• 제목/요약/키워드: Estimated evacuation time

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A Study on the Evacuation Performance Review for the Office Buildings (업무용 빌딩의 피난 성능 검토에 관한 연구)

  • 오혁진;백승태;김우석;이수경
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2003
  • In this study, it reviewed about evacuation performance of a specified Office Building. assessment tools is FAST 3.1.7 (Estimation of Flash Over, Estimation of Layer Height Down Flow Time), SIMULEX 32-bit (Estimation of Evacuation Time), JASMINE 3.25d. (Smoke Flow Assessment of a specified time) Result from Fire Scenario # 1, Flash Over is not generated in Compartment. Evacuation Time is estimated 25.2 sec by SIMULEX 32-bit. layer height until this time (25.2 sec) was estimated 2.4 m by FAST 3.1.7. After ignition until this time (25.2 sec), smoke was not release to the a corridor. In consequence, We concluded that people in building are completing the safe evacuation without the damage of smoke. Result from Fire Scenario # 1, Flash Over generated 6 min 33.2 sec in Compartment. Evacuation Time is estimated 1 min 25.5 sec by SIMULEX 32-bit. layer height down flow time is 1 min 40.8 sec by FAST 3.1.7 and 5 min 23 sec by theoretical calculation. Also, total building evacuation time was estimated 2 min 26.6 sec. After ignition until this time (2 min 26.6 sec), smoke released to the a corridor but it amount was few little. Therefore, generated smoke in compartment not effected to the people in buildings.

Cohort-based evacuation time estimation using TSIS-CORSIM

  • Park, Sunghyun;Sohn, Seokwoo;Jae, Moosung
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.6
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    • pp.1979-1990
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    • 2021
  • Evacuation Time Estimate (ETE) can provide decision-makers with a likelihood to implement evacuation of a population with radiation exposure risk by a nuclear power plant. Thus, the ETE is essential for developing an emergency response preparedness. However, studies on ETE have not been conducted adequately in Korea to date. In this study, different cohorts were selected based on assumptions. Existing local data were collected to construct a multi-model network by TSIS-CORSIM code. Furthermore, several links were aggregated to make simple calculations, and post-processing was conducted for dealing with the stochastic property of TSIS-CORSIM. The average speed of each cohort was calculated by the link aggregation and post-processing, and the evacuation time was estimated. As a result, the average cohort-based evacuation time was estimated as 2.4-6.8 h, and the average clearance time from ten simulations in 26 km was calculated as 27.3 h. Through this study, uncertainty factors to ETE results, such as classifying cohorts, degree of model complexity, traffic volume outside of the network, were identified. Various studies related to these factors will be needed to improve ETE's methodology and obtain the reliability of ETE results.

The Estimated Evacuation Time for the Emergency Planning Zone of the Kori Nuclear Site, with a Focus on the Precautionary Action Zone

  • Lee, Janghee;Jeong, Jae Jun;Shin, Wonki;Song, Eunyoung;Cho, Cheolwoo
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.196-205
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    • 2016
  • Background: The emergency planning zone (EPZ) of the city of Busan is divided into the precautionary actions zone (PAZ) and the urgent protective action planning zone; which have a 5-km radius and a 20-km to 21-km radius from the nuclear power plant site, respectively. In this study, we assumed that a severe accident occurred at Shin-Kori nuclear unit 3 and evaluated the dispersion speed of radiological material at each distance at various wind speeds, and estimated the effective dose equivalent and the evacuation time of PAZ residents with the goal of supporting off-site emergency action planning for the nuclear site. Materials and Methods: The total effective dose equivalent, which shows the effect of released radioactive materials on the residents, was evaluated using the RASCAL 4.2 program. In addition, a survey of 1,036 residents was performed using a standardized questionnaire, and the resident evacuation time according to road and distance was analyzed using the VISSIM 6.0 program. Results and Discussion: According to the results obtained using the VISSIM and RASCAL programs, it would take approximately 80 to 252.2 minutes for permanent residents to move out of the PAZ boundary, 40 to 197.2 minutes for students, 60 to 232.2 minutes for the infirm, such as elderly people and those in a nursing home or hospital, and 30 to 182.2 minutes for those temporarily within the area. Consequently, in the event of any delay in the evacuation, it is estimated that the residents would be exposed to up to $10mSv{\cdot}h^{-1}$ of radiation at the Exclusion Area Boundaries (EAB) boundary and $4-6mSv{\cdot}h^{-1}$ at the PAZ boundary. Conclusion: It was shown that the evacuation time for the residents is adequate in light of the time lapse from the initial moment of a severe accident to the radiation release. However, in order to minimize the evacuation time, it is necessary to maintain a system of close collaboration to avoid traffic congestion and spontaneous evacuation attempts.

Evaluating the Effects of Sprawl on Evacuation Time: An Exploratory Analysis from Texas Coastal Counties (긴급재난 대피시간에 대한 도시확산 현상의 효과에 관한 연구: 미국 텍사스 해변 지역사례 연구)

  • Jung, Ju-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.43-49
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    • 2008
  • The objective of this research was to test a hypothesis that sprawl increases congestion, and so the estimated evacuation time become longer. For this, sprawl was thought to be poor accessibility so that vehicle miles of travel become longer. This research shows that the daily vehicle miles per lane mile that are thought to be an accessibility index had a strong and statistically significant relationship to the estimated evacuation time, while urban population density has no statistically significant relationship to the evacuation time. The result of this research recommends that we should consider sustainable land use patterns that decrease traffic demand by providing good accessibility.

Prediction of Evacuation Time for Emergency Planning Zone of Uljin Nuclear Site (울진원전 방사선비상계획구역에 대한 소개시간 예측)

  • Jeon, In-Young;Lee, Jai-Ki
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.189-198
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    • 2002
  • The time for evacuation of residents in emergency planning zone(EPZ) of Uljin nuclear site in case of a radiological emergency was estimated with traffic analysis. Evacuees were classified into 4 groups by considering population density, local jurisdictions, and whether they ate residents or transients. The survey to investigate the behavioral characteristics of the residents was made for 200 households and included a hypothetical scenario explaining the accident situation and questions such as dwelling place, time demand for evacuation preparation transportation means for evacuation, sheltering place, and evacuation direction. The microscopic traffic simulation model, CORSIM, was used to simulate the behavior of evacuating vehicles on networks. The results showed that the evacuation time required for total vehicles to move out from EPZ took longer in the daytime than at night in spite that the delay times at intersections were longer at night than in the daytime. This was analyzed due to the differences of the trip generation time distribution. To validate whether the CORSIM model fan appropriately simulate the congested traffic phenomena assumable in case of emergency, a benchmark study was conducted at an intersection without an actuated traffic signal near Uljin site during the traffic peak-time in the morning. This study indicated that the predicted output by the CORSIM model was in good agreement with the observed data. satisfying the purpose of this study.

Evacuation safety analysis depending on the type of subway platform and ticket barrier (지하철 승강장과 개찰구 유형별 대피안전성 분석)

  • Park, Byoung-Jik;Park, Il-Gyu;Yoo, Yong-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.237-242
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    • 2015
  • With the rapid development of modern society, subway has become one of the most typical urban transport systems. Since fire accident occurred at Daegu subway in 2003, importance of life safety and disaster prevention have been widely recognized and many studies have been carried out. As a result of these studies, fire-retardant and non-combustible interior material and platform screen door with passenger guide indication device have been developed, but studies on a subway evacuation criteria have been in a stalemate. Therefore, this study is intended to improve the subway evacuation standard. It is very difficult to take into account whole subway system, so a typological approach to a ticket was carried out referring to previous studies focused on a subway platform. this paper selected the most common subway platforms and estimated evacuation time among 10 platforms from previous studies and 8 from this study. As a result, evacuation time exceeded 6 minutes which is the guideline of existing standard. Therefore, it is necessary to update the standard for evacuation time and add supplementary conditions which can help establishing the measures for safety facilities and prevention measures.

Subway Station's Seating Capacity of Temporary Evacuees from Disastrous Situation through Analyzing the Number of Toilets (위생기구(변기) 수 분석을 통한 지하철역의 임시 대피인원 수용 능력 산정)

  • Sohn, Byonghu;Hwang, Eun-Kyoung
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.25 no.7
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    • pp.418-426
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    • 2013
  • With advantages of open spaces and existing HVAC facilities, subway station, if unexpected disastrous situation happens on the ground, can be used as a temporary safe place for evacuees. The main objective of this study is to establish a guideline on estimating evacuation capacity of the subway station and evaluating levels of service of evacuation for officials to control the situation. This guideline includes available spaces of the station, capacity of sanitary fixtures, and total number of passengers, etc. In this paper, we first analyzed the number of passengers of SMRT (Line 5~Line 8) during AM peak hour and then evaluated the number of passengers using toilets at that time. In addition, we calculated the seating capacity of subway stations on SMRT using the difference between the actual number of toilets and the estimated number of ones from the occupancy time of each toilet.

A Study on the Analysis of Fire Risk by Fire and the Improvement of Evacuation Equipment for Apartment (About Existing 16 or Fewer Storey Apartment) (공동주택의 화재위험성 분석 및 피난시설 개선에 관한 연구 (16층 이하의 기존 공동주택을 중심으로))

  • Min, Se-Hong;Lee, Jae-Moon;Sa, Jae-Cheon;Nam, Jung-O
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.127-135
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    • 2011
  • In this study, we assumed the kitchen fire raising the highest fire rate in apt. and analyzed the fire risk to use CFD in order to estimate the problem of evacuation equipment and the fire vulnerability of 16 or fewer storey apartment. Fire occurring in the kitchen is expended to the livingroom and other rooms. We analyzed that the temperature effected by heat was more than $60^{\circ}C$ after 90 sec in the entrance of apartment unit. If fire is early recognized by men and men don't escape in time, it have too huge demage to block the exit. When the evacuation equipment suggested in this study was installed in order to solve the problem of evacuation equipment, we analyzed that it was estimated more than safe in safety evaluation by heat and heat flux.

Assessment of Temporal Trend of Radiation Dose to the Public Living in the Large Area Contaminated with Radioactive Materials after a Nuclear Power Plant Accident (원전사고 후 광역의 방사성 오염부지 내 거주민에 대한 시간에 따른 피폭방사선량 평가)

  • Go, A Ra;Kim, Min Jun;Cho, Nam Chan;Seol, Jeung Gun;Kim, Kwang Pyo
    • Journal of Radiation Industry
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.209-216
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    • 2015
  • It has been about 5 years since the Fukushima nuclear power plant accident, which contaminated large area with radioactive materials. It is necessary to assess radiation dose to establish evacuation areas and to set decontamination goal for the large contaminated area. In this study, we assessed temporal trend of radiation dose to the public living in the large area contaminated with radioactive materials after the Fukushima nuclear power plant accident. The dose assessment was performed based on Chernobyl model and RESRAD model for two evacuation lift areas, Kawauchi and Naraha. It was reported that deposition densities in the areas were $4.3{\sim}96kBq\;m^{-2}$ for $^{134}Cs$, $1.4{\sim}300kBq\;m^{-2}$ for $^{137}Cs$, respectively. Radiation dose to the residents depended on radioactive cesium concentrations in the soil, ranging $0.11{\sim}2.4mSv\;y^{-1}$ at Kawauchi area and $0.69{\sim}1.1mSv\;y^{-1}$ at Naraha area in July 2014. The difference was less than 5% in radiation doses estimated by two different models. Radiation dose decreased with calendar time and the decreasing slope varied depending on dose assessment models. Based on the Chernobyl dosimetry model, radiation doses decreased with calendar time to about 65% level of the radiation dose in 2014 after 1 year, 11% level after 10 years, and 5.6% level after 30 years. RESRAD dosimetry model more slowly decreased radiation dose with time to about 85% level after 1 year, 40% level after 10 years, and 15% level after 30 years. The decrease of radiation dose can be mainly attributed into radioactive decays and environmental transport of the radioactive cesium. Only environmental transports of radioactive cesium without consideration of radioactive decays decreased radiation dose additionally 43% after 1 year, 72% after 3 years, 80% after 10 years, and 83% after 30 years. Radiation doses estimated with cesium concentration in the soil based on Chernobyl dosimetry model were compared with directly measured radiation doses. The estimated doses well agreed with the measurement data. This study results can be applied to radiation dose assessments at the contaminated area for radiation safety assurance or emergency preparedness.

An Agent-Based Modeling Approach for Estimating Inundation Areas over Time (행위자 기반 모델링을 활용한 시간에 따른 침수 지역 예상)

  • Kim, Byungil;Shin, Sha Chul;Jung, Jaehoon
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.20-27
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    • 2016
  • Emergency and evacuation planning is critical to reduce potential loss of life from flooding. In order to develop evacuation plans, emergency managers and decision makers require estimates of probable inundation areas and times of inundation. In this paper, we present an agent-based modeling approach that incorporates in a hydrodynamic model to estimate both of these properties. A case study is conducted modeling the failure of a dam located in Andong, South Korea. We estimate flood travel times for Manning's roughness coefficients and discharge using a coupling of the continuity equation and Manning's equation. Using the output from the hydrodynamic model and the flood travel times, the agent-based model produces flood inundation maps at each time interval. The model estimates that for two-thirds of the Andong region the time of inundation is estimated to be slightly less than three minutes. The results of this study can be used to in the development of emergency and evacuation planning for the region.