• Title/Summary/Keyword: Effort Estimation

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A sampling scheme for the estimation of low proportion (낮은 모비율 추정을 위한 표본추출방법)

  • 김지현
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 1995
  • In sample survey for the estimation of low proportion, usually a large size of sample is required for a meaningful estimator. If the cost of a sample unit is high, we have to make every effort to improve the precision of the estimator. In this study, a new efficient allocation method of sample size in stratified sampling is proposed provided we have some prior information for the stratification.

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AGV travel time estimation for an AGV-based transport system (AGV기반 운반체계에서의 차량이동시간에 관한 연구)

  • 구평회;장재진
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2000.04a
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    • pp.5-8
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    • 2000
  • Vehicle travel time (empty travel time pius loaded travel time) is a key parameter for designing AGV-based material handling systems. Especially, the determination of empty vehicle travel time is difficult because of the stochastic nature of the empty vehicle locations. This paper presents a method to estimate vehicle travel times for AGV-based material transport systems. The model considers probabilistic aspects for the travel time and vehicle location under random vehicle selection rule and nearest vehicle selection rule. The estimation of empty travel time is of major effort. Simulation experiments are used to verify the proposed travel time model, and the simulation results show that the presented model provides reasonable travel time estimations.

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The Design of a Position Controller for the Linear Brushless D.C. Motor Using New Auto-tuning PI control Method (새로운 Auto-Tuning PI 제어 방법을 이용한 선형 추진 브러시리스 직류 전동기에 대한 위치 제어기 설계)

  • 최중경;박승엽;전인효
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 1999.06a
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    • pp.1121-1124
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    • 1999
  • Linear motor is able to produce line movement without rotary-to-line converter at the system required line moving. Thus Linear motor has no gear, screw, belt for line movement. Therefore it has some advantage which decrease friction loss, noise, vibration, maintenance effort and prevent decay of control performance due to backlash. This paper proposes the estimation method of unknown parameters from the BLDC Linear motor and determine the PI controller gain through this estimation. Each control movement that is current, speed, position control, and PWM wave generation is performed on Processor, which is DSP(Digital Signal Processor), having high speed performance. PI theory is adopted to each for controller for control behavior More fast convergence to command position is accomplished by applying the new velocity locus which derived from position error.

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Model Updating Using the Closed-loop Natural Frequency (폐루프 공진 주파수를 이용한 모델 개선법)

  • Jung Hunsang;Park Youngjin
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.14 no.9 s.90
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    • pp.801-810
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    • 2004
  • Parameter modification of a linear finite element model(FEM) based on modal sensitivity matrix is usually performed through an effort to match FEM modal data to experimental ones. However, there are cases where this method can't be applied successfully; lack of reliable modal data and ill-conditioning of the modal sensitivity matrix constitute such cases. In this research, a novel concept of introducing feedback loops to the conventional modal test setup is proposed. This method uses closed-loop natural frequency data for parameter modification to overcome the problems associated with the conventional method based on modal sensitivity matrix. We proposed the whole procedure of parameter modification using the closed-loop natural frequency data including the modal sensitivity modification and controller design method. Proposed controller design method is efficient in changing modes. Numerical simulation of parameter estimation based on time-domain input/output data is provided to demonstrate the estimation performance of the proposed method.

Case-Selective Neural Network Model and Its Application to Software Effort Estimation

  • Jun, Eung-Sup
    • Annual Conference of KIPS
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.363-366
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    • 2001
  • It is very difficult to maintain the performance of estimation models for the new breed of projects since the computing environment changes so rapidly in terms of programming languages, development tools, and methodologies. So, we propose to use the relevant cases for a neural network model, whose cost is the decreased number of cases. To balance the relevance and data availability, the qualitative input factors are used as criteria of data classification. With the data sets that have the same value for certain qualitative input factors, we can eliminate the factors from the model making reduced neural network models. So we need to seek the optimally reduced neural network model among them. To find the optimally case-selective neural network, we propose the search techniques and sensitivity analysis between data points and search space.

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Nonparametric kernel calibration and interval estimation (비모수적 커널교정과 구간추정)

  • 이재창;전명식;김대학
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.227-235
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    • 1993
  • Calibration relates the estimation of independent variable which rquires more effort or expense than dependent variable does. It would be provided with high accuracy because a little change of the result of independent variable cn cause a serious effect to the human being. Usual statistical analysis assumes the normality of error distribution or linearity of data. It is desirable to analyze the data without those assumptions for the accuracy of the calibration. In this paper, we calibrated the data nonparametrically without those assumptions and derived confidence interval estimate for the independent variable. As a method, we used kernel method which is popular in modern statistical branch. We derived bootstrap confidence interval estimate from the bootstrap confidence band.

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STATISTICALLY PREPROCESSED DATA BASED PARAMETRIC COST MODEL FOR BUILDING PROJECTS

  • Sae-Hyun Ji;Moonseo Park;Hyun-Soo Lee
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.417-424
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    • 2009
  • For a construction project to progress smoothly, effective cost estimation is vital, particularly in the conceptual and schematic design stages. In these early phases, despite the fact that initial estimates are highly sensitive to changes in project scope, owners require accurate forecasts which reflect their supplying information. Thus, cost estimators need effective estimation strategies. Practically, parametric cost estimates are the most commonly used method in these initial phases, which utilizes historical cost data (Karshenas 1984, Kirkham 2007). Hence, compilation of historical data regarding appropriate cost variance governing parameters is a prime requirement. However, precedent practice of data mining (data preprocessing) for denoising internal errors or abnormal values is needed before compilation. As an effort to deal with this issue, this research proposed a statistical methodology for data preprocessing and verified that data preprocessing has a positive impact on the enhancement of estimate accuracy and stability. Moreover, Statistically Preprocessed data Based Parametric (SPBP) cost models are developed based on multiple regression equations and verified their effectiveness compared with conventional cost models.

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The discrepancy between the estimation for diabetic control and the HbA1C value in diabetic patients (당뇨병 환자의 혈당 조절 정도에 대한 인식과 HbA1C 값 비교)

  • Jo, Hyeon-Jeong;Ryu, Jin-Hwan;Ye, Seong-Ho;Kim, Yu-Il;Heo, Bong-Ryeol
    • Journal of Korea Association of Health Promotion
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2006
  • Background : Diabetes mellitus is chronic condition which needs patients' understanding of disease status and effort for disease control. We investigated whether the patients' estimation for blood glucose control was reliable or not comparing with their HbA1C value, Method: Among people who visited one health promotion center in Seoul from 1995 to 2003,those who answered as having diabetes mellitus on self reported questionnaire were identified. Subsequent question was whether his or her diabetes was well controlled or not. We compared these replies with their HbA1C values. When their HbA1C values were below7% with answering not well controlled, we analyzed if there was any variable which can predict the discrepancy. And the same analyze we did for the opposite situation. Result: A total of 1193 patients were eligible. Those who answered as well controlled formed32.9% of the group with HbA1C values above 7%. In the cases with well controlled though significantly associated with this discrepancy, Conclusion: Considerable proportion of diabetic patients' estimation for diabetic control status was not matched with glycemic control guideline. For successful management of diabetes mellitus, more efforts for patient education and communication skills are essential.

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An Improvement of Estimation Method of Source Term to the Environment for Interfacing System LOCA for Typical PWR Using MELCOR code

  • Han, Seok-Jung;Kim, Tae-Woon;Ahn, Kwang-Il
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.106-113
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    • 2017
  • Background: Interfacing-system loss-of-coolant-accident (ISLOCA) has been identified as the most hazardous accident scenario in the typical PWR plants. The present study as an effort to improve the knowledge of the source term to the environment during ISLOCA focuses on an improvement of the estimation method. Materials and Methods: The improvement was performed to take into account an effect of broken pipeline and auxiliary building structures relevant to ISLOCA. An estimation of the source term to the environment was for the OPR-1000 plants by MELOCR code version 1.8.6. Results and Discussion: The key features of the source term showed that the massive amount of fission products departed from the beginning of core degradation to the vessel breach. Conclusion: The release amount of fission products may be affected by the broken pipeline and the auxiliary building structure associated with release pathway.

Computer-aided approach of parameters influencing concrete service life and field validation

  • Papadakis, V.G.;Efstathiou, M.P.;Apostolopoulos, C.A.
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2007
  • Over the past decades, an enormous amount of effort has been expended in laboratory and field studies on concrete durability estimation. The results of this research are still either widely scattered in the journal literature or mentioned briefly in the standard textbooks. Moreover, the theoretical approaches of deterioration mechanisms with a predictive character are limited to some complicated mathematical models not widespread in practice. A significant step forward could be the development of appropriate software for computer-based estimation of concrete service life, including reliable mathematical models and adequate experimental data. In the present work, the basis for the development of a computer estimation of the concrete service life is presented. After the definition of concrete mix design and structure characteristics, as well as the consideration regarding the environmental conditions where the structure will be found, the concrete service life can be reliably predicted using fundamental mathematical models that simulate the deterioration mechanisms. The prediction is focused on the basic deterioration phenomena of reinforced concrete, such as carbonation and chloride penetration, that initiate the reinforcing bars corrosion. Aspects on concrete strength and the production cost are also considered. Field observations and data collection from existing structures are compared with predictions of service life using the above model. A first attempt to develop a database of service lives of different types of reinforced concrete structure exposed to varying environments is finally included.