• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimation Methodology

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A Study on the Application of Bus Route Sketch Methodology Based on Multiple Evaluation Indicators: Focusing on a Bus Line in Sejong (다중 평가지표 기반의 버스노선 스케치 방법론 적용 연구: 세종시 버스노선 사례를 중심으로)

  • Jun-Yong Jang;Sung Hoo Kim
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.50-68
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    • 2024
  • This study developed a bus route sketch (BRS) methodology for utilizing bus route design and operation steps in practice and evaluated the feasibility of the method. The BRS methodology consists of three steps: transportation zoning suitable for the provider and users of bus transit service; determining the bus operation route based on established transportation zones and path combination; optimizing the operation route based on the estimation of route alternatives in terms of the multi-performance measures from the standpoints of bus-transit service provider and user. The results of a case study showed that the estimation scores from the perspectives of provider and user were improved significantly from 8.83 and 7.13 to 9.50 and 9.89, respectively. Because the BRS method was designated and developed to be suitable for field application for route planning and operation, the method can be used instantly and directly to estimate and adjust the on-operation bus transit line and route design.

A Framework of Decommissioning Cost Estimation for Nuclear Research Facilities (원자력연구시설 해체비용 산정 구조)

  • Jeong Kwan-Seong;Lee Dong-Gyu;Lee Kune-Woo;Oh Won-Zin;Jung Chong-Hun;Park Jin-Ho
    • Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.171-178
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    • 2006
  • Decommissioning cost estimation is a very important technique in designing and planning of nuclear facilities' decommissioning. Decommissioning cost estimation should be made according to the phases of decommissioning activities and installed components of nuclear facilities. In this paper, the basic framework necessary for decommissioning cost estimation is completed so that it could be used as a technique for decommissioning costs estimation by specifying cost items and group components and unit cost factors on which work time is calculated. Also, factors to be considered for decommissioning cost estimation of major activities and tasks are reviewed. Afterwards, these techniques will be utilized as a basic technology to establish methodology of decommissioning cost estimation and evaluation.

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Public Transportation Alighting Estimation Method Using Smart Card Data (교통카드데이터를 활용한 하차정류장 추정 방법론 연구)

  • Kim, Kyoungtae;Lee, Inmook
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.692-702
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    • 2017
  • Recently, there has been a growing interest in using smart card data. However, there are restrictions on the utilization of data in many areas outside the Seoul metropolitan area because the data does not contain alighting information. This paper presents a methodology for estimating alighting stops of smart card data. Estimation results were verified by smart card data from Seoul and Gwangju. The estimation rates were 78.2% and 81.6% in Seoul and Gwangju, respectively. The matching accuracy was 54.2% and 33.4%, respectively. However, if up to two stops of error are allowed, the accuracy values were 93.6% and 94.0%, respectively. We also discussed changes in estimation results due to adjusting the allowable walking distance, which is a key parameter of trip chaining methods. As the allowable walking distance increases, the estimation rate increases, while the accuracy decreases, and it is found that the estimation results change by around 500m.

Estimation of the Number of Salmonellosis Using Microbial Risk Assessment Methodology (미생물 위해성 평가 방법을 이용한 살모넬라 발생수 추정)

  • 최은영;박경진
    • The Korean Journal of Community Living Science
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.167-177
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    • 2004
  • The number of foodborne salmonellosis was estimated by using microbial risk assessment(MRA) methodology and the possibility of application was studied through comparison with previous results. The contamination levels of Salmonella sp. were estimated by using published domestic studies(1997∼2000) and monitoring data (1999∼2001) from food-safety related institutes. Data on food consumption came from the 2001 National Health and Nutrition Survey, and dose-response models from studies in other countries. Simulation results showed that there were 753,368 cases of salmonellosis in Korea in 1 year, which is about 115 times that reported in previous years and lower than the WHO's estimation increase. From these results, microbial risk assessment is likely to be available for estimation of the number of foodborne illnesses and determination of the order of priority in food-safety management. Butthe verification methods are not established and most of the data on contamination levels of foodborne bacteria, food consumption, and dose-response relationships have not been established. In addition, the actual conditions of circulation, storage and cooking must be studied further.

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A Study on the Evaluation Methodology for Information Security Level based on Test Scenarios (TS 기반의 정보보호수준 평가 방법론 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Sung, Kyung;Kim, Seok-Hun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.737-744
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    • 2007
  • It need estimation model who is efficient and estimate correctly organization's information security level to achieve effectively organization's information security target. Also, estimate class information security level for this and need reformable estimation indicator or standard and estimation methodology of information security systems that application is possible should be studied in our country. Therefore many research centers including ISO are preparing the measuring and evaluating method for network duality. This study will represent an evaluating model for network security based on checklist. In addition, we propose ah measuring and evaluating method for network performance. The purpose of two studies is to present the evaluating procedure and method for measuring security of network on set workwill be identified and a measuring method and procedure will be proposed.

Improvement of Ammonia Emission Inventory Estimation Methodology for Fertilizer Application in the Agricultural Sector (농업부문 비료사용 농경지의 암모니아 배출량 산정방법 개선)

  • Choi, Hanmin;Hyun, Junge;Kim, You Jin;Yoo, Gayoung
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.237-242
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    • 2019
  • Ammonia is main precursor gas of secondary particulate matter and contributes almost 78% of total ammonia emission from the agricultural sector in Korea. The current method of estimating ammonia emission from fertilizer application, which contributes 7% of the total emission, has high uncertainty and needs to be improved to better predict PM2.5 concentration. In this study, we suggest an improvement method for ammonia emission quantification from fertilizer application. The first improvement was in the emission factor of NPK fertilizer by conducting a field study to verify the currently used factor. The improved NPK emission factor of 52.2 kg NH ton-1N was confirmed by comparing with the value from the EEA (European Environment Agency) and adjusting the value for the Korean climate and soil conditions. We also improved the amount of fertilizer usage by including the sales amount to the fertilizer supply amount of the Korean Farmers Association, increasing total fertilizer usage by 39.8%. As the statistical data on fertilizer supply and sales are compiled yearly, we estimated monthly emission of ammonia by considering cultivated areas and timing of fertilization for each crop. In summary, we suggest a novel and practical method to improve estimation methodology of ammonia emission from the field of fertilizer application: 1) emission factor of NPK fertilizer was reconfirmed; 2) total amount of fertilizer use was revised considering fertilizer sales; and 3) monthly emission of ammonia was realized by considering different crop practices. A bottom-up approach to compile activity data is needed to increase the estimation accuracy of monthly emission of ammonia, which is very helpful for predicting PM2.5 concentration.

Conclusions and Suggestions on Low-Dose and Low-Dose Rate Radiation Risk Estimation Methodology

  • Sakai, Kazuo;Yamada, Yutaka;Yoshida, Kazuo;Yoshinaga, Shinji;Sato, Kaoru;Ogata, Hiromitsu;Iwasaki, Toshiyasu;Kudo, Shin'ichi;Asada, Yasuki;Kawaguchi, Isao;Haeno, Hiroshi;Sasaki, Michiya
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.14-23
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    • 2021
  • Background: For radiological protection and control, the International Commission on Radiological Protection (ICRP) provides the nominal risk coefficients related to radiation exposure, which can be extrapolated using the excess relative risk and excess absolute risk obtained from the Life Span Study of atomic bomb survivors in Hiroshima and Nagasaki with the dose and dose-rate effectiveness factor (DDREF). Materials and Methods: Since it is impossible to directly estimate the radiation risk at doses less than approximately 100 mSv only from epidemiological knowledge and data, support from radiation biology is absolutely imperative, and thus, several national and international bodies have advocated the importance of bridging knowledge between biology and epidemiology. Because of the accident at the Tokyo Electric Power Company (TEPCO)'s Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station in 2011, the exposure of the public to radiation has become a major concern and it was considered that the estimation of radiation risk should be more realistic to cope with the prevailing radiation exposure situation. Results and Discussion: To discuss the issues from wide aspects related to radiological protection, and to realize bridging knowledge between biology and epidemiology, we have established a research group to develop low-dose and low-dose-rate radiation risk estimation methodology, with the permission of the Japan Health Physics Society. Conclusion: The aim of the research group was to clarify the current situation and issues related to the risk estimation of low-dose and low-dose-rate radiation exposure from the viewpoints of different research fields, such as epidemiology, biology, modeling, and dosimetry, to identify a future strategy and roadmap to elucidate a more realistic estimation of risk against low-dose and low-dose-rate radiation exposure.

Feedwater Flowrate Estimation Based on the Two-step De-noising Using the Wavelet Analysis and an Autoassociative Neural Network

  • Gyunyoung Heo;Park, Seong-Soo;Chang, Soon-Heung
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.192-201
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    • 1999
  • This paper proposes an improved signal processing strategy for accurate feedwater flowrate estimation in nuclear power plants. It is generally known that ∼2% thermal power errors occur due to fouling Phenomena in feedwater flowmeters. In the strategy Proposed, the noises included in feedwater flowrate signal are classified into rapidly varying noises and gradually varying noises according to the characteristics in a frequency domain. The estimation precision is enhanced by introducing a low pass filter with the wavelet analysis against rapidly varying noises, and an autoassociative neural network which takes charge of the correction of only gradually varying noises. The modified multivariate stratification sampling using the concept of time stratification and MAXIMIN criteria is developed to overcome the shortcoming of a general random sampling. In addition the multi-stage robust training method is developed to increase the quality and reliability of training signals. Some validations using the simulated data from a micro-simulator were carried out. In the validation tests, the proposed methodology removed both rapidly varying noises and gradually varying noises respectively in each de-noising step, and 5.54% root mean square errors of initial noisy signals were decreased to 0.674% after de-noising. These results indicate that it is possible to estimate the reactor thermal power more elaborately by adopting this strategy.

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The Sliding Mode Control with a Time Delay Estimation (SMCTE) for an SMA Actuator

  • Lee, Hyo-Jik;Yoon, Ji-Sup;Lee, Jung-Ju
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.5-10
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    • 2005
  • We deal with the sliding mode control using the time delay estimation. The time delay estimation is able to weaken the need for obtaining a quantitative plant model analogous to the real plant so the sliding mode control with a time delay estimation (SMCTE) is very suitable for plant such as SMA actuators whose quantitative model is difficult to obtain. We have already studied the application of the time delay control (TDC) to SMA actuators in other literature. Based on the previous study on the TDC, we developed the gain tuning method for the SMCTE, which results were nearly the same as the TDC. With respect to the step response, the SMCTE proved its predominance in a comparison with other control schemes such as the PID control and the relay control. As well as the contribution of the above control methodology, the model identification for SMA actuators has also been studied. The dynamics for an SMA actuator was newly derived using the modified Liang's model. The derived dynamics showed a continuity at the change of the phase transformation process but the original Liang's model could not.

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Soft Sensor Design Using Image Analysis and its Industrial Applications Part 1. Estimation and Monitoring of Product Appearance (화상분석을 이용한 소프트 센서의 설계와 산업응용사례 1. 외관 품질의 수치적 추정과 모니터링)

  • Liu, J. Jay
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.48 no.4
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    • pp.475-482
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    • 2010
  • In this work, soft sensor based on image anlaysis is proposed for quantitatively estimating the visual appearance of manufactured products and is applied to quality monitoring. The methodology consists of three steps; (1) textural feature extraction from product images using wavelet transform, (2) numerical estimation of the product appearance through projection of the textural features on subspace, and (3) use of latent variables of textural features (i.e., numerical estimates of product appearance). The focus of this approach is on the consistent and quantitative estimation of continuous variations in visual appearance rather than on classification into discrete classes. This approach is illustrated through the application to the estimation and monitoring of the appearance of engineered stone countertops.