• Title/Summary/Keyword: Ensemble Average

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Research on ITB Contract Terms Classification Model for Risk Management in EPC Projects: Deep Learning-Based PLM Ensemble Techniques (EPC 프로젝트의 위험 관리를 위한 ITB 문서 조항 분류 모델 연구: 딥러닝 기반 PLM 앙상블 기법 활용)

  • Hyunsang Lee;Wonseok Lee;Bogeun Jo;Heejun Lee;Sangjin Oh;Sangwoo You;Maru Nam;Hyunsik Lee
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.12 no.11
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    • pp.471-480
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    • 2023
  • The Korean construction order volume in South Korea grew significantly from 91.3 trillion won in public orders in 2013 to a total of 212 trillion won in 2021, particularly in the private sector. As the size of the domestic and overseas markets grew, the scale and complexity of EPC (Engineering, Procurement, Construction) projects increased, and risk management of project management and ITB (Invitation to Bid) documents became a critical issue. The time granted to actual construction companies in the bidding process following the EPC project award is not only limited, but also extremely challenging to review all the risk terms in the ITB document due to manpower and cost issues. Previous research attempted to categorize the risk terms in EPC contract documents and detect them based on AI, but there were limitations to practical use due to problems related to data, such as the limit of labeled data utilization and class imbalance. Therefore, this study aims to develop an AI model that can categorize the contract terms based on the FIDIC Yellow 2017(Federation Internationale Des Ingenieurs-Conseils Contract terms) standard in detail, rather than defining and classifying risk terms like previous research. A multi-text classification function is necessary because the contract terms that need to be reviewed in detail may vary depending on the scale and type of the project. To enhance the performance of the multi-text classification model, we developed the ELECTRA PLM (Pre-trained Language Model) capable of efficiently learning the context of text data from the pre-training stage, and conducted a four-step experiment to validate the performance of the model. As a result, the ensemble version of the self-developed ITB-ELECTRA model and Legal-BERT achieved the best performance with a weighted average F1-Score of 76% in the classification of 57 contract terms.

Near-wake Measurements of an Oscillating NACA 0012 Airfoil (진동하는 NACA 0012 에어포일의 근접후류 측정)

  • Kim, Dong-Ha;Kim, Hak-Bong;Jang, Jo-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.34 no.12
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2006
  • An experimental study was carried out in order to investigate the influence of Reynolds number on the near-wake of an oscillating airfoil. An NACA 0012 airfoil was sinusoidally pitched at the quarter chord point, and is oscillated over a range of instantaneous angles of attack of $\pm$6$^{\circ}$. An X-type hot-wire probe was employed to measure the near-wake of an oscillating airfoil, and the smoke-wire visualization technique was used to examine the flow properties of the boundary layer. The free-stream velocities were 1.98, 2.83 and 4.03 m/s and the corresponding chord Reynolds numbers were 2.3${\times}10^4$, 3.3$\times$104 and 4.8${\times}10^4$, respectively. The frequency of airfoil oscillation was adjusted to fix a reduced frequency of K=0.1. The results show that the properties of the boundary layer and the near-wake can dramatically be distinguished in the range of Reynolds numbers between 2.3${\times}10^4$ and 3.3${\times}10^4$, on the other hand, it is similar in the cases of Re=3.3$\times$104 and 4.8$\times$104. This is caused by that the unsteady separation point is dramatically delayed in case of Re= 2.3${\times}10^4$.

Drag Coefficient Variations of an Oscillating NACA 0012 Airfoil (진동하는 NACA 0012 에어포일에서의 항력계수 변화)

  • Kim, Dong-Ha;Chang, Jo-Won;Kim, Hak-Bong;Jeon, Chang-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.137-145
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    • 2008
  • An experimental study was performed in order to investigate the influence of Reynolds number on the drag coefficient variations of an oscillating airfoil. A NACA 0012 airfoil was sinusoidally pitched at the quarter chord point with an oscillating amplitude of ${\pm}6^{\circ}$. The free-stream velocities were 1.98, 2.83 and 4.03 m/s and the corresponding chord Reynolds numbers were $2.3{\times}10^4$, $3.3{\times}10^4$ and $4.8{\times}10^4$, respectively. The drag coefficient was calculated from the ensemble average velocity measured by an X-type hot-wire probe(X-type, 55R51) in the near-wakes region. In the case of Re=$2.3{\times}10^4$, variation of drag coefficient shows a negative damping (counter-clockwise variation), which implies an unstable state which could be excited by aerodynamic force, whereas the drag coefficient represents the positive damping (clockwise variation) as the Reynolds number increases from Re=$3.3{\times}10^4$ to $4.8{\times}10^4$. Hence, the drag coefficient variations show significant differences between Re=$2.3{\times}10^4$ and $4.8{\times}10^4$이다.

Development of A-ABR System Using a Microprocessor (마이크로프로세서를 이용한 자동청력검사 시스템 개발)

  • Noh, Hyung-Wook;Lee, Tak-Hyung;Kim, Nam-Hyun;Kim, Soo-Chan;Cha, Eun-Jong;Kim, Deok-Won
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SC
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.15-21
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    • 2009
  • Hearing loss is one of the most common birth defects among infants. Most of hearing-impaired children are not diagnosed until 1 to 3 years of age - which is too late for the critical period (6 month) for normal speech and language development. If a hearing impairment is identified and treated in its early stage, child's speech and language skills could be comparable to his or her normal-hearing peers. For these reasons, hearing screening at birth and throughout childhood is extremely important. ABR (Auditory brain-stem response) is nowadays one of the most reliable diagnostic tools in the early detection of hearing impairment. In this study, we have developed the system that automatically detects if there is hearing impairment or not for infants or children. For future studies, it will be developed as a portable system to be able to take a measurement not only in sound proof room but also in nursery for neonates.

Automated algorithm of automated auditory brainstem response for neonates (신생아 청성뇌간 반응의 자동 판독 알고리즘)

  • Jung, Won-Hyuk;Hong, Hyun-Ki;Nam, Ki-Chang;Cha, Eun-Jong;Kim, Deok-Won
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SC
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.100-107
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    • 2007
  • AABR(automated auditory brainstem response) test is used for the screening purpose of hearing ability of neonates. In this paper, algorithm using Rolle's theorem is suggested for automatic detection of the ensemble averaged ABR waveform. The ABR waveforms were recorded from 55 normal-hearing ears of neonates at screening levels varying from 30 to 60 dBnHL. Recorded signals were analyzed by expert audiologist and by the proposed algorithm. The results showed that the proposed algorithm correctly identified latencies of the major ABR waves (III, V) with latent difference below 0.2 ms. No significant differences were found between the two methods. We also analyzed the ABR signals using derivative algorithm and compared the results with proposed algorithm. The number of detected candidate waves using the proposed algorithm was 47 % less than that of the existing one. The proposed method had lower relative errors (0.01 % error at 60dBnHL) compared to the existing one. By using proposed algorithm, clinicians can detect and label waves III and V more objectively and quantitatively than the manual detection method.

A Study on the Predictability of the Number of Days of Heat and Cold Damages by Growth Stages of Rice Using PNU CGCM-WRF Chain in South Korea (PNU CGCM-WRF Chain을 이용한 남한지역 벼의 생육단계별 고온해 및 저온해 발생일수에 대한 예측성 연구)

  • Kim, Young-Hyun;Choi, Myeong-Ju;Shim, Kyo-Moon;Hur, Jina;Jo, Sera;Ahn, Joong-Bae
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.577-592
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    • 2021
  • This study evaluates the predictability of the number of days of heat and cold damages by growth stages of rice in South Korea using the hindcast data (1986~2020) produced by Pusan National University Coupled General Circulation Model-Weather Research and Forecasting (PNU CGCM-WRF) model chain. The predictability is accessed in terms of Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Normalized Standardized Deviations (NSD), Hit Rate (HR) and Heidke Skill Score (HSS). For the purpose, the model predictability to produce the daily maximum and minimum temperatures, which are the variables used to define heat and cold damages for rice, are evaluated first. The result shows that most of the predictions starting the initial conditions from January to May (01RUN to 05RUN) have reasonable predictability, although it varies to some extent depending on the month at which integration starts. In particular, the ensemble average of 01RUN to 05RUN with equal weighting (ENS) has more reasonable predictability (RMSE is in the range of 1.2~2.6℃ and NSD is about 1.0) than individual RUNs. Accordingly, the regional patterns and characteristics of the predicted damages for rice due to excessive high- and low-temperatures are well captured by the model chain when compared with observation, particularly in regions where the damages occur frequently, in spite that hindcasted data somewhat overestimate the damages in terms of number of occurrence days. In ENS, the HR and HSS for heat (cold) damages in rice is in the ranges of 0.44~0.84 and 0.05~0.13 (0.58~0.81 and -0.01~0.10) by growth stage. Overall, it is concluded that the PNU CGCM-WRF chain of 01RUN~05RUN and ENS has reasonable capability to predict the heat and cold damages for rice in South Korea.

A Machine Learning-Based Encryption Behavior Cognitive Technique for Ransomware Detection (랜섬웨어 탐지를 위한 머신러닝 기반 암호화 행위 감지 기법)

  • Yoon-Cheol Hwang
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.21 no.12
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    • pp.55-62
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    • 2023
  • Recent ransomware attacks employ various techniques and pathways, posing significant challenges in early detection and defense. Consequently, the scale of damage is continually growing. This paper introduces a machine learning-based approach for effective ransomware detection by focusing on file encryption and encryption patterns, which are pivotal functionalities utilized by ransomware. Ransomware is identified by analyzing password behavior and encryption patterns, making it possible to detect specific ransomware variants and new types of ransomware, thereby mitigating ransomware attacks effectively. The proposed machine learning-based encryption behavior detection technique extracts encryption and encryption pattern characteristics and trains them using a machine learning classifier. The final outcome is an ensemble of results from two classifiers. The classifier plays a key role in determining the presence or absence of ransomware, leading to enhanced accuracy. The proposed technique is implemented using the numpy, pandas, and Python's Scikit-Learn library. Evaluation indicators reveal an average accuracy of 94%, precision of 95%, recall rate of 93%, and an F1 score of 95%. These performance results validate the feasibility of ransomware detection through encryption behavior analysis, and further research is encouraged to enhance the technique for proactive ransomware detection.

Changes in Mean Temperature and Warmth Index on the Korean Peninsula under SSP-RCP Climate Change Scenarios (SSP-RCP 기후변화 시나리오 기반 한반도의 평균 기온 및 온량지수 변화)

  • Jina Hur;Yongseok Kim;Sera Jo;Eung-Sup Kim;Mingu Kang;Kyo-Moon Shim;Seung-Gil Hong
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.123-138
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    • 2024
  • Using 18 multi-model-based a Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) and Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) climate change scenarios, future changes in temperature and warmth index on the Korean Peninsula in the 21st century (2011~2100) were analyzed. In the analysis of the current climate (1981~2010), the ensemble averaged model results were found to reproduce the observed average values and spatial patterns of temperature and warmth index similarly well. In the future climate projections, temperature and warmth index are expected to rise in the 21st century compared to the current climate. They go further into the future and the higher carbon scenario (SSP5-8.5), the larger the increase. In the 21st century, in the low-carbon scenario (SSP1-2.6), temperature and warmth index are expected to rise by about 2.5℃ and 24.6%, respectively, compared to the present, while in the high-carbon scenario, they are expected to rise by about 6.2℃ and 63.9%, respectively. It was analyzed that reducing carbon emissions could contribute to reducing the increase in temperature and warmth index. The increase in the warmth index due to climate change can be positively analyzed to indicate that the effective heat required for plant growth on the Korean Peninsula will be stably secured. However, it is necessary to comprehensively consider negative aspects such as changes in growth conditions during the plant growth period, increase in extreme weather such as abnormally high temperatures, and decrease in plant diversity. This study can be used as basic scientific information for adapting to climate change and preparing response measures.

A Study on the Prediction of Suitability Change of Forage Crop Italian Ryegrass (Lolium multiflorum L.) using Spatial Distribution Model (공간분포모델을 활용한 사료작물 이탈리안 라이그라스(Lolium multiflorum L.)의 재배적지 변동예측연구)

  • Kim, Hyunae;Hyun, Shinwoo;Kim, Kwang Soo
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.103-113
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    • 2014
  • Under climate change, it is likely that the suitable area for forage crop cultivation would change in Korea. The potential cultivation areas for italian ryegrass (Lolium multiflorum L.), which has been considered one of an important forage crop in Korea, were identified using the EcoCrop model. To minimize the uncertainty associated with future projection under climate change, an ensemble approach was attempted using five climate change scenarios as inputs to the EcoCrop model. Our results indicated that most districts had relatively high suitability, e.g., >80, for italian ryegrass in South Korea. Still, suitability of the crop was considerably low in mountainous areas because it was assumed that a given variety of italian ryegrass had limited cold tolerance. It was predicted that suitability of italian ryegrass would increase until 2050s but decrease in 2080s in a relatively large number of regions due to high temperature. In North Korea, suitability of italian ryegrass was considerably low, e.g., 28 on average. Under climate change, however, it was projected that suitability of italian ryegrass would increase until 2080s. For example, suitability of italian ryegrass was more than 80 in 10 districts out of 14 by 2080s. Because cold tolerance of italian ryegrass varieties has been improved, it would be preferable to optimize parameters of the EcoCrop model for those varieties. In addition, it would be possible to grow italian ryegrass as the second crop following rice in Korea in the future. Thus, it merits further study to identify suitable areas for italian ryegrass cultivation after rice using new varieties of italian ryegrass.

A Recidivism Prediction Model Based on XGBoost Considering Asymmetric Error Costs (비대칭 오류 비용을 고려한 XGBoost 기반 재범 예측 모델)

  • Won, Ha-Ram;Shim, Jae-Seung;Ahn, Hyunchul
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.127-137
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    • 2019
  • Recidivism prediction has been a subject of constant research by experts since the early 1970s. But it has become more important as committed crimes by recidivist steadily increase. Especially, in the 1990s, after the US and Canada adopted the 'Recidivism Risk Assessment Report' as a decisive criterion during trial and parole screening, research on recidivism prediction became more active. And in the same period, empirical studies on 'Recidivism Factors' were started even at Korea. Even though most recidivism prediction studies have so far focused on factors of recidivism or the accuracy of recidivism prediction, it is important to minimize the prediction misclassification cost, because recidivism prediction has an asymmetric error cost structure. In general, the cost of misrecognizing people who do not cause recidivism to cause recidivism is lower than the cost of incorrectly classifying people who would cause recidivism. Because the former increases only the additional monitoring costs, while the latter increases the amount of social, and economic costs. Therefore, in this paper, we propose an XGBoost(eXtream Gradient Boosting; XGB) based recidivism prediction model considering asymmetric error cost. In the first step of the model, XGB, being recognized as high performance ensemble method in the field of data mining, was applied. And the results of XGB were compared with various prediction models such as LOGIT(logistic regression analysis), DT(decision trees), ANN(artificial neural networks), and SVM(support vector machines). In the next step, the threshold is optimized to minimize the total misclassification cost, which is the weighted average of FNE(False Negative Error) and FPE(False Positive Error). To verify the usefulness of the model, the model was applied to a real recidivism prediction dataset. As a result, it was confirmed that the XGB model not only showed better prediction accuracy than other prediction models but also reduced the cost of misclassification most effectively.