• Title/Summary/Keyword: Economic Spillover Effects

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Performance Measurement of Local Credit Guarantee using Input-Output Analysis (투입산출분석을 이용한 보증지원 성과분석)

  • Lee, Young-Chan;Lee, Seung-Seok
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.115-132
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    • 2009
  • This paper makes an analysis of economic spillover effects of credit guarantee by linking the remainder of guarantee according to industries from 2003 to 2006 in this study. Specifically, total remainder of guarantee in 2006 is approximately 3922 billion and 600 million won on the basis of unchangeable price in 2003, and each funds becomes the input of the last demand in 27 industries over the cow1try and, thereby, induces production, added value, and the effect of employment. The last demand according to industries shows that a lot of funds have been supported to the manufacturing industry for about 1200 billion won, the wholesale and retail for about 1299 billion and 500 million won, food and lodging industry for about 144 billion and 100 million won, education and health care industry for about 132 billion and 600 million won, and social and other service industry for about 339 billion and 300 million won. The spillover effect about the remainder of guarantee in 2006 classified by industries over the country on the basis of production shows the high effects on the manufacturing industry for 37.8%, 2625 billion and 90 million won, the wholesale and retail for 20.7%, 1439 billion and 290 million won, food and lodging industry for 9.4%, 654 billion and 570 million won, real estate and business service industry for 9.2%, 637 billion and 310 million won, social and other service industry for 5.3%, 369 billion and 90 million won, and education and health care industry for 2.9%, 199 billion and 300 million won of the effect causing production over the country, 6945 billion won in order. The effect causing added value shows high spillover effect on the wholesale and retail for 36.7%, 1186 billion and 830 million won, the manufacturing industry for 25.8%, 831 billion and 500 million won, food and lodging industry for 14.9%, 480 billion and 980 million won, social and other service industry for 9.3%. 300 billion and 160 million won, and real estate and business service industry for 4.2%, 135 billion and 36 million won of the effect causing added value over the country in order. Finally, the effect causing employment shows a lot of employment have occurred in the wholesale and retail for 37.4%, 23,060 people, the manufacturing industry for 18.9%, 11,637 people, food and lodging industry for 13.7%, 8,429 people, social and other service industry for 7.9%, 4,866 people, and real estate and business service industry for 5.6%, 3,429 people of 61,617 people in order.

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Containing China versus Choking the Asian Economy

  • Inkyo Cheong;Byeongho Lim;Yeri Ryu
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.137-152
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - Although many existing studies on the US-China hegemonic conflict and decoupling have been published, most of them are qualitative and use descriptive analysis methods. Papers that quantitatively analyzed decoupling mainly estimate the effect of a tariff increase. However, this paper quantitatively analyzed the ripple effect by focusing on decoupling technology spillover between the United States and China. And, for the first time, it was suggested that the blocking of technology spillover could give a fatal blow to the East Asian economy as well as China. Design/methodology - The United States is pursuing decoupling with China, primarily in goods trade and blocking technology transfer. This paper sets up various scenarios and uses three computational general equilibrium (CGE) models to analyze the overall ripple effects of decoupling. A paper using the three CGE models for decoupling ripple effect analysis has not yet been published. Findings - Decoupling will hit the economies of regions with close economic ties to China more than others. According to simulation results of this study, the Chinese economy may suffer severe damage that is difficult to recover from, and the economies of Asian countries are predicted to deteriorate to the point of being choked. Originality/value - Existing papers that assessed the effect of decoupling mostly focus on estimating the effect itself through tariff hikes. This paper is meaningful in that it comprehensively analyzed decoupling by adding the effect of technology spillover blockade. In addition, another meaning can be found in that it quantified for the first time that it will deal a huge blow to the extent of choking the East Asian economy as well as China.

An Empirical Analysis on the Diffusion Impact of IT Technological Knowledge (정보통신 기술지식의 파급효과에 대한 실증분석)

  • 조형곤;박광만;이영용;박용태;김문수
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.73-94
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    • 2000
  • The main objective of this research is to examine the spillover effects of technological knowledge from IT industry to other industrial sectors and, based on empirical findings, to draw policy implications and suggest policy directions. To this end, we divide IT industry into IT equipment and IT service, assuming that these two sub-sectors are considerably different each other in terms of technology knowledge flow. Other industries are classified into 17 different sectors based on the KSIC of 1990. As the proxy measure of technological knowledge, the notion of R&D stock is employed. The Input/output(I/O) Table is used to define the inter-industrial flow pattern and to draw the knowledge flow matrix. As the research methodology, cost function model is employed to gauge the spillover effects of technological knowledge of IT industry. Based on the results of analysis, it is found that the economic impact of technology diffusion also exhibits a different pattern between IT equipment and IT service. The diffusion of IT equipment tends to show labor-substitution effect whereas IT service displays labor-creation effect. This fact should be considered in devising industry, education, and labor policy. The expectations from this research are as follows. First, the sectoral pattern, difference between IT equipment and service in particular, identified from this research may shed light on the sector-specific policy direction. It is emphasized that a sector-specific approach, rather than an aggregate approach, is relevant for formulating IT policy. Second, it is expected that the importance of technology diffusion programs and policy measures are recognized among policy makers in IT industry.

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Transition of voltage-differential current under internal fault on power transformer (전력용 변압기 내부고장시 전압-차전류의 변화에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jae-Sae
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2004.07e
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    • pp.92-95
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    • 2004
  • Power transformer is an important apparatus in transforming and delivering the power in a power system. It shows less accident ratio than other system apparatus, but once the accident occurs, it causes long-term operation stoppage and economic loss. It brings high bad spillover effects. Therefore, the role of protective relaying, which is to prevent internal fault a power transformer is highly important. This study proposed advanced algorithm that can clearly determine internal fault of the power transformer and magnetizing inrush, through numerical analysis by using the terminal voltage and input output current.

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Economic Spillover Effects of Airport Investment on Regional Production (공항투자의 지역경제 파급효과 분석)

  • Lee, Yeong-Hyeok;Yu, Gwang-Ui;Kim, Min-Seon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.37-50
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    • 2005
  • This study analyzes the effect of airport investment on GRDP(Gross Regional Domestic Product) using Regional Production Function with public investment on social infrastructure. Particularly it includes the spillover effect of airport investment on the economies of neighbor regions beyond border. We estimate regional production function with the independent variable of airport investment stock using panel data with regional cross-section and time-series data. In the analysis with aggregate data of all industries, it shows the positive relationship between airport investment and GRDP which implies the affirmative effect of airport investment on regional economy in the aspects of direct and indirect spill-over effects. On the contrary, the research results of each industry do not appear to be the same. With the different characteristics of each industry, the direct and indirect effect may not be the same and the SOC investment contributes to the restructuring of regional economy by altering the industrial organizations of any specific region and its neighbors.

Analysis for the Smart Phone Ecosystem and its Economic Spillover Effects (스마트폰 생태계 분석 및 국민경제 파급효과 연구)

  • Byun, Sang-Kyu
    • Journal of Digital Contents Society
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.205-216
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    • 2011
  • The smart phone is globally spreading, since the Apple rolled out the iPhone. Thereafter the smart phone ecosystem is being reorganized and strongly governed by the Apple and Google, the mobile OS providers. And the mobile carriers are pushed out of the ecosystem with the progress of the dump pipe. Even though the South Korea has the strong position as a global leader in ICT industries, it have not properly coped with this new situation and is falling to the follower in the smart phone era. Therefore it should try to take advantage of the current of the times like its component industry who already enjoys the fruit. This paper reveals the new structure of the ecosystem along its value chain with the digital open markets, OS providers, phone manufacturers, and mobile carriers. And it shows the economic spillover effects using the input-output analysis. Consequently, this paper will provide the valuable implications to companies in setting up the efficient strategies and the regulator in promoting the ICT industry.

The Spillover Effect of Public Hosing Policy on Rental Housing Market: The Case of Seoul, Korea (공공임대주택이 주변 전세시장에 미치는 효과: 서울시 장기전세주택(SHIFT)의 경우)

  • Yang, Jun-Seok
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.405-418
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    • 2017
  • SHIFT is public rental housing policy introduced by Seoul Metropolitan in 2007, which works as Chonsei(korean unique deposit rental system). This paper examines the effect of SHIFT on Chonsei prices of neighborhood apartments. To estimate the change in prices of Chonsei after the provision of SHIFT, I collect data on Chonsei prices of apartments within a 5km radius from the SHIFT housings. Summary of main results are following. Chonsei prices of the apartments within a 2-3km radius decreased by 4.4% after the provision of SHIFT housings. In contrast, when it comes to apartments within a 1-2km radius, I can't find the stochastic relationship between the provision of SHIFT hosing and price changes. This results can be explained by "Offset effects" caused by real estate development. Provision of SHIFT can sequentially induce nearby area's development, which plays a factor in the effect of price increases. And this offset effects varies in each apartment complex depending on demand for Chonsei and supply of the SHIFT.

An Analysis about Impact of Smart Home manufacturing and service Industry on National Economy (스마트홈 제조업과 서비스업의 국민경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Kim, Kyunam
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.97-126
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    • 2020
  • This study evaluated its potentials by quantitatively analyzing the national economic impact of the smart home-related industry, which is attracting attention as a core industry of the 4th industrial revolution. For the analysis, the smart home-related industries were classified into manufacturing and service industries through a literature review of the previous studies. Using the 2018 input-output table, this paper analyzed linkage effects between industries as well as spillover effects in the production, value-added, employment and job. As a result, the smart home manufacturing and service sectors showed a higher spillover effect in value-added than other industries in each industrial field. In the smart home industry, the spillover effects of manufacturing sector to service sector are larger than those of service sector to manufacturing sector. Moreover, it was confirmed that smart home industry was highly related to not only the technology-intensive industry, but also the service sector for smart cities, smart cars, Fin-tech, and etc. On the other hand, the smart home manufacturing sector is a final demanding industry with relatively higher backward linkage effect than forward linkage effect. In the smart home service sector, the forward linkage effect was relatively high compared with the backward linkage effect, indicating that it was an industry with a high supply function to other industries.

Research on economic analysis on Competitive R&D investments of Multinational Enterprises (다국적기업의 경쟁적 R&D 투자에 관한 경제성 분석)

  • PARK, SEOK-GANG;KIM, GIL-SUNG
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.439-458
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, Two countries have invested directly using the two models Multinational Enterprises, foreign companies doing R&D subsidy policy analysis in their activities to attract. Multinational Enterprises to get the spillover effect from competitors, the introduction of subsidiary R&D resources with an incentive to R&D activities. The government has established a subsidiary to bring the country to foreign Multinational Enterprises for the purpose of improving the technological capabilities of Multinational Enterprises with their parent company R&D to increase the resources by foreign companies in their R&D investment to subsidize R&D activities that have an incentive to attract. In addition, foreign companies and government cooperative R&D by two things also increase the rate of funding for activities to bring the two subsidiaries of multinational R&D has increased the amount of additional resources, the economic interests of both countries get more will increase.

Effects of US Monetary Policy on Gross Capital Flows: Cases in Korea

  • CHOI, WOO JIN
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.59-90
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    • 2020
  • U.S. monetary policy has been claimed to generate global spillover and to destabilize other small open economies. We analyze the effects of certain identified U.S. monetary shocks on gross capital flows in the Korean economy using the local projection method. Consistent with previous results on other small open economies, we initially confirm that U.S. interest rate hikes are dynamically correlated with foreign outflows and residents' inflows. That is, not only are they correlated with withdrawals by foreigners but they are also correlated with those by domestic (Korean) investors. The results are mostly driven by portfolio flows. Second, however, the marginal response to a U.S. monetary policy shock is, on average, subdued if we focus on the sample periods after the Global financial crisis of 2007-2008 (henceforth, global financial crisis). We conjecture a possible reason behind the change, an institutional change related to financial friction. If the degree of pledgeability of the value of net worth increases, the marginal responses by both investors would drop with a U.S. monetary policy shock, consistent with our findings.