• 제목/요약/키워드: Economic impact analysis

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Regulatory Sentiment and Economic Performance

  • JUNGWOOK KIM;JINKYEONG KIM
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제45권1호
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    • pp.69-86
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    • 2023
  • Regulatory sentiment refers to the market's subjective evaluation of regulatory reform and is one of the most widely adopted indicators to those charged with implementing and diagnosing regulatory policies. The use of regulatory sentiment in advanced analysis has become universal, albeit it is often limited due to difficulties in articulating consistent and objective quantitative indicators that can meticulously reflect market sentiment overall. Thus, despite ample effort by scholars to read the economic impact of regulatory sentiment in the real economy, causal links are difficult to spot. To fill this gap in the literature, this study analyzes a regulatory sentiment index and economic performance indicators through a text analysis approach and by inspecting diverse tones in media articles. Using different stages of tests, the paper identifies a causal relationship between regulatory sentiment and actual economic activities as measured by private consumption, facility investment, construction investment, gross domestic investment, and employment. Additionally, as a result of analyzing one-unit impulse of regulatory perception, the initial impact on economic growth and private investment was found to be negligible; this was followed by a positive (+) response, after which it converged to zero. Construction investment showed a positive (+) response initially, which then rapidly changed to a negative (-) response and then converged to zero. Gross domestic investment as the initial effect was negligible after showing a positive (+) reaction. Unfortunately, the facility investment outcome was found to be insignificant in the impulse response test. Nevertheless, it can be concluded that it is necessary and important to increase the sensitivity to regulations to promote the economic effectiveness of regulatory reforms. Thus, instead of dealing with policies with the vague goal of merely improving regulatory sentiment, using regulatory sentiment as an indicator of major policies could be an effective approach.

Analysis of the Input of Education and Innovation on Economic Growth in Kazakhstan

  • KIREYEVA, Anel A.;KUANDYK, Zhassulan;KREDINA, Anna A.;KANGALAKOVA, Dana;DOSZHAN, Raigul
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.23-31
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: this study is aimed at assessing the contribution of education and innovation to the economic growth of Kazakhstan, the correlation between them is checked based on two levels on a national scale and a regional scale. Based on the literature review, it was revealed that in the vastness of the scientific community, there are many views concerning the influence of educational and innovative factors on economic growth. Research design, data and methodology: the research methodology is divided into two levels, at the first level, a correlation analysis is carried out between key factors and the economic growth of the country (GDP), at the second level, the same factors are analyzed, but the impact on the economic growth of the region (GRP) is estimated. Statistical data on educational and innovation potential is taken from the Bureau of National Statistics for the period 2003-2021. Results: in this study, it was revealed that the economic development of regions could be influenced by such indicators that cannot affect the entire state in aggregate and vice versa. In addition, the correlation analysis results showed that investments in innovations affect economic growth at the country and the regional level. Conclusions: based on the results of the assessment of educational and innovative potential, policy recommendations and further research in this area were proposed.

금융위기로 인한 부산항 컨테이너물동량 변화에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Impact of the Financial Crises on Container Throughput of Busan Port)

  • 정수현;신창훈
    • 한국항만경제학회지
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    • 제32권2호
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    • pp.25-37
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    • 2016
  • 1990년대 이후 한국 경제는 두 번의 금융위기(1997년 아시아 금융위기와 2008년 글로벌 금융위기)를 겪었다. 이들 금융위기는 한국 실물경제의 여러 지표에 영향을 끼쳤고 이로 인해 한국의 최대 수출입 관문인 부산항에서 처리되는 물동량 변화에도 영향을 주었다. 그러나 아시아 금융위기 당시 부산항의 총 컨테이너처리실적을 살펴보면 금융위기와 관련된 영향이 명백히 나타나고 있지 않다. 이 연구는 이들 금융위기가 부산항 물동량 변화에 끼친 영향을 분석하기 위해 ARIMA모형의 특수한 형태 중 하나인 개입모형을 이용하였다. 개입모형은 시계열 예측뿐만 아니라 특정 사건발생과 관련된 그 효과를 분석하기 위하여 사용되는 정량적 모형으로 이 연구에서는 개입효과의 추정에 중점을 두었다. 그 결과 부산항 물동량 변화에 두 번의 금융위기가 유의미한 영향을 미쳤다는 것을 보였다.

시스템다이내믹스를 이용한 메가이벤트 개최 효과 분석: 대장경문화축전에의 적용 (Analysis of Mega Event effect using System Dynamics : Application in Millennial Anniversary of the Tripitaka Koreana)

  • 박경열;최승담;김동환
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.31-53
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is to explain the impact of hosting mega event using the system dynamics and to establish the model for analysis of the impact of hosting mega event. The results are as follows. First, the growth of inbound tourists have influenced long term effect. Second, the export has increased for a limited period only after the hosting mega event, but the increase in export returned to the previous state in terms of economic impact of mega event. Third, nation brand has been improved for a limited period only such as the economical impact in terms of socio-cultural impact of mega event. Last, citizenship consciousness has been improved after hosting mega event. Further researches have to be carried out to modify and reinforce the model.

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도로교통 소음지도를 이용한 소음저감시설의 비용 / 효과 분석방법 연구 (A Study on Cost-Benefit Analysis of Noise Control Facilities using Road Traffic Noise Map)

  • 김지윤;박상규
    • 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소음진동공학회 2008년도 추계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.303-310
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    • 2008
  • In Korea, the current noise impact assessment has not yet considered the vertical noise propagation property by buildings and other obstacles. And noise control plan has been established without conducting the economic assessment for the noise control facilities. A noise map is used to calculate the noise level based on a theoretical formula or an empirical formula, and also predict the characteristics of vertical propagation by linking with a geometry data. And It is Possible to analyze cost-effect of noise control facilities by consider installation costs. In this study, we addressed the application of noise map for noise impact assessment and cost-effect analysis of noise control facilities.

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Impact of Public Information Arrivals on Cryptocurrency Market: A Case of Twitter Posts on Ripple

  • Gunay, Samet
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.149-168
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    • 2019
  • Public information arrivals and their immediate incorporation in asset price is a key component of semi-strong form of the Efficient Market Hypothesis. In this study, we explore the impact of public information arrivals on cryptocurrency market via Twitter posts. The empirical analysis was conducted through various methods including Kapetanios unit root test, Maki cointegration analysis and Markov regime switching regression analysis. Results indicate that while in bull market positive public information arrivals have a positive influence on Ripple's value; in bear market, however, even if the company releases good news, it does not divert out the Ripple from downward trend.

패션기업에 대한 CSR기대와 브랜드 자산에 미치는 영향 (CSR Expectation from Fashion Firms and its Impact on Brand Equity)

  • 안수경;류은정
    • 한국의류산업학회지
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.73-83
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    • 2013
  • This study explores the ideal corporate social responsibility(CSR) that fashion consumers expect from a fashion firm in the identification of dimensions and levels of consumer expectations as well as examines the impact of CSR expectations on customer-base brand equity. The data of 315 adults were collected through a nationwide online survey. In order to analyze the data, this study employed Confirmatory factor analysis (CFA), paired t-test, structural equation modeling(SEM), and descriptive analysis. This study first identified seven fashion CSR expectations (environmental, ethical, social, internal management, philanthropic, economic, and legal expectations). Internal management and environmental activities were highly expected from fashion firms; however, economic activity was low in expectations. Five models separately tested the relationship between CSR expectations and brand equity (trustworthiness, attachment, performance, social image, and value). Economic, environmental, internal management, social and ethical CSR expectations influenced customer-based brand equity; however, philanthropic and legal expectations did not influence any dimension of customer-based brand equity. This study provides a framework of ideal CSR from a consumer perspective and suggests that fashion marketers should focus on economic, environmental, internal management, social and ethical CSR activities to meet the expect Haitians of fashion consumers and build stronger brand equity.

경제환경 변화와 항공여객 수요 간의 관계 분석: 인천국제공항을 중심으로 (A Study on the Relationship between Economic Change and Air Passenger Demand: Focus on Incheon International Airport)

  • 김석;신태진
    • 한국항공운항학회지
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.52-64
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of macroeconomic variables on air passenger demand and provide useful information to airport managers and policymakers. Therefore, using the quarterly macroeconomic indicators from 2002 to 2017, the relationship with air passenger demand was demonstrated by multiple regression analysis. In the previous studies, they used GDP, Korea Treasury Bond, KOSPI index, USD/KRW Exchange Rate, and WTI Crude Oil Price variables. In this study, we used the Coincident Composite Index, Employment Rate, Consumer Sentiment Index, and Private Consumption Rate used as additional variables. It has confirmed that if the consumption of research results expands or the economic environment is right, it will affect the increase in international passengers. In other words, it confirmed that the overall economic situation acts as the main factor determining air passenger demand. It confirmed that the economic environment at the past has a significant impact on air passenger demand.

Sellers' Economic Incentives to Disclose Negative Information in Online Markets

  • HUH, Seung
    • 융합경영연구
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.33-43
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: This study aims to verify sellers' economic incentives for voluntarily disclosing negative information in online markets and provide practical guidelines to online sellers in terms of whether, when, and how sharing low quality to buyers increase sales. Research design, data and methodology: Our model examines the number of bidders in Internet auctions to measure potential demand and uses count data analysis following previous studies that have also analyzed the number of bidders in auctions. After checking over-dispersion and zero-inflation in our data, we have run a Poisson regression to analyze the effect of sharing negative information on sales. Results: This study presents a counterintuitive result that low-quality sellers can increase their demand by fully disclosing negative information in an online market, if appropriate risk-reducing methods are employed. Our finding thus shows that there exists economic incentive for online sellers to voluntarily disclose negative information about their products, and that the context of transactions may affect this incentive structure as the incentive varies across product categories. Conclusions: As the positive impact of disclosing negative information has rarely been studied so far, this paper contributes to the literature by providing a unique empirical analysis on the impact of sellers' honesty on sales. By verifying economic incentives of disclosing low quality with actual online sales data, this study suggests practical implications on information disclosure strategy to many online sellers dealing with negative information.

Distribution of Factors Affecting Foreign Direct Investment in ASEAN Countries

  • Anh Thi Lan, NGUYEN;Chau Thi Minh, PHAM;Hanh Hong, NGUYEN;Dat Ngoc, NGUYEN;Duy Van, NGUYEN
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: Research on attracting foreign direct investment plays an important role in ASEAN countries. ASEAN has needed FDI capital for development and integration with many developing countries. Research design, data and methodology: This study is conducted to assess the impact of factors: inflation (INF), economic growth (GDP), population (POP), and trade (TRADE) on attracting foreign direct investment (FDI) of ASEAN countries. The study will find out how factors distribution contributes to FDI attraction. The study collects data from 10 ASEAN countries from 2010 to 2020. With data collected for ten countries from 2010 to 2020, data analysis with panel data will be used in this study. The Regression with Driscoll-Kraay standard errors correction model will be used in the study. Results: Panel data analysis shows that economic growth and population positively impact FDI attraction in ASEAN countries. However, two factors: INF and TRADE, do not affect FDI. Conclusions: Countries need to focus on economic development, create many good conditions for people and domestic enterprises and create opportunities for foreign investors to pay more attention. improving the quality of domestic human resources will help to better improve the working quality factor when the demand for high-quality human resources increases.