• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimating procedure

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On-line Estimation of System with Unmodeled Dynamics using D-L Networks

  • Kim, Yoon-Sang;Lee, Myung-Kyu;Ahn, Doo-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 1998.06a
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    • pp.680-684
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents an efficient method which estimates the systems with unmodeled dynamics using D-L networks. This method is applied for estimating the system with unmodeled dynamics from only input-output information , so it can exclude additional procedure for system description and reduce the computational burden required for real-time estimation. Higher convergence speed is achieved in this manner in comparison with widely-used conventional methods.

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Credibility estimation via kernel mixed effects model

  • Shim, Joo-Yong;Kim, Tae-Yoon;Lee, Sang-Yeol;Hwa, Chang-Ha
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.445-452
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    • 2009
  • Credibility models are actuarial tools to distribute premiums fairly among a heterogeneous group of policyholders. Many existing credibility models can be expressed as special cases of linear mixed effects models. In this paper we propose a nonlinear credibility regression model by reforming the linear mixed effects model through kernel machine. The proposed model can be seen as prediction method applicable in any setting where repeated measures are made for subjects with different risk levels. Experimental results are then presented which indicate the performance of the proposed estimating procedure.

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An Effective x-dB Bandwidth Measurement Method of FM Signals using moving Average (동적 평균을 이용한 FM 신호의 효율적인 x-dB 대역폭 측정방법)

  • 김영수;유익한;조병모
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.11 no.7
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    • pp.1233-1239
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, a new approach is proposed for effectively estimating the occupied bandwidth of frequency modulation (FM) signals. The proposed method makes use of the smoothing niter for removing the perturbation of spectrum envelope, which frequently occurs in FM signals having the instantaneous frequency. An effective procedure is derived for finding the relatively accurate bandwidth of FM signals combined with x-dB bandwidth measurement method, which International Telecommunication Union-Radiocommunication (ITU-R) recommended. It was shown that the proposed approach provides superior performance relative to the one obtained with the x-dB bandwidth measurement method in terms of sample bias and mean squared error of bandwidth estimates.

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System Reliability Analysis for Nonnormal Distributions and Optimization Using Experimental Design Technique (실험계획법을 이용한 비정규 분포에 대한 신뢰도 계산 방법과 최적 설계에의 적용)

  • Seo, Hyun-Seok;Chang, Jin-Ho;Kwak, Byung-Man
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2001.06c
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    • pp.327-332
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    • 2001
  • An experimental design technique is developed for estimating the moments of system response functions. It is easy to implement and provides accurate results compared with other traditional methods. It is based on the work of Taguchi, later improved by D'Errico and Zaino. The existing experimental techniques, however, is applicable only for normally distributed cases. In this article the three-level Taguchi method is extended to obtain optimum choice for levels and weights to handle nonnormal distributions. A systematic procedure for reliability analysis is then proposed by using the Pearson system and the narrow system reliability bounds. Illustrative examples including a tolerance optimization problem are shown very accurate comparing with those by Monte-Carlo simulations and the first-order reliability method.

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Seismic Design Guidelines for Welded Steel Oil Storge Tank (KS B 6225) (강제석유저장탱크(KS B 6225)의 내진설계기준 개선 안)

  • Park, Jong-Ryul;O, Taek-Yeol
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.544-552
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    • 2002
  • Recommended seismic design guide for the flat bottom vortical-cylindrical oil storage tanks in KS B 6225 is presented. Under earthquake excitations, the hydrodynamic pressure exerted on the tank walls produces overturning moment which may cause either a failure of the anchors or a buckling of the tank shell near its base. The basis for establishing design loads due to hydrodynamic pressure is described including seismic zone risk map in Korea, zone coefficients and the essential facilities factor. This procedure for calculating applied compressive stress on the shell base subjecting to seismic load and for estimating the allowable buckling stress is described.

Estimation of Effective Stress for Undrained Clays using In-situ Penetration test (원위치 관입시험을 이용한 비배수 점토의 유효응력 산정)

  • Cho, Sung-Hwan;Seo, Kyung-Bum;Lee, Jun-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2010.09a
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    • pp.990-996
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    • 2010
  • In this study, a method for estimating the effective stress of clays using in-situ penetration test(PCPT) result is proposed. The proposed method is based on a correlation between the PCPT results and strength increment ratio. According to proposed method, no additional testing procedure for collecting undisturbed soil sample is required, which can reduce overall testing cost. To verify this method, for analysis, various analytical solutions were adopted and used. Measured and predicted effective stress are compared on the test results. The verification sites consist of a variety of soil condition. From comparison, it is seen that predicted value of effective stress using the propose method match well those from measured results.

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Estimation of Dynamic Effects of Price Increase on Sales Using Bayesian Hierarchical Model (베이지안 다계층모형을 이용한 가격인상에 따른 판매량의 동적변화 추정 및 예측)

  • Jeon, Deok-Bin;Park, Seong-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.798-805
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    • 2005
  • Estimating the effects of price increase on a company's sales is important task faced by managers. If consumer has prior information on price increase or expect it, there would be stockpiling and subsequent drops in sales. In addition, consumer can suppress demand in the short run. Above factors make the sales dynamic and unstable. We develop a time series model to evaluate the sales patterns with stockpiling and short term suppression of demand and also propose a forecasting procedure. For estimation, we use panel data and extend the model to Bayesian hierarchical structure. By borrowing strength across cross-sectional units, this estimation scheme gives more robust and reasonable result than one from the individual estimation. Furthermore, the proposed scheme yields improved predictive power in the forecasting of hold-out sample periods.

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A Self-Organizing Map Based Hough Transform for Detecting Straight Lines (직선 추출을 위한 자기조직화지도 기반의 허프 변환)

  • Lee, Moon-Kyu
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.162-170
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    • 2002
  • Detecting straight lines in an image is frequently required for various machine vision applications such as restoring CAD drawings from scanned images and object recognition. The standard Hough transform has been dominantly used to that purpose. However, massive storage requirement and low precision in estimating line parameters due to the quantization of parameter space are the major drawbacks of the Hough transform technique. In this paper, to overcome the drawbacks, an iterative algorithm based on a self-organizing map is presented. The self-organizing map can be adaptively learned such that image points are clustered by prominent lines. Through the procedure of the algorithm, a set of lines are sequentially detected one at a time. The algorithm can produce highly precised estimates of line parameters using very small amount of storage memory. Computational results for synthetically generated images are given. The promise of the algorithm is also demonstrated with its application to two natural images of inserts.

Estimation of initial abstraction to calculate effective rainfall by considering soil moisture content in watershed (유역 토양 수분량을 고려한 초기손실 추정)

  • Lee, Jung-Sun;Lee, Dong-Hyun;Kim, Tai-Cheol
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.245-248
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    • 2002
  • The Soil Conservation Service (SCS) developed a unique procedure for estimating direct runoff from storm rainfall. But, It is very difficult to estimate accurately flood hydrograph by SCS method, because the initial ion of Ia(0.2Sa) itself has lots of systematic errors and there is no investigation on Ia in the Korean watershed. The maximum storage capacity of Umax is calibrated in the DAWAST model and is related to the present ability of rainfall to be infiltrated into the unsaturated soil. Effective rainfall for design and real-time flood hydrograph can be estimate more reasonably by introducing new Ia relationship made from the rainfall-runoff data observed in the Korean watersheds.

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ANALYTICAL STUDY ON MISSION CONTROL ELEMENT SYSTEM AVAILABILITY FOR KOREA MULTIPURPOSE SATELLITE(KOMPSAT)I (다목적 실용위성 1호 관제시스템 가용도 분석 연구)

  • 은종원;장대익;김재명
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.485-497
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    • 1998
  • To estimate the availability of the MCE for KOMPSAT I, mathematical models of H/W and S/W availability, the availability estimating methods for parallel and redundant system were presented. Furthermore, to improve and estimate the MCE system availability, we analyzed the computational procedure of redundant methods, and we also included effective switch choosing methods in this paper. The analytical results of the MCE system availability were estimated as follows: - 0.995216 not considering system redundancy, - 0.9955165 considering system redundancy, and -0.9963991 for the time of system real time operation.

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