• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2011년도 학술발표회
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• pp.252-252
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• 2011

Rainfall-runoff models are calibrated and validated by using a same data set such as observations. The past climate change effects the present rainfall pattern and also will effect on the future. To predict rainfall-runoff more preciously we have to consider the climate change pattern in the past, present and the future time. Thus, in this study, the climate change represents changes in mean precipitation and standard deviation in different patterns. In some river basins, there is no enough length of data for the analysis. Therefore, we have to generate the synthetic data using proper distribution for calculation of precipitation based on the observed data. In this study, Kajiyama model is used to analyze the runoff in the dry and the wet period, separately. Mean and standard deviation are used for generating precipitation from the gamma distribution. Twenty hypothetical scenarios are considered to show the climate change conditions. The mean precipitation are changed by -20%, -10%, 0%, +10% and +20% for the data generation with keeping the standard deviation constant in the wet and the dry period respectively. Similarly, the standard deviations of precipitation are changed by -20%, -10%, 0%, +10% and +20% keeping the mean value of precipitation constant for the wet and the dry period sequentially. In the wet period, when the standard deviation value varies then the mean NSE ratio is more fluctuate rather than the dry period. On the other hand, the mean NSE ratio in some extent is more fluctuate in the wet period and sometimes in the dry period, if the mean value of precipitation varies while keeping the standard deviation constant.

• Journal of Ecology and Environment
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• 제43권2호
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• pp.85-97
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• 2019

Background: Despite the increasing role of dry forests in climate change adaptation and mitigation, these versatile resources has got less attention in the national and regional planning, their potential to enhance the local and national economy has been overlooked, and their contribution to sustainable environmental management has not been recognized. Hence, the objective of this study was to assess the socioeconomic contribution of dry forests and forest products to climate change adaptation in the Liben Woreda, Southern Oromia region of Ethiopia. Methods: For this study, an integrated qualitative and quantitative approach was used. A total of 74 households from villages in the Bulbul, Boba, and Melka-Guba kebeles were randomly selected for the household survey. Results: Results showed that 75% of the respondents in the area indicated that climate change has become their major sources of vulnerability, where drought has been manifested in the form of crops failure and massive death of livestock particularly cattle species. The main income strategies of the study households include livestock, crop, forests such as gum and resins, firewood and charcoal and non-farm activities such as in the form of petty trade, wage and aid. The average total household income was ETB 11,209.7. Out of this, dry forest income constituted 15% of the total income. In addition to using dry forests as rangeland for livestock, the communities collect wood for construction, fodder, traditional medicine, and forest food both for subsistence and for sale. On the other hand, dry forest products could be considered as less vulnerable, rather resilient livelihood strategies to climate- and environment-related risks compared to livestock and crop production such as in the face of drought periods. More than 48.6% of the households argued that the income generated from dry forests increased substantially due to increment in the level of engagement of family members in forest based income activities. On the other hand, 35.8% of the households responded that livestock production, particularly camels and goats, have been making the livelihood strategies of the respondents more resilient indicating the shift made from grazers browsers to livestock. In general trends show that, the trends of livelihood dependency on dry forest were highly increasing indicating the importance of dry forest income in responsse to frequent droughts. Conclusions: Dry forest income has been becoming crucial livelihood staretgy in response to frequent droughts in the study area and hence, it is important to improve the management of dry forests for livelihood enhancement, while also securing their long-term ecological functions.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제36권6호
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• pp.568-580
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• 2020

Calibrating a conceptual hydrologic model necessitates selection of a calibration period that produces the most reliable prediction. This often must be chosen randomly, however, since there is no objective guidance. Observation plays the most important role in the calibration or uncertainty evaluation of hydrologic models, in which the key factors are the length of the data and the hydro-climate conditions in which they were collected. In this study, we investigated the effect of the calibration period selected on the predictive performance and uncertainty of a model. After classifying the inflows of the Hapcheon Dam from 1991 to 2019 into four hydro-climate conditions (dry, wet, normal, and mixed), a conceptual hydrologic partitioning model was calibrated using data from the same hydro-climate condition. Then, predictive performance and post-parameter statistics were analyzed during the verification period under various hydro-climate conditions. The results of the study were as follows: 1) Hydro-climate conditions during the calibration period have a significant effect on model performance and uncertainty, 2) calibration of a hydrologic model using data in dry hydro-climate conditions is most advantageous in securing model performance for arbitrary hydro-climate conditions, and 3) the dry calibration can lead to more reliable model results.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제39권11호
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• pp.923-934
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• 2006

본 연구는 SWAT모형을 이용하여 기상, 지하수 취수량, 토지이용 변화에 대한 건기 총유출량의 민감도를 제시하였으며 더 나아가 건기의 총 유출량을 추정하기 위해 건기 총강우량, 전 우기 총강우량, 평균 일 최대온도, 일평균 태양복사량과 같은 기상 변수들과 지하수 취수량 및 도시면적 비율을 이용하여 회귀식을 도출하였다. 도출된 식을 이용하여 기후변화에 대한 건기 총유출량 변화를 살펴보기 위하여 온도와 강우량의 변화에 대한 건기 총유출량의 변화율을 제시하였는데 기후변화로 인해 온도가 상승할 경우 건기의 총 유출량은 감소하는 것으로 나타났다. 지하수 취수량은 총 유출량과 관계가 높은데 반해 토지이용 변화는 산간유역인 대상유역의 경우 크게 영향을 미치지 않음을 알 수 있었다. 본 연구에서 제안된 식은 기저유출에 영향을 크게 미치는 강우와 기온 및 태양복사량을 포함하는 기상상태, 지하수 취수량, 도시면적 비율을 변수로 갖는 식이므로 기후변화를 비롯한 유역의 다양한 수문학적 변화에 대해 대상유역의 미래 건기의 수자원 확보량을 예측하는데 유용하게 사용될 수 있다.

• 대기
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• 제22권3호
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• pp.381-386
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• 2012

The monthly number of days with rain or snow in Seoul extends backward to 1626 from the present. The number of rain and snow days are from the ancient records and combined with the modern precipitation records from 1907 to the present. There are two distinct and abrupt changes in the time series, which allow us to divide the entire period into three sub-periods of CR-I, CR-II, and MR. For each sub-period, we calculated the basic statistics and the associated distributions. The analysis proves Seoul, which may comprise East Asia when considering the lengthy period of dry condition, had dry climate for the Maunder Minimum when Europe experienced cold climate. We also note relationships between the rain days and sunspot numbers in various frequency bands.

• 한국실내디자인학회논문집
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• 제23권6호
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• pp.3-13
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• 2014

The purpose of this study is to compare and analyse the difference between courtyard housings of hot-humid region and hot-dry region in India, in order to identify the affection of climate on the space arrangement of housing. The study starts from the curiosity about similar space structure of Indian housings at different climate area. Indian housings usually have courtyard at the center of its plan, though the 'Courtyard housing' is typical form of dry region's house type. Research method is comparative analysis of traditional houses of India, and the samples are selected from hot-dry city, Ahmedabad and hot-humid city, Bangalore. The conclusion is drawn through comparing main houses with traditional houses of other dry city - Jaipur - and humid cities - Trivandrum and Nilambur. It shows that both dry and humid region's housings has courtyard in common, but their spatial structures are not same at all. Houses of dry region shows organically connected spatial form, in order to maximize the cooling effect of ventilation. In contrast, the plan of houses in humid region shows opened, but can be closed in any time to prevent the penetration of moisture. Both Parekh house(Ahmedabad) and Koramangala house(Bangalore) left inconvenience of its arrangement, though the ventilation of air is the most important point of sustainability in hot region. The study could be the practical reference data for advanced sustainable housings of India which may built in the future.

• 대한지리학회지
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• 제47권3호
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• pp.459-470
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• 2012

본 연구는 강원도 농업을 사례로 1993-2010년 기간 동안 11개 시군별 기후, 지리 및 토양, 사회 경제적 변수들에 대한 패널자료를 구축하고 리카디언 방법을 사용하여 극한기후 변수들이 논과 밭 경작유형별로 토지가치에 미친 경제적 효과를 추정하고자 시도한다. 추정결과에 따르면, 호우 관련 극한기후 변수는 논과 밭의 토지가치와 부정적인 관계가 있다. 여름철 관련 극한기온 변수들은 토지가치에 음(-)의 영향을 미치고 있지만, 한파를 제외한 겨울철 관련 극한기온 변수들은 토지가치와 정(+)의 관계를 보여주고 있다.

• 한국제4기학회지
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• 제17권2호
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• pp.25-32
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• 2003

Mongolia, a land-locked country in Central Asia, is located in the region of the highest degree of seasonal contrast on Earth. This paper presents sedimentologic and geomorphic data used to infer Holocene climate change in North-Central Mongolia. Correlation of data show that the climate was cold and dry before 10500 years BP. The post glacial warming occurred from 10500 to 8700 yr BP. The climate was characterized by becoming warmer and dry from 7300 to 6090 radiocarbon years. Between 6100 and 5500 years ago, conditions were hyper arid. Increased effective moisture balance but still arid conditions prevailed between 5500 and 3900 years ago. Since 3900 years ago, generally more humid conditions prevailed and originated varved sediment accumulation. Between about 2300 to 1300 years ago, greater than present day effective moisture balance. Since 1200 years ago climate was cooler and since 600 years ago becoming warmer.

• Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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• 제63권1호
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• pp.77-90
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• 2021

This study aimed to assess the impact of abnormal climate events on the production of Italian ryegrass (IRG), such as autumn low-temperature, severe winter cold and spring droughts in the central inland, southern inland and southern coastal regions. Seasonal climatic variables, including temperature, precipitation, wind speed, relative humidity, and sunshine duration, were used to set the abnormal climate events using principal component analysis, and the abnormal climate events were distinguished from normal using Euclidean-distance cluster analysis. Furthermore, to estimate the impact caused by abnormal climate events, the dry matter yield (DMY) of IRG between abnormal and normal climate events was compared using a t-test with 5% significance level. As a result, the impact to the DMY of IRG by abnormal climate events in the central inland of Korea was significantly large in order of severe winter cold, spring drought, and autumn low-temperature. In the southern inland regions, severe winter cold was also the most serious abnormal event. These results indicate that the severe cold is critical to IRG in inland regions. Meanwhile, in the southern coastal regions, where severe cold weather is rare, the spring drought was the most serious abnormal climate event. In particular, since 2005, the frequency of spring droughts has tended to increase. In consideration of the trend and frequency of spring drought events, it is likely that drought becomes a NEW NORMAL during spring in Korea. This study was carried out to assess the impact of seasonal abnormal climate events on the DMY of IRG, and it can be helpful to make a guideline for its vulnerability.

• 대한지리학회지
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• 제46권4호
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• pp.414-425
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• 2011

광주광역시 화전 유적지의 습지 퇴적물에 화분분석, 수침목재 동정, 그리고 기초적인 퇴적물 분석 등을 수행하여 얻은 결과를 토대로 이 지역의 홀로신 중기 고식생 및 고기후를 유추해 보았다. 약 8200 ~ 6800년 전에는 홀로신 기후최적기에 비해 기후가 다소 건조하여, 참나무 개체수는 상대적으로 적었고 다양한 수목들이 함께 서식했다. 약 6800 ~ 5900 년 전은 홀로신 기후최적기로 온난 습윤한 기후가 강화되면서 참나무속에 유리한 환경이 조성되었으며 저습지의 면적이 감소하였다. 6100 년 전 경에는 한반도 남동부에서 홀로신 기후최적기의 지속으로 극상림에 가까운 삼림이 형성되었다. 약 5900 ~ 4700 년 전에는 기후가 냉량건조해지면서 극상림인 참나무숲의 면적뿐 아니라 전체 삼림 면적이 감소하였다. 이 시기 말미에는 기후의 일시적인 호전으로 오리나무숲이 팽창하였다. 마지막으로 약 4700 ~ 3300 년 전에는 오리나무의 세력이 감소하고 참나무가 우점했으며 상대적으로 건조한 기후가 지속되면서 삼림의 밀도는 낮았다.