• Title/Summary/Keyword: Ensemble prediction

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Ensemble Deep Learning Features for Real-World Image Steganalysis

  • Zhou, Ziling;Tan, Shunquan;Zeng, Jishen;Chen, Han;Hong, Shaobin
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.14 no.11
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    • pp.4557-4572
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    • 2020
  • The Alaska competition provides an opportunity to study the practical problems of real-world steganalysis. Participants are required to solve steganalysis involving various embedding schemes, inconsistency JPEG Quality Factor and various processing pipelines. In this paper, we propose a method to ensemble multiple deep learning steganalyzers. We select SRNet and RESDET as our base models. Then we design a three-layers model ensemble network to fuse these base models and output the final prediction. By separating the three colors channels for base model training and feature replacement strategy instead of simply merging features, the performance of the model ensemble is greatly improved. The proposed method won second place in the Alaska 1 competition in the end.

Water Quality Forecasting of the River Applying Ensemble Streamflow Prediction (앙상블 유출 예측기법을 적용한 하천 수질 예측)

  • Ahn, Jung Min;Ryoo, Kyong Sik;Lyu, Siwan;Lee, Sang Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.359-366
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    • 2012
  • Accurate predictions about the water quality of a river have great importance in identifying in-stream flow and water supply requirements and solving relevant environmental problems. In this study, the effect of water release from upstream dam on the downstream water quality has been investigated by applying a hydological model combined with QUAL2E to Geum River basin. The ESP (Ensemble Stream Prediction) method, which has been validated and verified by lots of researchers, was used to predict reservoir and tributary inflow. The input parameters for a combined model to predict both hydrological characteristics and water quality were identified and optimized. In order to verify the model performance, the simulated result at Gongju station, located at the downstream from Daecheong Dam, has been compared with measured data in 2008. As a result, it was found that the proposed model simulates well the values of BOD, T-N, and T-P with an acceptable reliability.

A Binary Prediction Method for Outlier Detection using One-class SVM and Spectral Clustering in High Dimensional Data (고차원 데이터에서 One-class SVM과 Spectral Clustering을 이용한 이진 예측 이상치 탐지 방법)

  • Park, Cheong Hee
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.886-893
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    • 2022
  • Outlier detection refers to the task of detecting data that deviate significantly from the normal data distribution. Most outlier detection methods compute an outlier score which indicates the degree to which a data sample deviates from normal. However, setting a threshold for an outlier score to determine if a data sample is outlier or normal is not trivial. In this paper, we propose a binary prediction method for outlier detection based on spectral clustering and one-class SVM ensemble. Given training data consisting of normal data samples, a clustering method is performed to find clusters in the training data, and the ensemble of one-class SVM models trained on each cluster finds the boundaries of the normal data. We show how to obtain a threshold for transforming outlier scores computed from the ensemble of one-class SVM models into binary predictive values. Experimental results with high dimensional text data show that the proposed method can be effectively applied to high dimensional data, especially when the normal training data consists of different shapes and densities of clusters.

Development of ensemble machine learning models for evaluating seismic demands of steel moment frames

  • Nguyen, Hoang D.;Kim, JunHee;Shin, Myoungsu
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.49-63
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    • 2022
  • This study aims to develop ensemble machine learning (ML) models for estimating the peak floor acceleration and maximum top drift of steel moment frames. For this purpose, random forest, adaptive boosting, gradient boosting regression tree (GBRT), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) models were considered. A total of 621 steel moment frames were analyzed under 240 ground motions using OpenSees software to generate the dataset for ML models. From the results, the GBRT and XGBoost models exhibited the highest performance for predicting peak floor acceleration and maximum top drift, respectively. The significance of each input variable on the prediction was examined using the best-performing models and Shapley additive explanations approach (SHAP). It turned out that the peak ground acceleration had the most significant impact on the peak floor acceleration prediction. Meanwhile, the spectral accelerations at 1 and 2 s had the most considerable influence on the maximum top drift prediction. Finally, a graphical user interface module was created that places a pioneering step for the application of ML to estimate the seismic demands of building structures in practical design.

Enhancing Autonomous Vehicle RADAR Performance Prediction Model Using Stacking Ensemble (머신러닝 스태킹 앙상블을 이용한 자율주행 자동차 RADAR 성능 향상)

  • Si-yeon Jang;Hye-lim Choi;Yun-ju Oh
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.21-28
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    • 2024
  • Radar is an essential sensor component in autonomous vehicles, and the market for radar applications in this context is steadily expanding with a growing variety of products. In this study, we aimed to enhance the stability and performance of radar systems by developing and evaluating a radar performance prediction model that can predict radar defects. We selected seven machine learning and deep learning algorithms and trained the model with a total of 49 input data types. Ultimately, when we employed an ensemble of 17 models, it exhibited the highest performance. We anticipate that these research findings will assist in predicting product defects at the production stage, thereby maximizing production yield and minimizing the costs associated with defective products.

A Study on Predicting Lung Cancer Using RNA-Sequencing Data with Ensemble Learning (앙상블 기법을 활용한 RNA-Sequencing 데이터의 폐암 예측 연구)

  • Geon AN;JooYong PARK
    • Journal of Korea Artificial Intelligence Association
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.7-14
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    • 2024
  • In this paper, we explore the application of RNA-sequencing data and ensemble machine learning to predict lung cancer and treatment strategies for lung cancer, a leading cause of cancer mortality worldwide. The research utilizes Random Forest, XGBoost, and LightGBM models to analyze gene expression profiles from extensive datasets, aiming to enhance predictive accuracy for lung cancer prognosis. The methodology focuses on preprocessing RNA-seq data to standardize expression levels across samples and applying ensemble algorithms to maximize prediction stability and reduce model overfitting. Key findings indicate that ensemble models, especially XGBoost, substantially outperform traditional predictive models. Significant genetic markers such as ADGRF5 is identified as crucial for predicting lung cancer outcomes. In conclusion, ensemble learning using RNA-seq data proves highly effective in predicting lung cancer, suggesting a potential shift towards more precise and personalized treatment approaches. The results advocate for further integration of molecular and clinical data to refine diagnostic models and improve clinical outcomes, underscoring the critical role of advanced molecular diagnostics in enhancing patient survival rates and quality of life. This study lays the groundwork for future research in the application of RNA-sequencing data and ensemble machine learning techniques in clinical settings.

Ensemble Learning-Based Prediction of Good Sellers in Overseas Sales of Domestic Books and Keyword Analysis of Reviews of the Good Sellers (앙상블 학습 기반 국내 도서의 해외 판매 굿셀러 예측 및 굿셀러 리뷰 키워드 분석)

  • Do Young Kim;Na Yeon Kim;Hyon Hee Kim
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.173-178
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    • 2023
  • As Korean literature spreads around the world, its position in the overseas publishing market has become important. As demand in the overseas publishing market continues to grow, it is essential to predict future book sales and analyze the characteristics of books that have been highly favored by overseas readers in the past. In this study, we proposed ensemble learning based prediction model and analyzed characteristics of the cumulative sales of more than 5,000 copies classified as good sellers published overseas over the past 5 years. We applied the five ensemble learning models, i.e., XGBoost, Gradient Boosting, Adaboost, LightGBM, and Random Forest, and compared them with other machine learning algorithms, i.e., Support Vector Machine, Logistic Regression, and Deep Learning. Our experimental results showed that the ensemble algorithm outperforms other approaches in troubleshooting imbalanced data. In particular, the LightGBM model obtained an AUC value of 99.86% which is the best prediction performance. Among the features used for prediction, the most important feature is the author's number of overseas publications, and the second important feature is publication in countries with the largest publication market size. The number of evaluation participants is also an important feature. In addition, text mining was performed on the four book reviews that sold the most among good-selling books. Many reviews were interested in stories, characters, and writers and it seems that support for translation is needed as many of the keywords of "translation" appear in low-rated reviews.

An Improvement Study on the Hydrological Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (HQPF) for Rainfall Impact Forecasting (호우 영향예보를 위한 수문학적 정량강우예측(HQPF) 개선 연구)

  • Yoon Hu Shin;Sung Min Kim;Yong Keun Jee;Young-Mi Lee;Byung-Sik Kim
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.87-98
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    • 2022
  • In recent years, frequent localized heavy rainfalls, which have a lot of rainfall in a short period of time, have been increasingly causing flooding damages. To prevent damage caused by localized heavy rainfalls, Hydrological Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (HQPF) was developed using the Local ENsemble prediction System (LENS) provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and Machine Learning and Probability Matching (PM) techniques using Digital forecast data. HQPF is produced as information on the impact of heavy rainfall to prepare for flooding damage caused by localized heavy rainfalls, but there is a tendency to overestimate the low rainfall intensity. In this study, we improved HQPF by expanding the period of machine learning data, analyzing ensemble techniques, and changing the process of Probability Matching (PM) techniques to improve predictive accuracy and over-predictive propensity of HQPF. In order to evaluate the predictive performance of the improved HQPF, we performed the predictive performance verification on heavy rainfall cases caused by the Changma front from August 27, 2021 to September 3, 2021. We found that the improved HQPF showed a significantly improved prediction accuracy for rainfall below 10 mm, as well as the over-prediction tendency, such as predicting the likelihood of occurrence and rainfall area similar to observation.

A Study on the Development of University Students Dropout Prediction Model Using Ensemble Technique (앙상블 기법을 활용한 대학생 중도탈락 예측 모형 개발)

  • Park, Sangsung
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.109-115
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    • 2021
  • The number of freshmen at universities is decreasing due to the recent decline in the school-age population, and the survival of many universities is threatened. To overcome this situation, universities are seeking ways to use big data within the school to improve the quality of education. A study on the prediction of dropout students is a representative case of using big data in universities. The dropout prediction can prepare a systematic management plan by identifying students who will drop out of school due to reasons such as dropout or expulsion. In the case of actual on-campus data, a large number of missing values are included because it is collected and managed by various departments. For this reason, it is necessary to construct a model by effectively reflecting the missing values. In this study, we propose a university student dropout prediction model based on eXtreme Gradient Boost that can be applied to data with many missing values and shows high performance. In order to examine the practical applicability of the proposed model, an experiment was performed using data from C University in Chungbuk. As a result of the experiment, the prediction performance of the proposed model was found to be excellent. The management strategy of dropout students can be established through the prediction results of the model proposed in this paper.

Feature Selection with Ensemble Learning for Prostate Cancer Prediction from Gene Expression

  • Abass, Yusuf Aleshinloye;Adeshina, Steve A.
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.21 no.12spc
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    • pp.526-538
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    • 2021
  • Machine and deep learning-based models are emerging techniques that are being used to address prediction problems in biomedical data analysis. DNA sequence prediction is a critical problem that has attracted a great deal of attention in the biomedical domain. Machine and deep learning-based models have been shown to provide more accurate results when compared to conventional regression-based models. The prediction of the gene sequence that leads to cancerous diseases, such as prostate cancer, is crucial. Identifying the most important features in a gene sequence is a challenging task. Extracting the components of the gene sequence that can provide an insight into the types of mutation in the gene is of great importance as it will lead to effective drug design and the promotion of the new concept of personalised medicine. In this work, we extracted the exons in the prostate gene sequences that were used in the experiment. We built a Deep Neural Network (DNN) and Bi-directional Long-Short Term Memory (Bi-LSTM) model using a k-mer encoding for the DNA sequence and one-hot encoding for the class label. The models were evaluated using different classification metrics. Our experimental results show that DNN model prediction offers a training accuracy of 99 percent and validation accuracy of 96 percent. The bi-LSTM model also has a training accuracy of 95 percent and validation accuracy of 91 percent.