• Title/Summary/Keyword: Econometric

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Reinterpretation of Okun's law on Korean Economy (오쿤의 법칙(Okun's law)에 대한 재해석)

  • Yoo, Gyeongjoon;Ryu, Deockhyun
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.89-109
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    • 2012
  • This paper evaluate the robustness of the Okun relationship based on Korean data for 1979~2008. For estimating a natural unemployment rate, this study uses time series econometric methodologies. This paper finds some interesting results; first of all, a bench mark estimates of Okun's ${\beta}$ range from 2 to 4 with different methodologies. This is a little bit higher scale than that of Lee(2000)'s results, which estimated the Okun's coefficient on the advanced countries' 1955~1996. Secondly, we test an asymmetric behavior of unemployment rate on business cycle. But the results are mixed. Finally we cannot find the evidence of structural break for the periods of 1979~80 and 1997~98 crises.

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Determinants of Liquidity in Manufacturing Firms

  • VU, Thu Minh Thi;TRUONG, Tu Van;DINH, Dung Thuy
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.12
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 2020
  • This study examines the factors that affect firm's liquidity in manufacturing companies listed in Vietnam. Factors studied include the board size, the board independence, the firm size, the firm age, and its return. We use different metrics to measure firm's solvency status, including the cash ratio, the quick ratio, and the cash conversion cycle. Accordingly, three econometric models are built to test hypotheses proposed by researchers in order to explain the relationship between the five factors above and liquidity's measures. The study used the data set of manufacturing companies listed on the Ho Chi Minh City Stock Exchange in the period from 2015 to 2019. The final sample group comprises 139 firms with 633 observations. The results show that in manufacturing firms, while the cash ratio and the quick ratio are positively associated to the board size, the board independence, and the firm's profitability, the net operating cycle is negatively correlated to the board size, the firm size, the board independence, and the profitability. Therefore, larger firms with larger board size and more independent members can help to improve capital management efficiency.There is no evidence for the relationship between the firm age and solvency measurements, between cash conversion cycle and firm's profitability.

Goodwin's Growth Cycle Model and Functional Income Distribution in the Information Age of Korea: 1981~2016 (정보화 시대 한국의 기능적 소득분배와 Goodwin 성장순환모형: 1981~2016)

  • Jeong, Seungpil;Kwon, Oh-Bum
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.63-76
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    • 2020
  • In the 21st century, informatization is playing a huge role in people's lives. Korea is experiencing the tremendous changes in social structure and lifestyle caused by informatization. This paper focuses on economic phenomena rather than discussion on social structure due to informatization. We check whether the Goodwin model, which can comprehensively express economic growth, economic cycle, and income distribution, is suitable for the Korean economy in the information age. This model is simulated by selecting a quantitative economic methodology that estimates coefficients from time series data of the Korean economy. The simulation results confirmed that the Goodwin model is suitable for analyzing functional income distribution in Korea.

Determinants of Sustainability Disclosure: Empirical Evidence from Vietnam

  • NGUYEN, Anh Huu;NGUYEN, Linh Ha
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.6
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    • pp.73-84
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    • 2020
  • The paper investigates the effect of the factors on the disclosure of sustainable development information of enterprises. The research sample includes 120 manufacturing companies listed on Vietnam stock market in 2019. This research uses ordinary least squares (OLS) to address econometric issues and to improve the accuracy of the regression coefficients. The empirical results show that five variables have a statistically significant positive effect on disclosure of sustainable development information of manufacturing companies, including firm size (SIZE), independence of board of directors (BOD), foreign ownership (FRO), return on equity (ROE), and financial leverage (LEV). The results indicate that state ownership (STO) has a statistically significant negative effect on disclosure of sustainable development information of manufacturing companies listed on Vietnam stock market. Besides, the research results also show there is a large difference in the disclosure of sustainable development information between listed companies in Vietnam, those of other emerging economies in the region, and the companies in developed markets. Therefore, this paper provides a new insight to managers and related parties on how to improve the firm's sustainability disclosure to bring benefit for the firm itself and the stakeholders by reasonable decisions about the factors that affect disclosure of sustainable development information.

An Analysis of the Effects in the TAC System by Analyzing Catch of TAC Target Species (TAC 어종의 어획량 분석을 통한 TAC 제도의 효과 분석)

  • Sim, Seonghyun;Lee, Jungsam;Oh, Seoyeon
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.157-169
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    • 2020
  • This study aimed to analyze the effect of total allowable catches (TACs) on the target species. First to effects analyse of TACs, the 8 TAC target species and 75 non-target species were selected for which catch data were available before and after the introduction of the TACs. The 8 target species were simply compared to catch changes before and after TACs. Through the comparison, it was confirmed how the catches of target fishes have changed after the implementation of the TACs. Secondly, the Difference In Differences(DID) analysis was conducted to confirm the effects of the TACs on the catches of the target fishes using the catch data of 8 TAC target species and 75 non-TAC species. Finally, to overcome the limitations of the DID analysis, the random effects model was estimated to confirm the effects of the TACs on the catch of the TAC target species. Overall, this study confirmed that the TACs affects catches of target species, not only through simple comparisons of catches before and after the introduction of the TACs but also through econometric analysis.

The Effects of Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Absorptive Capabilities on the Economic Growth of the Lao People's Democratic Republic

  • NANTHARATH, Phouthakannha;KANG, Eungoo
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.151-162
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    • 2019
  • The paper examines the effects of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on the economic growth of Lao People's Democratic Republic (Lao PDR) between 1993 and 2015. The investigation is based on the influence of growth and economic absorptive capability determinants such as human capital, trade openness, and institutional quality. The methodological analysis uses a multivariate framework accounting capital stock, labor stock, FDI, human capital, trade openness, and institutional quality in regression of the Vector Autoregressive model. Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root test, Johansen Cointegration test, and Granger Causality test were applied as parts of the econometric time-series analysis approach. The empirical results demonstrate the positive effects of FDI and trade openness, and the negative effects of human capital and institutional quality on the economic growth of the Lao PDR over the 1993 to 2015 period. The findings confirm that trade openness complemented by a sufficient level of infrastructure, education, quality institutions, and transparency significantly influence economic growth and attract more FDI. Research results lend credence to the need for the Lao PDR's government to focus on improving its economic absorptive capability and economic competitiveness regionally and globally by improving wealth and resource management strategies, as failure to take this course of action could lead to the Dutch Disease effects.

The Influence of E-Commerce on the Foreign Trade of Shanghai Free Trade Zone

  • MA, Xinxin;ZHANG, Fan
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.11 no.8
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    • pp.21-29
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: As one of the most developed cities in China, the application of e-commerce is more mature, especially the promotion of ecommerce to foreign trade. After the establishment of Shanghai Free Trade Zone (FTZ) in 2013, the government issued a series of policies to promote the application of e-commerce in Shanghai's foreign trade. This paper takes Shanghai FTZ as an example to study how to develop the application of e-commerce in other free trade zones and how to innovate the international trade mode. Research design, data and methodology: This paper selects the latest data from 2010 to 2019, uses econometric correlation analysis and regression analysis to study the impact of e-commerce on the foreign trade of Shanghai FTZ. Results: At last, the conclusion is drawn that the establishment of free trade zone provides many advantages for the development of e-commerce in Shanghai, and the growth of e-commerce in Shanghai FTZ promotes the development of foreign trade of Shanghai FTZ. Conclusions: So as to promote the development of e-commerce in Shanghai Free Trade Zone, some suggestions are put forward, such as increasing network supervision, establishing e-commerce talent training system, logistics management and information management systematization.

Making an Index of Mobile Telecommunications Service Quality - An Application to OECD Countries - (이동통신 통화품질의 지표화 - OECD 국가들을 중심으로 -)

  • Kang, Imho;Kim, Yongkyu
    • Informatization Policy
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.85-98
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    • 2011
  • This paper attempts to develop an index of mobile telecommunications service quality through econometric analysis using data of the leading telco in each OECD country. CapEx of the operator was selected as a proxy variable to represent the quality of the service. To eliminate the part which is dependent on the population and size from CapEx, however, CapEx was regressed on population, area, 3G coverage, Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) of mobile market, EBITDA margin, and market share of the leading operator. Then, the part of CapEx, which was explained by size and population, was subtracted from CapEx, and the remaining part was regarded as the quality index of mobile telecommunications service. Comparisons among quality indexes of each country revealed that the service quality in Korea and Japan is better than that of France, UK and Germany.

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Forecasting Methodology of 3G Mobile Services with Consideration of Policy Issues

  • Kim, Jin-Ki
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.190-194
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    • 2007
  • In most countries, mobile subscribers are already experiencing 3G-like services. At the moment of launching 3G services, lots of studies showed estimates of the number of subscribers for 3G services, using long-term demand curves, econometric methods or survey methodologies. Those studies mainly focused on the potential number of subscribers and the point of rapid growth rather than precise estimates for the services. Even though we've already experienced parts of 3G services, full length of 3G services are expecting in near future. Therefore, now we need to have more accurate estimates for 3G services. While we thought that 3G services were moved from 2G, in real place 3G services are being evolved from 2G services. In the process of evolving, regulators' policy affects service demand and diffusion significantly. For the more accurate estimates, we need to consider policy issues which influence service diffusion practically in real place. This study aims to present a model which shows better estimates for 3G services with consideration on policy issues, such as numbering issues, price regulation, and competition policy. The consideration can provide more accurate estimates for 3G services with service providers. The methodology could help academicians In forecasting of similar telecommunications services as well.

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Does CO2 and Its Possible Determinants are Playing Their Role in the Environmental Degradation in Turkey. Environment Kuznets Curve Does Exist in Turkey.

  • RAHMAN, Zia Ur
    • Journal of Wellbeing Management and Applied Psychology
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.19-37
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    • 2019
  • Over the last few decades, the atmospheric carbon dioxide emission has been amplified to a great extent in Turkey. This amplification may cause global warming, climate change and environmental degradation in Turkey. Consequently, ecological condition and human life may suffer in the near future from these indicated threats. Therefore, an attempt was made to test the relationship among a number of expected factors and carbon dioxide emissions in the case of Turkey. The study covers the time series data over the period of 1970-2017. We employed the modern econometric techniques such as Johansen co-integration, ARDL bound testing approach and the block exogeneity. The results of the Johansen co-integration test show that there is a significant long-run relationship between carbon dioxide emissions and expected factors. The long-run elasticities of the ARDL model show that a 1% increase in the GDP per capita, electric consumption, fiscal development and trade openness will increase carbon dioxide emissions by 0.14, 0.52, 0.09 and 0.20% respectively. Further, our findings reveal that the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis and inverted U-shaped relationship between carbon dioxide emission and economic growth prevails. Therefore, the EKC hypothesis is valid and prevailing in the Turkish economy. The diagnostic test results show that the parameters of the ARDL model are credible, sTable and reliable in the current form. Finally, Block exogeneity analysis displays that all the expected factors are contributing significantly to carbon dioxide emissions in the Turkish economy.