• 제목/요약/키워드: Estimating procedure

검색결과 404건 처리시간 0.023초

한국형 고장률 데이터 북 개발에 대한 연구 (A Study on Development of Korean Failure Rate Databook)

  • 백순흠;임재학
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.305-315
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: The purpose of this research is to propose procedure and methodology for developing failure rate databook which is suitable for Korean operation environment. Methods: To this end, we investigate failure databooks used in foreign countries and study the procedure and methodology for collecting failure data, organizing the data, estimating failure rate and summarizing results. Results: We develop the procedure of development of failure databook, the items for data collection, database schema of part details and part summary and contents of failure databook by considering the application environment in Korea. Conclusion: The results of our research could be utilized for the development of Korean failure rate databook and research of reliability prediction model and could ultimately contribute to improve the accuracy of reliability prediction.

표준단면을 이용한 터널 공사비 예측모델 개발 (II) - 공사비 변동 모델 및 검증 - (A Standard Section-Based Approximate Cost Estimating Model on Tunnel (II) - Cost Variance Index Table and Test -)

  • 조정연;김상귀;김경민;김경주
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제28권5D호
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    • pp.677-684
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구는 터널공사비 영향요인 분석 결과를 이용하여 터널 공사비 예측에 활용될 수 있는 모델을 제시하였다. 이를 위해 공사비 영향요인의 변화에 따른 공사비 변동 지수표를 구축하고, 이를 바탕으로 사업 환경의 변화에 따른 공사비 추정을 위한 절차를 제시하였다. 또한 최근 수행된 실제 프로젝트를 대상으로 제시된 터널 공사비 추정모델의 적정성을 검증하는 작업을 수행하였다. 표준단면 및 공사비 변동비를 바탕으로 한 공사비 예측에 있어 실제 프로젝트를 통한 검증결과 실제 설계 예정가격과 비교하여 -5% ~ +11%의 범위에서 추정되었다. 제시된 모델은 기획단계에서 사업의 기본적인 조건을 바탕으로 사업비를 추정하고, 설계 및 시공단계에서 설계 대안에 대한 경제성 평가, 설계조건, 지반조건, 시공환경의 변화, 공법, 자재, 장비의 변경에 따른 공사비의 영향을 효율적으로 평가하는데 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

A Study on Synthetic OD Estimation Model based on Partial Traffic Volumes and User-Equilibrium Information

  • 조성길
    • 한국ITS학회 논문지
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    • 제7권5호
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    • pp.180-183
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    • 2008
  • 본 논문은 교통망에서 관측 링크 교통량, 미관측 링크의 이용자평형 정보를 이용하여 O-D행렬을 수학적으로 생성하는 모형을 제시하고 있다. 교통량이 관측되지 않은 링크로부터 이용자 평형 상태에서 추출 가능한 정보를 바탕으로 일련의 논리적 연산을 거쳐 실제교통량에 근접하는 서브알고리듬을 유추하여 O-D행렬 추정의 정확도와 연산의 일관성을 제고하였다. 이를 위해 이용자평형상태에서 새로운 정리(Theorem)와 보조정리(Lemma)를 유도하여 적용하였다. 모형의 시험은 3개의 초기 O-D 행렬과 3개의 미관측 링크 교통량 시나리오를 각각의 모형에 적용하여 그 결과를 비교하였다. 적용 결과 본 논문에서 제시된 모형은 기존의 이용자균형 접근방식의 모형emf에 비해 추정된 O-D값의 실제 값과의 차이(O-D Trip RMSE)가 현저히 감소되는 것을 확인하였다.

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Estimating quantiles of extreme wind speed using generalized extreme value distribution fitted based on the order statistics

  • Liu, Y.X.;Hong, H.P.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제34권6호
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    • pp.469-482
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    • 2022
  • The generalized extreme value distribution (GEVD) is frequently used to fit the block maximum of environmental parameters such as the annual maximum wind speed. There are several methods for estimating the parameters of the GEV distribution, including the least-squares method (LSM). However, the application of the LSM with the expected order statistics has not been reported. This study fills this gap by proposing a fitting method based on the expected order statistics. The study also proposes a plotting position to approximate the expected order statistics; the proposed plotting position depends on the distribution shape parameter. The use of this approximation for distribution fitting is carried out. Simulation analysis results indicate that the developed fitting procedure based on the expected order statistics or its approximation for GEVD is effective for estimating the distribution parameters and quantiles. The values of the probability plotting correlation coefficient that may be used to test the distributional hypothesis are calculated and presented. The developed fitting method is applied to extreme thunderstorm and non-thunderstorm winds for several major cities in Canada. Also, the implication of using the GEVD and Gumbel distribution to model the extreme wind speed on the structural reliability is presented and elaborated.

A PROCEDURE FOR GENERATING IN-CABINET RESPONSE SPECTRA BASED ON STATE-SPACE MODEL IDENTIFICATION BY IMPACT TESTING

  • Cho, Sung-Gook;Cui, Jintao;Kim, Doo-Kie
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제43권6호
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    • pp.573-582
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    • 2011
  • The in-cabinet response spectrum is used to define the input motion in the seismic qualification of instruments and devices mounted inside an electrical cabinet. This paper presents a procedure for generating the in-cabinet response spectrum for electrical equipment based on in-situ testing by an impact hammer. The proposed procedure includes an algorithm to build the relationship between the impact forces and the measured acceleration responses of cabinet structures by estimating the state-space model. This model is used to predict seismic responses to the equivalent earthquake forces. Three types of structural model are analyzed for numerical verification of the proposed method. A comparison of predicted and simulated response spectra shows good convergence, demonstrating the potential of the proposed method to predict the response spectra for real cabinet structures using vibration tests. The presented procedure eliminates the uncertainty associated with constructing an analytical model of the electrical cabinet, which has complex mass distribution and stiffness.

Evaluation of seismic collapse capacity of regular RC frames using nonlinear static procedure

  • Jalilkhani, Maysam;Manafpour, Ali Reza
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제68권6호
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    • pp.647-660
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    • 2018
  • The Incremental Dynamic Analysis (IDA) procedure is currently known as a robust tool for estimation of seismic collapse capacity. However, the procedure is time-consuming and requires significant computational efforts. Recently some simplified methods have been developed for rapid estimation of seismic collapse capacity using pushover analysis. However, a comparative review and assessment of these methods is necessary to point out their relative advantages and shortcomings, and to pave the way for their practical use. In this paper, four simplified pushover analysis-based methods are selected and applied on four regular RC intermediate moment-resisting frames with 3, 6, 9 and 12 stories. The accuracy and performance of the different simplified methods in estimating the median seismic collapse capacity are evaluated through comparisons with the results obtained from IDAs. The results show that reliable estimations of the summarized 50% fractile IDA curve are produced using SPO2IDA and MPA-based IDA methods; however, the accuracy of the results for 16% and 84% fractiles is relatively low. The method proposed by Shafei et al. appears to be the most simple and straightforward method which gives rise to good estimates of the median sidesway collapse capacity with minimum computational efforts.

유한요소해석과 나노인덴테이션을 활용한 박막의 잔류응력 평가 (Evaluation of the Residual Stress of Thin Film Based on the Nanoindentation and Finite Element Analysis.)

  • 황병원;김영석;박준원
    • 한국소성가공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소성가공학회 2003년도 추계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.355-358
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    • 2003
  • To estimate the residual stresses in the thin film and surface coatings, combined method based on nanoindentation and finite element (FE) analysis was developed. A simple equation for estimating the residual stress was composed of the hardness and the parameters which can be driven from the nanoindentation loading and unloading behaviors. FE analysis on the nanoindentation procedure under the various residual stress levels was performed to determine the parameters that included in the equation. The equation showed a good coincidence between the estimated residual stresses and those for the FE analysis. Thus the proposed method was considered as a useful method for estimating the residual stresses in the thin film without stress free specimen.

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Estimating 3-D surface geometrical features on the basis of surface curvature consistency

  • Zha, H.B.;Muramatsu, S.;Nagata, T.
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1993년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집(국제학술편); Seoul National University, Seoul; 20-22 Oct. 1993
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    • pp.54-59
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    • 1993
  • This paper presents a method of estimating 3-D surface geometrical features that are necessary for 3-D object recognition and image interpretation. The features, such as surface needle maps and curvatures, are computed from range or intensity images. In general, the range and intensity images are prone to noises, and hence the features computed by differentiation calculi on such a noisy image are hardly applicable to industrial recognition tasks. In our approach, we try to obtain a more accurate estimate of the features by using a least-squares minimization procedure subject to local curvature consistency constraints. The algorithm is robust with respect to noises and is completely independent of the viewpoint at which the image is taken. The performance of the ajgoritlim is evaluated using both synthetic data and real intensity images.

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민수부문의 에너지원별 수요예측모형 (An Energy Demand Forecasting Model for the Residential and Commercial Sector)

  • 유병우
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.45-56
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    • 1983
  • This paper presents a generalized fuel choice model in which restrictive constraints on cross-price coefficients as Baughman-Joskow-FEA Logit Model need not be imposed, but all demand elasticities are uniquely determined. The model is applied to estimating aggregate energy demand and fuel choices for the residential and commercial sector. The structural equations are estimated by a generalized least squares procedure using national-level EPB, KDI, BK, KRIS, MOER data for 1965 and 1980, and other related reports. The econometric results support the argument that “third-price” and “fourth-price” coefficients should not be constrained in estimating relative market share models. Furthermore, by using this fuel choice model, it has forecasted energy demands by fuel sources in, the residential and commercial sector until 1991. The results are turned out good estimates to compare with existing demands forecasted from other institutes.

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LED 열화데이터의 신뢰성 분석 (Reliability Analysis of Degradation Data for LEDs)

  • 박창규
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.59-69
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    • 2009
  • LEDs have rapidly replaced old light devices such as incandescent or fluorescent lamps, and have been widely applied in general lighting, signals, automobile, signs and others. Since LEDs are for both indoor and outdoor use, temperature and humidity inevitably affect its reliability. We explain the result of the degradation life test on LEDs, and guide to reliability analysis procedure. Analysis on reliability measures are performed by Weibull++6 program, and a common shape parameter of Weibull distribution on the LED is suggested. Also, we make a description of reliability analysis procedures for the degradation data using collected test data from degradation tests. Reliability analysis procedures are consisted of estimating degradation models and failure time, verifying of distribution and parameters of the distribution, and estimating of reliability measures. Finally, this paper suggests reliability analysis method for light characteristics on LEDs.

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