• 제목/요약/키워드: Estimation Models

검색결과 2,837건 처리시간 0.031초

An Analysis of Cost Driver in Software Cost Model by Neural Network System

  • Kim, Dong-Hwa
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2000년도 제15차 학술회의논문집
    • /
    • pp.377-377
    • /
    • 2000
  • Current software cost estimation models, such as the 1951 COCOMO, its 1987 Ada COCOMO update, is composed of nonlinear models, such as product attributes, computer attributes, personnel attributes, project attributes, effort-multiplier cost drivers, and have been experiencing increasing difficulties in estimating the costs of software developed to new lift cycle processes and capabilities. The COCOMO II is developed fur new forms against the current software cost estimation models. This paper provides a case-based analysis result of the cost driver in the software cost models, such as COCOMO and COCOMO 2.0 by fuzzy and neural network.

  • PDF

Mixed Linear Models with Censored Data

  • Ha, Il-do;Lee, Youngjo-;Song, Jae-Kee
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
    • /
    • 제28권2호
    • /
    • pp.211-223
    • /
    • 1999
  • We propose a simple estimation procedure in the mixed linear models with censored normal data, using both Buckly and James(1979) type pseudo random variables and Lee and Nelder's(1996) estimation procedure. The proposed method is illustrated with the matched pairs data in Pettitt(1986).

  • PDF

알루미늄 합금의 레이저 가공에서 인장 강도 예측을 위한 회귀 모델 및 신경망 모델의 개발 (Development of Statistical Model and Neural Network Model for Tensile Strength Estimation in Laser Material Processing of Aluminum Alloy)

  • 박영환;이세헌
    • 한국정밀공학회지
    • /
    • 제24권4호
    • /
    • pp.93-101
    • /
    • 2007
  • Aluminum alloy which is one of the light materials has been tried to apply to light weight vehicle body. In order to do that, welding technology is very important. In case of the aluminum laser welding, the strength of welded part is reduced due to porosity, underfill, and magnesium loss. To overcome these problems, laser welding of aluminum with filler wire was suggested. In this study, experiment about laser welding of AA5182 aluminum alloy with AA5356 filler wire was performed according to process parameters such as laser power, welding speed and wire feed rate. The tensile strength was measured to find the weldability of laser welding with filler wire. The models to estimate tensile strength were suggested using three regression models and one neural network model. For regression models, one was the multiple linear regression model, another was the second order polynomial regression model, and the other was the multiple nonlinear regression model. Neural network model with 2 hidden layers which had 5 and 3 nodes respectively was investigated to find the most suitable model for the system. Estimation performance was evaluated for each model using the average error rate. Among the three regression models, the second order polynomial regression model had the best estimation performance. For all models, neural network model has the best estimation performance.

Is the SAM phantom conservative for SAR evaluation of all phone designs?

  • Lee, Ae-Kyoung;Hong, Seon-Eui;Choi, Hyung-Do
    • ETRI Journal
    • /
    • 제41권3호
    • /
    • pp.337-347
    • /
    • 2019
  • The specific anthropomorphic mannequin (SAM) phantom was designed to provide a conservative estimation of the actual peak spatial specific absorption rate (SAR) of the electromagnetic field radiated from mobile phones. However, most researches on the SAM phantom have been based on early phone models. Therefore, we numerically analyze the SAM phantom to determine whether it is sufficiently conservative for various types of mobile phone models. The peak spatial 1- and 10-g averaged SAR values of the SAM phantom are numerically compared with those of four anatomical head models at different ages for 12 different mobile phone models (a total of 240 different configurations of mobile phones, head models, frequencies, positions, and sides of the head). The results demonstrate that the SAM phantom provides a conservative estimation of the SAR for only mobile phones with an antenna on top of the phone body and does not ensure such estimation for other types of phones, including those equipped with integrated antennas in the microphone position, which currently occupy the largest market share.

가상현실을 위한 다중 접촉 실시간 햅틱 랜더링 (Real-Time Haptic Rendering for Multi-contact Interaction with Virtual Environment)

  • 이경노;이두용
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
    • /
    • 제14권7호
    • /
    • pp.663-671
    • /
    • 2008
  • This paper presents a real-time haptic rendering method for multi-contact interaction with virtual environments. Haptic systems often employ physics-based deformation models such as finite-element models and mass-spring models which demand heavy computational overhead. The haptic system can be designed to have two sampling times, T and JT, for the haptic loop and the graphic loop, respectively. A multi-rate output-estimation with an exponential forgetting factor is proposed to implement real-time haptic rendering for the haptic systems with two sampling rates. The computational burden of the output-estimation increases rapidly as the number of contact points increases. To reduce the computation of the estimation, the multi-rate output-estimation with reduced parameters is developed in this paper. Performance of the new output-estimation with reduced parameters is compared with the original output-estimation with full parameters and an exponential forgetting factor. Estimated outputs are computed from the estimated input-output model at a high rate, and trace the analytical outputs computed from the deformation model. The performance is demonstrated by simulation with a linear tensor-mass model.

정보시스템 운영사업 비용산정 모형 개발에 대한 실증적 연구 (An Empirical Study On Information Systems Operation Cost Estimation Model)

  • 김현수
    • 한국정보처리학회논문지
    • /
    • 제7권6호
    • /
    • pp.1810-1817
    • /
    • 2000
  • The purpose of this research is to develop an estimation model for information systems operating costs. Current cost estimation practices and types of sytem management projects have been reviewed an analyses. Typical operating project types of information systems are determined. They are application system operation, help disk operation, network management and operation, and hardware management. For each type of projects, cost factors ar identified and a structure of cost estimation model is defined. Cost estimation models have been constructed and tested by 24 real operation projects data. Statistical analysis shows derived models are statistically significant. User groups' opinion on these draft cost estimation model has been surveyed and summarized. The results of this research can be used as a cornerstone for future research on operating cost estimation, and for cost estimation guideline of information systems operation projects.

  • PDF

Semi-Supervised Recursive Learning of Discriminative Mixture Models for Time-Series Classification

  • Kim, Minyoung
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
    • /
    • 제13권3호
    • /
    • pp.186-199
    • /
    • 2013
  • We pose pattern classification as a density estimation problem where we consider mixtures of generative models under partially labeled data setups. Unlike traditional approaches that estimate density everywhere in data space, we focus on the density along the decision boundary that can yield more discriminative models with superior classification performance. We extend our earlier work on the recursive estimation method for discriminative mixture models to semi-supervised learning setups where some of the data points lack class labels. Our model exploits the mixture structure in the functional gradient framework: it searches for the base mixture component model in a greedy fashion, maximizing the conditional class likelihoods for the labeled data and at the same time minimizing the uncertainty of class label prediction for unlabeled data points. The objective can be effectively imposed as individual mixture component learning on weighted data, hence our mixture learning typically becomes highly efficient for popular base generative models like Gaussians or hidden Markov models. Moreover, apart from the expectation-maximization algorithm, the proposed recursive estimation has several advantages including the lack of need for a pre-determined mixture order and robustness to the choice of initial parameters. We demonstrate the benefits of the proposed approach on a comprehensive set of evaluations consisting of diverse time-series classification problems in semi-supervised scenarios.

점과정 기법을 이용한 VaR추정의 성과 (Performance of VaR Estimation Using Point Process Approach)

  • 여성칠;문성주
    • 응용통계연구
    • /
    • 제23권3호
    • /
    • pp.471-485
    • /
    • 2010
  • 금융위험의 위험관리를 위한 도구로서 현재 VaR가 널리 이용되고 있다. VaR의 측정은 사용의 편리상 정규분포를 가정하여 이루어져 왔으나 좀 더 정확한 VaR의 산출을 위해 최근 극단치이론을 이용한 추정방법이 관심을 끌고 있다. 지금까지 극단치이론을 이용하여 VaR의 추정을 위한 확률모형에는 주로 GEV모형과 GPD모형이 사용되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 기존의 EV모형이 갖는 문제점들을 극복하고 좀 더 정확한 VaR를 측정하기위한 노력으로 PP모형을 제시하였다. PP모형은 확률과정의 관점에서 GEV모형과 GPD모형을 포괄하는 모형으로서 기존의 EV모형을 일반화시키는 모형이라고 할 수 있다. PP모형이 기존의 정규분포와 두 EV모형에 비해 VaR추정의 성과가 우수함을 실증분석을 통해 보여주었다.

Three-phase Transformer Model and Parameter Estimation for ATP

  • Cho Sung-Don
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • 제1권3호
    • /
    • pp.302-307
    • /
    • 2006
  • The purpose of this paper is to develop an improved three-phase transformer model for ATP and parameter estimation methods that can efficiently utilize the limited available information such as factory test reports. In this paper, improved topologically-correct duality-based models are developed for three-phase autotransformers having shell-form cores. The problem in the implementation of detailed models is the lack of complete and reliable data. Therefore, parameter estimation methods are developed to determine the parameters of a given model in cases where available information is incomplete. The transformer nameplate data is required and relative physical dimensions of the core are estimated. The models include a separate representation of each segment of the core, including hysteresis of the core, ${\lambda}-i$ saturation characteristic and core loss.

Reject Inference of Incomplete Data Using a Normal Mixture Model

  • Song, Ju-Won
    • 응용통계연구
    • /
    • 제24권2호
    • /
    • pp.425-433
    • /
    • 2011
  • Reject inference in credit scoring is a statistical approach to adjust for nonrandom sample bias due to rejected applicants. Function estimation approaches are based on the assumption that rejected applicants are not necessary to be included in the estimation, when the missing data mechanism is missing at random. On the other hand, the density estimation approach by using mixture models indicates that reject inference should include rejected applicants in the model. When mixture models are chosen for reject inference, it is often assumed that data follow a normal distribution. If data include missing values, an application of the normal mixture model to fully observed cases may cause another sample bias due to missing values. We extend reject inference by a multivariate normal mixture model to handle incomplete characteristic variables. A simulation study shows that inclusion of incomplete characteristic variables outperforms the function estimation approaches.