• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimation Models

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Discriminant Analysis of Binary Data with Multinomial Distribution by Using the Iterative Cross Entropy Minimization Estimation

  • Lee Jung Jin
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.125-137
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    • 2005
  • Many discriminant analysis models for binary data have been used in real applications, but none of the classification models dominates in all varying circumstances(Asparoukhov & Krzanowski(2001)). Lee and Hwang (2003) proposed a new classification model by using multinomial distribution with the maximum entropy estimation method. The model showed some promising results in case of small number of variables, but its performance was not satisfactory for large number of variables. This paper explores to use the iterative cross entropy minimization estimation method in replace of the maximum entropy estimation. Simulation experiments show that this method can compete with other well known existing classification models.

Estimation of the joint conditional distribution for repeatedly measured bivariate cholesterol data using nonparametric copula (비모수적 코플라를 이용한 반복측정 이변량 자료의 조건부 결합 분포 추정)

  • Kwak, Minjung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.689-700
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    • 2016
  • We study estimation and inference of the joint conditional distributions of bivariate longitudinal outcomes using regression models and copulas. For the estimation of marginal models we consider a class of time-varying transformation models and combine the two marginal models using nonparametric empirical copulas. Regression parameters in the transformation model can be obtained as the solution of estimating equations and our models and estimation method can be applied in many situations where the conditional mean-based models are not good enough. Nonparametric copulas combined with time-varying transformation models may allow quite flexible modeling for the joint conditional distributions for bivariate longitudinal data. We apply our method to an epidemiological study of repeatedly measured bivariate cholesterol data.

Applications of Machine Learning Models for the Estimation of Reservoir CO2 Emissions (저수지 CO2 배출량 산정을 위한 기계학습 모델의 적용)

  • Yoo, Jisu;Chung, Se-Woong;Park, Hyung-Seok
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.326-333
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    • 2017
  • The lakes and reservoirs have been reported as important sources of carbon emissions to the atmosphere in many countries. Although field experiments and theoretical investigations based on the fundamental gas exchange theory have proposed the quantitative amounts of Net Atmospheric Flux (NAF) in various climate regions, there are still large uncertainties at the global scale estimation. Mechanistic models can be used for understanding and estimating the temporal and spatial variations of the NAFs considering complicated hydrodynamic and biogeochemical processes in a reservoir, but these models require extensive and expensive datasets and model parameters. On the other hand, data driven machine learning (ML) algorithms are likely to be alternative tools to estimate the NAFs in responding to independent environmental variables. The objective of this study was to develop random forest (RF) and multi-layer artificial neural network (ANN) models for the estimation of the daily $CO_2$ NAFs in Daecheong Reservoir located in Geum River of Korea, and compare the models performance against the multiple linear regression (MLR) model that proposed in the previous study (Chung et al., 2016). As a result, the RF and ANN models showed much enhanced performance in the estimation of the high NAF values, while MLR model significantly under estimated them. Across validation with 10-fold random samplings was applied to evaluate the performance of three models, and indicated that the ANN model is best, and followed by RF and MLR models.

Error Intensity Function Models for ML Estimation of Signal Parameter, Part I : Model Derivation (신호 파라미터의 ML 추정기법에 대한 에러 밀도 함수 모델에 관한 연구 I : 모델 정립)

  • Joong Kyu Kim
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics B
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    • v.30B no.12
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 1993
  • This paper concentrates on models useful for analyzing the error performance of ML(Maximum Likelihood) estimators of a single unknown signal parameter: that is the error intensity model. We first develop the point process representation for the estimation error and the conditional distribution of the estimator as well as the distribution of error candidate point process. Then the error intensity function is defined as the probability dessity of the estimate and the general form of the error intensity function is derived. We then develop several intensity models depending on the way we choose the candidate error locations. For each case, we compute the explicit form of the intensity function and discuss the trade-off among models as well as the extendability to the case of multiple parameter estimation.

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Marginal Likelihoods for Bayesian Poisson Regression Models

  • Kim, Hyun-Joong;Balgobin Nandram;Kim, Seong-Jun;Choi, Il-Su;Ahn, Yun-Kee;Kim, Chul-Eung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.381-397
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    • 2004
  • The marginal likelihood has become an important tool for model selection in Bayesian analysis because it can be used to rank the models. We discuss the marginal likelihood for Poisson regression models that are potentially useful in small area estimation. Computation in these models is intensive and it requires an implementation of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. Using importance sampling and multivariate density estimation, we demonstrate a computation of the marginal likelihood through an output analysis from an MCMC sampler.

Benchmark for Deep Learning based Visual Odometry and Monocular Depth Estimation (딥러닝 기반 영상 주행기록계와 단안 깊이 추정 및 기술을 위한 벤치마크)

  • Choi, Hyukdoo
    • The Journal of Korea Robotics Society
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.114-121
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    • 2019
  • This paper presents a new benchmark system for visual odometry (VO) and monocular depth estimation (MDE). As deep learning has become a key technology in computer vision, many researchers are trying to apply deep learning to VO and MDE. Just a couple of years ago, they were independently studied in a supervised way, but now they are coupled and trained together in an unsupervised way. However, before designing fancy models and losses, we have to customize datasets to use them for training and testing. After training, the model has to be compared with the existing models, which is also a huge burden. The benchmark provides input dataset ready-to-use for VO and MDE research in 'tfrecords' format and output dataset that includes model checkpoints and inference results of the existing models. It also provides various tools for data formatting, training, and evaluation. In the experiments, the exsiting models were evaluated to verify their performances presented in the corresponding papers and we found that the evaluation result is inferior to the presented performances.

Assessing the impact of recombination on the estimation of isolation-with-migration models using genomic data: a simulation study

  • Yujin Chung
    • Genomics & Informatics
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.27.1-27.7
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    • 2023
  • Recombination events complicate the evolutionary history of populations and species and have a significant impact on the inference of isolation-with-migration (IM) models. However, several existing methods have been developed, assuming no recombination within a locus and free recombination between loci. In this study, we investigated the effect of recombination on the estimation of IM models using genomic data. We conducted a simulation study to evaluate the consistency of the parameter estimators with up to 1,000 loci and analyze true gene trees to examine the sources of errors in estimating the IM model parameters. The results showed that the presence of recombination led to biased estimates of the IM model parameters, with population sizes being more overestimated and migration rates being more underestimated as the number of loci increased. The magnitude of the biases tended to increase with the recombination rates when using 100 or more loci. On the other hand, the estimation of splitting times remained consistent as the number of loci increased. In the absence of recombination, the estimators of the IM model parameters remained consistent.

Quasi-Likelihood Estimation for ARCH Models

  • Kim, Sah-Myeong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.651-656
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    • 2005
  • In this paper the quasi-likelihood function was proposed and the estimators which are the solutions of the estimating equations for estimation of a class of nonlinear time series models. We compare the performances of the proposed estimators with those of the ML estimators under the heavy-railed distributions by simulation.

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Determining Optimal Aggregation Interval Size for Travel Time Estimation and Forecasting with Statistical Models (통행시간 산정 및 예측을 위한 최적 집계시간간격 결정에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Dong-Joo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.55-76
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    • 2000
  • We propose a general solution methodology for identifying the optimal aggregation interval sizes as a function of the traffic dynamics and frequency of observations for four cases : i) link travel time estimation, ii) corridor/route travel time estimation, iii) link travel time forecasting. and iv) corridor/route travel time forecasting. We first develop statistical models which define Mean Square Error (MSE) for four different cases and interpret the models from a traffic flow perspective. The emphasis is on i) the tradeoff between the Precision and bias, 2) the difference between estimation and forecasting, and 3) the implication of the correlation between links on the corridor/route travel time estimation and forecasting, We then demonstrate the Proposed models to the real-world travel time data from Houston, Texas which were collected as Part of the Automatic Vehicle Identification (AVI) system of the Houston Transtar system. The best aggregation interval sizes for the link travel time estimation and forecasting were different and the function of the traffic dynamics. For the best aggregation interval sizes for the corridor/route travel time estimation and forecasting, the covariance between links had an important effect.

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Multi-view Semi-supervised Learning-based 3D Human Pose Estimation (다시점 준지도 학습 기반 3차원 휴먼 자세 추정)

  • Kim, Do Yeop;Chang, Ju Yong
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.174-184
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    • 2022
  • 3D human pose estimation models can be classified into a multi-view model and a single-view model. In general, the multi-view model shows superior pose estimation performance compared to the single-view model. In the case of the single-view model, the improvement of the 3D pose estimation performance requires a large amount of training data. However, it is not easy to obtain annotations for training 3D pose estimation models. To address this problem, we propose a method to generate pseudo ground-truths of multi-view human pose data from a multi-view model and exploit the resultant pseudo ground-truths to train a single-view model. In addition, we propose a multi-view consistency loss function that considers the consistency of poses estimated from multi-view images, showing that the proposed loss helps the effective training of single-view models. Experiments using Human3.6M and MPI-INF-3DHP datasets show that the proposed method is effective for training single-view 3D human pose estimation models.