• 제목/요약/키워드: Earthquake Damage Estimation

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재해통계기반 남해연안지역 풍랑피해액예측함수 제안 (Proposal for Wind Wave Damage Cost Estimation at the Southern Coastal Zone based on Disaster Statistics)

  • 추태호;윤관선;권용빈;박상진;김성률
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.267-274
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    • 2017
  • 태풍, 지진, 홍수, 폭우, 가뭄, 폭염, 풍랑, 쓰나미 등과 같은 자연재해는 발생지점과 규모를 예측하기 어려울 뿐만 아니라 인간생활에 피해를 주고 있다. 하지만, 재해통계를 기반으로 과거피해사례와 피해액을 분석하여 예상피해액을 산출할 수 있다면, 산출한 결과를 바탕으로 즉시 초동조치에 임할 수 있고, 피해를 최소한으로 저감할 수 있을 것이다. 따라서, 본 논문에서는 우리나라 남해연안지역을 대상으로 풍랑피해액예측함수를 제안한다. 본 예측함수는 재해연보('91년~'14년)에 기록된 풍랑 및 태풍의 재해통계, 남해연안지역의 특성을 고려한 인자, 해안 기상조건을 설명변수로 개발하였다.

Condition assessment of bridge pier using constrained minimum variance unbiased estimator

  • Tamuly, Pranjal;Chakraborty, Arunasis;Das, Sandip
    • Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.319-344
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    • 2020
  • Inverse analysis of non-linear reinforced concrete bridge pier using recursive Gaussian filtering for in-situ condition assessment is the main theme of this work. For this purpose, minimum variance unbiased estimation using unscented sigma points is adopted here. The uniqueness of this inverse analysis lies in its approach for strain based updating of engineering demand parameters, where appropriate bound and constrained conditions are introduced to ensure numerical stability and convergence. In this analysis, seismic input is also identified, which is an added advantage for the structures having no dedicated sensors for earthquake measurement. First, the proposed strategy is tested with a simulated example whose hysteretic properties are obtained from the slow-cyclic test of a frame to investigate its efficiency and accuracy. Finally, the experimental test data of a full-scale bridge pier is used to study its in-situ condition in terms of Park & Ang damage index. Overall the study shows the ability of the augmented minimum variance unbiased estimation based recursive time-marching algorithm for non-linear system identification with the aim to estimate the engineering damage parameters that are the fundamental information necessary for any future decision making for retrofitting/rehabilitation.

지진 관측데이터 기반 지반응답스펙트럼 추정 알고리즘 제안 및 평가 (Proposal and Evaluation of Ground Response Spectrum Estimation Algorithm based on Seismic Observation Data)

  • 안진희;정진우;홍유찬;박재봉;최형석
    • 한국구조물진단유지관리공학회 논문집
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    • 제23권5호
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구는 지진계측시스템이 설치되지 않은 중소형 교량의 지진손상 수준을 평가하기 위하여 대상 중소형 교량 인근에 위치한 지진관측소의 지진관측 데이터를 이용하여 대상 교량위치에서의 지반응답스펙트럼을 추정하기 위한 알고리즘을 제시하였다. 일반적으로 중소형 교량의 내진설계 및 성능평가는 동적해석법 중 응답스펙트럼해석법이 가장 널리 활용되고 있으므로 대상 중소형 교량에 대한 평가 지진력으로 지반응답스펙트럼을 적용할 수 있는 알고리즘을 제시하였으며, 제안된 알고리즘을 이용한 프로그램 알고리즘도 제안하고 제안된 알고리즘을 통하여 실제 지진계측데이터를 이용하여 특정 위치에서의 지반응답스펙트럼 추정 예를 나타내었다.

부분구조추정법을 이용한 대형구조물의 효율적인 구조안전도 모니터링 (Efficient Structral Safety Monitoring of Large Structures Using Substructural Identification)

  • 윤정방;이형진
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제1권2호
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 1997
  • 본 논문에서는 대형구조물에서 구조물의 안전성 평가와 관련하여 구조물이 국부손상도를 추정하기 위한 효율적인 부분구조추정(Substructural Identification) 기법에 대하여 연구하였다. 먼저, 부분구조 추정법을 위한 모형식을 설정하기 위하여 운동방정식으로부터 부분구조에 대한 계측오차를 처리하기 위한 모형을 포함한 추계론적 자동회귀-이동평균(ARAMX) 모형식을 유도하였다. 추정된 모형식의 계수는 유도된 관계식을 이용하면, 구조손상 평가에 이용될 수 있는 강성행렬로 환산될 수 있다. 본 논문에서 유도된 부분구조 추정법의 가장 큰 장점은 매우 안정되고 정확도가 우수한 구조추정법인 ARMAX 모형식에 기반한 순차적 예측오차 방법을 사용함으로써 다른 방법에 비해 추정의 안정성 및 정확도가 뛰어나다는 것이다. 다음으로는 개발된 부분구조 추정법을 이용하여 구조 손상도 추정이 수행되었다. 손상도 추정을 위하여 앞서 순차적 예측오차 방법을 이용하여 추정된 구조계 현상태의 강성행렬을 바탕으로, 최소지승법을 이용하여 구하는 간접법이 제시되었다. 제시된 방법들의 검증을 위하여 예제해석이 수행되었다. 트러스 및 연속교 모형 그리고 실험적 예제에 적용하여 구조의 강성행렬 및 감쇠행렬을 추정하였다. 이를 바탕으로 손상도 추정방법이 검증되었다. 해석결과로부터, 개발된 방법이 효율적이고 정확도 및 안정성의 측면에서 우수한 성질이 있음을 확인할 수 있다.

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Estimation of the soil liquefaction potential through the Krill Herd algorithm

  • Yetis Bulent Sonmezer;Ersin Korkmaz
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제33권5호
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    • pp.487-506
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    • 2023
  • Looking from the past to the present, the earthquakes can be said to be type of disaster with most casualties among natural disasters. Soil liquefaction, which occurs under repeated loads such as earthquakes, plays a major role in these casualties. In this study, analytical equation models were developed to predict the probability of occurrence of soil liquefaction. In this context, the parameters effective in liquefaction were determined out of 170 data sets taken from the real field conditions of past earthquakes, using WEKA decision tree. Linear, Exponential, Power and Quadratic models have been developed based on the identified earthquake and ground parameters using Krill Herd algorithm. The Exponential model, among the models including the magnitude of the earthquake, fine grain ratio, effective stress, standard penetration test impact number and maximum ground acceleration parameters, gave the most successful results in predicting the fields with and without the occurrence of liquefaction. This proposed model enables the researchers to predict the liquefaction potential of the soil in advance according to different earthquake scenarios. In this context, measures can be realized in regions with the high potential of liquefaction and these measures can significantly reduce the casualties in the event of a new earthquake.

Modifier parameters and quantifications for seismic vulnerability assessment of reinforced concrete buildings

  • Oumedour, Amira;Lazzali, Farah
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.83-94
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    • 2022
  • In recent years, some studies have identified and quantified factors that can increase or decrease the seismic vulnerability of buildings. These modifier factors, related to the building characteristics and condition, are taken into account in the vulnerability assessment, by means of a numerical estimation resulting from the quantification of these modifiers through vulnerability indexes. However, views have differed on the definition and the quantification of modifiers. In this study, modifier parameters and scores of the Risk-UE Level 1 method are adjusted based on the Algerian seismic code recommendations and the reviews proposed in the literature. The adjusted modifiers and scores are applied to reinforced concrete (RC) buildings in Boumerdes city, in order to assess probable seismic damage. Comparison between estimated damage and observed damage caused by the 2003 Boumerdes earthquake is done, with the objective to (i) validate the model involving influence of the modifier parameters on the seismic vulnerability, and (ii) to define the relationship between modifiers and damage. This research may help planners in improving seismic regulations and reducing vulnerability of existing buildings.

A Prototype of Distributed Simulation for Facility Restoration Operation Analysis through Incorporation of Immediate Damage Assessment

  • Hwang, Sungjoo;Choi, MinJi;Starbuck, Richmond;Lee, SangHyun;Park, Moonseo
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 6th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.339-343
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    • 2015
  • To rapidly recover ceased functionality of a facility after a catastrophic seismic event, critical decisions on facility repair works are made within a limited period of time. However, prolonged damage assessment of facilities, due to massive damage in the surrounding region and the complicated damage judgment procedures, may impede restoration planning. To assist reliable structural damage estimation without a deep knowledge and rapid interactive analysis among facility damage and restoration operations during the approximate restoration project planning phase, we developed a prototype of distributed facility restoration simulations through the use of high-level architecture (HLA) (IEEE 1516). The simulation prototype, in which three different simulations (including a seismic data retrieval technique, a structural response simulator, and a restoration simulation module) interact with each other, enables immediate damage estimation by promptly detecting earthquake intensity and the restoration operation analysis according to estimated damage. By conducting case simulations and experiments, research outcomes provide key insights into post-disaster restoration planning, including the extent to which facility damage varies according to disaster severity, facility location, and structures. Additional insights arise regarding the extent to which different facility damage patterns impact a project's performance, especially when facility damage is hard to estimate by observation. In particular, an understanding of required type and amount of repair activities (e.g., demolition works, structural reinforcement, frame installation, or finishing works) is expected to support project managers in approximate work scheduling or resource procurement plans.

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Derivation of analytical fragility curves using SDOF models of masonry structures in Erzincan (Turkey)

  • Karimzadeh, Shaghayegh;Kadas, Koray;Askan, Aysegul;Erberik, M. Altug;Yakut, Ahmet
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.249-261
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    • 2020
  • Seismic loss estimation studies require fragility curves which are usually derived using ground motion datasets. Ground motion records can be either in the form of recorded or simulated time histories compatible with regional seismicity. The main purpose of this study is to investigate the use of alternative ground motion datasets (simulated and real) on the fragility curves. Simulated dataset is prepared considering regional seismicity parameters corresponding to Erzincan using the stochastic finite-fault technique. In addition, regionally compatible records are chosen from the NGA-West2 ground motion database to form the real dataset. The paper additionally studies the effects of hazard variability and two different fragility curve derivation approaches on the generated fragility curves. As the final step for verification purposes, damage states estimated for the fragility curves derived using alternative approaches are compared with the observed damage levels from the 1992 Erzincan (Turkey) earthquake (Mw=6.6). In order to accomplish all these steps, a set of representative masonry buildings from Erzincan region are analyzed using simplified structural models. The results reveal that regionally simulated ground motions can be used alternatively in fragility analyses and damage estimation studies.

A Failure Estimation Method of Steel Pipe Elbows under In-plane Cyclic Loading

  • Jeon, Bub-Gyu;Kim, Sung-Wan;Choi, Hyoung-Suk;Park, Dong-Uk;Kim, Nam-Sik
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제49권1호
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    • pp.245-253
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    • 2017
  • The relative displacement of a piping system installed between isolated and nonisolated structures in a severe earthquake might be larger when without a seismic isolation system. As a result of the relative displacement, the seismic risks of some components in the building could increase. The possibility of an increase in seismic risks is especially high in the crossover piping system in the buildings. Previous studies found that an elbow which could be ruptured by low-cycle ratcheting fatigue is one of the weakest elements. Fatigue curves for elbows were suggested based on component tests. However, it is hard to find a quantitative evaluation of the ultimate state of piping elbows. Generally, the energy dissipation of a solid structure can be calculated from the relation between displacement and force. Therefore, in this study, the ultimate state of the pipe elbow, normally considered as failure of the pipe elbow, is defined as leakage under in-plane cyclic loading tests, and a failure estimation method is proposed using a damage index based on energy dissipation.

압전소자를 이용한 케이블의 손상평가 (Damage Estimation of Cables using PZT)

  • 박강근;김이성;김화중
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2008년도 추계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.235-239
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    • 2008
  • Cable systems are a construction of elements carrying only tension and no compression or bending in membrane structure. Tensile membrane structures are most often used as roofs as they can economically and attractively span large distances. But cable systems have weaknesses to vibration by earthquake, wind and vehicle loads. Damage detection of cable systems by using existing safety diagnosis is difficult to detect the characteristic change of overall structural action. If cable snaps are occurred to cable release and tear in tension structures, these are set up a vibration. So, we used piezo-electric materials, and The principle of operation of a piezoelectric sensor is that a physical dimension, transformed into a force, acts on two opposing faces of the sensing element. In this study, the development on test method of cable system is proposed and tested by tensile strength using piezo-electric materials.

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