• Title/Summary/Keyword: Empirical operator data

Search Result 29, Processing Time 0.033 seconds

Evaluating Variable Selection Techniques for Multivariate Linear Regression (다중선형회귀모형에서의 변수선택기법 평가)

  • Ryu, Nahyeon;Kim, Hyungseok;Kang, Pilsung
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
    • /
    • v.42 no.5
    • /
    • pp.314-326
    • /
    • 2016
  • The purpose of variable selection techniques is to select a subset of relevant variables for a particular learning algorithm in order to improve the accuracy of prediction model and improve the efficiency of the model. We conduct an empirical analysis to evaluate and compare seven well-known variable selection techniques for multiple linear regression model, which is one of the most commonly used regression model in practice. The variable selection techniques we apply are forward selection, backward elimination, stepwise selection, genetic algorithm (GA), ridge regression, lasso (Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator) and elastic net. Based on the experiment with 49 regression data sets, it is found that GA resulted in the lowest error rates while lasso most significantly reduces the number of variables. In terms of computational efficiency, forward/backward elimination and lasso requires less time than the other techniques.

Learning Search Control Knowledge From the analysis of Goal Interactions (목표들간 상호간섭의 분석을 통한 탐색제어 지식의 학습)

  • Kwang Ryel Ryu
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics B
    • /
    • v.30B no.11
    • /
    • pp.74-83
    • /
    • 1993
  • This paper presents methodology which enables the derivation of goal ordering rules from the analysis of problem failures. We examine all the possible ways of taking actions that lead to failures. If there are restrictions imposed by a problem state on possible actions to be taken, the restrictions manifest themselves in the form of a restricted set of possible operator bindings. Our method makes use of this observation to derive general control rules which are guaranteed to be correct. The overhead involved in learning is very low because this methodology needs only small amount of data to learn from namely, the goal stacks from the leaf nodes of a failure search tree. Empirical tests show that the rules derived by our system PAL couperform those derived by other systems such as PRODIGY and STATIC.

  • PDF

Integer-Valued HAR(p) model with Poisson distribution for forecasting IPO volumes

  • SeongMin Yu;Eunju Hwang
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.30 no.3
    • /
    • pp.273-289
    • /
    • 2023
  • In this paper, we develop a new time series model for predicting IPO (initial public offering) data with non-negative integer value. The proposed model is based on integer-valued autoregressive (INAR) model with a Poisson thinning operator. Just as the heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model with daily, weekly and monthly averages in a form of cascade, the integer-valued heterogeneous autoregressive (INHAR) model is considered to reflect efficiently the long memory. The parameters of the INHAR model are estimated using the conditional least squares estimate and Yule-Walker estimate. Through simulations, bias and standard error are calculated to compare the performance of the estimates. Effects of model fitting to the Korea's IPO are evaluated using performance measures such as mean square error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) etc. The results show that INHAR model provides better performance than traditional INAR model. The empirical analysis of the Korea's IPO indicates that our proposed model is efficient in forecasting monthly IPO volumes.

An Analysis of Haeseong Guided Missile Reliability (Using Field Data) (해성 유도탄 발사체계 신뢰도 분석(야전운용제원 활용))

  • Hur, Jangwan;Min, Seungsik;Oh, Kyungwon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
    • /
    • 2017.05a
    • /
    • pp.142-143
    • /
    • 2017
  • As weapons systems are fused with advanced technologies, many of the expenses for research and development are favorites, and that group demands high reliability of weapons systems before the lifecycle. However, empirical studies on the reliability of defense weapons systems are restricted to lack of attention and limitation of data. In this research, we proposed the process of collecting field operation specifications based on the experience gathered by visiting directly to the weapons system operator's trap, strategy and maintenance support force (COMROKFLT, Naval Logistics Command, Naval Shipyard, production company). We used this to derive the operation MTBF of the solubility inducing bullet shooting system and compared it with the target value at the time of development.

  • PDF

Analyzing the Economic Effects of Past Mobile Network Sharing Deals for Future Network Deployment

  • Kim, Dongwook;Kim, Sungbum;Zo, Hangjung
    • ETRI Journal
    • /
    • v.40 no.3
    • /
    • pp.355-365
    • /
    • 2018
  • The increase in data traffic calls for investment in mobile networks; however, the saturating revenue of mobile broadband and increasing capital expenditure are discouraging mobile operators from investing in next-generation mobile networks. Mobile network sharing is a viable solution for operators and regulators to resolve this dilemma. This research uses a difference-in-differences analysis of 33 operators (including 11 control operators) to empirically evaluate the cost reduction effect of mobile network sharing. The results indicate a reduction in overall operating expenditure and short-term capital expenditure by national roaming. This finding implies that future technology and standards development should focus on flexible network operation and maintenance, energy efficiency, and maximizing economies of scale in radio access networks. Furthermore, mobile network sharing will become more viable and relevant in a 5G network deployment as spectrum bands are likely to increase the total cost of ownership of mobile networks and technical enablers will facilitate network sharing.

The Effects of Market Sensing Capability and Information Technology Competency on Innovation and Competitive Advantage

  • KHRISTIANTO, Wheny;SUHARYONO, Suharyono;PANGESTUTI, Edriana;MAWARDI, Mukhammad Kholid
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.8 no.3
    • /
    • pp.1009-1019
    • /
    • 2021
  • This study examined the effect of market sensing capability and information technology competency (IT competency) on innovation and competitive advantage in small and medium-sized tour operators (SMTOs). This research was conducted on the SMTOs located in three major cities for a tourism destination, meeting, and exhibition in East Java, Indonesia. 175 directors or managers of SMTOs were sampled using the purposive sampling technique. Data was obtained from directors or managers using a structured questionnaire. The empirical data was then analyzed by using Structural Equation Modeling (SEM). This study showed that market sensing capability positively and significantly affects innovation. Furthermore, competitive advantage was positively and significantly affected by market sensing capability. Although results showed that IT competence positively and significantly affects innovation, in contrast, it did not positively and significantly affect competitive advantage. These research findings suggest that market sensing capability and innovation have a substantial role in creating a competitive advantage for SMTOs facing the Revolution Industry 4.0 and a dynamic environment. Thus, innovation for SMTOs can be achieved by optimizing the role of market sensing capability and IT competency. However, this study also suggests that the capability or competence will not have any impact on competitive advantage if neither is optimized.

Development of Machine Learning-Based Platform for Distillation Column (증류탑을 위한 머신러닝 기반 플랫폼 개발)

  • Oh, Kwang Cheol;Kwon, Hyukwon;Roh, Jiwon;Choi, Yeongryeol;Park, Hyundo;Cho, Hyungtae;Kim, Junghwan
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.58 no.4
    • /
    • pp.565-572
    • /
    • 2020
  • This study developed a software platform using machine learning of artificial intelligence to optimize the distillation column system. The distillation column is representative and core process in the petrochemical industry. Process stabilization is difficult due to various operating conditions and continuous process characteristics, and differences in process efficiency occur depending on operator skill. The process control based on the theoretical simulation was used to overcome this problem, but it has a limitation which it can't apply to complex processes and real-time systems. This study aims to develop an empirical simulation model based on machine learning and to suggest an optimal process operation method. The development of empirical simulations involves collecting big data from the actual process, feature extraction through data mining, and representative algorithm for the chemical process. Finally, the platform for the distillation column was developed with verification through a developed model and field tests. Through the developed platform, it is possible to predict the operating parameters and provided optimal operating conditions to achieve efficient process control. This study is the basic study applying the artificial intelligence machine learning technique for the chemical process. After application on a wide variety of processes and it can be utilized to the cornerstone of the smart factory of the industry 4.0.

An Exploratory Analysis on the User Response Pattern and Quality Characteristics of Marketing Contents in the SNS of Regional Government (지역마케팅 콘텐츠의 사용자 반응패턴과 품질특성에 관한 탐색적 분석: 지방자치단체가 운영하는 SNS를 중심으로)

  • Jeong, Yeon-Su;Jeong, Dae-Yul
    • The Journal of Information Systems
    • /
    • v.26 no.4
    • /
    • pp.419-442
    • /
    • 2017
  • Purpose The purpose of this study is to explore the pattern of user response and it's duration time through social media content response analysis. We also analyze the characteristics of content quality factors which are associate with the user response pattern. The analysis results will provide some implications to develop strategies and schematic plans for the operator of regional marketing on the SNS. Design/methodology/approach This study used mixed methods to verify the effects and responses of social media contents on the users who have concerns about regional events such as local festival, cultural events, and city tours etc. Big data analysis was conducted with the quantitative data from regional government SNSs. The data was collected through web crawling in order to analyze the social media contents. We especially analyzed the contents duration time and peak level time. This study also analyzed the characteristics of contents quality factors using expert evaluation data on the social media contents. Finally, we verify the relationship between the contents quality factors and user response types by cross correlation analysis. Findings According to the big data analysis, we could find some content life cycle which can be explained through empirical distribution with peak time pattern and left skewed long tail. The user response patterns are dependent on time and contents quality. In addition, this study confirms that the level of quality of social media content is closely relate to user interaction and response pattern. As a result of the contents response pattern analysis, it is necessary to develop high quality contents design strategy and content posting and propagation tactics. The SNS operators need to develop high quality contents using rich-media technology and active response contents that induce opinion leader on the SNS.

Electricity Price Forecasting in Ontario Electricity Market Using Wavelet Transform in Artificial Neural Network Based Model

  • Aggarwal, Sanjeev Kumar;Saini, Lalit Mohan;Kumar, Ashwani
    • International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
    • /
    • v.6 no.5
    • /
    • pp.639-650
    • /
    • 2008
  • Electricity price forecasting has become an integral part of power system operation and control. In this paper, a wavelet transform (WT) based neural network (NN) model to forecast price profile in a deregulated electricity market has been presented. The historical price data has been decomposed into wavelet domain constitutive sub series using WT and then combined with the other time domain variables to form the set of input variables for the proposed forecasting model. The behavior of the wavelet domain constitutive series has been studied based on statistical analysis. It has been observed that forecasting accuracy can be improved by the use of WT in a forecasting model. Multi-scale analysis from one to seven levels of decomposition has been performed and the empirical evidence suggests that accuracy improvement is highest at third level of decomposition. Forecasting performance of the proposed model has been compared with (i) a heuristic technique, (ii) a simulation model used by Ontario's Independent Electricity System Operator (IESO), (iii) a Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) model, (iv) NN model, (v) Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model, (vi) Dynamic Regression (DR) model, and (vii) Transfer Function (TF) model. Forecasting results show that the performance of the proposed WT based NN model is satisfactory and it can be used by the participants to respond properly as it predicts price before closing of window for submission of initial bids.

The Relationship of Information System Resources distribution Between the System Plan.Control and System Development and System Operation (시스템 계획 및 통제, 개발, 운영 차원에서의 정보시스템 자원 분산화에 관한 연구)

  • Jung Lee-Sang;Han Jung-Hee
    • Management & Information Systems Review
    • /
    • v.2
    • /
    • pp.133-167
    • /
    • 1998
  • This article discusses the findings of an empirical study conducted on 62 large organizations. The major purpose of the study was to analyze the relationship of Information System Resources distribution between the system plan control and system development and system operation. In this study information system resource is broadly Identified by computer hardware, software, data, procedure, operator. Because of the real centralization/decentralization issue facing organizations is much broader then the choice between alternative computer hardware configurations. And there are three separate resources of the information system that can be decentralized system plan and control, system development, system operations. The decision regarding how to organize each of these three separate resources is based on a different set of criteria. Furthermore, each decision can be made relatively independently of the others. In this article the results of a study are indicated below. In the degree of decentralization of information system resources between system plan control and system development and system operations were found the positive relationship. Therefore, the more information system resources are decentralized in the one dimension, the more information system resources are decentralized in the other dimensions, and the more information system resources are centralized in the one dimension, the more information system resources are centralized in the other dimensions.

  • PDF