• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimating the validity

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Estimation of Interregional Mode Choice Models and Value of Travel Time Accommodating Taste Variation of Individuals (개인의 선호다양성을 고려한 지역간 수단선택 모형 구축 및 시간가치 추정 연구)

  • Cho, Shin-hyung;Seo, Young-hyun;Kho, Seung-young;Rhee, Sung-mo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.288-298
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    • 2017
  • The system of high-speed and conventional railway vehicles is diversified, and significant technological development in performance has been achieved. This study analyzed the modal change characteristics; furthermore, it estimated the value of travel time by improving the travel time and cost for the passenger's perception of railway. In this study, we formulate a mode choice model for passengers and compare it with the mixed logit model which reflects individual taste variation. In addition, the validity of the analysis is presented through an estimation the value of travel time using the derived model. For this purpose, a stated preference survey was conducted with 510 people using public transportation. The benefits of time-saving can be accurately determined by estimating the value of time spent on the railway. Appropriate fares for public transportation can also be estimated.

Derivation and verification of influence function on parameter δ proposed by Ghosh and Kim (Ghosh와 Kim 모수 δ의 영향함수 유도 및 확인)

  • Kim, Minjeong;Kim, Honggie
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.529-538
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    • 2017
  • The Ghosh and Kim zero-altered distribution model is used to analyze count data that have too many or too few zeros. The dispersion type parameter ${\delta}$ in the zero-altered distribution model consists of mean, variance and zero probability and has two forms depending on the relation between ${\mu}$ and ${\sigma}^2$. We derived the influence function on ${\delta}$ when ${\sigma}^2{\geq}{\mu}$. To show the validity of the influence function, we used the Census data on the number of births of married women in Korea to compare the estimated changes in ${\delta}$ using this function with those obtained using the direct deletion method. The result proved that the obtained influence function is very accurate in estimating changes in ${\delta}$ when an observation is deleted.

A Study on Random Forest-based Estimation Model for Changing the Automatic Walking Mode of Above Knee Prosthesis (대퇴의족의 자동 보행 모드 변경을 위한 랜덤 포레스트 기반 추정 모델 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Na, Sun-Jong;Shin, Jin-Woo;Eom, Su-Hong;Lee, Eung-Hyuk
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.9-18
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    • 2020
  • The pattern recognition or fuzzy inference, which is mainly used for the development of the automatic walking mode change of the above knee prosthesis, has a disadvantage in that it is difficult to estimate with the immediate change of the walking environment. In order to solve a disadvantage, this paper developed an algorithm that automatically converts the walking mode of the next step by estimating the walking environment at a specific gait phase. Since the proposed algorithm should be implanted and operated in the microcontroller, it is developed using the random forest base in consideration of calculation amount and estimated time. The developed random forest based gait and environmental estimation model were implanted in the microcontroller and evaluated for validity.

A Study on the Establishment of the Framework Apportion Ratio in Calculating Damages due to Accidental Fires (화재의 실화배상책임액 산정을 위한 프레임워크 수립에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Kwang-Suk;Park, Chung-Hwa
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.190-203
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    • 2019
  • Since the amendment of the Accidental Fire Liability Act in 2009, interested parties in accidental fire liability contracts have settled issues associated with the estimation of each other's liability amounts through lawsuits. As fire accidents are complex in nature, it is difficult to distinguish between direct and additional damages caused by extended combustion while calculating liability amounts for accidental fires. Additionally, there is an increasing need for establishing and using a framework that includes validity and reliability. To establish such a framework for estimating the liability amounts in case of an accidental fire, this study suggests a novel categorization of fires to be applied to the framework. This will be organized by the subjects of the liability of accidental fires, and quantified and probabilistic processed qualitative items through the methods applied to quantification (AMEA/FTA) based on the fire statistics data published by the government and the previous researchers' research application data and results.

Directional Design Hourly Volume Estimation Model for National Highways (일반국도의 중방향 설계시간 교통량 추정 모형)

  • Lim, Sung-Han;Ryu, Seung-Ki;Byun, Sang-Cheol;Moon, Hak-Yong
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 2012
  • Estimating directional design hourly volume (DDHV) is an important aspect of traffic or road engineering practice. DDHV on highway without permanent traffic counters (PTCs) is usually determined by the annual average daily traffic (AADT) being multiplied by the ratio of DHV to AADT (K factor) and the directional split ratio (D factor) recommended by Korea highway capacity manual (KHCM). However, about the validity of this method has not been clearly proven. The main intent of this study is to develop more accurate and efficient DDHV estimation models for national highway in Korea. DDHV characteristics are investigated using the data from permanent traffic counters (PTCs) on national highways in Korea. A linear relationship between DDHV and AADT was identified. So DDHV estimation models using AADT were developed. The results show that the proposed models outperform the KHCM method with the mean absolute percentage errors (MAPE).

A Study on the Multidimensional Service Scenario Evaluation Methodology for ITSM Considering Ubiquitous Computing Technology (유비쿼터스 컴퓨팅 기술을 고려한 ITSM구축을 위한 서비스 시나리오 다면평가방법론에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Hoon;Kim, Hyung-Jin;Kwon, Oh-Byung
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.155-194
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    • 2007
  • Currently, Ubiquitous Computing Technology(UCT)-based service scenarios play an important role in estimating the potential of UCT-based service. The purpose of the study is to propose a multidimensional evaluation(ME) methodology for UCT-based service scenarios regarding their possibilities of realization for the future. Our approach contributes to extend service level management in Information Technology Service Management(ITSM) by evaluating the level of a new service in advance. ME consists of three dimensions: technological evaluations, business-oriented evaluations, and user-oriented evaluations. The three types of evaluations are mutually harmonized to check the overall possibility of realization and validity for certain UCT-based service scenarios. Theoretically, ME is developed to overcome the extant evaluation methods for UCT-based service scenarios, which are limited in the number of evaluation criterions. It is also conceived to cope with the limitation of economical evaluation methods (e.g., technological valuation, estimation of financial outcomes such as ROI, ROA, etc. that are difficult to give meaningful results because most of UCT-based services are not fully realized so far. From the practical perspectives, in addition, our approach can be applied to a variety of scenarios due to its domain-independent approach.

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Development of Performance Based Mix Design Method Using Single Parameter Bayesian Method (단일변수 Bayesian 방법을 이용한 성능중심형 배합설계법의 개발)

  • Kim, Jang-Ho Jay;Phan, Hung-Duc;Oh, Il-Sun;Lee, Keun-Sung
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.499-510
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    • 2010
  • This paper presents a systematic approach for estimating material performance and designing mix proportion of concrete based on an application of Bayesian method in the form of satisfaction curves. The one-parameter satisfaction curve represents a satisfaction probability of a concrete performance criterion as a function of concrete material parameter. An analysis method to combine multiple satisfaction curves to form one unique satisfaction curve that can relate the performance of concrete to a single evaluating value called Goodness value is proposed. A proposed PBMD procedure and examples of application of the PBMD method for concrete mix proportion design are carried out to verify the validity of the proposed method. Finally, the comparison between the expected performance results of a concrete mix proportion designed using PBMD to the ACI estimation equation calculated results are performed to check the applicability of the method to actual construction.

A Research on the Estimation Method for the SOC of the Lithium Batteries Using AC Impedance (AC 임피던스를 이용한 리튬 전지의 충전상태 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jong-Hak;Kim, Sang-Hyun;Kim, Wook;Choi, Woo-Jin
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Power Electronics
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.457-465
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    • 2009
  • Lithium batteries are widely used in mobile electronic devices due to their higher voltage and energy density, lighter weight and longer life cycle compared to other secondary batteries. In particular, high demand for lithium batteries is expected for electric cars. In case of lithium batteries used in electric cars, driving distance must be calculated accurately and discharging should not be done below the level of making it impossible to crank. Therefore, accurate information about state of charge (SOC) becomes an essential element for reliable driving. In this paper, a new method of estimating the SOC of lithium polymer batteries by using AC impedance is proposed. In the proposed method, parameters are extracted by fitting a curve of impedance measured at each frequency on the equivalent impedance model and extracted parameters are used to estimate SOC. Experiments were conducted on lithium polymer batteries with similar capacities made by different manufacturers to prove the validity of the proposed method.

WEC-Sim: A Simulator for Optimum Management of Wastewater Treatment Plant (WEC-Sim : 하수처리장 최적 운영을 위한 시뮬레이터)

  • Lee, Sung-Koo;Ahn, Sae-Young
    • Journal of Digital Contents Society
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.463-471
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    • 2010
  • In the management of a wastewater treatment plant which is a combination system of physical, chemical, and biological processes, computer simulator is an indispensable part for analysis of the operation status and evaluation of the treatment performance due to its fast computing speed. As an application software carrying out the data input-output operations and the mathematical calculations of the models, simulator is to be a powerful tool for estimating the treatment reaction and calculating mass balance of substrates, microorganisms, and chemicals within the treatment system in a given condition. Qualitative and quantitative prediction of treatment performance provides the plant manager with validity of decision-making through implementing modeling and simulation as a role of knowledge-based expert system in charge of automation and control. This paper shows the proceeding of design and development of the "WEC-Sim" software which is owned the various functions of data acquisition, monitoring, simulation, and control.

Projection of Activity Duration Utilizing Historical Cost Data (자원투입 비용을 고려한 공정관리 작업기간 산정)

  • Moon, Sung-Woo;Kang, Sang-Rae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.444-447
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    • 2006
  • Construction managers need to pay a close attention to the resource utilization in order to deliver the construction project successfully. Construction scheduling is crucial for resource control in that it provides information when and how much to bring down work force to sites. In scheduling, activity duration is projected based on the productivity of historical data or the intuition of scheduler. This paper studies the opportunity of applying cost-based productivity for estimating activity duration. For cost-based productivity, the cost of resource is used as an input and the work quantities as an output. Out of historical data, regression model has been developed to understand the validity of applying cost-based productivity in projecting activity duration. The result of study will work as a prerequisite for implementing the environment of database-based construction scheduling.

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