapping for mortality rates or disease rates. A Poisson distribution is usually assumed as a model of disease rates in conjunction with a gamma prior. The small area typically refers to a small geographical area or demographic group for which very little information is available from the sample surveys. Under this situation the model-based estimation is very popular, in which the auxiliary variables from various administrative sources are used. The empirical Bayes estimator under Poissongamma model has been considered with its accuracy measures. An accuracy measure using a bootstrap samples adjust the underestimation incurred by the posterior variance as an estimator of true mean squared error. We explain the suggested method through a practical dataset of hitters in baseball games. We also perform a Monte Carlo study to compare the accuracy measures of mean squared error.

An Improved Phase Estimation Method for AM Range Measurement System (진폭 변조 거리 측정 시스템에 적용 가능한 개선된 위상 추정 기법)

  • Kim, Dae-Joong;Oh, Taek-Hwan;Hwang, Sun-Young
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.37 no.6C
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    • pp.453-461
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    • 2012
  • This paper proposes an improved phase estimation method for AM(Amplitude Modulation) range measurement system. The previous phase estimation method induces errors by Doppler shift of a moving target. The proposed method compensates phase estimation error through the ADC(Adaptive Doppler Correction) to take the Doppler shift, thus can improve distance measurement accuracy. When compared with the previous method through simulation results, the Doppler shift compensation and accuracy are improved by 94.7% and 50%, respectively. Target distance error in an acoustic tank is estimated to be 7.7cm, which confirms that the proposed method can be used to estimate the distance in the marine environment.

Comparison of theoretical and machine learning models to estimate gamma ray source positions using plastic scintillating optical fiber detector

  • Kim, Jinhong;Kim, Seunghyeon;Song, Siwon;Park, Jae Hyung;Kim, Jin Ho;Lim, Taeseob;Pyeon, Cheol Ho;Lee, Bongsoo
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.10
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    • pp.3431-3437
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    • 2021
  • In this study, one-dimensional gamma ray source positions are estimated using a plastic scintillating optical fiber, two photon counters and via data processing with a machine learning algorithm. A nonlinear regression algorithm is used to construct a machine learning model for the position estimation of radioactive sources. The position estimation results of radioactive sources using machine learning are compared with the theoretical position estimation results based on the same measured data. Various tests at the source positions are conducted to determine the improvement in the accuracy of source position estimation. In addition, an evaluation is performed to compare the change in accuracy when varying the number of training datasets. The proposed one-dimensional gamma ray source position estimation system with plastic scintillating fiber using machine learning algorithm can be used as radioactive leakage scanners at disposal sites.

A Study on the Design of Correction Filter for High-Speed Guided Missile Firing from Warship after Transfer Alignment (전달정렬 함상 발사 고속 유도무기의 보정필터 설계에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Cheon-Joong;Lee, In-Seop;Oh, Ju-Hyun;Yu, Hae-Sung;Park, Heung-Won
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.68 no.1
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    • pp.108-121
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    • 2019
  • This paper presents the study results on the design of the correction filter to improve the azimuth error estimation of the high-speed guided missile launched from the warship after the transfer alignment. We theoretically proved that the transfer alignment performance is determined by the accuracy of the marine inertial navigation system and the observability of the attitude error state variable in the transfer alignment filter, and that most of navigation errors in high-speed guided missile are caused by azimuth error. In order to improve the azimuth estimation performance of the correction filter, the multiple adaptive estimation method and the adaptive filters adapting the measurement noise covariance or the process noise covariance are proposed. The azimuth estimation performance of the proposed adaptive filter and the existing Kalman filter are compared and analyzed each other for 8 different transfer alignment accuracy cases. As a result of comparison and analysis, it was confirmed that the adaptive filter adapting the process noise covariance has the best azimuth estimation performance. These results can be applied to the design of correction filters for high-speed guided missile.

Feasibility study of using triple-energy CT images for improving stopping power estimation

  • Yejin Kim;Jin Sung Kim ;Seungryong Cho
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.55 no.4
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    • pp.1342-1349
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    • 2023
  • The planning accuracy of charged particle therapy (CPT) is subject to the accuracy of stopping power (SP) estimation. In this study, we propose a method of deriving a pseudo-triple-energy CT (pTECT) that can be achievable in the existing dual-energy CT (DECT) systems for better SP estimation. In order to remove the direct effect of errors in CT values, relative CT values according to three scanning voltage settings were used. CT values of each tissue substitute phantom were measured to show the non-linearity of the values thereby suggesting the absolute difference and ratio of CT values as parameters for SP estimation. Electron density, effective atomic number (EAN), mean excitation energy and SP were calculated based on these parameters. Two of conventional methods were implemented and compared to the proposed pTECT method in terms of residuals, absolute error and root-mean-square-error (RMSE). The proposed method outperformed the comparison methods in every evaluation metrics. Especially, the estimation error for EAN and mean excitation using pTECT were converging to zero. In this proof-of-concept study, we showed the feasibility of using three CT values for accurate SP estimation. Our suggested pTECT method indicates potential clinical utility of spectral CT imaging for CPT planning.

A Computer Program for Weibull Parameter Estimation (와이블분포(分布) 모수추정(母數推定)의 컴퓨터 프로그램)

  • Eom, Tae-Won;Jeong, Su-Il
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.51-60
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    • 1981
  • This paper deals with the estimation of the Weibull parameters, which have a close relation with product reliability characteristics. Among the many kinds of estimation methods, Ishikawa's Weibull Probability Paper (WPP) is commonly used. The WPP is very convenient, but it has a great disadvantage in estimation accuracy by plotting method. It is very difficult to get the same results even if one use the same data several times. A computer program for the regression method is used for the parameter estimation to reduce these errors.

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Mobile Location Estimation for WCDMA System (WCDMA 시스템에서의 이동체 위치 추정 방안)

  • Lee, Jong-Chan;Lee, Moon-Ho
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2007
  • In the microcell- or picocell-based system the frequent movements of the mobile bring about excessive traffics into the networks. A mobile location estimation mechanism can facilitate both efficient resource allocation and better QoS provisioning through handoff optimization. Existing location estimation schemes consider only LOS model and have poor performance in presence of multi-path and shadowing. In this paper we study a novel scheme which can increase estimation accuracy by considering NLOS environment and other multiple decision parameters than the received signal strength.

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A Decorrelation Technique for Direction-of-Arrival Estimation of Coherent Signals (Coherent 신호의 입사방향 추정을 위한 상관관계 제거 기법)

  • Park, Geun-Ho;Shin, Jong-Woo;Kim, Hyoung-Nam
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics and Information Engineers
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    • v.53 no.8
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    • pp.95-104
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    • 2016
  • Subspace-based direction-of-arrival (DOA) estimation algorithms have a difficulty in dealing with coherent signals caused by multi-path environment. As one of attempts to solve this problem, a spatial differencing method is known to be useful for not only estimating DOAs of the coherent signals but also improving the number of resolvable wavefronts even more than the number of antenna elements. However, since the conventional spatial differencing method uses only the partial statistics of the observed data, this method suffers from the performance degradation in estimation accuracy caused by the residual correlation between the uncorrelated signals. To cope with this problem, in this paper, a generalized spatial differencing method is proposed. Unlike the conventional method, the proposed method utilizes the entire statistics of the received signals. Therefore, the additional performance enhancement in both estimation accuracy and the number of resolvable wavefronts can be achieved. The performance analyses with computer simulations show that the proposed method outperforms the conventional method in terms of the estimation accuracy and the number of resolvable wavefronts.

Comparisons of Imputation Methods for Wave Nonresponse in Panel Surveys (패널조사 웨이브 무응답의 대체방법 비교)

  • Kim, Kyu-Seong;Park, In-Ho
    • Survey Research
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2010
  • We compare various imputation methods for compensating wave nonresponse that are commonly adopted in many panel surveys. Unlike the cross-sectional survey, the panel survey is involved a time-effect in nonresponse in a sense that nonresponse may happen for some but not all waves. Thus, responses in neighboring waves can be used as powerful predictors for imputing wave nonresponse such as in longitudinal regression imputation, carry-over imputation, nearest neighborhood regression imputation and row-column imputation method. For comparison, we carry out a simulation study on a few income data from the Korean Welfare Panel Study based on two performance criteria: predictive accuracy and estimation accuracy. Our simulation shows that the ratio and row-column imputation methods are much more effective in terms of both criteria. Regression, longitudinal regression and carry-over imputation methods performed better in predictive accuracy, but less in estimation accuracy. On the other hand, nearest neighborhood, nearest neighbor regression and hot-deck imputation show higher performance in estimation accuracy but lower predictive accuracy. Finally, the mean imputation shows much lower performance in both criteria.

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