• Title/Summary/Keyword: Dynamic Growth

Search Result 831, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

Dynamic Forecasting of Market Growth according to Portable Internet Carrier Licensing Policy (휴대인터넷 사업자 선정 정책에 따른 동태적 시장 예측과 함의)

  • 김종태;박상현;오명륜;김상욱
    • Proceedings of the Korean System Dynamics Society
    • /
    • 2004.08a
    • /
    • pp.87-107
    • /
    • 2004
  • 우리나라에 이동통신이 처음 소개된 이래로 눈부신 발전을 거듭하여 왔으며, 급기야. 무선통신 서비스를 중심으로 새로운 성장력과 패러다임 전환의 가능성에 대한 전망을 논할 수 있는 수준이 되었다. 이러한 추세에 맞추어 휴대인터넷 시장에 대한 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있으며 국민경제적 효과변화나 시장 경쟁환경의 변화에 가장 영향을 미칠 수 있는 요인들 중, 사업자 수를 어떻게 선정할 것인가에 대해 다양한 접근이 시도되고 있다. 기존의 연구들은 휴대인터넷 시장을 분석하는데 있어 시장규모가 일방향으로 사업자 수에 영향을 미친다는 측면에서 이루어지고 있으며, 대부분 휴대인터넷 시장을 단일시장으로 범위를 한정하고 성장중인 시장을 정적으로 가정하여 시장성장 추이 분석 등에 주안점을 두는 단편적 연구가 수행되어져 왔다. 휴대인터넷 시장의 단편적 분석이 아닌 '모바일인터넷' , '초고속유선인터넷', '무선인터넷', '휴대인터넷' 등 네 가지 영역을 동시에 고려함으로써 영역간 복잡성과 동적인 관계 속에서 시장이 성장해 나아간다는 가정을 바탕으로, 시장에 내재되어 있는 관련요소간 상호영향과 신규정책 및 제도적 변화 수용에 있어 발생하는 시간적 공간적 지연 등을 고려한 동태적 분석을 수행하였다. 연구를 수행하기 위해 다양한 변수간의 인과관계, 피드백 구조와 시간흐름에 따른 시스템의 변화를 파악하는데 매우 유용한 도구인 시스템다이내믹스 기법을 활용하여 휴대 인터넷 시장의 동적인 구조를 알아보고 사업자 선정정책의 시행을 앞두고 있는 현재시점에서 의미있는 시사점을 제공하였다.시하고자 한다.채취하여 임신진단키트(제네디아프로테 트, 녹십자)를 이용하여 임신여부를 1차적으로 확인하였다. 과배란을 유기한 13두의 공란우중 9두(69.2%)가 과배란 반응을 나타내었으며, 회수된 수정란 51개중 이식가능수정란은 38개(74.5%) 였다. 발정동기화를 유도한 수란우 40두중에서 35두(87.5%)가 발정이 동기화되었으며, 그 중 황체검사를 통하여 30두의 수란우에 수정란을 이식하였다. 수정란이식후 13일(발정주기 21일)에 혈액을 이용한 임신진단에서 농가별 수태율은 각각 37.5%, 70.0%, 60.0% 및 71.4% 로서 평균 60.0%를 나타내었다.서 39$^{\circ}C$, 5% $CO_2$ 배양기에 48시간 배양하면서 생존여부를 판단하였다. 실험 2에서 확장배반포배 수정란이 25.3%의 생존율을 나타내었으며, 실험 1과 실험 3에서는 수정란의 형태와 관계없이 생존성을 확인할 수 없었다. 이상의 결과로 보아 glycerol 완만동결에서는 확장배반포기 수정란 이상이 보존가능한 것으로 추정되나 더 추가적인 연구가 요구된다.c kinase 활성의 변동은 정소 내 간충조직, 세정관 상피의 증식 및 기능적 분화 과정을 매개하는 생리적 활성분자 수용체 하위의 신호전달 과정에 Src-Csk loop에 의한 조절가능성을 확인할 수 있었다.rugrene의 향기성분이 주요 성분군으로 확인되었다. 2. 생강나무에서 생강의 향기를 발산하는 성분으로는 $\beta$-myrcene, o-terpinolene, phellandrone, ι-limonene, $\b

  • PDF

Assembly processes of moss and lichen community with snow melting at the coastal region of the Barton Peninsula, maritime Antarctic

  • Kim, Seok Cheol;Kim, Jun Seok;Hong, Bo Ram;Hong, Soon Gyu;Kim, Ji Hee;Lee, Kyu Song
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
    • /
    • v.40 no.1
    • /
    • pp.55-65
    • /
    • 2016
  • Background: In this article, it was analyzed how snow melting affects the assembly of lichen and moss communities in a small area of the coastal region of Barton Peninsula, which is in maritime Antarctic. In the small area, even though there is a huge gap of difference of the environment between the snow-filled area and snow-melt one, the latter did not have distinctive environmental gradients. Results: Depending on the snow melting time, coverage and species diversity of lichens and mosses tend to increase remarkably. For species with significant changes depending on the snow-covered period, there are Andreaea regularis, crustose lichens, Placopsis contortuplicata, Usnea aurantiaco-atra, and snow algae. In this area, the process of vegetation assembly process has shown the directional development in the order of snow algae${\rightarrow}$crustose, lichen sub-formation${\rightarrow}$fruticose lichen, moss cushion sub-formation (Andreaea sociation)${\rightarrow}$fruticose lichen, and moss cushion sub-formation (Usnea sociation), according to the order of snow melting. These directional development stages are shown in gradual change in small area with the snow melting phenomena. However, in the snow-free area, where water is sufficiently supplied, it is expected that moss carpet sub-formation (Sanionia sociation) will be developed. Vegetation development in the small area with the snow melting phenomena, depending on differences of resistance on snow kill and moisture settled by species in according to the time of snow melting, tolerance model to form community is followed. Conclusions: The research results explain the development of vegetation in the Antarctic tundra and its spatial distribution according to the period for growth of lichens and mosses in the summer time by differences of snow melting in the small area. In the future, if research for the community development process in a large scale will be done, it will be helpful to figure out temporal and spatial dynamic of vegetation in the Antarctic tundra where snow and glaciers melt rapidly due to climatic warming.

Effect of PVP on the Physical Stability of O/W Emulsion (O/W 유제의 물리적 안정성에 대한 PVP의 영향)

  • Oh, In-Joon;Lee, Mi-Young;Lee, Jeong-Min;Lee, Yong-Bok;Shin, Sang-Chul;Choi, Bo-Guil;Kim, Chong-Kook
    • Journal of Pharmaceutical Investigation
    • /
    • v.27 no.4
    • /
    • pp.287-293
    • /
    • 1997
  • To make a stable o/w emulsion, the effects of egg lecithin as an emulsifier and polyvinylpyrrolidone (PVP) as an auxiliary emulsifier on the physical stability of emulsion were investigated. The oil-in-water emulsion system was manufactured by microfluidizer and evaluated the physical stability. Average particle size and size distribution of emulsion was measured by dynamic light scattering analyzer and interfacial tension was measured. From the interfacial tension tested, critical micelle concentration of the egg lecithin was 0.1 %w/v and optimal concentration for the preparation of emulsion was 1.0 %w/v. The mean particle size was about $0.2\;{\mu}m$ which was suitable for injections. The short-term accelerated stability studies were conducted by centrifugation, freeze-thaw method and shaking of the emulsion samples. The addition of PVP was caused the reduction in the particle size and improved the physical stability of emulsion. These results suggested that a mixed interfacial film comprising the egg lecithin and PVP was formed at the o/w interface and it was effective in preventing phase separation under thermic or mechanical stress. We used antineoplaston A10 (A10) as a model drug which is peptide and amino acid derivative having a action to the living organism against the development of neoplastic growth by a nonimmunological progress. It has a poor solubility in water and there may be a difficulty in formulation of A10. Emulsion formulation study about A10 was performed. Solubility of A10 in emulsion was about five times as high as that in water. From the results of solubility and partition coefficient, almost A10 molecules in o/w emulsion exist in the interface between oil and water.

  • PDF

An Analysis on the Effect of Policy Using Macro-economic Forecasting Model of Jeju (제주지역 거시경제 전망모형을 이용한 정책효과 분석)

  • Ko, Bong-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.21 no.5
    • /
    • pp.458-465
    • /
    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the effect of policy in Jeju, using a macro-economic forecasting model of Jeju. First, the model's reality explanatory power improved by updating its statistics to 2017 and expanding new policy variables and modules. Also, the industrial structure of the model was further subdivided and extended to be considered simultaneously in the demand side of Keynesian theory. Second, it was determined that the predictive power for the model of this study was better than that of the existing model. However, with some endogenous variables, it was possible to identify implications that should be developed and considered when the model is improved with additional data in the future. Third, when the second airport construction was considered, it was observed that its effect was an increase of 1.25 times for GRDP, 1.2 times for employment, 1.48 times for private consumption, and 2.06 times for investment. Also, the economic growth rate was estimated to be 1.6% point higher than when the second airport was not constructed. Finally, the results of this study are expected to be used for policy decision making of the Jeju Government.

A basic study on the solution to Traffic indigestion at the high-demand season in the vicinity of Mokpo port with Arena (Arena를 이용한 성수기 목포항 인근의 교통체화 현상 해결방안에 관한 기초적 연구)

  • Jang Jeong-Ae;Noh Chang-kyun
    • Proceedings of KOSOMES biannual meeting
    • /
    • 2004.05b
    • /
    • pp.43-48
    • /
    • 2004
  • The development of the traffic system has brought relative reduction in aspect of the cost and time distance on the geographical space. SOC(social overhead capital), an express highway and railroad, has a great and absolute effect on the prosperity of community, As Mokpo is one of the community under the influence q West costal highway express and KTX(Korea Train Express), the number of the tourists visiting city of port like Mokpo has increasing gradually, especially at the high-demand season(in Summer). But the coastal passenger boot can't be capable of customers arriving at the port. As a result of this situation, the 'balking' occurs. No 'balking', means the jam of road. In this thesis, by understanding the concept and property of ARENA and simulating operation of coastal passenger boot at Mokpo port, intends to analyze the truth of 'balking' and finds an effective operation method of coastal passenger boot for the solution to the traffic jam. The solution to the jam in the vicinity of port of Mokpo, which try to develop tourism package commodity now, will present the effect of qualitative analysis in giving an opportunity of economic growth of the community, Mokpo.

  • PDF

The Impacts of Nuclear Power Generation on Industrial Competitiveness: A Cross-country Comparison of Industrial Electricity Price Reduction Effect (원자력발전이 제조업 성장에 미치는 효과: 국가별 산업용 전력요금 절감 효과 비교)

  • Choi, Bongseok;Kim, Donghun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.25 no.3
    • /
    • pp.449-470
    • /
    • 2016
  • This paper analyzes the effects of nuclear power generation on industrial growth in using the data of 22 manufacturing sectors in 14 nuclear power countries. The hypothesis that the change in the proportion of nuclear power generation in total electricity generation affects industrial value-added and industrial output through industrial electricity price reduction was tested using the dynamic panel data model. First, it was estimated that the increase in nuclear power generation by a 1% leads to a 0.8% reduction in electricity price. The results indicate that when nuclear power generation increased by a 1% point, industrial value-added and output increased by 0.16% and 0.23%,respectively, in the short-run and by 0.51% and 0.85%, respectively, in the long-run. It was also inferred that the effect of nuclear generation on industrial competitiveness working through electricity price reduction rely on institutional settings in the electricity markets. That is, the competitive effect is greater in the countries such as U.K and Japan where electricity price is high and price volatility is large. Meanwhile, in Germany which has pursued phasing out nuclear power, industrial competitiveness is promoted through stable electricity supply.

Problems and Verification System of Probiotics as Livestock-environment Improving Agent Produced and Circulated (축산 환경개선제로 생산.유통되는 생균제의 문제점 및 검증방안)

  • Lee, Eun-Young
    • Microbiology and Biotechnology Letters
    • /
    • v.36 no.2
    • /
    • pp.87-95
    • /
    • 2008
  • Probiotics are live organisms that when administered in adequate amounts confer a health benefit on hosts. The administration of direct-fed microbials (DFM) such as lactobacilli and bacillus, may be a more direct approach to beneficially alter gastrointestinal microflora than altering dietary ingredients or supplementing with growth-promoting levels of antibiotics. It is apparent that microbes have an important influence on immune development and resistance to infection; that microbes are not static colonizers of our bodies, but are dynamic, symbiotic coresidents. And it can improve the surrounding environments; decrease the malodor caused by degrade the excrement. Recently, new paradigm such as environment protection and safe food have been settled. In domestic farm house, there is a great demand for probiotics as a substitute of antibiotics for the improvement of environmental quality and the production of a competitive goods. Probiotics circulated in a country have three categories: an animal medicine permitted by national veterinary research quarantine service (NVRQS), a support feed registered in city or country house, and not-registered goods. However, lots of unqualified goods were produced and circulated. And thus, it is in urgent need of evaluating the present situation and effect of probiotics. This study was conducted to evaluate the system of a probiotics as a livestock-environment improving agents for the alternation of antibiotics and quality control of it.

Design of Personalization Service System in Mobile GIS (모바일 GIS에서의 개인화 서비스 시스템 설계)

  • Park, Key-Ho;Jung, Jae-Gon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
    • /
    • 2008.10a
    • /
    • pp.106-112
    • /
    • 2008
  • Personalization is user oriented dynamic method based on user preferences for easy access to what users want to view or get. It has become more important in mobile domain with rapid growth of wireless Internet and mobile phone market after success of web based market and therefore, it can be applied to service of spatial analysis result. In this paper, spatial analysis using user profile and notification service methods are proposed as one of personalized spatial data service methods for mobile users. A service system for spatial analysis with user profile is designed to prove possibility of spatial analysis based on user preferences and notification service is also designedto show generated output can be sent to user's mobile devices efficiently to make users informed of preferred information. Prototype system is implemented and it is applied to real estate data that has many selectable conditions by users. Information service based on user preferences can be applied to spatial data by using proposed system and it is efficient when cache module is used to shorten response time. Various user models for application domains and performance evaluation methods need to be developed in the future.

  • PDF

The Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Korea during the Global Financial Crisis (금융위기에 대응한 확장적 재정정책의 효과성 분석)

  • Kim, SeongTae
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
    • /
    • v.34 no.4
    • /
    • pp.27-68
    • /
    • 2012
  • This study outlines measures related to fiscal policies aimed at responding to the financial crisis according to the timing of commencement and then examines impacts of expansionary fiscal policies on macro variables so as to extract policy implications. The size of expansionary fiscal policy to respond to the financial crisis is found to total 59.8 trillion won (6.1% of GDP in 2007), among which a total of 30.5 trillion won was the increased fiscal expenditure made by the 2008 supplementary budget, the 2009 revised budget and the 2009 supplementary budget. In addition, tax reductions are found to be a total of 29.3 trillion won, mainly driven by the tax reforms in 2008 and 2009. Examining dynamic changes in macro variables caused by the temporary increase in fiscal expenditure and the tax reductions reveals that the increase effect of the real GDP growth rate brought by a temporary rise in fiscal expenditure excluding tax reduction effects turned out to be 1.1%p in 2009 and 0.3%p in 2010, compared to the period without the increase in fiscal expenditure. Meanwhile, when taking into account the effect of expansionary fiscal policies including tax reduction effects, the increase effect of real GDP turns out to be much higher. In the case of 2009, the real GDP rose additionally by 1.9%p, in which 1.1%p by the increase in fiscal expenditure and 0.8%p by tax reduction. Based on these results, the expansionary fiscal policy conducted during the financial crisis since the second half of 2008 can be seen to have played a significant role in helping the Korean economy post a higher-than-anticipated recovery pace from the economic slowdown triggered by the crisis.

  • PDF

Real and Monetary Determinants of Korea's Real Exchange Rate (우리나라 실질환율(實質換率)의 결정요인(決定要因))

  • Park, Won-am
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
    • /
    • v.13 no.2
    • /
    • pp.21-39
    • /
    • 1991
  • This paper introduces a two-sector model to analyze the real and monetary determinants of Korea's real exchange rate. So far, most studies on Korea's exchange rate have concentrated on the behavior of nominal exchange rate, but this study proposes a dynamic model of real exchange rate behavior in developing countries and estimates the real and financial determinants of Korea's real exchange rate behavior. The estimation was performed over the period of 1980-89. The results show many interesting things. First, the monetary and fiscal expansion led to a real appreciation, which suggests that the monetary and fiscal stances be kept sound for a real depreciation. Second, the improvement in the terms of trade led to a real depreciation. This experience is in the contrast to the popular view that the improvement in the terms of trade will result in a real appreciation. Third, the productivity growth led to a real appreciation, but this effect of the Ricardo-Balassa type was not significant. Finally, the nominal devaluation was quite effective to produce a real depreciation. This result also supports Korea's exchange rate policy in the 1980s which was based upon the real target approach instead of nominal anchor approach.

  • PDF