• 한국지구과학회지
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• 제31권4호
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• pp.313-321
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• 2010

연구지역의 지형은 해안과 인접한 소규모의 곡저평야에 속한다. 이 곡저평야는 낮은 구릉지 사이 개석된 곳에 충적물이 매적되어 형성되었다. 본 연구에서는 탄소안정동위원소비 분석과 토양유기탄소 분석을 이용하여 과거의 기후환경 복원을 시도하였다. I 시기(약 $6,600{\pm}60\;yr$ B.P.$-5,350{\pm}60\;yr$ B.P.)는 전반적으로 온난하고 습윤한 기후환경이었으나, 건습변화에 있어서는 약건조(또는 약습윤)${\rightarrow}$습윤의 미변화가 감지된다. II 시기(약 $5,350{\pm}60\;yr$ B.P.-2,200 yr B.P.)는 현재와 비슷한 온난습윤한 기후환경을 나타낸다. $4,720{\pm}60\;yr$ B.P.와 $4,210{\pm}50\;yr$ B.P. 사이는 전체 퇴적층 중 가장 습윤했던 것으로 파악된다. $4,210{\pm}50\;yr$ B.P. 이후에는 점차 습윤에서 약습윤(또는 약건조)환경으로 이행하는 과정이 나타난다. III 시기(약 2,200 yr B.P.$-210{\pm}60\;yr$ B.P.)는 앞선 두 시기와 확연히 구분되며, 약습윤(또는 약건조)의 기후환경을 나타낸다.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제51권spc1호
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• pp.1091-1103
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• 2018

한반도는 계절 및 지리적 위치에 따라 강수특성이 상이하여 수자원 관리 및 계획수립 시 홍수, 가뭄을 사전에 대비하는 것이 매우 중요하다. 더욱이 기후변화로 인한 강수 및 기온의 변화는 홍수 및 가뭄 등 수재해의 변동을 더욱 심화시킬 것으로 예상된다. 본 연구에서는 남한 5대강(한강, 낙동강, 금강, 섬진강, 영산강)을 대상으로 기후변화에 따른 우기(7~9월)와 건기(10~3월)에서의 미래 하천유량의 변화를 전망 및 분석하고자 한다. 이를 위해 CMIP5의 핵심실험인 2개 RCP 시나리오(RCP4.5, RCP8.5)를 이용하였으며, 적정 GCM (INMCM4 모형)을 선정하였다. 5대강 유역의 유량을 전망하기 위해 상세화된 기후변화 시나리오를 장기 강우-유출모형(PRMS 모형)의 입력으로 하여 유량해석을 수행하였다. 장기간의 자료를 활용하여 PRMS의 모형 매개변수를 추정하였으며, 과거기간(1976~2005년) 대비 미래 3기간(2025s, 2055s, and 2085s)에 대한 우기 및 건기시의 유량변화를 분석하였다. 평가결과, 건기에서의 유출량 감소는 RCP8.5 시나리오 대비 RCP4.5 시나리오에서 더 크게 나타났으며, RCP4.5 시나리오 하에서 2025s, 2055s 기간의 유출량은 -7.23%, -3.81% 감소하는 것으로 나타나 가까운 미래(2025s) 기간에서의 유출량 감소가 더욱 클 것으로 전망되었다. 먼 미래(2085s) 기간의 경우, 북부지역은 유량이 증가, 남부지역은 유량이 감소하는 것으로 나타났다. 한편, RCP 8.5 시나리오 하에서는 남부지역을 포함한 대부분의 지역이 가뭄에 대한 취약성이 높아지는 것으로 나타났다. 우기에서의 유출량 변화는 2개 RCP 시나리오 및 미래 전 기간에서 지역에 따라 유량이 증가(북부 및 서부지역) 또는 감소(남부)하는 것으로 나타났다.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제57권3호
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• pp.65-76
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• 2015

Estimating water requirements for upland crops are characterized by standing soil moisture condition during the entire crop growth period. However, scarce rainfall and intermittent dry spells often cause soil moisture depletion resulting in unsaturated condition in the fields. Changes in rainfall patterns due to climate change have significant influence on the increasing the occurrence of extreme soil moisture depletion. Therefore, it is necessary to evaluate agricultural drought for upland crop water planning and management in the context of climate change. The objective of this study is to predict the impacts of climate change on agricultural drought for upland crops and changes in the temporal trends of drought characteristics. First, the changes in crop evapotranspiration and soil moisture in the six upland crops, such as Soybeans, Maize, Potatoes, Red Peppers, Chinese Cabbage (spring and fall) were analyzed by applying the soil moisture model from commonly available crop and soil characteristics and climate data, and were analyzed for the past 30 years (1981-2010), and Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) climate change scenarios (2011-2100). Second, the changes on the temporal trends of drought characteristics were performed using run theory, which was used to compare drought duration, severity, and magnitude to allow for quantitative evaluations under past and future climate conditions.

• 한국지형학회지
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• 제23권2호
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• pp.83-93
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• 2016

Using a Quaternary sediment sampled from the Gwnahju-cheon various organic carbon analysis have been accomplished. The result helped us to figure out how climate environment has changed through at that time. The analysis outcome, except the analysis of upper section(range of 0 to 50 cm depth), showed that the climate was generally warm and humid at that time. However, even in this result, the climate environment was slight differences, it can be divided into four periods. Period I is from $3,880{\pm}30yr\;BP$ to $3,030{\pm}70yr\;BP$, in which the climate was relatively warm and humid/dry slightly. Period II is from $3,030{\pm}70yr\;BP$ to $2,970{\pm}70yr\;BP$, in which the climate was relatively warmer than period I and the most humid among all period. Period III is from $2,970{\pm}30yr\;BP$ to $2,270{\pm}70yr\;BP$ and refers to the warmest among all periods and also relatively drier/more humid than period I. Period IV which is from $2,270{\pm}70yr\;BP$ to $2,170{\pm}110yr\;BP$ represents the coolest and driest climate compare to other periods, although there is a high possibility of disturbance caused by cultivation activities.

• 한국작물학회지
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• 제48권4호
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• pp.339-344
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• 2003

To identify the new source of breeding materials for rice salt tolerance, the salinity tolerance of thirty-four varieties was evaluated under 0.5% saline condition at seedling stage. The salinity score showed highly significant correlations to dry weight and dead leaf ratio. The tested varieties were classified into three groups by visual score, reduction ratio of dry weight, and dead leaf ratio. Eighteen varieties were classified as the highly tolerant group (salinity scores of 1.3-3.7), seven varieties were fallen into the tolerant group (salinity scores of 4.2-5.8), and others were susceptible (salinity scores of 6.7-9.0). In highly tolerant group, most indica varieties including Getu, Dikwee and Kuatic Putic, didn't exsert a panicle under the Korean climate. But six varieties, Xiangcho V, Annapuruna, HP 3319-2wx-6-3-1, Giza 175, and GZ 2447-S-17, GZ 4255-6-3 were suitable to the Korean climate, and their heading date (6-16, August) and culm length (65-78㎝) were similar to the Korean varieties. Accordingly, these varieties can be utilized as crossing materials for the salt tolerance in japonica rice.

• The Korean Journal of Ecology
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• 제28권5호
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• pp.245-254
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• 2005

This paper presents a paleoenvironmental study on Hoya Rincon do Parangueo, a maar lake in Valle de Santiago in Central Mexican Bajio. Maar lake sediments have been widely used for high-resolution reconstruction of paleoenvironment. Many different paleoenvironmental proxy data such as stable isotopes, pollen, sediment chemistry, and dung fungus spore were produced in this study. The pine-oak ratio, stable isotopes, and sediment chemistry help to reveal paleoenviromental changes throughout the whole period covered by sediment materials from this study site. The evidence I found indicates that during ca. 9,500 $\sim$ ca. 8,300 cal yr B.P. there was dry climate; during ca. 8,300 $\sim$ ca. 6,300 cal yr B.P. it was wetter; during ca. 6,300 $\sim$ ca. 4,000 cal yr B.P. drier and cooler; during ca. 4,000 $\sim$ ca. 1,100 cal yr B.P. milder and wetter. The presence of Chupicuaro culture between ca. 2,500 $\sim$ 1,100 cal yr B.P. is implied by the high frequencies of Amaranthaceae and Zea mars. It seems that man left this lake around 1,100 cal yr B.P. due to a dry climate after 1,300 cal yr B.P. Spanish arrival around 400 cal yr B.P. is implied by the fact that fe3 mars reappears and Sporormiella spp. become significant around 120 cm, whereas Poaceae drops sharply.

• Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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• 제25권4호
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• pp.462-470
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• 2012

The availability and efficient use of the feed resources in India are the primary drivers to maximize productivity of Indian livestock. Feed security is vital to the livestock management, extent of use, conservation and productivity enhancement. Assessment and forecasting of livestock feed resources are most important for effective planning and policy making. In the present study, 40 years of data on crop production, land use pattern, rainfall, its deviation from normal, area under crop and yield of crop were collected and modeled to forecast the likely production of feed resources for the next 20 years. The higher order auto-regressive (AR) models were used to develop efficient forecasting models. Use of climatic variables (actual rainfall and its deviation from normal) in combination with non-climatic factors like area under each crop, yield of crop, lag period etc., increased the efficiency of forecasting models. From the best fitting models, the current total dry matter (DM) availability in India was estimated to be 510.6 million tonnes (mt) comprising of 47.2 mt from concentrates, 319.6 mt from crop residues and 143.8 mt from greens. The availability of DM from dry fodder, green fodder and concentrates is forecasted at 409.4, 135.6 and 61.2 mt, respectively, for 2030.

• 한국환경생태학회지
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• 제29권1호
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• pp.81-87
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• 2015

This study was carried out in the peatland for estimating the paleoenvironment based on the analysis from its fossils plant and radiocarbon at the Hwayang-ri, Hyeondeok-myeon, Pyeongtaek-city, South Korea. Variety of fossil was collected from the peatland which could discriminated with naked eye and sorted into seeds, leaves, stems from four-stage of standard sieve. During analysis for the large plant fossil within the peatland, the dead plants were largely divided into 3 fossil zones according to its peatland. In the fossil zone III (the oldest layer; 6,970~6,070 yr $C^{14}$ B.P.), the observation of leaves of hydrophyte such as Trapa sp. and stems of Alnus japonica which appeared in wetland means that the environment was influenced by the climate changes such as rainfall increasing and sea level rise. In the fossil zone II (the middle layer; 6,070~5,800 yr C14 B.P.), the occurrence of Gramineae, Cyperaceae and Fagaceae indicate that the environmental condition might be more or less dry by decreasing rainfall and drop in sea level. The fossil zone I (the recent layer; 5,800~4,540 yr $C^{14}$ B.P.) where lots of herbaceous plants, increasing of Fagaceae, decreasing of A. japonica. and distribution of Pinaceae were showed, was inferred to be repeated both dry and wet environment due to human disturbance.

• 한국지구과학회지
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• 제33권6호
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• pp.510-518
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• 2012

경남 진주시 남강유역에서 채취한 퇴적물을 이용하여 홀로세 기후 변화를 연구하였다. 기후 변화를 해석하기 위해 휴무스와 토양유기탄소를 분석하였고, 퇴적물의 생성 연대를 파악하기 위해 OSL과 탄소연대측정을 하였다. 이 퇴적층의 형성 시기는 약 $10,000{\pm}100$ yr. BP 부터 약 $4,370{\pm}50$ yr. BP (2,970 BC) 사이에 해당된다. 퇴적층의 토색과 입도에 의해 5개의 층으로 구분하였고 각각의 기후 변화를 해석하였다. 전체 퇴적층의 기후는 대체로 온난한 것으로 해석된다. 5개의 퇴적층 중 I층은 최하부층, V층은 최상부층에 해당되며, 기온에 있어서 I, II 그리고 III구간에서는 상대적으로 냉량했던 추이가 감지되었다. 건습에 있어서는 II구간과 III구간이 상대적으로 건조하였던 것으로 파악된다. IV구간과 V구간은 상대적으로 온난하고 건조하였으며, IV구간은 전체 퇴적층 중 가장 온난한 경향을 보이고 있다. 또한 상대적으로 냉량하고 약습윤한 기후에서 토양의 총유기탄소값이 높게 나타나는 경향이 있다.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.273-285
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• 2011

This study describes the modeling of climate change impact on runoff across southeast Korea using a conceptual rainfall-runoff model TANK and assesses the results using the concept of environmental flows developed by International Water Management Institute. The future climate time series is obtained by scaling the historical series, informed by 4 global climate models and 3 greenhouse gas emission scenarios, to reflect a $4.0^{\circ}C$ increase at most in average surface air temperature and 31.7% increase at most in annual precipitation, using the spatio-temporal changing factor method that considers changes in the future mean seasonal rainfall and potential evapotranspiration as well as in the daily rainfall distribution. Although the simulation results from different global circulation models and greenhouse emission scenarios indicate different responses in flows to the climate change, the majority of the modeling results show that there will be more runoff in southeast Korea in the future. However, there is substantial uncertainty, with the results ranging from a 5.82% decrease to a 48.15% increase in the mean annual runoff averaged across the study area according to the corresponding climate change scenarios. We then assess the hydrologic perturbations based on the comparison between present and future flow duration curves suggested by IMWI. As a result, the effect of hydrologic perturbation on aquatic ecosystems may be significant at several locations of the Nakdong river main stream in dry season.