• Title/Summary/Keyword: Error estimation

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An Estimation of the Composite Sea Surface Temperature using COMS and Polar Orbit Satellites Data in Northwest Pacific Ocean (천리안 위성과 극궤도 위성 자료를 이용한 북서태평양 해역의 합성 해수면온도 산출)

  • Kim, Tae-Myung;Chung, Sung-Rae;Chung, Chu-Yong;Baek, Seonkyun
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.275-285
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    • 2017
  • National Meteorological Satellite Center(NMSC) has produced Sea Surface Temperature (SST) using Communication, Ocean, and Meteorological Satellite(COMS) data since April 2011. In this study, we have developed a new regional COMS SST algorithm optimized within the North-West Pacific Ocean area based on the Multi-Channel SST(MCSST) method and made a composite SST using polar orbit satellites as well as the COMS data. In order to retrieve the optimized SST at Northwest Pacific, we carried out a colocation process of COMS and in-situ buoy data to make coefficients of the MCSST algorithm through the new cloud masking including contaminant pixels and quality control processes of buoy data. And then, we have estimated the composite SST through the optimal interpolation method developed by National Institute of Meteorological Science(NIMS). We used four satellites SST data including COMS, NOAA-18/19(National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration-18/19), and GCOM-W1(Global Change Observation Mission-Water 1). As a result, the root mean square error ofthe composite SST for the period of July 2012 to June 2013 was $0.95^{\circ}C$ in comparison with in-situ buoy data.

Transmission Dose Estimation Algorithm for Irregularly Shaped Radiation Field (부정형 방사선 조사면에 대한 투과선량 보정 알고리즘)

  • Yun Hyong Geun;Chie Eui Kyu;Huh Soon Nyung;Wu Hong Gyun;Lee Hyoung Koo;Shin Kyo Chul;Kim Siyong;Ha Sung Whan
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.274-282
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    • 2002
  • Purpose : Measurement of transmission dose is useful for in vivo dosimetry. In this study, the algorithm for estimating the transmission dose for open radiation fields was modified for application to partially blocked radiation fields. Materials and Methods : The beam data was measured with a flat solid phantom with various blocked fields. A new correction algorithm for partially blocked radiation field was developed from the measured data. This algorithm was tested in some settings simulating clinical treatment with an irregular field shape. Results : The correction algorithm for the beam block could accurately reflect the effect of the beam block, with an error within ${\pm}1.0\%$, with both square fields and irregularly shaped fields. Conclusion : This algorithm can accurately estimate the transmission dose in most radiation treatment settings, including irregularly shaped field.

Analysis on Correlation between AE Parameters and Stress Intensity Factor using Principal Component Regression and Artificial Neural Network (주성분 회귀분석 및 인공신경망을 이용한 AE변수와 응력확대계수와의 상관관계 해석)

  • Kim, Ki-Bok;Yoon, Dong-Jin;Jeong, Jung-Chae;Park, Phi-Iip;Lee, Seung-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Nondestructive Testing
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.80-90
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    • 2001
  • The aim of this study is to develop the methodology which enables to identify the mechanical properties of element such as stress intensity factor by using the AE parameters. Considering the multivariate and nonlinear properties of AE parameters such as ringdown count, rise time, energy, event duration and peak amplitude from fatigue cracks of machine element the principal component regression(PCR) and artificial neural network(ANN) models for the estimation of stress intensity factor were developed and validated. The AE parameters were found to be very significant to estimate the stress intensity factor. Since the statistical values including correlation coefficients, standard mr of calibration, standard error of prediction and bias were stable, the PCR and ANN models for stress intensity factor were very robust. The performance of ANN model for unknown data of stress intensity factor was better than that of PCR model.

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인터넷 질의 처리를 위한 웨이블릿 변환에 기반한 통합 요약정보의 관리

  • Joe, Moon-Jeung;Whang, Kyu-Young;Kim, Sang-Wook;Shim, Kyu-Seok
    • Journal of KIISE:Databases
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.702-714
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    • 2001
  • As Internet technology evolves, there is growing need of Internet queries involving multiple information sources. Efficient processing of such queries necessitates the integrated summary data that compactly represents the data distribution of the entire database scattered over many information sources. This paper presents an efficient method of managing the integrated summary data based on the wavelet transform and addresses Internet query processing using the integrated summary data. The simplest method for creating the integrated summary data would be to summarize the integrated data sidtribution obtained by merging the data distributions in multiple information sources. However, this method suffers from the high cost of transmitting storing and merging a large amount of data distribution. To overcome the drawbacks, we propose a new wavelet transform based method that creates the integrated summary data by merging multiple summary data and effective method for optimizing Internet queries using it A wavelet transformed summary data is converted to satisfy conditions for merging. Moreover i the merging process is very simpe owing to the properties of the wavelet transform. we formally derive the upper bound of the error of the wavelet transformed intergrated summary data. Compared with the histogram-based integrated summary data the wavelet transformedintegrated summary data provesto be 1.6~5.5 time more accurate when used for selectivity estimation in experiments. In processing Internet top-N queries involving 56 information sources using the integrated summary data reduces the processing cost to 1/44 of the cost of not using it.

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An Improved Validation Technique for the Temporal Discrepancy when Estimated Solar Surface Insolation Compare with Ground-based Pyranometer: MTSAT-1R Data use (표면도달일사량 검증 시 발생하는 시간 불일치 조정을 통한 정확한 일사량 검증: MTSAT-1R 자료 이용)

  • Yeom, Jong-Min;Han, Kyung-Soo;Lee, Chang-Suk;Kim, Do-Yong
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.605-612
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    • 2008
  • In this study, we estimate solar surface insolation (SSI) by using physical methods with MTSAT-1R data. SSI is regarded as crucial parameter when interpreting solar-earth energy system, climate change, and agricultural production predict application. Most of SSI estimation model mainly uses ground based-measurement such as pyranometer to tune the constructed model and to validate retrieved SSI data from optical channels. When compared estimated SSI with pyranometer measurements, there are some systemic differences between those instruments. The pyranometer data observed upward-looking hemispherical solid angle and distributed hourly measurements data which are averaged every 2 minute instantaneous observation. Whereas MTSAT-1R channels data are taken instantaneously images at fixed measurement time over scan area, and are pixel-based observation with a much smaller solid angle view. Those temporal discrepancies result from systemic differences can induce validation error. In this study, we adjust hour when estimate SSI to improve the retrieved accurate SSI.

SAR Image Impulse Response Analysis in Real Clutter Background (실제 클러터 배경에서 SAR 영상 임펄스 응답 특성 분석)

  • Jung, Chul-Ho;Jung, Jae-Hoon;Oh, Tae-Bong;Kwang, Young-Kil
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.99-106
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    • 2008
  • A synthetic aperture radar (SAR) system is of great interest in many fields of civil and military applications because of all-weather and luminance free imaging capability. SAR image quality parameters such as spatial resolution, peak to sidelobe ratio (PSLR), and integrated sidelobe ratio (ISLR) can be normally estimated by modeling of impulse response function (IRF) which is obtained from various system design parameters such as altitude, operational frequency, PRF, etc. In modeling of IRF, however, background clutter environment surrounding the IRF is generally neglected. In this paper, analysis method for SAR mage quality is proposed in the real background clutter environment. First of all, SAR raw data of a point scatterer is generated based on various system parameters. Secondly, the generated raw data can be focused to ideal IRF by range Doppler algorithm (RDA). Finally, background clutter obtained from image of currently operating SAR system is applied to IRF. In addition, image quality is precisely analyzed by zooming and interpolation method for effective extraction of IRF, and then the effect of proposed methodology is presented with several simulation results under the assumption of estimation error of Doppler rate.

The Analysis Errors of Surface Water Temperature Using Landsat TM (Landsat TM을 이용한 표층수온 분석 오차)

  • 정종철;유신재
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 1999
  • The estimation technique of surface water temperature by satellite remote sensing has been applied to ocean and large lakes using AVHRR. However, the spatial resolution AVHBR is not abquate for coastal region and small lakes. Landsat 5 TM has 120 m spatial resolution, which suits better. We carried out analysis of surface water temperature in Lake Sihwa and near coastal area using Landsat 5 TM. To relate digital number to the brightness temperature, we applied Empirical, NASA, RESTEC, Quadratic methods. Comparing calculated and observed value, we obtained as follows; NASA method, $R^2=0.9343$, RMSE(Root Mean Square Error)=3.5876$^{\circ}C$; RESTEC method, $R^2=0.8937$, RMSE=3.76$^{\circ}C$; Quadratic method, $R^2=0.8967$, RMSE=2.949$^{\circ}C$. Because Landsat TM has only one band for extracting surface temperature, it was difficult to correct for the atmospheric errors. For improving the accuracy of surface temperature detection using Landsat TM, there is a need for a method to decrease the effect of atmospheric contents.

Optimal Sampling Method of Censored Data for Optimizing Preventive Maintenance (예방정비 최적화를 위한 중도절단 자료의 최적 샘플링 방안)

  • Lee, In-Hyun;Oh, Sea-Hwa;Li, Chang-Long;Yang, Dong-In;Lee, Key-Seo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.196-201
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    • 2013
  • As there is no failure data for the entire lifecycle of a product, when analyzing reliability measures based on early failure data only, there may be a significant error between the estimated mean life and the real one, because it can be underestimated, or on the other hand, it can be overestimated when analyzing reliability measures based on a large amount of censored data with the failure data. To resolve the issue, this study proposes an optimal sampling estimation procedure that selects the proportion of censored data to estimate the optimal distribution with the idea that the estimated distribution could be approximated as closely as the real life distribution. This would work if we sampled the optimal proportion on the censored data, because failure data has real intrinsic distribution in any situation. We validate the proposed procedure using an actual example. If the proposed method is applied to the maintenance policy of TWC (Train to Wayside Communication) system, then we can establish the optimal maintenance policy. Thus, we expect that it will be effective for improvement of reliability and cost savings.

Estimation Model for Freight of Container Ships using Deep Learning Method (딥러닝 기법을 활용한 컨테이너선 운임 예측 모델)

  • Kim, Donggyun;Choi, Jung-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.574-583
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    • 2021
  • Predicting shipping markets is an important issue. Such predictions form the basis for decisions on investment methods, fleet formation methods, freight rates, etc., which greatly affect the profits and survival of a company. To this end, in this study, we propose a shipping freight rate prediction model for container ships using gated recurrent units (GRUs) and long short-term memory structure. The target of our freight rate prediction is the China Container Freight Index (CCFI), and CCFI data from March 2003 to May 2020 were used for training. The CCFI after June 2020 was first predicted according to each model and then compared and analyzed with the actual CCFI. For the experimental model, a total of six models were designed according to the hyperparameter settings. Additionally, the ARIMA model was included in the experiment for performance comparison with the traditional analysis method. The optimal model was selected based on two evaluation methods. The first evaluation method selects the model with the smallest average value of the root mean square error (RMSE) obtained by repeating each model 10 times. The second method selects the model with the lowest RMSE in all experiments. The experimental results revealed not only the improved accuracy of the deep learning model compared to the traditional time series prediction model, ARIMA, but also the contribution in enhancing the risk management ability of freight fluctuations through deep learning models. On the contrary, in the event of sudden changes in freight owing to the effects of external factors such as the Covid-19 pandemic, the accuracy of the forecasting model reduced. The GRU1 model recorded the lowest RMSE (69.55, 49.35) in both evaluation methods, and it was selected as the optimal model.

A Prediction Method on the Accelerometer Data of the Formation Flying Low Earth Orbit Satellites Using Neural Network (신경망 모델을 사용한 편대비행 저궤도위성 가속도계 데이터 예측 기법)

  • Kim, Mingyu;Kim, Jeongrae
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.37 no.5_1
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    • pp.927-938
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    • 2021
  • A similar magnitude of non-gravitational perturbations are act on the formation flying low earth orbit satellites with a certain time difference. Using this temporal correlation, the non-gravity acceleration of the low earth orbiting satellites can be transferred for the othersatellites. There is a period in which the accelerometer data of one satellite is unavailable for GRACE and GRACE-FO satellites. In this case, the accelerometer data transplant method described above is officially used to recover the accelerometer data at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL). In this paper, we proposed a model for predicting accelerometer data of formation flying low earth orbit satellites using a neural network (NN) model to improve the estimation accuracy of the transplant method. Although the transplant method cannot reflect the satellite's position and space environmental factors, the NN model can use them as model inputs to increase the prediction accuracy. A prediction test of an accelerometer data using NN model was performed for one month, and the prediction accuracy was compared with the transplant method. The NN model outperformsthe transplant method with 55.0% and 40.1% error reduction in the along-track and radial directions, respectively.