• 제목/요약/키워드: Economic validity

검색결과 420건 처리시간 0.024초

인공갯벌 조성에 관한 경제적 타당성 분석 (Analyzing an Economic Feasibility for Restoration/Creation of Artificial Tidal Flats)

  • 남광현;오위영
    • Ocean and Polar Research
    • /
    • 제25권4호
    • /
    • pp.593-601
    • /
    • 2003
  • The purpose of this paper is to investigate economic feasibility of creating artificial tidal flats using cost-benefit analyses. We assumed that the cost factors are associated with designing, construction and monitoring, and the benefit factors are associated with fisheries production, habitation, prevention of disasters, water purification, aesthetic value and existence value. First, for analyzing economic feasibility, the scenario suggests that a design can be made in a year, construction can be completed in three years and monitoring must be made for 20 years. Assuming the discount rate of 7.5%, economic feasibility analyses showed that B/C was 2.26 and IRR was 14.50. This study indicated there is economic validity of implementing creation of artificial tidal flat. In addition, we carried out a sensitivity analysis at the change of discount rate and restoration rate. The result of sensitivity analysis clearly showed that economic validity is low when discount rate is over 15%, and changes in restoration rate did not significantly effect on the economic validity.

R&D 인력 재교육 전문기관의 경제적 타당성 분석 (An Analysis on the Economic Validity of the Establishment of R&D Supreme Academy)

  • 임창주;김상영;백낙기;오세홍;서종현
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
    • /
    • 제11권3호
    • /
    • pp.181-188
    • /
    • 2009
  • This paper presents the economic validity with the cost/benefit analysis on establishing R&D Supreme Academy. To evaluate the profitability of R&D Supreme Academy, willingness to pay (WTP) is measured by contingent valuation method (CVM) and then the net present value (NPV), internal rate of return (IRR) and benefit/cost ratio(BCR) are calculated. The results of economic evaluation verified that the establishment of R&D Supreme Academy is timely and effective in an economic perspective.

심해저 망간단괴 개발사업의 경제적 타당성 재평가 (An Economic Feasibility Study of Manganese Nodule in Korea Area: Clarion-Clipperton Fracture Zone)

  • 남광현;오위영;권석재
    • Ocean and Polar Research
    • /
    • 제26권2호
    • /
    • pp.187-197
    • /
    • 2004
  • The purpose of this paper is to investigate economic feasibility of manganese nodules in Korea area (Clarion-Clipperton Fracture Zone). We assumed that the production scale of manganese nodules were 3.0MT or 1.5MT and analyzed that the capital cost and operating cost were estimated in the four sectors, exploration, mining, transportation and metallurgical process. The capital cost and operating cost evaluation reflects the latest technical practices. First, for analyzing economic feasibility, the scenario suggests that the production of 4 metals can be made for 25 years. Assuming the discount rate at 8.0%, equity capital at 50% and tax at 27%. When manganese nodule were mininged 3.0 MT, economic feasibility analyses showed that IRR was 12.8 and pay-back period was 9.2 years, and when manganese nodules were mininged 1.5 MT, economic feasibility analyses showed that IRR was 4.0 and pay-back period was 11.8 years. This study indicated there is economic validity of at the product of manganese nodules 3.0 MT. In addition, we carried out a sensitivity analysis at the change of cobalt price on mining 1.5 MT. The result of sensitivity analysis clearly showed that economic validity is high at increasing of cobalt price 50% up.

시스템다이내믹스를 이용한 지역개발사업의 파급효과분석 (Analysing the Effects of Regional Development Project on Regional Economic Development: An Application of System Dynamics Approach)

  • 최영출
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
    • /
    • 제6권1호
    • /
    • pp.147-176
    • /
    • 2005
  • This paper attempts to analyse the financial validity of the Eco-therapy project which 'J' city in 'C' province has been eagerly trying to implement for its regional economic development and also to estimate the potential economic impact of the project on its regional economy. In doing so, it employs system dynamics which is a methodology for studying and managing complex systems, such as one finds in business and other social systems. Analytic framework for this study is constructed, based on the existing theoretical studies. This study concludes that the Eco-therapy Project concerned is economically and financially valid and it is also expected that the regional economic impacts arising from the construction and operation of the facilities concerned are greater than any other project which 'J' city has been pursuing.

  • PDF

공공스포츠시설 건립의 경제성 평가 및 파급효과 분석 (An Analysis of Economic Evaluation and Spread Effects on the Establishment of Public Sports Facilities)

  • 김진국;장원용;최경호
    • 한국엔터테인먼트산업학회논문지
    • /
    • 제13권1호
    • /
    • pp.111-119
    • /
    • 2019
  • 본 연구는 춘천컬링경기장 건립에 대한 경제성을 평가하고자 하는 목적이 있다. 연구수행을 위해 통계자료 및 선행연구를 검토하는 문헌조사방법이 사용하였으며, 경제적 타당성의 분석과정에서 재무적 타당성 확보를 위해 편익비용비율법(B/C), 순현재가치법(NPV)과 내부수익율법(IRR)을 활용하였으며, 정책적 타당성의 분석은 국가 정책 및 상위 관련 계획과의 문헌 검토를 통해 이루어졌다. 마지막으로 사회 경제적 파급효과를 분석하기 위해서는 산업연관 분석을 활용하였다. 본 연구 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 춘천 컬링경기장 수요분석 결과로 경기장 건립을 통해 춘천권 내의 선수 및 동호인들 외에 서울, 인천, 경기 및 충북권 내의 선수들까지 유입할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 둘째, 경제적 타당성 분석 결과, 초기 투자금액으로 인하여 타당성이 부족한 것으로 나타났지만, 선수들의 훈련 및 대회, 그리고 춘천을 비롯한 인근 지역의 시민들의 컬링 종목의 경험 가능성에 대한 장점으로 인해 건립 및 운영이 타당하다고 나타났다. 셋째, 컬링경기장의 정책적 타당성 검토 결과, 춘천 컬링경기장 건립사업은 전문체육인과 생활체육인 모두에게 필요한 공공체육시설로서 정책적으로 타당성이 확보되었다. 마지막으로 컬링경기장의 사회경제적 파급효과 분석결과, 일반 국민들의 만족도는 물론 엘리트 선수의 발굴에도 긍정적인 영향을 미치는 효과를 거둘 수 있을 것이라는 결과를 얻었다.

The Influence of Likert Scale Format on Response Result, Validity, and Reliability of Scale -Using Scales Measuring Economic Shopping Orientation-

  • Kim, Sae-Hee
    • 한국의류학회지
    • /
    • 제34권6호
    • /
    • pp.913-927
    • /
    • 2010
  • This study investigates the influence of Likert scale formats such as the number of response categories and the inclusion of a mid-point from a methodological point of view using instruments that measure a fashionmarketing-related subject. Using a self-administered questionnaire, 201 respondents rated their economic clothing shopping orientation on three formats of scales that differed only in the number of response categories (ranging from 5 to 7) from February 8 to February 12, 2010. Descriptive statistics, Spearman's rank order correlation, t-test, exploratory factor analysis, confirmatory factor analysis, Pearson's correlation, and Cronbach's alpha were used in the analysis. The results are as follows. First, three scale formats were generally suitable for use due to validity and reliability. Second, the response results varied with the number of categories and the inclusion of a mid-point, although the differences were statistically insignificant (with only a few cases that differed). Third, construct validity was more secure in scales with fewer categories, whereas convergent and discriminant validity was generally good in all scale formats. Fourth, reliability coefficients were higher in scales with more categories. Fifth, the number of categories was of greater importance to instrument design than the inclusion of a mid-point. Implications for appropriate scale designs are suggested in this study.

Long-Term Growth Model in Myanmar Based on the Growth Trajectory of Vietnam

  • JEON, Injae;CHO, Yooncheong
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • 제8권2호
    • /
    • pp.771-781
    • /
    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to identify major drivers of Myanmar's long-term economic growth and draw implications to implement development policies. This study investigated Myanmar, as the country is the most recently opened economy in Southeast Asia. This study conducted simulation analysis based on scenarios by applying World Bank's Long-Term Growth Model, Penn World Table 9.1, and World Development Indicator data. This study makes extensive use of LTGM and the LTGM-TFP extension to improve the validity of models for data calibration. This study confirms the validity of the model with data calibration and specifies scenarios for simulation analyses by setting the growth trajectory of Vietnam due to common geographical, political, and economic conditions. Main findings include that Myanmar's economic growth rate will continue to fall below 3% in 2040 without proper improvement of growth drivers. The results of this study also provide that total factor productivity growth and female labor participation are key factors for Myanmar's long-term economic growth. This study advises policymakers in Myanmar to strengthen human capital, which is crucial for total factor productivity growth in Myanmar's context and directly affects economic growth. Further, labor market policies to promote female labor participation is important to sustain economic growth.

AHP를 활용한 문화관광개발 사업의 평가지표 개발 및 적용 -안동시 3대 문화권 문화·생태 관광 기반조성 사업을 중심으로- (The Development and Application of the Indices of Evaluation for the Cultural Tourism Development Project Using AHP -focusing on Cultural and Ecological Tourism Infrastructure Project in Three Cultural Areas of Andong City-)

  • 권기창
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
    • /
    • 제16권4호
    • /
    • pp.399-407
    • /
    • 2016
  • 본 연구는 AHP를 활용한 문화관광개발 평가항목의 가중치 설정에 관한 연구로 안동시 3대문화권 문화 생태 관광기반 조성 사업을 사례로 분석하였다. 평가항목의 신뢰도를 조사한 결과 0.9로 분석되어 적합한 것으로 나타났다. 가중치의 분석에서 상위계층의 경우 계획의 타당성, 경제적 타당성, 정책적 타당성 순으로 도출되었다. 다음으로 계획의 타당성에 대한 세부지표는 콘텐츠의 차별성, 정책적 타당성에 대한 세부지표는 지역특성의 부합성, 경제적 타당성에 대한 세부지표는 지속가능성으로 가장 높은 가중치가 나타났다. 결론적으로 3대 문화권 문화 생태 관광기반 조성사업의 추진방향은 당초 계획보다 많은 시간이 지연됨에 따라 환경의 변화에 능동적으로 대처하기 위해 당초 계획을 중심으로 사업계획을 일부 변경하여 추진하는 것이 바람직하다는 결론을 도출 할 수 있었다.

통일 대비 북한 농업생산기반시설 확충방안 - 경제성 분석을 중심으로 - (Agricultural Infrastructure Expansion Plan for North Korea Providing for Unification of the Korean Peninsula - An Economic Feasibility Analysis -)

  • 권순국;김관수;이정재;이제명;박창근
    • 한국농공학회논문집
    • /
    • 제48권6호
    • /
    • pp.17-28
    • /
    • 2006
  • We propose an Agricultural Infrastructure Expansion Plan (AIEP) for North Korea following unification from the standpoint of a united Korea's social stability. We predict the food demand after unification, according to four different development scenarios based on the AIEP. These scenarios include meeting a self-sufficient level in the staple food crop, satisfying long-term food supply and demand for the North Korean people, achieving a level of North Korean food consumption comparable to that of South Korea, and maintaining productivity to stabilize of North Korea's rural society. We present the results of a 'benefit-cost' analysis in meeting the production targets of predicted food demands after unification from a civil engineering perspective. We found that the estimated total costs would range from 15.2 to 43.0 billion dollars depending on the particular AIEP scenario. In our analysis, all of the four scenarios presented above demonstrated a high degree of economic validity. We conclude that the AIEP is a necessary and economically valid project for a united Korea's future because it would forestall the collapse of North Korea's rural communities, thereby preventing tremendous economic losses upon unification.

A Study on Development of Economic Instability Index

  • Do, Jong-Doo;Song, Gyu-Moon;Kim, Tae-Yoon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • 제15권2호
    • /
    • pp.355-365
    • /
    • 2004
  • Kim et al.. (2003) developed an Economic Instability Index (EII) by using mean squared error (MSE) from the neural network (NN) trained on the 1995 KOSPI. In this paper we study validity of the NN. For this we compare the NN with the well known Box-Jenkins linear auto-regressive processes. Our conclusive understanding of the problem is that the NN provides quite effective EII because it tends to overfit.

  • PDF