• 한국가스학회지
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• 제22권2호
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• pp.21-28
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• 2018

최근 셰일가스 생산량의 급증에 따른 유 가스 가격 하락이 셰일가스 생산의 채산성 악화를 초래하여 셰일가스 개발 시 신뢰성 있는 경제성 평가가 중요해졌다. 따라서 이 연구에서는 확률론적 분석 기법 중 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 적용하여 셰일가스 개발 시 수반되는 불확실성을 고려한 경제성 분석을 수행하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 주요 변수들의 범위를 설정한 후 난수를 발생시켜 순현재가치(Net Present Value, NPV)와 내부수익률(Internal Rate of Return, IRR)의 확률분포를 도출하였고, 연구대상지역에서의 셰일가스 개발 시 사업 타당성이 긍정적으로 판단되는 확률을 추정하였다. 또한 셰일가스 개발 시 경제성에 영향을 미치는 주요 변수에 대한 민감도 분석을 수행하여 상업적인 생산을 위한 경제성 평가 시 주요 변수들의 영향을 파악하였다. 향후 대상지역의 경제성 지표 변동범위와 확률 값을 도출하는 이 연구의 결과는 셰일가스 생산을 위한 의사결정에 활용될 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

• Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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• 제21권4_spc호
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• pp.345-359
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• 2014

Technological, policy and economic factors are both important variables in maximizing the results of a national R&D program and key indicators in evaluating an R&D program's eligibility for financial support. Economic analysis, in particular, is used when selecting R&D programs, setting priorities, and estimating economic effects. This paper examines a series of methodological issues related to the economic analysis of national R&D programs within the framework of the current preliminary feasibility evaluation system, and proposes alternative approaches to each of the issues discussed. The issues include the definition of R&D valuation and establishment of valuation factors; estimation of sales attributable to R&D investment; assessment of the total economic value of R&D as intellectual assets; estimation of R&D benefits and assumption of related to sales; and the application of discount rates based on the weighted average cost of capital. Finally, this study presents directions for future research on analytical procedures and methods of improving the reliability of the results of economic analysis within the national technology planning system.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제22권50호
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• pp.313-322
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• 1999

EVA(Economic Value Added) is a management performance evaluation tool that determines whether a business is earning more than its true cost of capital. Leading corporations like Coca-Cola, AT&T and Briggs&Stratton have set up EVA measurement systems throughout their organizations. EVA reflects opportunity cost of equity ignored in calculating accounting profit and emphasizes the efficiency of capital employed by measuring how much the manufacturing and selling activities produce the economic profit in excess of cost of gross capital. In this paper, we define the concept of EVA and present an example to show the usefulness of EVA.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제22권52호
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• pp.311-322
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• 1999

Major problems involved in an electrical utility expansion planning within a time horizon are how to efficiently deal with objectives considering multiple factors and uncertainty. But justification factors in study these days have considered only quantitative factors except qualitative factors. Therefore, the purpose of this paper is to develop a new model for economic evaluation of nuclear power plants through the scoring model with the quantitative and qualitative factors under uncertainty. The quantitative factors use a levelized generation cost method considering time value of money. Especially, the environmental, risk, and safety factors in this paper have been also explained for the rational economic justification of the qualitative factors under uncertainty. This paper not only proposes a new approach method using the scoring model in evaluating economy of the nuclear power plant in the long term, but also provides the more efficient decision making criterion for nuclear power plants under uncertainty.

• 환경영향평가
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• 제2권2호
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• pp.59-71
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• 1993

Evaluation methods are employed in environmental impact assessment to choose between different project site, to determine the required measures to compensate impact and to decide whether the environmental impacts are more important than the social or economic effects of a project. The main obstacles that restrict use of quantitative evaluation method are a Lack of knowledge about the environmental effects (e.g. if impacts on wildlife or landscape amenities are predicted) and the relative importance of economic and social issues compared with nature conservation stability of ecosystem or landscape beauty. In Germany, the most common method for site planning is the "ecological risk analysis". It is a kind of multi-criteria-decision-method based on quantitative and qualitative description and ordinal ranking. The various kinds of "ecological balancing methods" that are more recently developed (within the last decade) to quantify the required amount for compensatory measures instead often use cardinal figures to express the value of ecosystems, the intensity of impacts, the need for additional measures to compensate for long recuperative periods when restoring ecosystems and so on. There are still only a view attempts to quantify decisions between environmental and socio-economic issues. Multicriteria-analysis as well as cost-benifit-analysis was used. Some new approaches which are still in a preliminary status are based on contingent valuation and on calculations for compensatory payments (instead of compensatory measures).

• 한국조경학회지
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• 제34권5호
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• pp.84-99
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• 2006

The traditional temples located in national parks have various functions, such as religious practice, tourist destination, and conservation for cultural and natural resources. One functions have implicit monetary values in terms of public benefits. The purpose of this study was to estimate both use and non-use conservation values for two traditional temples, Sinheungsa and Haeinsa, using the contingent valuation method. In the study, both single-bounded and double-bounded dichotomous choice methods were used in an application of Turnbull distribution-free model. A total of 659 visitors were interviewed, 350 in Sinheungsa and 309 in Haeinsa. The mean WTP (willingness to pay) for Sinheungsa using single-bounded method was 4,040 Won for the use value, 6,157 Won for the cultural conservation value, and 5,624 Won for the natural conservation value. The mean WTP for Haeinsa using single-bounded method was 6,463 Won for the use value, 8,769 Won for the cultural conservation value, and 8,013 Won for the natural conservation value. The total economic value of each temple accounted for 50% (Sinheungsa) and 80% (Haeinsa) of the total economic value of the associated national park. It was also found that the single-bounded method was more conservative than the double-bounded method in terms of value estimation. The WTP was highest for the cultural conservation value and lowest for the use values in both temples, with natural conservation values falling in the middle, which showed that people perceived traditional temples as the cultural heritage. Based on these results, it was suggested that traditional temples should be designated as an 'multiple heritage area' so that conservation can be used as the main criteria for various use programs.

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건축시공학회 2002년도 학술.기술논문발표회
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• pp.103-109
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• 2002

This research is aiming to specify the requirement of the investment such as initial cost, running cost earning rate to make effective investment considering the purpose of remodeling and economical value of store building enough to meet the initial purpose of remodeling. The review of earning rate for economical evaluation was performed by the on-site auditing on the structure and function of the building and applying the assessment simulation program, which is to find the possible business model to identify the requirement of building owner through case study. After the research, the following results are obtained. First, it is important that many aspects should be carefully analysis and the best method should be selected as characteristics of remodeling can be defer each other in their implementations. Second, though the remodeling of exist buildings to promote the functions has been applied. no suitable assessment tool has bee developed for deciding the level of remodeling in the view of economical efficiency so far. Third, the economical benefit was evaluated by analysing annual earning rate which is applied by investment items and recovery period for the investment. More specific data bate should be established to apply the suggested economic accession in business enough to forecast the future circumstances. More researches should be promoted on this area continuously as well as the integrated economic evaluation of remodeling on existing building.

• 농업과학연구
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• 제27권2호
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• pp.158-175
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• 2000

Up to date, the economic feasibility analysis on land consolidation and on-farm development projects were mainly depended upon the direct benefits from market value of project outputs. Therefore the projects were neglected in allocation of the government's financial funds and loans on account of undervaluation of the project benefits including socio-economic and environmental values of the projects. Accordingly the Extended Benefit Cost Analysis Method should be adapted to cover not only the benefits such as non-market values of environmental functions of the projects and but also the economic market values of the project outputs. The main objectives of this study is (1) to provision of the guideline for economic feasibility analysis based on the IBRD and ADB guidelines, (2) to estimate the benefits such as Productivity increase effect, labor saving effect, off-farm income increase effect during off-farm season, saving of O&M cost of farm mechanization, enhance of farmer's public health, increase of environmental public function of paddy fields, effect of food security and establishment of peaceful and uncontroversial rural society by implementing the land consolidation and on-farm development, (3) to introduce the newly adapted analytical method as the extended benefit cost analysis which could make possible the analysis of non-market goods such as the food security value and the environmental public value of paddy fields. To carry out the study, the publication on the guideline for economic analysis of agricultural projects were reviewed and consulted and for the post evaluation of the land consolidation and on-farm development project, field survey in Jeongja area were made for the feasibility study of the project by new method. According to the initial project plan, Jeongja land consolidation and on-farm development project has 96ha of benefit area and the project was started in 1989 and completed in the spring, 1990. The total project costs were amounted to 1,052 million won and the annual project benefits were estimated at 135.4 million in 1989 constant market prices. On the other hand, the newly estimated project benefits as a part of post evaluation of the project were amounted to 602.1 million won including all the benefits from the market and non-market commodities of the project as mentioned above column. The original IRP(Internal rate of return) of the project was estimated at 15.81%. On the other hand, the IRR of the post evaluation of the project was amounted to 16.83%. In case of including the benefit from the environment public function of paddy field, the SRR(Social Rate of Return) was reached to 38.81% and when we added the benefit from food security of the project, the SRR showed very high rate as 46.41%. In conclusion, the project were verified socio-economically feasible and environmentally sustainable considering the above decision making criteria.

• 정보기술과데이타베이스저널
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.137-159
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• 2001

This study provides a thorough methodology for IT Investment evaluation. A software tool to support the evaluation process was introduced along with a case study. The software supports the methodology that consists of 7 phases : Target analysis, ldentifying IT measures, Measuring IT impact, Assessing business value, Analyzing the decree of realization, Cost-benefit analysis, and Reporting. The case study showed that the software (CAFA) was a very useful tool supporting both decision-making and post-implementation reviews of IT investment.

• 수산경영론집
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• 제44권1호
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• pp.81-90
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• 2013

This study is aimed to analyze economic effectiveness of the sea cucumber seed releasing program in Gyeongsangbuk-do region. Based on the surveyed data, the production value of released sea cucumber and the seed releasing program cost are estimated and compared to determine the economic validity of the sea cucumber seed releasing program. Results show that the B/C ratio, as an indicator of economic evaluation, is 2.0, indicating that the sea cucumber seed releasing program in Gyeongsangbuk-do region would be economically feasible under the current production and market conditions. Sensitivity analyses of main variables indicate that the economic effectiveness can be increased when the recapture rate would be increased and the seed price of sea cucumber would be decreased.