• 제목/요약/키워드: Economic risk

검색결과 1,630건 처리시간 0.025초

Factors Affecting Corporate Investment Decision: Evidence from Vietnamese Economic Groups

  • PHAN, Duong Thuy;NGUYEN, Ha Thi
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • 제7권11호
    • /
    • pp.177-184
    • /
    • 2020
  • This paper analyzes factors affecting corporate investment decisions in economic groups listed on the Vietnam stock market. The panel data of the research sample includes 39 economic groups listed on the Vietnam stock market from 2009 to 2019. The Generalized Least Square (GLS) is employed to address econometric issues and to improve the accuracy of the regression coefficients. In this research, the investment rate is a dependent variable. Cash-flow (CF), Investment opportunities (ROA), Fixed capital intensity (FCI), Leverage (LEV), Sales growth (GR), Size (SZ), Business risk (RISK) are independent variables in the study. The model results show that cash flow and sales growth have the same impact on investment decisions of economic groups in Vietnam. In addition, investment opportunities have a negative impact on the capital investment decisions of economic groups. The remaining factors include fixed capital intensity, leverage, firm size, and business risks that have a weak and insignificant impact on capital investment decisions of economic groups in Vietnam. The findings of this article are useful for business administrators, and helping business managers make the right financial decisions. Besides, the research results are also meaningful to money management agencies. The authors recommend that the State Bank of Vietnam should maintain a sustainable monetary policy.

Performance Analysis of Economic VaR Estimation using Risk Neutral Probability Distributions

  • Heo, Se-Jeong;Yeo, Sung-Chil;Kang, Tae-Hun
    • 응용통계연구
    • /
    • 제25권5호
    • /
    • pp.757-773
    • /
    • 2012
  • Traditional value at risk(S-VaR) has a difficulity in predicting the future risk of financial asset prices since S-VaR is a backward looking measure based on the historical data of the underlying asset prices. In order to resolve the deficiency of S-VaR, an economic value at risk(E-VaR) using the risk neutral probability distributions is suggested since E-VaR is a forward looking measure based on the option price data. In this study E-VaR is estimated by assuming the generalized gamma distribution(GGD) as risk neutral density function which is implied in the option. The estimated E-VaR with GGD was compared with E-VaR estimates under the Black-Scholes model, two-lognormal mixture distribution, generalized extreme value distribution and S-VaR estimates under the normal distribution and GARCH(1, 1) model, respectively. The option market data of the KOSPI 200 index are used in order to compare the performances of the above VaR estimates. The results of the empirical analysis show that GGD seems to have a tendency to estimate VaR conservatively; however, GGD is superior to other models in the overall sense.

등산 활동 참여동기와 위험지각 수준에 따른 위험감소행동 연구 (Study on Risk Reduction Behavior According to Participation Motivation of Mountain Climbing Activity and Level of Risk Perception)

  • 방기성;유신정
    • 한국의류산업학회지
    • /
    • 제15권4호
    • /
    • pp.523-532
    • /
    • 2013
  • This study investigates risk reduction behavior with risk perception in outdoor wear purchase situations. Data were collected via a questionnaire from 400 consumers between the ages of 20 to 50 residing in Seoul and Kyonggi-do. Data analysis were conducted with SPSS 20 program on the reliability test, factor analysis, cluster analysis, t-test, ANOVA, and Duncan's multiple range test. Factor analyses were employed for the participation motivation of mountain climbing activities, risk reduction behavior and risk perception. Five factors were for the participation motivation of mountain climbing activities (health and fitness, external ostentation, achievement and excitement, improvement of climbing skills, and society). Five factors were for risk perception (fashionability loss and social risk, time and convenience loss, economic risk, performance risk, and psychological risk). Five factors were for the risk reduction behavior (interpersonal information sources use, marketer-dominated information sources use, professional information sources use, pre-purchase deliberation/observation/experience, and brand dependence). Three clusters were identified based on the motivation of outdoor activities (the affiliation/display, the health/internal informativeness and low motivation). The participation motivation for mountain climbing activities were varied. Manufacturers should increase efforts to develop products with good qualities at a reasonable cost as well as establish new marketing strategies since the risk of product performance and economic efficiency in the purchase of outdoor wear was a significant consumer perception.

Safety-Economic Decision Making Model of Tropical Cyclone Avoidance Routing on Oceans

  • Liu, Da-Gang;Wang, De-Qiang;Wu, Zhao-Lin
    • 한국항해항만학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국항해항만학회 2006년도 Asia Navigation Conference
    • /
    • pp.144-153
    • /
    • 2006
  • In order to take TC forecasts from different observatories into consideration, and make quantitative assessment and analysis for avoiding TC routes from the view of safety and cost, a new safe-economic decision making method of TC avoidance routing on ocean was put forward. This model is based on combining forecast of TC trace based on neural networks, technical method to determine the future TC wind and wave fields, technical method of fuzzy information optimization, risk analysis theory, and meteorological-economic decision making theory. It has applied to the simulation of MV Tianlihai's shipping on ocean. The result shows that the model can select the optimum plan from 7 plans, the selected plan is in accordance with the one selected by experienced captains.

  • PDF

부지(敷地)의 지질조건(地質條件)과 지진위험도(地震危險度)와의 관계(關係) (Influence of Ground Conditions on Seismic Risk)

  • 양승진;전명순
    • 자원환경지질
    • /
    • 제14권3호
    • /
    • pp.143-153
    • /
    • 1981
  • Seismic risk maps in Korea are made using Korean historical and modern earthquake data. The risk maps made by several method are presented in contour line of vibratory ground motion(acceleration, velocity, and displacement). The method used are Kawasumi (1951), Kanai (1968), and Hsich et al (1975) method. The maps made by Kawasumi (1951) method represent the acceleration distribution ground and those by Kanai (1968) method show the acceleration, velocity, and displacement at bed rocks, The risk analysis by the method of Hsich et al (1975) shows the probability of acceleration at each of soft, medium and hard grounds in each tectonic province in Korea.

  • PDF

Market Discipline and Bank Risk Taking: Evidence from the East Asian Banking Sector

  • Hamid, Fazelina Sahul;Yunus, Norhanishah Mohd
    • East Asian Economic Review
    • /
    • 제21권1호
    • /
    • pp.29-58
    • /
    • 2017
  • The third pillar of the Basel II highlights the role of market discipline in easing the existing pressure on traditional monitoring measures like capital requirement and government supervision. This study test the effectiveness of market discipline in inducing prudential risk management practices among the East Asian banks over the 1995 to 2005 period. Market discipline is measured using information disclosure and interbank deposit holdings. We find that only the latter is an effective market discipline tool. However, the former becomes effective when market concentration is higher. We find that government owned, foreign owned and recapilatised banks are subject to market disciplining when disclosure in taken account but the opposite is true when interbank deposits is taken into account. Finally, we find that banks that disclose more risk related information hold more capital against their non-performing loan. The implications of the findings are discussed.

资产价格波动对中国宏观经济风险的影响 (Asset Price Volatility and Macroeconomic Risk in China)

  • Jishi, Piao;Mengjiao, Liu
    • 분석과 대안
    • /
    • 제3권1호
    • /
    • pp.135-157
    • /
    • 2019
  • The linkages between asset prices and macroeconomic outcomes are long-standing issue to both economists and monetary authorities. This paper explores the impact of asset prices on output and price in China. It focuses on the impacts of asset prices on the low quantiles of GDP gap and high quantiles of price gaprespectively. The main findings are the following: the influence of stock price gap, stock returns, and money growth on the different quantile of GDP gap and price gap are noticeable different, and there are significant impacts on the left tail of GDP gap distribution and on the right tail of price gap distribution. This implies that the results coming from simple regression will underestimate the economic risk imposed by asset price volatility. Moreover, these results also provide the caveat that one should cautiously distinguish the meaning of asset price gap and asset price growth rate and use them, through their contents are similar in some sense. One implication for monetarypolicy is that authority should interpret the relationship between asset prices and macro-economy in wider perspectives, and make the policy decision taking the impacts of asset prices on the tails of economy.

  • PDF

전자상거래 환경에서 지각된 위험이 지각된 가치 및 재구매의도에 미치는 영향 (The Effects of Perceived Risk Affecting Perceived Value and Repurchase Intention in Electronic Commerce Environment)

  • 단려니;정철호;박경혜
    • 디지털융복합연구
    • /
    • 제10권3호
    • /
    • pp.13-21
    • /
    • 2012
  • 본 연구의 주목적은 전자상거래 환경 하에서 지각된 위험요인이 고객의 지각된 가치와 재구매의도에 미치는 영향을 분석해 보는 것이다. 연구목적을 달성하기 위하여 본 연구에서는 선행문헌 고찰결과를 토대로 전자상거래 이용자의 지각된 위험으로 프라이버시 위험, 시간적 위험, 경제적 위험, 심리적 위험, 상품성능 위험 등 여섯 가지 요인을 설정하였고, 전자상거래 성과를 측정하기 위하여 지각된 가치와 재구매의도를 포함한 연구모형을 구축하였다. 설문조사 결과, 전자상거래 이용자 174명으로부터 자료가 수집되었으며, 공분산 구조모델 분석을 통해 가설검정을 수행하였다. 연구결과는 다음과 같이 요약해 볼 수 있다. 첫째, 지각된 위험 중 프라이버시 위험, 경제적 위험, 심리적 위험, 상품성능 위험 등 네 가지 요인이 지각된 가치에 유의한 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 지각된 가치는 전자상거래 쇼핑몰의 재구매의도에 매우 유의한 영향을 미치는 것으로 밝혀졌다. 연구결과를 토대로 전자상거래 환경에서 고객의 지각된 가치와 재구매의도를 향상시키기 위한 전략에 대한 논의가 이루어졌으며, 연구의 시사점과 향후 연구방향을 제시하였다.

파괴시험 계수형 샘플링검사 경제적 시료 크기 결정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Determination of the Economic Sample Size of the Attribute Acceptance Sampling Plans for Destructive Testing)

  • 김병재
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
    • /
    • 제4권5호
    • /
    • pp.11-14
    • /
    • 1981
  • This study intends to decide the economic sample size based on the cost of sampling Inspection for destructive testing. The marginal percent defective is used as the lot tolerance percent defective (LTPD), and the Newton's iterative method is adopted to calculate the optimum sample size(n), given by the consumer's risk($\beta$ - risk) and the acceptance number(c).

  • PDF

노년기 학대 피해와 자살위험간의 관계 (A Study on Relationship between Elder Abuse and Suicide Risk)

  • 김윤정;임미영
    • 한국지역사회생활과학회지
    • /
    • 제21권3호
    • /
    • pp.351-364
    • /
    • 2010
  • This study was aimed to investigate the relationship between abuse and suicide risk focused on the Korean elderly over 65 years old living with their families. The data for the study was collected from 1,193 people in Incheon metropolitan city, Kyunggi and Chungnam province. Among them, 711 elderly adults who experienced abuse within their families, were analysed for the study. The results were as follows: First, the group who had experienced abuse was revealed at 29.8%, and the group who had experienced suicide was revealed at 23.1%. Second, the victims of abuse at older ages affects the risk of suicide. Moreover, considering the elderly population under the control of influencing variables such as socioeconomic traits, ADL and depression, the risk of suicide for the group of being abused was higher than the group that was never abused. Third, four groups of elderly(groups without both abuse and suicide risks, the group with only abuse victims, the group with only suicide risks, and the group with both abuse and suicide risk) were divided based on the victims of abuse and the risk of suicide. The group without abuse and suicide risk was positive in subjective economic status, ADL, number of diseases and depression. On the contrary, the group with both abuse and suicide risk was negative in the above indices. The study indicated that there were some similar traits between abuse risk groups and suicide risk groups, but the group with suicide risk was lower than the group with abuse risk in ADL and depression.