• Title/Summary/Keyword: Economic Operation

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Forecasting Korean CPI Inflation (우리나라 소비자물가상승률 예측)

  • Kang, Kyu Ho;Kim, Jungsung;Shin, Serim
    • Economic Analysis
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.1-42
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    • 2021
  • The outlook for Korea's consumer price inflation rate has a profound impact not only on the Bank of Korea's operation of the inflation target system but also on the overall economy, including the bond market and private consumption and investment. This study presents the prediction results of consumer price inflation in Korea for the next three years. To this end, first, model selection is performed based on the out-of-sample predictive power of autoregressive distributed lag (ADL) models, AR models, small-scale vector autoregressive (VAR) models, and large-scale VAR models. Since there are many potential predictors of inflation, a Bayesian variable selection technique was introduced for 12 macro variables, and a precise tuning process was performed to improve predictive power. In the case of the VAR model, the Minnesota prior distribution was applied to solve the dimensional curse problem. Looking at the results of long-term and short-term out-of-sample predictions for the last five years, the ADL model was generally superior to other competing models in both point and distribution prediction. As a result of forecasting through the combination of predictions from the above models, the inflation rate is expected to maintain the current level of around 2% until the second half of 2022, and is expected to drop to around 1% from the first half of 2023.

A Study on the Optimal Location of the Inclinometer and Strain Gauge in Small-Scale Underground Excavation (소규모 지하굴착에서 지중경사계와 변형률계의 최적 위치 선정에 대한 연구)

  • Gichun Kang;Jinuk Park;Byeongjin Roh;Jiahao Sun;Seong-Kyu Yun
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.23-33
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    • 2023
  • Currently, there are cases in Korea where economic damage has occurred due to the ambiguity instrument installation and operation standards in the construction of temporary earth retaining wall, failing to prevent collapse of temporary earth retaining wall at the construction site in advance. Therefore, in this study, a numerical analysis was conducted to find the appropriate installation location of the inclinometer and strain gauge among the installed instruments shown in the design drawing of the temporary earth retaining wall. As a results, It was found that the installation position of the underground inclinometer is the corner of the retaining wall in the case of plane-deformation analysis, and the most displacement occurs in the center of the excavation surface in the case of 3D analysis. When the stress and moment are comprehensively analyzed, the corner is judged to be a vulnerable point. In the case of the strain gauge, In plane-deformation analysis and 3D analysis, the maximum bending stress occurred at the wale connection where the end of the strut and the counter strut are in contact. At this point, it is analyzed that it is necessary to focus on installing and managing the connection to prevent accidents from being vulnerable.

Development of the Seepage Flow Monitoring Method by the Hydraulic Head Loss Rate (수두손실률에 의한 침투류 감시기법 개발)

  • Eam, Sung-Hoon;Kang, Byung-Yoon;Kim, Ki-Wan;Koo, Ja-Ho;Kang, Shin-Ik;Cha, Hung-Youn;Jung, Jae-Hyun;Cho, Jun-Ho;Kim, Ki-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.37-48
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    • 2010
  • In this study, the seepage flow monitoring method by the hydraulic head loss rate was developed for the purpose of application to offshore construction site enclosed by cofferdams in which seepage force varies periodically. The amount of the hydraulic head loss rate newly defined in this graph was in a range between 0 and 1. The zero of the rate means the existence of flow with no seepage resistance. The 1 of the rate means no seepage flow through the ground. The closer to 1 the coefficient of determinant in the hydraulic head loss graph is, the more the ground through which seepage water flows is stable. The closer to 0 the coefficient of determinant in the hydraulic head loss graph is, the more the ground through which seepage water flows was unstable and the higher the possibilities of existence of empty space or of occurrence of piping on the seepage flow pass in the ground is. The hydraulic head loss graph makes it possible to monitor sensitively the situation of seepage flow state, and the graph helps to understand easily the seepage flow state at the specific section on the whole cofferdam.

Risk Assessment of Marine LPG Engine Using Fuzzy Multicriteria HAZOP Technique (퍼지 다기준 HAZOP 기법을 이용한 해상용 LPG 엔진의 위험성 평가)

  • Siljung Yeo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.238-247
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    • 2023
  • Liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) is an attractive fuel for ships considering its current technology and economic viability. However, safety guidelines for LPG-fueled ships are still under development, and there have been no cases of applying LPG propulsion systems to small and medium-sized ships in Korea. The purpose of this study was to perform an objective risk assessment for the first marine LPG engine system and propose safe operational standards. First, hazard and operability (HAZOP) analysis was used to divide the engine system into five nodes, and 58 hazards were identified. To compensate for the subjectivity of qualitative evaluation using HAZOP analysis, fuzzy set theory was used, and additional risk factors, such as detectability and sensitivity, were included to compare the relative weights of the risk factors using a fuzzy analytical hierarchy process. As a result, among the five risk factors, those with a major impact on risk were determined to be the frequency and severity. Finally, the fuzzy technique for order of preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) was applied to select the risk rank more precisely by considering the weights of the risk factors. The risk level was divided into 47 groups, and the major hazard during the operation of the engine system was found through the analysis to be gas leakage during maintenance of the LPG supply line. The technique proposed can be applied to various facilities, such as LPG supply systems, and can be utilized as a standard procedure for risk assessment in developing safety standards for LPG-powered ships.

A Study on Smart City Project Evaluation System: Focusing on Case Analysis of IFEZ Smart City (스마트시티 프로젝트 평가체계에 대한 연구: IFEZ 스마트시티 사례분석을 중심으로)

  • Sang-Ho Lee;Hee-Yeon Jo;Yun-Hong Min
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.83-97
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    • 2023
  • Project evaluation is the process of evaluating the progress and results of a project. Smart city projects can be divided into system components (infrastructure, services, platforms), or projects can run simultaneously for multiple services. In addition, services are developed and expanded through additional projects. In order to ensure that the smart city, which is composed of various projects, proceeds in accordance with the goals and strategies, periodic project evaluation is required during the project implementation process. The smart city project evaluation system proposed in this paper is designed to provide comprehensive and objective indicators by reflecting various factors that must be considered for projects occurring in all stages of planning, design, construction, and operation of smart cities. The indicators derived from the evaluation system can be used by decision makers to determine the direction of smart city project development. In addition, it is designed so that the performance of the project can be evaluated interim before the end of the project and the feedback obtained from it can be reflected. To introduce the application method of the smart city project evaluation system proposed in this study, the evaluation system developed in this study was applied to the smart city project case of Incheon Free Economic Zone (IFEZ). Based on the evaluation results, items that can maximize the improvement effect of each smart city project item were presented, and the direction of smart city project implementation was suggested. By utilizing a smart city project evaluation system that reflects the characteristics of smart city projects that are composed of multiple projects, comprehensive planning and management of smart city projects will be possible, and this study will serve as a reference for identifying priority improvement factors for projects.

The Proposal on the Rational Reorganization of the Radio stations Management : Focusing on the Introduction of SDoC for Radio Inspection for Telco (무선국 관리의 합리적 개선방안에 관한 제안 - 무선국의 자기적합성선언 제도 도입 검토를 중심으로 -)

  • Ho-Yeong Kim;Won-Il Roh;Seong-Jhin Choi
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.737-746
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    • 2023
  • As the core infrastructure to lead technical innovation for the fourth industrial revolution, economic value and utilizations of radiowaves are increased rapidly. The objectives of this study are to recognize the growing trend of radio stations that transmit information using radiowaves, a limited resource of the country, and to propose developed plans for the radio stations operation system in line with the changing radio technology and use environment. To be specific, the detailed implementation procedures and methods of the system were derived in accordance with the government's plan to convert the complete inspection of radio stations into a SDoC(Self Declaration of Conformity) by the telco. SDoC is a policy that grants autonomy and responsibility for radio waves interference management to existing telecom operator recognized as having radio stations operating capabilities. It has significance in that the function of radio stations inspection, which is a representative technical regulation, is efficiently distributed to the government and the private sector. This study has significance in providing reference for expediting deregulation in the radiowaves management policy.

Study on Disaster Response Strategies Using Multi-Sensors Satellite Imagery (다종 위성영상을 활용한 재난대응 방안 연구)

  • Jongsoo Park;Dalgeun Lee;Junwoo Lee;Eunji Cheon;Hagyu Jeong
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.39 no.5_2
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    • pp.755-770
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    • 2023
  • Due to recent severe climate change, abnormal weather phenomena, and other factors, the frequency and magnitude of natural disasters are increasing. The need for disaster management using artificial satellites is growing, especially during large-scale disasters due to time and economic constraints. In this study, we have summarized the current status of next-generation medium-sized satellites and microsatellites in operation and under development, as well as trends in satellite imagery analysis techniques using a large volume of satellite imagery driven by the advancement of the space industry. Furthermore, by utilizing satellite imagery, particularly focusing on recent major disasters such as floods, landslides, droughts, and wildfires, we have confirmed how satellite imagery can be employed for damage analysis, thereby establishing its potential for disaster management. Through this study, we have presented satellite development and operational statuses, recent trends in satellite imagery analysis technology, and proposed disaster response strategies that utilize various types of satellite imagery. It was observed that during the stages of disaster progression, the utilization of satellite imagery is more prominent in the response and recovery stages than in the prevention and preparedness stages. In the future, with the availability of diverse imagery, we plan to research the fusion of cutting-edge technologies like artificial intelligence and deep learning, and their applicability for effective disaster management.

Capabilities Required for Underground Facility Operations in Korean Megacities (한국 메가시티 지하시설 작전에 요구되는 능력)

  • Jun Hak Sim;Seung Jin Jo;Jun Woo Kim;Ji Woong Choi;Won Jun Choi;Sun Il Yang;Sang Hyuk Park
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.267-272
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    • 2024
  • Recently, major advanced countries are fostering megacities through policy for reasons such as solving population problems, political and economic issues, and strengthening national competitiveness. The trend of change is accelerating. In Korea, following Seoul and Gyeonggi, mega city policies are being promoted in Busan, Ulsan, Gyeongnam, Daegu and Gyeongbuk, Gwangju and Jeonnam, and Daejeon, Sejong, South Chungcheong and North Chungcheong areas. Due to this urbanization phenomenon, military experts predict that the future battlefield environment will be space or a large city (mega city). From this perspective, Korea will not be able to effectively respond to the threats facing megacities if it does not prepare in advance. Therefore, underground facility operation capabilities optimized for the huge scale of the mega city and the characteristics of the underground operational environment are required. Against this background, the characteristics of the underground operational environment of mega cities and cases of preparation for underground facility operations in advanced military countries such as the United States and Israel were analyzed. Based on this, the capabilities required for underground facility operations suitable for the underground operational environment within Korean megacities are developed from an idea perspective to military organization and combat system, securing special equipment and materials to ensure combatant survival, developing small unit combat techniques, and establishing a training system. It was presented with priority given to.

A Study on Valuation of Intelligent CCTV Platforms Using Contingent Valuation Method (CVM) (조건부가치측정법(CVM)을 활용한 지능형 CCTV 플랫폼의 편익 추정 연구)

  • Tae-Kyun Kim;Dongnyok Shim
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.22 no.7
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2024
  • Among e-government services, the intelligent CCTV control platform is a screening control service that utilizes artificial intelligence to display major objects such as people, cars, etc. to control personnel when they appear on CCTV. The operation of an intelligent CCTV control platform is expected to improve the quality of life of citizens by enabling rapid response in the event of an emergency and increasing the resolution of complaints. In this study, the benefits of the intelligent CCTV control platform, a non-market good, were estimated by applying the contingent valuation method (CVM), a choice experiment technique, to estimate the average willingness to pay per household and calculate the social benefits. As a result of the analysis, the average willingness to pay per household was estimated to be KRW 6,908 per year, and the economic benefits for the country as a whole were estimated to be about KRW 150.4 billion per year. This study is of academic significance as it extends the application of CVM to the field of intelligent e-Government services. The Intelligent CCTV control platforms is being actively discussed, this study has practical implications in that the benefits were estimated in monetary value.

An Evaluation on the Operating of Fisheries Extension Services (어촌지도사업의 평가)

  • 최정윤
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.65-106
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    • 1986
  • 1, The Purpose of Study This is a study on the Evaluation of the operating of Fisheries Extension Services of Korea, for performing the activities such as guiding fisheries technique as well as offering industrial information to the fishermen in fishing village. By doing so, the Fisheries Extension Sevices(FES) can materialize the continued growth of fisheries, the social and economic development of fishing village, and the increase in income by enhancing the knowledge level of Fishermen, etc. In performing fisheries policy, this activity plays a great role on the research and development activity, and it has become practical since 1976 in Korea. In order to meet immediately with the problem of fisheries technical innovation and rapid environmental changes surrounding the fisheries, the fishermen should not only enhance their scientific and comprehensive capacity in fisheries technique but abtain various effective information. Generally, as most of all the fishemen are poor in the managerial structure and scattered in fishing villages, they have little opportunity in the contact of information. As a result, it is nessessary for the FES to perform the fishing business by the extension service officials who has received special training and acquired fisheries know-how in these fields. And yet, FES is under the unfullfilled circumstance in such factors as manpower, technical know-how, equipment, and the service system etc., which is required in promoting the social, economic development of fishing village and in resolving the high technique demand of fisherman. This study on the fisheries extension services have been studied from those backgrounds. 2. Research Method The data of collecting methods which were necessary in carrying out this study was adopted by the questionaire research on the present extension service activity, through the subject of the extension services (driving agency of the work and the officials), the object(fishemen) and the 3rd observers to the extension services (the authorities concerned). The research sample was taken by the sampling extraction of total 1, 774 men from the above 3 groups. And the research was carried out from August, 1986 to October, 1986, supported from the Fisheries Extension Office (FEO) located in field during the research process. In this study, the levels of the extension operating were determined and estimated in accordance with the extension service method, morale of extension service officials and the extension service system, etc. through the collected data of the research questionaire paper. And based on this result, the essential conditions of the extension services were grasped, and also we tried to present the various activity plan necessary to promote the operating of the extension services. The questionaire research data was calculated by the computer center of National Fisheries University of Pusan, and the total result was again tried on the one demension analysis along with two dimension analysis to search out the relativity between the questionaire, and the statistical test was done $\chi$$^2$test in significance level of l~5%. 3. Contents of Study This study consists of 7 chapters and the contents are as follows : Chapter I : The object and method of the study Chapter II : The assessment and analysis of the extension services Chapter III : The contents and method of the extension services Chapter IV : Analysis of the essential conditions for the extension services Chapter V : The evaluation of activities of extension services Chapter Ⅵ : Conclusion.4. Results and RecommendationTherefore, the results of this study estimated by logical process and analysis are as follows : 1) Most of Korean fishing villages and coastal fishermen have shown much concerns about fisheries technique and social changes, thus many of them were confronted with new problems on how to adapt and to meet changes. 2) Majority of fishermen estimated FEO as an organization of specific technologies with all the thing concerning the fisheries technique in general. Therefore the fishermen wanted to utilize the FEO as an adaptable method for the modern fisheries techniques as well as the environmental changes. 3) In contrast with the fast changes of the fisheries technique, the complexity and variety of technical system and the broadness of fishing village and fishermen, it was revealed that the necessary factors such as the facilities, manpower, budget, and the level of applying techniques of the FEO located in field were highly insufficient. Accordingly, the guiding efficiency was low and the extension services did not provide full solution to the various request from fishermen. 4) It is possible to classify the activation factor for the extension service into two large dimension ; personal dimension relevant to guidance officials and work dimension relevant to the organization. And it was found that the activation level of the work dimension was far lower than the personal dimension between them. So, the activation should be done first in the dimesion to promote the activation of the extension services. 5) The extension services officials are now demoralized in general, thus it is necessary to take reality into consideration : the expense of activity, the adequate endowment of activity scope and the reasonable operation of the position class, etc to enhance its morale. However, in order to do the FES activation, first of all, the systems should be established which is lain unsettled stage until now. And there must be change in the understanding of government i.e. the fisheries extension services are the essential policy subject to build up the base of fisheries growth and modernize the fisheries management. And it should be driven positively with the recognition of the "lasting project".g project".uot;.

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