• Title/Summary/Keyword: Distribution of Rainfall

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A Numerical Simulation Study of Orographic Effects for a Heavy Rainfall Event over Korea Using the WRF Model (WRF 모형을 이용한 한반도 집중 호우에 대한 지형 효과의 수치 모의 연구)

  • Lee, Ji-Woo;Hong, Song-You
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.319-332
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    • 2006
  • This study examines the capability of the WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting) model in reproducing heavy rainfall that developed over the Korean peninsula on 26-27 June 2005. The model is configured with a triple nesting with the highest horizontal resolution at a 3-km grid, centered at Yang-dong, Gyeonggi-province, which recorded the rainfall amount of 376 mm. In addition to the control experiment employing realistic orography over Korea, two consequent sensitivity experiments with 1) no orography, and 2) no land over Korea were designed to investigate orographic effects on the development of heavy rainfall. The model was integrated for 48 hr, starting at 1200 UTC 25 June 2005. The overall features of the large-scale patterns including a cyclone associated with the heavy rainfall are reasonably reproduced by the control run. The spatial distribution of the simulated rainfall over Korea agreed fairly well with the observed. The amount of predicted maximum rainfall at the 3-km grid is 377 mm, which located about 50 km southeast from the observed point, Yang-Dong, indicating that the WRF model is capable of predicting heavy rainfall over Korea at the cloud resolving resolutions. Further, it was found that the complex orography over the Korean peninsula plays a role in enhancing the rainfall intensity by about 10%. The land-sea contrast over the peninsula was fund to be responsible for additional 10% increase of rainfall amount.

Influence of Antecedent Rainfall in Stability Analysis of Unsaturated Soil Slope (불포화토 사면 안정해석에서 선행강우의 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Yeongsaeng;Yoon, Seunghyun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.1073-1082
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    • 2015
  • The behavior of the unsaturated soil slope can be influenced by the various factors such as the hydraulic characteristics, the mechanical characteristics, the coefficient of conductivity, the stratifications, the rainfall conditions i.e. the rainfall intensity, the rainfall pattern, the duration time of the rainfall and the antecedent rainfall etc. It is known that the slope failure is influenced greatly by the antecedent rainfall rather than the rainfall condition at the failure time, so the antecedent rainfall is supposed to be a very important factor in slope stability analysis among these factors. To predict and to prevent the slope failure by the rainfall, the distribution of the matric suction by the antecedent rainfall must be considered first of all and the slope stability analysis should be carried out by considering the successive rainfall characteristics. In this research, 3 samples with different quantity (5%, 10%, 20%) of silts were prepared and the SWCC (Soil-water characteristic curve) tests were carried out and the associated parameters were analyzed. After analyzing the distribution of the matric suction and the change of the mechanical characteristics such as the stress and the strength when applying the antecedent rainfall for one month and the successive intensive rainfall for 12 hours, the slope stability analyses were carried out numerically. And the influence of the antecedent rainfall for one month and the SWCC on the stability of a slope were compared and analyzed.

Spatial distribution and uncertainty of daily rainfall for return level using hierarchical Bayesian modeling combined with climate and geographical information (기후정보와 지리정보를 결합한 계층적 베이지안 모델링을 이용한 재현기간별 일 강우량의 공간 분포 및 불확실성)

  • Lee, Jeonghoon;Lee, Okjeong;Seo, Jiyu;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.10
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    • pp.747-757
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    • 2021
  • Quantification of extreme rainfall is very important in establishing a flood protection plan, and a general measure of extreme rainfall is expressed as an T-year return level. In this study, a method was proposed for quantifying spatial distribution and uncertainty of daily rainfall depths with various return periods using a hierarchical Bayesian model combined with climate and geographical information, and was applied to the Seoul-Incheon-Gyeonggi region. The annual maximum daily rainfall depth of six automated synoptic observing system weather stations of the Korea Meteorological Administration in the study area was fitted to the generalized extreme value distribution. The applicability and reliability of the proposed method were investigated by comparing daily rainfall quantiles for various return levels derived from the at-site frequency analysis and the regional frequency analysis based on the index flood method. The uncertainty of the regional frequency analysis based on the index flood method was found to be the greatest at all stations and all return levels, and it was confirmed that the reliability of the regional frequency analysis based on the hierarchical Bayesian model was the highest. The proposed method can be used to generate the rainfall quantile maps for various return levels in the Seoul-Incheon-Gyeonggi region and other regions with similar spatial sizes.

Inundation Analysis of Agricultural Basin Considering Agricultural Drainage Hydrological Plan and Critical Rainfall Duration (농지배수 수문설계 기준과 임계지속기간을 고려한 농업 소유역 침수분석)

  • Kim, Kwihoon;Jun, Sang-Min;Kang, Moon Seong;Choi, Jin-Yong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.65 no.4
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    • pp.25-32
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    • 2023
  • KDS (Korean Design Standard) for agricultural drainage is a planning standard that helps determine the appropriate capacity and type of drainage facilities. The objective of this study was to analyze the inundation of the agricultural basin considering the current design standard and the critical rainfall duration. This study used the rainfall durations of 1-48 hour, and the time distribution method with the Chicago and the modified Huff model. For the runoff model, the NRCS (Natural Resources Conservation Service) unit hydrograph method was applied, and the inundation depth and duration were analyzed using area-elevation data. From the inundation analysis using the modified Huff method with different rainfall durations, 4 hours showed the largest peak discharge, and 11 hours showed the largest inundation depth. From the comparison analysis with the current method (Chicago method with a duration of 48 hours) and the modified Huff method applying critical rainfall duration, the current method showed less peak discharge and lower inundation depth compared to the modified Huff method. From the simulation of changing values of drainage rate, the duration of 11 hours showed larger inundation depth and duration compared to the duration of 4 hours. Accordingly, the modified Huff method with the critical rainfall duration would likely be a safer design than the current method. Also, a process of choosing a design hydrograph considering the inundation depth and duration is needed to apply the critical rainfall duration. This study is expected to be helpful for the theoretical basis of the agricultural drainage design standards.

Study on Rainfall Regional Frequency Analysis (강우 지역빈도해석의 적용성 연구)

  • Shin Hong Joon;Nam Woo Sung;Heo Jun Haeng;Kim Kyung Duk
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.593-598
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    • 2005
  • At-site analysis is not appropriate if the record length is shorter than target return period T. If the record length is longer than 27 years, then at-site analysis may be sufficient(Institute of Hydrology, 1999). However, in such a case, regional frequency analysis is recommended for purpose of comparison. Record lengths of annual maximum rainfall data in Korea are usually shorter than 50 years. It is therefore essential to apply regional frequency analysis for estimating rainfall quantiles of more than 100 years return period. In this research, regional rainfall frequency analysis is performed for hourly rainfall data of South Korea. Homogeneous regions are idntified by clusgter analysis which is a standard method of statistical multivariate analysis for dividing a data set into groups. An appropriate distribution is chosen by goodness-of-fit test. GLO is found to be an appropriate distribution as a result of goodness-of-fit measure (Hosking & Wallis, 1997). Simulation experiments are performed to check the performance of frequency analysis techniques. The effects of discordant sites on quantiles are considered.

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Classification of Climate Zones in South Korea Considering both Air Temperature and Rainfall (기온과 강수특성을 고려한 남한의 기후지역구분)

  • Park, Chang-Yong;Choi, Young-Eun;Moon, Ja-Yeon;Yun, Won-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2009
  • This study aims to classify climate zones using Empirical Orthogonal Function and clustering analyses considering both air temperature and rainfall features in South Korea. When examining climatic characteristics of air temperature and rainfall by seasons, the distribution of air temperature is affected by topography and latitude for all seasons in South Korea. The distribution of rainfall demonstrated that the Yeongdong area, the southern coastal area and Jeju island have higher rainfall while the central area in Gyeongsangbuk-do is the least rainfall area. Clustering analyses of average linkage method and Ward's method was carried out using input variables derived from principal component scores calculated through Empirical Orthogonal Function analysis for air temperature and rainfall. Ward's method showed the best result of classification of climate zones. It was well reflected effects of topography, latitude, sea, the movement of surface pressure systems, and an administrative district.

Rainfall Variations in the Nam River Dam Basin (남강댐 유역에 있어서 강우분포의 변화)

  • 박준일
    • Water for future
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.91-106
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    • 1995
  • An investigation into the rainfall variability in time and space in the Nam River dam basin of Korea was made with use of the coefficient of variation and the correlation coefficient. The Nam River dam basin is a small mountainous watershed where the wind direction and orography are the dominant influences on the pattern and distribution of rainfall. It was found that the characteristics of rainfall distribution vary with elevation, position, wind direction. And in the three directions considered, it was found that there is the related formulation dependent on the distance between two stations. The resultrs of this study on the temporal and spatial characteristics of rainfall can be used in the design of raingauge networks, hydrological forecasting, and so on in the Nam River dam basin.

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Analysis of Groundwater Recharge Characteristics Using Relationship between Rainfall and Groundwater Level (강우량과 지하 수위를 이용한 지하수 함양특성 분석)

  • Lee, Dong-Ryul;Gu, Ho-Bon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.51-59
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    • 2000
  • A dynamic model, which combined time series model with distributed-lag model, is applied to understand the relationship between rainfall and groundwater level. In the model, rainfall with distribution lags and past groundwater level as a dependent variables were used to estimate present groundwater level. The distribution of the lagged rainfall effects for groundwater levels was modeled by Almon polynomials. The model was applied to Banglim and Tanbu groundwater stations in Pyungchang river and Bocheong stream watershed which are representative basins for International Hydrological Program (IHP). The dynamic model represents observed groundwater levels very well and can be used to predict the levels. The model parameters reflect hydraulic characteristics of aquifer. In addition, from the parameters it appears that the increase in groundwater level due to rainfall takes place significantly within first two days of the rainfall event. The rainfall of the order of 18mm/day and 30mm/day at Banglim and Tanbu, respectively, had no significant effect on the groundwater levels.

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Analysis of Rainfall Spatial Correlation Structure Using Minutely Data (분단위 자료를 이용한 강우의 공간상관구조 분석)

  • Yoo, Chul-Sang;Park, Chang-Yeol;Kim, Kyoung-Jun;Jun, Kyung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.113-120
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    • 2008
  • This study analyzed the spatial correlograms of minutely rainfall data with respect to various accumulation times. A bivariate mixed lognormal distribution was applied for rainfall modelling. A total of 26 minutely rainfall data sets from rain gauge stations in the central part of Korean peninsula were analyzed, also repeated for several storm types like Jang-Ma, typhoon and convective storms for their comparison. The accumulation times 1, 2, 3, 5, 10, 30 and 60 minutes were considered in this study. As results, it was found that the minutely rainfall data available was not good enough for estimating minutely rainfall intensity at ungaged locations. It seems more practical to use the hourly rainfall data with much higher rain gauge density, if proper methods for interpolation and data dis-aggregation are provided.

Rainfall-Runoff Analysis of a Rural Watershed (농촌유역의 강우-유출분석)

  • Kim, Ji-Yong;Park, Ki-Jung;Chung, Sang-Ok
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.93-98
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    • 2001
  • This study was performed to analyse the rainfall and the rainfall-runoff characteristics of a rural watershed. The Sangwha basin($105.9km^{2}$) in the Geum river system was selected for this study. The arithmetic mean method, the Thiessen's weighing method, and the isohyetal method were used to analyse areal rainfall distribution and the Huff's quartile method was used to analyse temporal rainfall distribution. In addition, daily runoff analyses were peformed using the DAWAST and tank model. In the model calibration, the data from June through November, 1999 were used. In the model calibration, the observed runoff depth was 513.7mm and runoff rate was 45.2%, and the DAWAST model simulated runoff depth was 608.6mm and runoff rate was 53.5%, and the tank model runoff depth was 596.5mm and runoff rate was 52.5%, respectively. In the model test, the data from June through November, 2000 were used. In the model test, the observed runoff depth was 1032.3mm and runoff rate was 72.5%, and the DAWAST model simulated runoff depth was 871.6mm and runoff rate was 61.3%, and the tank model runoff depth was 825.4mm and runoff rate was 58%, respectively. The DAWAST and tank model's $R^{2}$ and RMSE were 0.85, 3.61mm, and 0.85, 2.77mm in 1999, and 0.83, 5.73mm, and 0.87, 5.39mm in 2000, respectively. Both models predicted low flow runoff better than flood runoff.

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