• 제목/요약/키워드: Economic Uncertainty

검색결과 437건 처리시간 0.028초

가구의 이동결정에 관한 개념적고찰 (A Conceptual Analysis of Household Migration Decisions)

  • 김헌민
    • 한국인구학
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.26-34
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    • 1991
  • Migration studies that assume that decision making is done on an individual basis is overlooking the importance of the family factor. Considering that must people belong to families, it is more appropriate to view migration decision from the perspective of the family. This study analyzes the household migration decision whereby the alternatives are to stay, 10 undertake family migration or to undertake single migration of a member. In developing a conceptual model of household migration decision, it is assumed that the household's objective is to maximize household income which is a function of individual members' earnings. The benefits and costs of household migration and individual migration are identified and the household chooses the migration strategy that maximizes expected household income. When household members have conflicting earning prospects in the potential destination, the household considers single migration of the member with the best earning potentials. However, lone migration by a household member involves cost of family separation which is both monetary and psychic, and this study shows that lone migration is undertaken only when its net gains to the family are greater than the separation cost of the family. The major benefit of choosing single migration is the retention of home base in the place of origin which can serve as an insurance against the uncertainty of obtaining a job in the destination, the benefit that is unavailable in family migration. The conceptual analysis shows how a household's migration decision would depend on its members' economic roles and prospects in the destination. Besides the economic variables, social and life cycle variables of the family translate into separation costs and benefits of migration. This study indicates that one - earner family in low economic status but with good earning prospects and high separation costs is more likely to choose family migration over single migration.

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2000년대 원자력과 유연탄 화력 발전의 경제성 평가 -동일 보건 위험도 기준- (Economic Assessment of Coal-fired & Nuclear Power Generation in the Year 2000 -Equal Health Hazard Risk Basis-)

  • Seong, Ki-Bong;Lee, Byong-Whi
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.171-185
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    • 1989
  • 유연탄 발전과 원자력 발전의 경제성 평가를 균등한 인체 위험도 하에서 서기 2000년의 시점에서 수행하였다. 유연탄 발전과 원자력 발전의 인체에 대한 영향 비교에서, 유연탄의 영향이 원자력에 비해서 10배가량 높은 것을 에너지 시스템의 위험도 평가에 관한 여러 연구결과들로부터 알 수 있었다. 그런데 위험도가 0인 상태는 존재하지 않으므로, 유연탄 발전과 원자력 발전간의 위험도 차이만을 본 논문의 위험도로 간주했다. 인체 위험도 비용은 사망과 질병의 두 경우로 나누어서, 사망의 경우에는 Human Life Value로 계산하고, 질병의 경우에는 완치될 때까지의 치료비등 제반 비용으로 계산했다. 이러한 방법에 의한 계산 결과 사망의 비용은 $250,000이 되었고, 질병의 경우는 $90,000이 되었다. (1986 US$) 그리고 비용편익분석을 통해서 유연탄 화력 발전의 최적 규제 기준치를 구했는데, 이 규제치는 최소 사회비용이 발생되는 지점에서 구해졌다. 서기 2000년의 한국에서의 SOx에 대한 최적 규제치는 165ppm으로 나타났다. 이러한 전력 생산의 경제성 평가 방법으로부터, 원자력이 유연탄 화력에 비해서 더 경제적인 것으로 나타났다. 반면에 불확실도는 유연탄화력이 더 작은 것으로 나타났다.

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강요된 빚 피해 및 개입방안: 미국의 가정폭력 연구를 중심으로 (Coerced Debt Victimization and Interventions: Focusing on Domestic Violence Research in the United States)

  • 박언주
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.596-605
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    • 2022
  • 본 연구는 강요된 빚 피해 및 개입방안에 관한 미국의 가정폭력 연구의 성과를 소개하였다. 강요된 빚의 이론과 개념, 피해 경험과 영향, 개입에 관한 미국의 선행연구를 검토한 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 강요된 빚은 강압적 통제로서의 가정폭력과 통제 메커니즘으로서의 경제적 폭력을 이론적 기반으로 사기 거래와 강제거래를 포함하는 가해자의 폭력 전술로 정의되었다. 둘째, 가정폭력 피해자 중 강요된 빚 경험자는 절반 이상으로 나타났으며, 그 영향은 신용 훼손과 경제적 의존, 주택·고용·안전과 관련한 장벽이었다. 셋째, 강요된 빚 피해에 개입하기 위해 장시간의 회복 기간과 불확실성을 견디고, 집중적·개별적 옹호를 제공하며, 피해자 구제를 위한 정책과 단일한 절차가 부재하다는 문제를 극복해야 할 것이다. 또한, 강요된 빚에 대한 사정 및 서비스 연계를 위하여 서비스 제공자에 대한 교육과 훈련이 필요하며, 강요된 빚 피해자의 역량을 강화하고 안전을 최우선으로 고려하는 방향으로 서비스가 제공되어야 할 것이다.

Barriers to E-Commerce Business Model in Cambodia and The Suggestion: A Case Study

  • Khoeurn, Saksonita;Kim, Yun Seon
    • Asia Pacific Journal of Business Review
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.69-85
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    • 2017
  • Electronic commerce (e-commerce) has seen as the potential to improve profitability and productivity in many areas as well as gaining notable attention in many countries. Despite, there has been some uncertainty about the e-commerce impacts for developing countries. The sufficient basic infrastructural deficiency, socio-political, economic and the lack of government public ICT policies have formed the significant barriers to the adoption and e-commerce growth in developing countries. Even though there are many researchers have found the common barriers to e-commerce in the developing nations, all business models targeting those countries are not equally successful. Small companies' persistence failed to challenge the e-commerce barriers in Cambodia because the firms didn't know the correct business model to succeed in this country online market. Therefore, this study will discuss the existing barriers which lead to limit e-commerce growth in Cambodia and the suggested solutions with the suitable business model for the e-commerce business in the country too.

부분안전계수를 이용한 경사식 방파제의 최적설계기법 (Optimal Design of Rubble Mound Breakwater Used by Partial Safety Factor Method)

  • 이동훈;민석진;김성득
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제17권6호
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    • pp.23-31
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    • 2003
  • As there are so many uncertainties associated with using the determinism analysis method in the design of rubble mound breakwater, it is impossible for a designed construction to provide ultimate stability. First of all, due to the uncertainty of Load and Resistance, a safety level concerning the destruction mode of construction must be given. Then, the optimization design should be processed. After all, we can say that it is a more reasonable design method than the design used by the stability rate. In this study, an established design process is accomplished using Hudson's equation and an economic analysis with the breakwater's section is also conducted. Hudson's equation is compared to Van der Meer's equation. These results are utilized to drop a damage rate, increase the stability of construction, and determine the optimization section of the breakwater.

감소하는 비용함수를 가진 Robust EOQ 모형 (Robust EOQ Models with Decreasing Cost Functions)

  • 임성묵
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제32권2호
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    • pp.99-107
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    • 2007
  • We consider (worst-case) robust optimization versions of the Economic Order Quantity (EOQ) model with decreasing cost functions. Two variants of the EOQ model are discussed, in which the purchasing costs are decreasing power functions in either the order quantity or demand rate. We develop the corresponding worst-case robust optimization models of the two variants, where the parameters in the purchasing cost function of each model are uncertain but known to lie in an ellipsoid. For the robust EOQ model with the purchasing cost being a decreasing function of the demand rate, we derive the analytical optimal solution. For the robust EOQ model with the purchasing cost being a decreasing function of the order quantity, we prove that it is a convex optimization problem, and thus lends itself to efficient numerical algorithms.

교수의 연구 성과에 있어서 평판효과 (Reputation Effects in Professors' Research Performances)

  • 이대창;전성훈
    • 노동경제논집
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.1-29
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구는 BK21사업에 보고된 교수 연구실적 자료를 이용하여 교수 연구성과의 결정요인으로서 평판효과를 실증분석하였다. 평판의 유인제공 효과에 대한 기존 이론에 의하면 교수들은 자신의 능력에 대한 시장의 인식이 불확실하고 소속 집단 내의 동료들의 능력에 대한 시장의 인식이 확실할수록 연구 성과 제고를 위해 더 많은 노력을 기울인다. 본 연구는 이러한 평판효과의 가설이 타당함을 확인했다. 또한 교수 집단의 경우 연령 기준으로는 이세대 집단 구성하에서, 실적의 불확실성 기준으로는 동질적 집단 구성하에서 연구 성과가 더 높아짐을 확인했다.

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Elaboration of Real Options Model and the Adequacy of Volatility

  • Sung, Tae-Eung;Park, Hyun-Woo
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.225-244
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    • 2017
  • When evaluating the economic value of technology or business project, we need to consider the period and cost for commercialization. Since the discounted cash flow (DCF) method has limitations in that it can not consider consecutive investment or does not reflect the probabilistic property of commercialization cost, we often take it desirable to apply the concept of real options with key metrics of underlying asset value, commercialization cost, and volatility, while regarding the value of technology and investment as the opportunity value. We at this moment provide more elaborated real options model with the effective region of volatility, which reflects the uncertainty in the option pricing model (OPM).

보건계열 대학생의 취업 스트레스에 관한 질적 연구 (A qualitative study on job-seeking stress for university students majoring healthcare)

  • 오예슬;오은환
    • 한국학교ㆍ지역보건교육학회지
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2013
  • Objectives: The study was performed to investigate job-seeking stress for university students who have a major in healthcare. Methods: For the analysis, 10 fourth-year students who are willing to get a job were interviewed. Interviews were conducted from October 2011 to November 2011 for 2 weeks. The data were collected with semi-structured open-ended questions and analysed by the method of Consensual Qualitative Research(CQR). Results: The main reasons for the job-seeking stress for students were insufficient preparation for getting a job, uncertainty, anxiety, pressure, and age. A reinforcing factor for stress was family. Conclusions: Universities should provide educational, psychological, and economic supports to job-seeking students majoring healthcare because of their relatively fewer opportunities for getting a job compared to those who have a major in non-healthcare.

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VECM모형을 이용한 국내 희유금속의 수요예측모형 (A Study on Demand Forecasting Model of Domestic Rare Metal Using VECM model)

  • 김홍민;정병희
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제36권4호
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 2008
  • The rare metals, used for semiconductors, PDP-LCS and other specialized metal areas necessarily, has been playing a key role for the Korean economic development. Rare metals are influenced by exogenous variables, such as production quantity, price and supplied areas. Nowadays the supply base of rare metals is threatened by the sudden increase in price. For the stable supply of rare metals, a rational demand outlook is needed. In this study, focusing on the domestic demand for chromium, the uncertainty and probability materializing from demand and price is analyzed, further, a demand forecast model, which takes into account various exogenous variables, is suggested, differing from the previously static model. Also, through the OOS(out-of-sampling) method, comparing to the preexistence ARIMA model, ARMAX model, multiple regression analysis model and ECM(Error Correction Mode) model, we will verify the superiority of suggested model in this study.