• 제목/요약/키워드: Economic Risk

검색결과 1,626건 처리시간 0.024초

ATM 기반 초고속 정보통신망 기술경제성 평가 모형 (A New Techno-Economic Modeling for ATM Based High-Speed Networks)

  • 이영호;김정헌;김영부;이순석;강국창
    • 한국경영과학회지
    • /
    • 제28권1호
    • /
    • pp.115-129
    • /
    • 2003
  • This paper Is concerned with a new techno-economic model Ing of ATM based h19h-speed networks. Coupled with advances of technology, the rapid development of new telecommunication services significantly increases the magnitude of risk in making an Investment decision. Naturally, the success of techno-economic modeling depends on how effectively we manage underlying risk factors such as cost and technology To deal with risk factors, we need to rely on modern decision and risk analysis while Implementing mathematical optimization for solving a complex capacity expansion problem of telecommunication systems during the planning period. We provide a case study that will enhance our understanding of the techno-economic analysis for emerging telecommunication systems.

성인 여성의 의류선물 구매시 위험지각과 구매행동간의 관계 (The Relationship between Risk Perception and Purchasing Behavior of Clothing Gift among Adult Women)

  • 김수진;정명선
    • 한국가정과학회지
    • /
    • 제1권1호
    • /
    • pp.126-142
    • /
    • 1998
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the relationship between perceived risk and purchasing behavior of clothing gift among adult women. Data were collected from 258 adult women reside in Kwangiu who have ever been to purchase clothing gift during recent six months using a qusetionaire. Frequency Analysis, Factor Analysis, Correlation Analysis, T-test were carried out in the collected data. The findings were as follows; 1. The types of risks that respondents perceived when they purchased clothing gift were identified as practical-economic risk, the social-psychological risk, the fashionable risk and the time-refunding risk. 2. The higher the self-satisfaction motivation was, the higher the social-psychological risk and the higher the practical motivation was, the higher the practical-economic risk (P<.001). 3. The degree of the perceived risks of the Low Planning Group was higher than that of the High Planning Group (P<.001). 4. When the respondents perceived social-psychological risk high, they considered brand, fashionability, and store type as more important selective criteria and when the practical-economic risk perceived high, practicality, store service were conidered more important (P<.05). 5. When respondents perceived social-psychological and fashionable risk high, they used both personal information and non-personal information high (P<.01). (Korean J Human Ecology 1(1) : 126∼142, 1998)

  • PDF

Foreign Exchange Risk Premia and Goods Market Frictions

  • Moon, Seongman
    • East Asian Economic Review
    • /
    • 제19권1호
    • /
    • pp.3-38
    • /
    • 2015
  • Fama's (1984) volatility relations show that the risk premium in foreign exchange markets is more volatile than, and is negatively correlated with the expected rate of depreciation. This paper studies these relations from the perspective of goods markets frictions. Using a sticky-price general equilibrium model, we show that near-random walk behaviors of both exchange rates and consumption, in response to monetary shocks, can be derived endogenously. Based on this approach, the paper provides quantitative results on Fama's volatility relations.

Foreign Exchange Return Predictability: Rational Expectations Risk Premium vs. Expectational Errors

  • Moon, Seongman
    • East Asian Economic Review
    • /
    • 제22권4호
    • /
    • pp.467-505
    • /
    • 2018
  • We propose a simple identification scheme for the causes of the violations of uncovered interest parity. Our method uses the serial dependence patterns of excess returns as a criterion for judging performance of economic models. We show that a mean reverting component in excess returns, representing a violation of uncovered interest parity, mainly contributes to generating different serial dependence patterns of excess returns: rational expectations risk premium models tend to generate negative serial dependence of excess returns, while expectational errors models tend to generate positive serial dependence.

전자상거래 환경에서 지각된 위험이 지각된 가치 및 재구매의도에 미치는 영향

  • 단려니;정철호;박경혜
    • 한국데이타베이스학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국데이타베이스학회 2010년도 춘계국제학술대회
    • /
    • pp.203-212
    • /
    • 2010
  • The mam purpose of this study is to find out how perceived risk elements influence to customers' perceived value and repurchase intention in the electronic commerce environment. To achieve the goal, we set 6 sub-dimensions - privacy risk, social risk, time loss risk, economic risk, psychological risk, and performance risk - based on comprehensive consideration of related studies, and established a research model included 2 factors such as perceived value and repurchase intention to measure performance in internet shopping malls. From 174 customers of the electronic commerce shopping malls survey data have been collected and analyzed based on the covariance structural model method. The results of this study are summarized as follows. Firstly, five perceived risk characteristics of privacy risk, time loss risk, economic risk, psychological risk, and performance risk are significantly positive effect on perceived value. Secondly, perceived value IS very significantly related to repurchase intention in electronic commerce shopping malls. Consequently, we discussed the strategies to create perceived value and repurchase intention in electronic commerce environment. Also we suggested the implications and further research directions.

  • PDF

소비자의 쇼핑 가치와 위험지각 연구 - 인터넷 경매에서 경매 이용자를 중심으로 - (Pursuit of Shopping Value and Risk Perception in Consumers Participating in Internet Auction)

  • 최영희;이은희
    • 대한가정학회지
    • /
    • 제45권5호
    • /
    • pp.95-119
    • /
    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the shopping values(utilitarian and hedonic values) sought and the risks(economic, functional, socio-psychological, and privacy) perceived by consumers who participate in Internet auctions by determining the factors that affect their shopping values and risk perceptions. Empirical data were collected by an Internet survey of netizens who were interested in and had experience in Internet auctions. Questionnaires were distributed to the subjects through an Internet survey site and at an Internet auction cafe. A total of 300 questionnaires were analyzed. The results showed that consumers showed a slightly greater pursuit of a utilitarian value than a hedonic outcome in their Internet auction practices; however the outcomes pursued by consumers in their teens and twenties tended to be more hedonic than utilitarian. Consumers with a higher level of innovation, self-confidence in purchase, and need for information searching showed a greater pursuit of utilitarian and hedonic outcomes. The group of consumers with a higher expectation for legal protection pursued a more utilitarian outcome, whereas the group of consumers with higher influence from the reference group pursued a more hedonic outcome. The consumers showed that they perceived functional risk as boing most serious, followed by privacy risk, economic risk, and socio-psychological risk. Subjects with higher degrees of innovation, self-confidence in purchase and self-control perceived economic risk as critical. Functional risk was perceived to be highest in the group of consumers with self-control and a need for information searching, whereas socio-psychological risk was perceived to be highest in the group of consumers showing more self-control. Privacy risk was perceived to be highest in the group of consumers with a higher degree of innovation and lowest in both groups of higher and lower affection. Both economic and privacy risks were perceived to be lower in the group of lower pursuit of a hedonic outcome.

위험도 분석을 이용한 철도투자사업 경제성평가 적용방안 (Application of Risk Analysis for Economic Evaluation of Railroad Investments)

  • 이호;서선덕
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국철도학회 2001년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.44-51
    • /
    • 2001
  • To account for uncertainties involved in an economic analysis of project, sensitivity analysis are usually being done in Korea. Though useful for policy analysis, but it larks explicit consideration of probability of occurring certain events considered in the sensitivity analysis. Risk analysis otherwise can explicitly account for the probability of certain event which has dire impact on project viability, such as cost, discount rate, and size of benefit. This paper reports experience of applying risk analysis method for economic evaluation of railroad investment. Probability distribution of event has paramount impact on the risk analysis results, while not many prior researches dealt with these issues. Probability distribution of rolling stock cost and operating cost, in addition to those cost variables, are developed considering railway demand in this study. Case study results are reported. Issues in applying risk analysis are reported in addition to further research direction.

  • PDF

스마트슈즈 위험지각이 스마트슈즈 유형별 구매의도에 미치는 영향 (Impacts of Perceived Risks for Smart Shoes on the Purchase Intention by Types of Smart Shoess)

  • 정주리;오경화
    • 한국의류산업학회지
    • /
    • 제23권1호
    • /
    • pp.84-97
    • /
    • 2021
  • This study examines the impact of perceived risks for smart shoes based on purchase intention by type of smart shoes as well as how they are mediated by fashion innovativeness and technology innovativeness. It also compares the differences between awareness, interest and perceived risk of smart shoes by gender and age. This study was conducted based on men and women in their 20s to 50s who provided 246 samples for data analysis using SPSS 25.0. The results show significant differences in the awareness, interests and perceived economic risk of smart shoes by gender and age. The perceived performance risk had a positive effect on the purchase intention of smart shoes for GPS. Perceived aesthetic-psychological risk had a negative effect on all types of smart shoes. Perceived economic risk had a negative effect on the purchase intention of smart shoes for entertainment; in comparison, perceived social risk had a positive effect on the purchase intention of smart shoes for GPS and entertainment. Fashion innovativeness and technology innovativeness also mediated the relationship between perceived economic risk as well as the purchase intention of smart shoes for healthcare, GPS and entertainment.

Developing of Construction Project Risk Analysis Framework by Claim Payout and its Application

  • Kim, Ji-Myong;Park, Young Jun;Kim, Young-Jae;Yu, YeongJin
    • 국제학술발표논문집
    • /
    • The 6th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
    • /
    • pp.192-194
    • /
    • 2015
  • The growing size and complex process in construction project recently leads to increase risk and the losses as well. Even though researchers have identified the major risk indicators, there is lack of comprehensive and quantitative research for identifying the relationship between the risk indicators and economic losses associated with construction projects. To address this shortage of research, this study defines risk indicators and create a framework to assess the influence of economic losses from the indicators. An insurance company's claim payout record was accepted as the dependent variable to reflect the real economic losses. Based on the claims, we categorized the causes and results of accidents. To establish framework, built environment vulnerability indicators and geographical vulnerability indicators were employed as the risk indicators. A Pearson correlation analysis was adopted to validate the relationship with loss ratio and risk indicators. Consequently, this framework and its results may offer significant references for under writers of insurance companies and loss prevention activities.

  • PDF

경제지표를 활용한 분산프리미엄의 결정요인 추정과 수익률 예측 (Determinants of Variance Risk Premium)

  • 윤선중
    • 경제분석
    • /
    • 제25권1호
    • /
    • pp.1-33
    • /
    • 2019
  • 본 연구는 어떠한 경제요인이 분산프리미엄의 동역학과 관련되어 있는지 확인하고, 분산 프리미엄의 예측력과 관계된 경제지표를 검증하였다. 국내외 선행연구 등에서 주가/경기를 예측하는 정보력을 보유한다고 알려진, 11개의 일반경기변수, 8개의 금리연관변수, 3개의 금융시장변수, 11개의 투자자 심리 및 활동변수를 이용하여 단변량/다변량 회귀분석을 통해 분산프리미엄과 유의한 관련을 가지는 변수를 추출하였다. 그 결과 분산프리미엄의 변동성을 설명하는 변수는 원달러환율, 외환보유액, 역사적/내재 변동성, 그리고 금리변수들로 한정되었으며, 이 변수들의 분산프리미엄에 대한 수정결정계수는 65% 이상으로 높은 설명력을 보여주었다. 다음으로 분산프리미엄에 유의한 설명력을 가진 변수들을 이용해 1~6개월의 미래 주식수익률 및 변동성 변화를 예측함으로써 어떠한 변수의 정보력이 분산 프리미엄의 예측력과 관련되어 있는지 검증하였다. 예측분석을 수행한 결과, 분산프리미엄의 동역학과 관련된 변수들 중, 원달러환율만이 수익률/변동성에 대한 공통적으로 유의한 예측력을 보유하고 있었다. 이러한 결과는 분산프리미엄이 글로벌 위험요인과 관련되어 있다는 선행연구의 결과와 일관되며(Londono, 2012; Bollerslev et al., 2014), 분산프리미엄의 예측력이 대외변수에 대한 경제의 민감도와 관련이 있다고 해석할 수 있다.