• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimation Methodology

Search Result 1,041, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

Estimation for Failure Rate of Railway Power Facility and Determination of Maintenance Priority Order using Fuzzy Theory and Expert System (퍼지이론과 전문가 시스템을 이용한 철도 전력 설비의 고장률 평가와 유지보수 우선순위의 결정)

  • Lee, Yun-Seong;Kwon, Ki-Ryang;Kim, Jin-O;Kim, Hyung-Chul
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
    • /
    • 2009.05a
    • /
    • pp.495-504
    • /
    • 2009
  • As the Reliability Centered Maintenance(RCM) is being studied, maintenance tasks can be performed effectively through the Risk Priority Number(RPN) evaluation about the components in the system. The RPN is usually calculated through arithmetical operations of three values, Severity, Occurrence, and Detection for each facility. This RPN provides information that includes risk level of the facility and the priority order of maintenance tasks for facility. However, if there is no sufficient historical failure data, it is difficult to calculate the RPN. In this case, historical failure data from other sources can be used and apply this data to korean railway system. In this paper, it is proposed that a new methodology to model the failure rate as a fuzzy membership function. This method is based on failure data from other sources by means of the fuzzy theory and the expert opinion system. And considering assessment tendency of each expert, distortions that happened when the failure rate of facilities is estimated were minimized. This results determine Occurrence values of facilities. Taking advantage of this result., the RPN can be calculated with Severity and Detection of facilities by using the fuzzy operation. The proposed method is applied the rail-way power substation.

  • PDF

Flow-based P2P Traffic Identification using SVM (SVM을 이용한 플로우 기반 P2P 트래픽 식별)

  • Um, Nam-Kyoung;Woo, Sung-Hee;Lee, Sang-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
    • /
    • v.13 no.3
    • /
    • pp.123-130
    • /
    • 2008
  • To avoid some protection systems such as firewall, P2P applications have recently used to apply dynamic port numbers. Reliable estimates of P2P traffic require examination of packet payload, a methodological land mine from legal, privacy technical, logistic, and fiscal perspectives. Indeed, access to user payload is often rendered impossible by one of these factors, inhibiting trustworthy estimation of P2P growth and dynamics. Despite various methods such as port-based and signature-based techniques, it still dose not satisfy the method which uses both qualitative and quantitative aspects. In this paper, a method using SVM mechanism which discriminate the P2P traffic from non-P2P traffics using differences between P2P and other application traffics is suggested. This is a systematic methodology to identify P2P networks, and without relying on packet payload.

  • PDF

Water Quality and Correlation Analysis Between Water Quality Parameters in the Hwaong Watershed (화옹호 유입하천의 수질현황 및 수질항목간의 상관관계)

  • Jung Kwang-Wook;Yoon Chun-Gyeong;Jang Jae-Ho;Jeon Ji-Hong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.48 no.1
    • /
    • pp.91-102
    • /
    • 2006
  • Most projects of tideland reclamation with dike construction produce estuarine reservoirs, which may result in water quality problems due to blocking of natural flow of stream water to the sea. External loadings to the reservoirs through tributaries are major concerns in a concerned water quality management. The water quality of a reservoir is greatly influenced by watershed drainage, and accurate estimation of pollutant is indispensable for in the reservoir management. Concentrations of the microorganisms in stream water and conventional parameters were monitored in the 13 water quality monitoring sites located in a rural watershed of Hwaong estuarine reservoir. The indicator of microorganisms showed strong correlation between them, and regression equations with $R^2\geq0.70$ may be used fur estimating one from other microorganisms. The relationships between water quality parameters obtained in this study may be used to infer one unknown pollutant concentrations from the measured pollutant loadings. This methodology could be applied to other areas where the watershed characteristics are not significantly different from the study area. High concentrations of nitrogen was observed in water quality monitoring sites affected by urban land uses and numbers of livestock in wet day as well as dry day, due to the influent of diffuse sources.

Risk Index of Debris Flow Damage for Hydro- and Geographic Characteristics of Debris Flow with Bayesian Method

  • Lee, JunSeon;Yang, WooJun;You, KwangHo;Kim, MunMo;Lee, Seung Oh
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
    • /
    • 2016.05a
    • /
    • pp.241-242
    • /
    • 2016
  • Recent abnormal climate change induces localized heavy rainfall and extreme disasters such as debris flow near urban area. Thus many researches have been conducted to estimate and prevent, especially in focus of physical behavior of debris flow. Even though it is hardly to consider overall related parameters to estimate the extent and degree of directly or indirectly damages due to debris flow. Those analytic restraint would be caused by the diversity and complexity of regional topographic and hydrodynamic characteristics of debris flow inside. We have utilized the Bayesian method to compensate the uncertainty due to the complex characteristics of it after analyzing the numerical results from FLO-2D and field measurement data. Revised values by field measurements will enhance the numerical results and the missing parameters during numerical simulation will be supplemented with this methodology. As a final outcome in this study, the risk index of debris flow damage will be suggested to provide quantitative estimation in terms of hazard protection including the impact on buildings, especially in inner and outer of urban area.

  • PDF

Feedback Model Updating: Application to Indeterminate Structure (궤환 모델 개선법 : 부정정 구조물에의 적용)

  • 정훈상;박영진;박윤식
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
    • /
    • 2003.05a
    • /
    • pp.59-64
    • /
    • 2003
  • The parameter modification of the initial FEM model to match it with the experimental results needs the modal information and the modal sensitivity matrix to the parameter change. There are two cases this methodology is ill-equip to deal with; the deficiency of the necessary modal information and the ill-conditioning of the sensitivity matrix. In this research, a novel concept of the feedback exciter that uses the summation of the white noise and the signals from the measurement sensors multiplied with feedback gains as the reference signal is proposed. There are 2 advantages using this external feedback excitation. First, we can use the change of the system response such as modal data by the active energy Path from the sensor to the exciter. This change of the system response can be additional clues to the system dynamics that we want to know. Secondly, the external energy Path alternates the offset of the Parameter change to the system response. That means the modal sensitivity of the parameters becomes different from the original sensitivities by the feedback excitation. Through the feedback loop, we can change the similar modal sensitivities of some updating parameters and consequently discriminate the parameters using the closed-loop modal data. To demonstrate the discrimination performance, the parameter estimation of an indeterminate structure by use of the feedback method is introduced.

  • PDF

Design of a Nonlinear Observer for Mechanical Systems with Unknown Inputs (미지 입력을 가진 기계 시스템을 위한 비선형 관측기 설계)

  • Song, Bongsob;Lee, Jimin
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
    • /
    • v.22 no.6
    • /
    • pp.411-416
    • /
    • 2016
  • This paper presents the design methodology of an unknown input observer for Lipschitz nonlinear systems with unknown inputs in the framework of convex optimization. We use an unknown input observer (UIO) to consider both nonlinearity and disturbance. By deriving a sufficient condition for exponential stability in the linear matrix inequality (LMI) form, existence of a stabilizing observer gain matrix of UIO will be assured by checking whether the quadratic stability margin of the error dynamics is greater than the Lipschitz constant or not. If quadratic stability margin is less than a Lipschitz constant, the coordinate transformation may be used to reduce the Lipschitz constant in the new coordinates. Furthermore, to reduce the maximum singular value of the observer gain matrix elements, an object function to minimize it will be optimally designed by modifying its magnitude so that amplification of sensor measurement noise is minimized via multi-objective optimization algorithm. The performance of UIO is compared to a nonlinear observer (Luenberger-like) with an application to a flexible joint robot system considering a change of load and disturbance. Finally, it is validated via simulations that the estimated angular position and velocity provide true values even in the presence of unknown inputs.

How to Measure Daytime Population in Urban Streets?: Case of Seoul Pedestrian Flow Survey (도시 거리의 주간활동인구 측정과 해석: 서울시 유동인구 조사 사례)

  • Byun, Mi-Ree;Seo, U-Seok
    • Survey Research
    • /
    • v.12 no.2
    • /
    • pp.27-50
    • /
    • 2011
  • It is increasingly important to estimate daytime population for the sake of urban administration and urban economy. The estimation of daytime population using a census data on commute, however, has its own limits, particularly when applying to the metropolis such as Seoul which is dominated by the service industry. This study suggests a pedestrian flow as another estimate of daytime population and presents a methodology of Seoul Pedestrian Flow Survey. The data of pedestrian flow gives us a view into hourly and spatial distribution of daytime population, which cannot be provided by the use of census data. In addition, comparing with a census-based daytime population on the borough level show some features of a pedestrian flow as another estimate of daytime population.

  • PDF

Estimating floor spectra in multiple degree of freedom systems

  • Calvi, Paolo M.;Sullivan, Timothy J.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
    • /
    • v.7 no.1
    • /
    • pp.17-38
    • /
    • 2014
  • As the desire for high performance buildings increases, it is increasingly evident that engineers require reliable methods for the estimation of seismic demands on both structural and non-structural components. To this extent, improved tools for the prediction of floor spectra would assist in the assessment of acceleration sensitive non-structural and secondary components. Recently, a new procedure was successfully developed and tested for the simplified construction of floor spectra, at various levels of elastic damping, atop single-degree-of-freedom structures. This paper extends the methodology to multi-degree-of-freedom (MDOF) supporting systems responding in the elastic range, proposing a simplified modal combination approach for floor spectra over upper storeys and accounting for the limited filtering of the ground motion input that occurs over lower storeys. The procedure is tested numerically by comparing predictions with floor spectra obtained from time-history analyses of RC wall structures of 2- to 20-storeys in height. Results demonstrate that the method performs well for MDOF systems responding in the elastic range. Future research should further develop the approach to permit the prediction of floor spectra in MDOF systems that respond in the inelastic range.

A Study of Machining Error Compensation for Tool Deflection in Side-Cutting Processes using Micro End-mill (측면가공에서 마이크로 엔드밀의 공구변형에 의한 절삭가공오차 보상에 관한 연구)

  • Jeon, Du-Seong;Seo, Tae-Il;Yoon, Gil-Sang
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers
    • /
    • v.17 no.2
    • /
    • pp.128-134
    • /
    • 2008
  • This paper presents a machining error compensation methodology due to deflection of micro cutting tools in side cutting processes. Generally in order to compensate for tool deflection errors it is necessary to carry out a series of simulations, cutting force prediction, tool deflection estimation and compensation method. These can induce numerous calculations and expensive costs. This study proposes an improved approach which can compensate for machining errors without simulation processes concerning prediction of cutting force and tool deflection. Based on SEM images of test cutting specimens, polynomial relationships between machining errors and corrected tool positions were induced. Taking into account changes of cutting conditions caused by tool position variation, an iterative algorithm was applied in order to determine corrected tool position. Experimental works were carried out to validate the proposed approach. Comparing machining errors of nominal cutting with those of compensated cutting, overall machining errors could be remarkably reduced.

Maximum Error Reduction for Fixed-width Modified Booth Multipliers Based on Error Bound Analysis (오차범위 분석을 통한 고정길이 modified Booth 곱셈기의 최대오차 감소)

  • Cho, Kyung-Ju;Chung, Jin-Gyun
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SD
    • /
    • v.42 no.10 s.340
    • /
    • pp.29-34
    • /
    • 2005
  • The maximum quantization error has serious effect on the performance of fixed-width multipliers that receive W-bit inputs and produce W-bit products. In this paper, we analyze the error bound of fixed-width modified Booth multipliers. Then, the estimation method for the number of additional columns for fixed-width multipliers is proposed to limit the maximum quantization error within a desired bound. In addition, it is shown that our methodology can be extended to reduced-width multipliers. By simulations, it is shown that the proposed error analysis method is useful to the practical design of fixed-width modified Booth multipliers.