• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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• 2017.11a
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• pp.251-252
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• 2017

현재 우리나라는 자동차 수의 폭발적인 증가에도 불구하고 전체적인 교통사고 건수는 감소되는 추세를 보이고 있는데 반해 고속도로에서 발생하는 사고는 증가 추세를 보이고 있다. 따라서 고속도로의 사고 특성을 파악하여 사고를 감소시키기 위한 다양한 연구가 많이 진행되고 있다. 하지만 다양한 사고 유발요인들과 사고 데이터 제공의 한계로 인해 고속도로 교통사고의 특성에 대해 명확히 규명한 연구는 부족한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 전국고속도로 3개년도(2013~2015)의 자료를 활용하여 전국 고속도로 교통사고의 특성을 파악하고 사고건당 EPDO(Equivalent Property Damage Only)를 계산하여 EPDO 값과 사고원인별, 도로 기하구조별, 기상조건, 운전자 성별, 나이대별 등 여러 사고 조건과의 상관관계를 회귀분석을 통해 분석하였다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.28 no.5
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• pp.155-162
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• 2010

Elderly pedestrians account for more than 30% of all deaths in traffic accident and the number of elderly-related traffic accidents are increasing every year. Considering Korea's quickly aging society, drastic measures must henceforth be taken. Taking notice of the elderly living in and moving around the provinces, this research focused on analyzing the characteristics of elderly pedistrians' traffic accidents on provincial roads and developing an Equivalent Property Damage Only (EPDO) model. The authors collected 720 traffic accident data points from the police agency and developed the EPDO model, weighted differently by light injury, severe injury, and death using Multiple Regression Analysis. As a result, the speed of vehicles is the most influential variable in EPDO, and the shape of the road is significant as well. Therefore, various policies should be established like improving the environmental factors of provincial roads, like expanding speed-reduction treatments and signage, and setting up detours around areas of high elderly concentration.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.8 no.4
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• pp.99-109
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• 2007

Risk elements of highway safety facilities are affected by complex environments. Thus, risk-based approach for traffic safety facilities is needed. For this, in this study, qualitative and quantitative risk assessment methodology and procedure for highway safety facilities is proposed, which can be used as risk-based approach incorporating VE process. Also, for the quantitative risk assessment, event tree using EPDO(Equivalent Property Damage Only) with respect to frequency and magnitude of risk events is introduced. As a result, risk index of alternative 1(140cm) and 2(127(cm) which can be used as performance factor in VE approach are estimated.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.6 no.1 s.12
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• pp.27-37
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• 2007

The automatic speed enforcement system is expected to play an important role as intelligent transport system (ITS) or advanced franc management system (ATMS). It must be a reliable system checking the overspeedy vehicles automatically, while savine the police manpower and ensuring a safe traffic flow. In terms of traffic engineering, the automatic speed enforcement system may serve to improve driver's violent behaviors, facilitate the smooth and safe traffic flow and thereby, reduce the traffic accident. This study was aimed at analyzing the accident before and after installation of the automatic speed enforcement systems at the frequency, EPDO(equivalent property damage only) and accident cost, analyzing the effects of the automatic system on the traffic flow and accident. As a result, when we equip the automatic speed enforcement system on the downward slope section or after middle section comparing with whole section. We should consider the location of automatic speed enforcement system.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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• v.24 no.1
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• pp.69-77
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• 2009

This paper reports the aging driver traffic accident severity modeling results. For the modeling, Poisson regression approach is applied using the data set obtained from the Korea Transportation Safety Authority's simulator-based driver aptitude test results. The test items include the estimations of moving objects' speed and stopping distance, drivers' multi-task capability, and kinetic depth perception and so on. The resulting model with the response variable of equivalent property damage only(EPDO) indicated that EPDO is significantly influenced by moving objects' speed estimation and drivers' multi-task capabilities. More interestingly, a comparison with the younger driver model revealed that the degradation of such capabilities may result in severer crashes for older drivers as suggested by the higher estimated parameters for the older driver model.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.11 no.2
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• pp.151-158
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• 2009

This study deals with the rear-end collisions in the rural aiea. The objectives of this study are 1) to analyze the characteristics of rear-end accidents of signalized intersections, and 2) to develop the accident models for Cheongju-Cheongwon. In pursing the above, this study gives the particular attentions to comparing the characters of urban and rural area. In this study, the dependent variables are the number of accidents and value of EPDO(equivalent property damage only), and independent variables are the traffic volumes and geometric elements. The main results analyzed are the followings. First, the statistical analyses show that the Poisson accident model using the number of accident as a dependant variable are statistically significant and the negative binomial accident model using the value of EPDO are statistically significant. Second, the independent variables of Poisson model are analyzed to be the ratio of high-occupancy vehicles, total traffic volume and the sum of exit/entry, and those of negative binomial regression are the main road width, total traffic volume and the ratio of high-occupancy vehicles. Finally, the specific independent variables to the rural area are the main road width, the ratio of high occupancy vehicle, and the sum exit/entry.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.13 no.1
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• pp.49-57
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• 2011

This study deals with the traffic accident of arterial link sections in the case of Cheongju. The purpose of the study is to develop the traffic accident model by the function of arterial links. In pursuing the above, this study gives particular attentions to developing the appropriate models using the accident data of main and minor arterial roads divided by 472 small link sections. The main results analyzed are as follows. First, as the t test on the accident characteristics of main and minor arterial roads shows that there are differences in the number of accident and EPDO(equivalent property damage only) between two roads, the development of models by function is analyzed to be appropriate. Second, it is analyzed that ZINB models are all statistically suitable to the number of accident and EPDO of main arterial roads. Third, the analysis shows that EPDOs of minor arterial roads fit to ZINB, and the number of the accident fit to ZIP model. Finally, the common variables of main arterial roads are evaluated to be the traffic volume and the number of inflection point, and those of minor be the average grade.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.16 no.2
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• pp.119-129
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• 2014

PURPOSES : The purpose of this study is to develop the U-turn accident model at 4-legged signalized intersections in urban areas. METHODS : In order to analyze the characteristics of the accidents which are associated with U-turn operation at 4-legged signalized intersections in urban areas and develop an U-turn accident model by regression analysis, the tests of overdispersion and zero-inflation are conducted about the dependent variables of number of accidents and EPDO (Equivalent Property Damage Only). RESULTS : As their results, the Poisson model fits best for number of accident and the ZIP (Zero Inflated Poisson) fits best for EPOD, the variables of conflict traffic, width of opposing road, traffic passing speed are adopted as independent variable for both models. The variables of number of bus berths and rate of U-turn signal time at which the U-turn is permitted are adopted as independent variable only for EPDO. CONCLUSIONS : These study results suggest that U-turn would be permitted at the intersection where the width of opposing road is wider than 11.9 meters, the passing vehicle speed is not high and U-turn operation is not hindered by the buses stopping at bus stops.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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• v.27 no.2
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• pp.105-110
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• 2012

This study deals with the accident models of rotary. The objectives is to develop the models by day and nighttime. In pursuing the above, this study gives particular attentions to collecting the data of geometric structure and accidents of 20 rotaries and developing the Poisson and negative binomial regression models using NLOGIT 4.0. The main results are as follows. First, the numbers of accident of nighttime (1.03 per 1,000 entering vehicles) were analyzed to be very higher than those of day (0.47 per 1,000 entering vehicles). Second, 4 Poisson models which were all statistically significant were developed, in which the dependent variable were both the number of accident and EPDO (equivalent property damage only). Finally, the number of entry/exit ($X_1$) and the number of entering lane ($X_5$) in the models of the number of accident, and $X_1$ in the EPDO models were adopted as the common variables. The variables were analyzed to be all positive to the dependent variables.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.27 no.5
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• pp.135-144
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• 2009

This study estimates the expected number of accidents in Kyungbuk Province to capitalize on experience gained from four years of accident history using the Empirical Bayes (EB) Method. The number of accidents of each site in Kyungbuk Province is recalculated using the Equivalent Property Damage Only (EPDO) method to reflect the severities of the accidents. A cluster analysis is performed to determine similar sites and a unique Safety Performance Function (SPF) is established for each site. The overdispersion parameter is built to correct the difference between the actual number of accidents and the underlying probability distribution. To adjust for varying traffic characteristics of each site, a relative weight is applied and eventually estimates the expected number of accidents. The results show that the highest accident sites are Kimcheon, Youngcheon, and Chilgok, but on the other hand the lowest is Gunwi.