• 제목/요약/키워드: Economic Indicators

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세계 경제 지표를 활용한 머신러닝 기반 국제 경유 가격 예측 모델 개발 (International Diesel Price Prediction Model based on Machine Learning with Global Economic Indicators)

  • 최아린;박민서
    • 문화기술의 융합
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    • 제9권6호
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    • pp.251-256
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    • 2023
  • 국제 경유 가격은 산업, 교통 및 에너지 생산과 같은 여러 분야에서 중요한 역할을 수행하며, 세계 경제와 국제 무역에도 큰 영향을 미친다. 특히, 국제 경유 가격의 상승은 소비자에게 부담을 주고 인플레이션의 원인이 될 수있다. 그러나 기존 연구들은 주로 휘발유에 초점을 맞추어 진행되었다. 따라서 본 연구는 국제 경유 가격 예측 모델을 제안하고자 한다. 이를 위해 다양한 세계 경제 지표들을 활용하여 머신러닝 방법론 중 하나인 선형 회귀 모델로 학습한다. 해당 모델은 세계 경제 지표들과 국제 경유 가격 간의 관계를 명확하게 파악함과 동시에 높은 정확도로 예측한다. 이는 시장 변화를 비롯한 전반적인 경제 흐름 파악에 도움이 될 것으로 기대된다.

Economic Growth, Crisis, and Recovery in Cameroon: A Literature Review

  • Tambi, Mbu Daniel
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.5-15
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    • 2015
  • Purpose - This study reviews Cameroon's economic growth, crisis, and recovery, aiming to: review the principal factors of Cameroon's real economic growth; explore the causes of its economic crisis analyze the determinants of its economic recovery; and suggest appropriate policies to ameliorate economic growth. Research design, data, and methodology - By reviewing the relevant literature and economic indicators, we observed that from the 1980s to the present, Cameroon experienced all the possible business cycle phases: economic prosperity (until 1985), economic and social crisis (1986-1994), and renewed economic growth (after 1995). Results - As a result of the economic changes in Cameroon, its macroeconomic indicators have evolved. Poverty and inequality have changed in both quantitative and qualitative terms. Throughout the examined period, rural poverty has become more widespread, deeper, and more severe than urban poverty, while inequality has experienced greater increases in urban areas relative to rural zones. Conclusions -To reap maximum benefits and reduce poverty from these economic changes, Cameroon needs to liberalize trade and foreign exchange transactions to attract foreign investment, especially during the current globalization.

Evaluation of Economic Potential and Level of Concentration of the Regions of Kazakhstan

  • Nurlanova, Nailya K.;Kireyeva, Anel A.;Ruzanov, Rashid M.
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.37-44
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    • 2017
  • This research is devoted to the development of methods general and standard methodological approaches and approbation those for the evaluation of economic potential and level of concentration of the regions of Kazakhstan. This paper presents the results of development of the authors on the selection and justification of the methodological approaches for quantitative evaluation of the economic potential (the degree of territorial differentiation of the profile) and concentration of regions. In this study, we used scientific methods: method of analysis the main trends of economic development, and method of evaluation of concentration of the region. Based on the analysis of foreign techniques developed and tested methodical approaches to the assessment of the economic potential (index and coefficient methods). Proposed methodological approaches to the assessment profile of the territory and developed a system of indicators, which includes an aggregated index of spatial concentration, which accurately reflects the concentration of production in the region. This study shows the results of the analysis of the potential regional disparities and trends of economic development of Kazakhstan. By using, the proposed methodology shows the possibility of their use; we calculated the indicators of integrated assessment of the economic potential and indicators of spatial concentration.

Estimation of the Level of Sustainable Development in Kazakhstan Regions and Recommendation for its Increase

  • Baimukhamedova, Gulzada S.;Nurlanova, Nailya K.;Akhmetova, Sharzada
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제10권7호
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    • pp.23-31
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate existing world economic science theories and concepts of sustainable development as well as create original system of criteria and indicators to assess potential and conditions for sustainable development from a regional perspective and based on the above justify proposals for public authorities to improve methods of economic regulation for regional development. To achieve the goal evolution process of existing theories and concepts of sustainable development and "green growth" have been studied in terms of its adaptation to the spatial development of Kazakhstan, comparative dynamics of natural resources consumption in the Asia-Pacific region and Kazakhstan were investigated as well. Methodology. World best theory and practice methods for assessment of the level of sustainable development of the country and some of its territories were also studied. We selected the best system of criteria and indicators for assessment of economic, social and environmental sustainability of regional systems. Methods offered in this article are based on traditional and new factors of economic development and conditions for operation of regional systems. Indicators are chosen with a glance to basic goals for future development of regions in Kazakhstan. It is recommended to use two levels of methodology offered by author, namely national and regional, and at the local level later (districts, municipalities, cities). The results. Method offered by the author has been tested based on materials and statistics of regions in Kazakhstan. Suitability and usability of the proposed system of criteria and indicators for measuring of economic, social and environmental sustainability of regional systems was proved. Based on this analysis it was found out that there are regions in Kazakhstan that differ from each other by most of key indicators of sustainable regional development and this tendency is increasing. Conclusions and recommendations. As a result of this analysis, the authors have substantiated a number of proposals on methods of analysis to be used, improvement of methods of regional development, implementation of institutional reforms, as well as improvement of regional statistics. This article provides recommendations that can be successfully used in the management practices by public authorities to implement a new regional strategy focused on sustainable development in future.

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Modernization determinants by ensuring economic security of enterprises in the competitive conditions

  • Tkachenko, Tetiana;Tulchynska, Svitlana;Kostiunik, Olena;Vovk, Olha;Kovalenko, Nataliia
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제21권8호
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    • pp.119-126
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    • 2021
  • The study develops methodological aspects for modeling the determining impact of modernization on the enterprise's economic security in development competitive conditions using the model of speed, stability and spaciousness of modernization. Modeling the determining impact of modernization on the enterprise's economic security in a competitive conditions involves: firstly, the formation of estimated modeling indicators in accordance with the speed, stability and spaciousness of the enterprise's modernization; secondly, establishing the weight of indicators in the assessment system using the tools of cognitive judgment; thirdly, the establishment of reference values of sound evaluation indicators; fourthly, the calculations of the integrated impact assessment of the modernization's determining impact modeling on the enterprise's ensuring economic security in a competitive conditions; fifthly, conducting calculations and analytical summarization of the results. To determine a comprehensive integrated indicator of the modernization changes impact on the competitiveness and economic security of enterprises, we use the correlation method of the calculated value with the reference value, as well as use weights for groups of calculations. Approbation of modeling of determining influence of modernization on maintenance of economic safety of the enterprise in competitive conditions of development by authors was carried out concerning such enterprises, as: JSC "Ukrzaliznytsia", SE "Ukraerorukh", SE IA "Boryspil", SE "Ukrposhta", KP "Kyivpastrans".

Mapping of Education Quality and E-Learning Readiness to Enhance Economic Growth in Indonesia

  • PRAMANA, Setia;ASTUTI, Erni Tri
    • Asian Journal of Business Environment
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.11-16
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: This study is aimed to map the provinces in Indonesia based on the education and ICT indicators using several unsupervised learning algorithms. Research design, data, and methodology: The education and ICT indicators such as student-teacher ratio, illiteracy rate, net enrolment ratio, internet access, computer ownership, are used. Several approaches to get deeper understanding on provincial strength and weakness based on these indicators are implemented. The approaches are Ensemble K-Mean and Fuzzy C Means clustering. Results: There are at least three clusters observed in Indonesia the education quality, participation, facilities and ICT Access. Cluster with high education quality and ICT access are consist of DKI Jakarta, Yogyakarta, Riau Islands, East Kalimantan and Bali. These provinces show rapid economic growth. Meanwhile the other cluster consisting of six provinces (NTT, West Kalimantan, Central Sulawesi, West Sulawesi, North Maluku, and Papua) are the cluster with lower education quality and ICT development which impact their economic growth. Conclusions: The provinces in Indonesia are clustered into three group based on the education attainment and ICT indicators. Some provinces can directly implement e-learning; however, more provinces need to improve the education quality and facilities as well as the ICT infrastructure before implementing the e-learning.

OECD 농업환경지표와 정책연계 방안 (Directions for Linkages between Policy Measures and the OECD Agricultural Environmental Indicators)

  • 김창길;김태영
    • 한국환경농학회지
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.303-313
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    • 2005
  • Agricultural environmental indicators (AEIs) are useful tool for evaluating environmental performance induced by agri-environmental policy measures. General and specific criteria have been set to assess the linkages between policy measures and environmental states. In addition, a number of specific AEIs such as nutrient balance indicators and farm management indicators have been posit to review environmental performance associated with agri-environmental policy measures. The proposed environmental subjects encompass soil quality, qualities of underground and surface water, water resource preservation, species and genetic diversity, diversity for wildlife habitats, and agricultural landscapes. The developed AEIs may contribute to establishment or adjustment of environmental targets and ex-ante or ex-post evaluation for environmental performance associated with policy measures. In addition, the AEIs may be useful to consider introduction of new agri-environmental measures and enhance policy efficiency by assessing environmental performance, considering specific locality, and harmonizing support measures.

Financial Accessibility and Economic Growth

  • Boldbaatar, Myagmarsuren;Lee, Choong Lyol
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.143-166
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    • 2015
  • This paper investigates the empirical evidence on the relationship between financial accessibility and economic growth to test the conventional hypothesis that improved financial accessibility leads to financial development and economic growth. First, we built a dynamic panel model on the relationship between financial accessibility and economic growth with a set of controlled variables. We then used several financial access indicators from 165 countries, collected from 2004 to 2011, applying the generalized method of moments (GMM) estimators to estimate their relationship. From these estimations, we found that high financial accessibility leads to high income in general. In addition, we found that an increase in financial access indicators had a greater impact on economic growth in low-income countries than it did on economic growth in high-income countries.

한국인 생활욕구의 요인구조 및 관련요인의 영향에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Factor Structure of Koreans' Need of Living and on the Influence of Related Variables)

  • 노영남
    • 대한가정학회지
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.67-87
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    • 1990
  • This study was designed with the purpose to analyze the bias and the factor structure of Need of Living and to clear the influence of related variables on Need on Living. The Degree of Importance(Di) and of sufficiency(Ds) of 65 indicators which were the constituent components of Need of Living and were extracted from the 51 preceeding studies was estimated by the 1084 samples including 614 urban and 470 rural residents through the questionaire. The indicators with higher Di and lower Ds than average were considered to show the high level of Need of Living. The main results are as follows; 1. Generally speaking, the level of Di was higher than that of Ds. Specially this was serious in the case of the indicators related with social-economic equity, employment, housing and environment. 2. Di level of the indicators such as physical health, judicial equality, the life of planned expenditure was highest. Specially the equity of income allocation was considered to be more important than the increase of income or asset itself. 3. Ds level of the indicators such as the life of plannel expenditure, the development of transportation and communication and the relationship between parents and children was highest, adn that of the use of leisure time, socialactivity, economic equality and social welfare was lowest. 4. Through the oblique rotation of Factor analysis, 12 factors were extracted (total eigen value 32.663, total variance 50.251%). Specially Factor 1 which was christened as the equality and development of social-economic life was related with 11 indicators and its common variance was 51.68%. 5. The rural residents, the lower income group and the lower educated group, who were told of being under disadvantage and unfair treatment of social-economic status, showed higher suffiency on the equity of income allocation, the freedom of living and expression, and judicial equality. 6. Generally speaking, the urban residents, the group under 39 years old, the higher educated group had more intensive Need of Living than the other groups.

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거시지표와 딥러닝 알고리즘을 이용한 자동화된 주식 매매 연구 (A Research on stock price prediction based on Deep Learning and Economic Indicators)

  • 홍성혁
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제18권11호
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    • pp.267-272
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    • 2020
  • 거시경제는 한 나라 경제 전체의 움직임을 보여주기 때문에 주식을 분석할 때 선행되어 분석되는 지표 중 하나이다. 실업률, 이자율, 물가, 국민소득, 환율, 통화량, 국제수지 등 국가차원의 경제 상황 전반은 주식시장에 직접적인 영향을 미치고, 경제 지표는 개별 주가와의 상관관계가 있기 때문에 주식을 예측하기 위해 많은 증권사 애널리스트들이 관심 있게 지켜보고, 개별 주가에 영향을 고려하여 매수와 매도를 판단하는 주요한 근거자료가 되고 있다. 주가에 영향을 미치는 경제 지표를 선행지표로 분석하고, 주가예측을 딥러닝 기반의 예측을 통하여 예측 후 실제 주가를 비교하여 차이가 발생하면 거시지표에 대한 가중치를 조절하여 지속적인 반복학습을 통하여 주식의 매수와 매도를 판단한다면, 주식은 더 이상 도박과 같은 투기가 아닌 건전한 투자가 될 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구는 거시지표와 인공지능의 딥러닝 알고리즘방식을 이용하여 자동화된 주식매매가 가능하도록 연구를 수행하였다.