• 제목/요약/키워드: Disaster impact assessment system

검색결과 51건 처리시간 0.03초

산지경관 파편화 모니터링을 위한 기초연구 (A Basic Study for Forest Landscape Fragmentation Monitoring)

  • 안승만
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제108권3호
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    • pp.454-467
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    • 2019
  • 이 연구는 산지를 이용한 산지경관 파편화 모니터링을 제안하고 실효성을 검토하여 다음의 결과를 도출하였다. 첫째, 산지경관이 최근 9년간 빠르게 파편화되고 있어서 국가적 모니터링과 관리가 시급하다. 둘째, 산지경관(GIS) 기반의 평면적 파편화 조사만으로는 중요한 생태적 변화를 확인할 수 없으므로 다양한 조사체계와의 연계가 필요하다. 셋째, 산지경관 파편화 모니터링을 환경영향평가 재해영향평가 등과 연계하여 사전예방원칙을 제도화해야 한다.

System dynamics simulation of the thermal dynamic processes in nuclear power plants

  • El-Sefy, Mohamed;Ezzeldin, Mohamed;El-Dakhakhni, Wael;Wiebe, Lydell;Nagasaki, Shinya
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제51권6호
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    • pp.1540-1553
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    • 2019
  • A nuclear power plant (NPP) is a highly complex system-of-systems as manifested through its internal systems interdependence. The negative impact of such interdependence was demonstrated through the 2011 Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster. As such, there is a critical need for new strategies to overcome the limitations of current risk assessment techniques (e.g. the use of static event and fault tree schemes), particularly through simulation of the nonlinear dynamic feedback mechanisms between the different NPP systems/components. As the first and key step towards developing an integrated NPP dynamic probabilistic risk assessment platform that can account for such feedback mechanisms, the current study adopts a system dynamics simulation approach to model the thermal dynamic processes in: the reactor core; the secondary coolant system; and the pressurized water reactor. The reactor core and secondary coolant system parameters used to develop system dynamics models are based on those of the Palo Verde Nuclear Generating Station. These three system dynamics models are subsequently validated, using results from published work, under different system perturbations including the change in reactivity, the steam valve coefficient, the primary coolant flow, and others. Moving forward, the developed system dynamics models can be integrated with other interacting processes within a NPP to form the basis of a dynamic system-level (systemic) risk assessment tool.

지리가중회귀모델을 이용한 도시홍수 피해지역의 지역적 공간특성 분석 (Local Analysis of the spatial characteristics of urban flooding areas using GWR)

  • 심준석;김지숙;이성호
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.39-50
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    • 2014
  • In recent years, the frequency and scale of the natural disasters are growing rapidly due to the global climate change. In case of the urban flooding, high-density of population and infrastructure has caused the more intensive damages. In this study, we analyzed the spatial characteristics of urban flooding damage factors using GWR(Geographically Weighted Regression) for effective disaster prevention and then, classified the causes of the flood damage by spatial characteristics. The damage factors applied consists of natural variables such as the poor drainage area, the distance from the river, elevation and slope, and anthropogenic variables such as the impervious surface area, urbanized area, and infrastructure area, which are selected by literature review. This study carried out the comparative analysis between OLS(Ordinary Least Square) and GWR model for identifying spatial non-stationarity and spatial autocorrelation, and in the results, GWR model has higher explanation power than OLS model. As a result, it appears that there are some differences between each of the flood damage areas depending on the variables. We conclude that the establishment of disaster prevention plan for urban flooding area should reflect the spatial characteristics of the damaged areas. This study provides an improved understandings of the causes of urban flood damages, which can be diverse according to their own spatial characteristics.

Vulnerability assessment of upland public groundwater wells against climate change

  • Shin, Hyung Jin;Lee, Jae Young;Jo, Sung Mun;Cha, Sang Sun;Park, Chan Gi
    • 농업과학연구
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    • 제47권3호
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    • pp.577-596
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    • 2020
  • Drought is a natural disaster that directly affects agriculture, which has a great impact on the global agricultural production system and yield. The lack of water storage in most parts of the country due to the lack of precipitation has caused a great increase in social interest in drought due to the dryness of rice fields and crops. As the drought period increases and the drought intensity becomes stronger, it is believed that drought damage to crops will continue; thus, it is necessary to understand the vulnerability to irrigation performance and the ability of irrigation facilities. Therefore, this study conducted a vulnerability assessment of irrigation facilities (public Groundwater well) in cities across the country. The survey was conducted using statistical data from 2007 to 2016, and the vulnerability score was calculated according to the vulnerability evaluation procedure for drought in the irrigation facilities (public groundwater wells). Among 157 regions, 136 areas were very vulnerable; 14 areas were vulnerable; 3 areas were normal; 4 areas were good, and 0 areas were excellent. The vulnerability assessment can be used as basic data for the development or maintenance of field irrigation facilities in the future by understanding the vulnerability of irrigation facilities.

Corporation's Adaptation to Climate Change Related Natural Disasters : Embedding Resiliency in Supply Chain - A Study on Climate Change Related Natural Disaster Adaptation for Corporations -

  • Pak, Myong Sop;Kim, In Sun
    • 무역상무연구
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    • 제64권
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    • pp.239-264
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    • 2014
  • Two types of responses to climate change exist. First is climate mitigation which includes efforts of reducing CO2 and GHG emissions. Second response is climate adaptation process which is establishing climate resilience in the supply chain. The two are inherently different since mitigation strategy focus on eliminating the source of climate change and is long term in nature but adaptation strategy is moderating the impact of potential or current climate change. In order to embed climate resilience in the supply chain, mitigation strategies and adaption strategies must be implemented simultaneously. Corporation's adaptation to climate change related natural disaster can be seen as a response that includes mitigation and adaptation strategies simultaneously. A comprehensive climate change resilience supply chain approach has to be developed. This paper illustrated guidelines and adaptation process framework businesses can utilize in order to build climate resilience. Screening process before the actual assessment of risk was introduced as well as the whole adaptation process of establishing information system and strengthening climate-related operational flexibility.

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Applied AI neural network dynamic surface control to nonlinear coupling composite structures

  • ZY Chen;Yahui Meng;Huakun Wu;ZY Gu;Timothy Chen
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • 제52권5호
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    • pp.571-581
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    • 2024
  • After a disaster like the catastrophic earthquake, the government have to use rapid assessment of the condition (or damage) of bridges, buildings and other infrastructures is mandatory for rapid feedbacks, rescue and post-event management. This work studies the tracking control problem of a class of strict-feedback nonlinear systems with input saturation nonlinearity. Under the framework of dynamic surface control design, RBF neural networks are introduced to approximate the unknown nonlinear dynamics. In order to address the impact of input saturation nonlinearity in the system, an auxiliary control system is constructed, and by introducing a class of first-order low-pass filters, the problems of large computation and computational explosion caused by repeated differentiation are effectively solved. In response to unknown parameters, corresponding adaptive updating control laws are designed. The goals of this paper are towards access to adequate, safe and affordable housing and basic services, promotion of inclusive and sustainable urbanization and participation, implementation of sustainable and disaster-resilient buildings, sustainable human settlement planning and manage. Simulation results of linear and nonlinear structures show that the proposed method is able to identify structural parameters and their changes due to damage and unknown excitations. Therefore, the goal is believed to achieved in the near future by the ongoing development of AI and control theory.

사전재해영향성검토협의 대상사업에 관한 연구 - 채석사업을 중심으로 - (Research on Subject Business of Prior Review System on the Influence of Disasters - Based on Quarrying Industry -)

  • 나영;김환기
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제16권5호
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    • pp.319-325
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    • 2007
  • Recently, since the risk on natural disasters is increasing due to abnormal weather such as the global warming, a need for a system on prior review on the influence of disasters has emerged in order to establish a solution by analyzing elements of disaster in advance. However, since the inherently destroying business namely the quarrying business is excluded from the range of subject business of Prior Review System on the influence of disasters, a correction for this is required. In order to actually explore how much risk it contains, actual outflow of soil and flood in the quarrying block where quarrying is being currently carried out was examined and the required undercurrent facility capacity which is also used as a grit chamber was investigated. In addition, by comparing the soil outflow of industrial complexes and golf courses which are current subject businesses of Prior Review on the Influence of Disasters and that of rock mountains relative risk level was examined. After investigation, it was found that the risk on occurrence of disasters was increased due to increase in outflow of soil and flood because of the change of land condition during and after development thus an adequate solution to decrease is required. In addition, after comparison with other business groups it was found that a significantly higher amount of soil is outflown in case of rock mountains thus it was analyzed that a solution to decrease is required. Therefore, a correction is immediately required in order to include quarrying business in the subject business of Prior Review System on the Influence of Disasters.

농업기상재해 조기경보시스템의 전국 확대를 위한 단위 시스템의 개선 (Improvements of Unit System for nationwide expansion of Early Warning Service for Agrometeorological Disaster)

  • 박주현;신용순;심교문
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.356-365
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    • 2021
  • 농업기상재해 조기경보 서비스를 전국으로 확대하기 위해서는 각 지역별로 고유한 지리적, 농업환경적 특성에 대한 연구가 필요하다. 그리고 그에 적합한 전산 환경을 개발하는 것은 연구 대상 지역의 많은 농가에게 다양한 작물과 품종에 대한 서비스를 가능하게 하는 중요한 요소이다. 특히 확장성 있는 전산 환경의 설계는 서비스 영역이 확대되면서 전산 환경의 규모가 증가하게 되므로 농업 기상 서비스 품질에 상당한 영향을 미칠 수 있다. 이 연구의 목적은 각 지역별로 분산되어 서비스를 제공하고 있는 현재의 전산 구성에 대한 문제를 도출하고 그 해결책을 모색하는 것이다. 약 1년간 실험 운영을 통해 자체 평가한 결과 지역별로 분산된 조기경보서비스 시스템을 통합하면 중복 연산을 줄이고, 데이터의 효율적 저장과 종합적인 관리가 가능할 것으로 확인되었다. 이는 서비스 지역이 전국 규모로 확대되는 상황에서도 보다 안정적인 조기경보 서비스가 가능함을 의미한다. 이 연구를 통해 개별 농가에 대해 보다 향상된 품질의 서비스가 가능할 것으로 기대한다.

부산 마린시티 해안의 복합재난 위험성 평가 (Coastal Complex Disaster Risk Assessment in Busan Marine City)

  • 황순미;오형민;남수용;강태순
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제26권5호
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    • pp.506-513
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    • 2020
  • 기후변화로 인해 해수면상승, 태풍, 집중강우 등 두 가지 이상의 복합적인 원인으로 발생하는 복합재난 위험이 증가하고 있는 실정이다. 본 연구의 대상지역인 부산 마린시티는 과거 수영만 매립지에 조성된 주거지 중심의 신도시로서, 최근 태풍과 해일 및 월파의 복합 원인으로 대규모 침수피해가 발생한 바 있다. 이와 같은 복합재난에 대비하기 위해서는 위험성 평가를 통해 재난 대비에 대한 우선 순위를 정하고 이에 따른 대비책을 세울 필요가 있다. 본 연구에서는 위험성 평가를 위해 평가프레임을 수립하고, 침수예측 자료와 국가공인 사회경제적 위험요소 자료를 수집하였다. 사회경제적 위험요소는 인구, 지하시설, 건물, 인도, 도로의 5가지로서, 최대 침수심에 대한 각 요소의 절대기준을 마련하여 평가하였다. 그리고 요소별 가중치 설정을 위하여 전문가 설문을 적용하였다. 평가결과는 관심, 주의, 경계, 위험 4단계로써, 2100년의 해수면상승과 재현주기 100년 빈도의 폭풍해일 및 확률강우를 가지는 시나리오에서 관심등급 43 %, 주의등급 24 %, 경계등급 21 %, 위험등급 11 %로 각각 나타났다. 각 등급은 색상별로 구분하여 복합재난 위험지도를 작성하였다.

지하수 리질리언스의 정량적 평가 방안 (Suggestion of Quantitative Assessment of Groundwater Resilience)

  • 유순영;김호림;윤성택;류동우;염병우
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회지:지하수토양환경
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    • 제26권5호
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    • pp.60-76
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    • 2021
  • The concept of resilience seems applicable for sustainable groundwater management. The resilience is broadly defined as the ability of a system to resist changes by external forces (EFs), and has been used for disaster management and climate change adaptation, including the groundwater resilience to climate change in countries where groundwater is a major water resource, whereas not yet in the geological society of South Korea. The resilience is qualitatively assessed using the absorptive, adaptive, and restorative capacity representing the internal robustness, self-organization, and external recovery resources, respectively, while quantitatively using the system impact (SI) and recovery effort (RE). When the groundwater is considered a complicated system where physicochemical, biological, and geological components interact, the groundwater resilience can be defined as the ability of groundwater to maintain the targeted quality and quantity at any EFs. For the quantitative assessment, however, the resilience should be specified to an EF and measurable parameters should be available for SI and RE. This study focused on groundwater resilience to two EFs in urban areas, i.e., pollution due to land use change and groundwater withdrawal for underground structures. The resilience to each EF was assessed using qualitative components, while measurements for SI and RE were discussed.