• Title/Summary/Keyword: Deterioration model

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IMPROVING RELIABILITY OF BRIDGE DETERIORATION MODEL USING GENERATED MISSING CONDITION RATINGS

  • Jung Baeg Son;Jaeho Lee;Michael Blumenstein;Yew-Chaye Loo;Hong Guan;Kriengsak Panuwatwanich
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.700-706
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    • 2009
  • Bridges are vital components of any road network which demand crucial and timely decision-making for Maintenance, Repair and Rehabilitation (MR&R) activities. Bridge Management Systems (BMSs) as a decision support system (DSS), have been developed since the early 1990's to assist in the management of a large bridge network. Historical condition ratings obtained from biennial bridge inspections are major resources for predicting future bridge deteriorations via BMSs. Available historical condition ratings in most bridge agencies, however, are very limited, and thus posing a major barrier for obtaining reliable future structural performances. To alleviate this problem, the verified Backward Prediction Model (BPM) technique has been developed to help generate missing historical condition ratings. This is achieved through establishing the correlation between known condition ratings and such non-bridge factors as climate and environmental conditions, traffic volumes and population growth. Such correlations can then be used to obtain the bridge condition ratings of the missing years. With the help of these generated datasets, the currently available bridge deterioration model can be utilized to more reliably forecast future bridge conditions. In this paper, the prediction accuracy based on 4 and 9 BPM-generated historical condition ratings as input data are compared, using deterministic and stochastic bridge deterioration models. The comparison outcomes indicate that the prediction error decreases as more historical condition ratings obtained. This implies that the BPM can be utilised to generate unavailable historical data, which is crucial for bridge deterioration models to achieve more accurate prediction results. Nevertheless, there are considerable limitations in the existing bridge deterioration models. Thus, further research is essential to improve the prediction accuracy of bridge deterioration models.

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Deterioration Prediction Model of Water Pipes Using Fuzzy Techniques (퍼지기법을 이용한 상수관로의 노후도예측 모델 연구)

  • Choi, Taeho;Choi, Min-ah;Lee, Hyundong;Koo, Jayong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.155-165
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    • 2016
  • Pipe Deterioration Prediction (PDP) and Pipe Failure Risk Prediction (PFRP) models were developed in an attempt to predict the deterioration and failure risk in water mains using fuzzy technique and the markov process. These two models were used to determine the priority in repair and replacement, by predicting the deterioration degree, deterioration rate, failure possibility and remaining life in a study sample comprising 32 water mains. From an analysis approach based on conservative risk with a medium policy risk, the remaining life for 30 of the 32 water mains was less than 5 years for 2 mains (7%), 5-10 years for 8 (27%), 10-15 years for 7 (23%), 15-20 years for 5 (17%), 20-25 years for 5 (17%), and 25 years or more for 2 (7%).

A Condition Based Maintenance Model for Systems with Weibull Distributed Deterioration (와이블 분포로 열화하는 시스템의 상태에 기초한 정비모형)

  • Kong, Myung Bock;Park, Il Gwang
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.70-75
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    • 2007
  • This paper discusses condition based preventive replacement for deteriorating systems. The system continuouslydeteriorates in time and fails at any deterioration level which is always monitored, It is replaced at failure or atsome deteriorated level preventively before failure. The deterioration process is represented by a Weibulldistribution with a time-linear scale parameter. The cost rate function is formed considering replacement costand opportunity loss cost and deterioration dependent failure distribution, If the system has an increasingdeterioration dependent failure rate, the optimal deterioration level for preventive replacement can be determinedfrom minimizing the cost rate. An illustrative example is given for a Weibull deterioration dependent failuredistribution.

Load carrying capacity of deteriorated reinforced concrete columns

  • Tapan, Mucip;Aboutaha, Riyad S.
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.6 no.6
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    • pp.473-490
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    • 2009
  • This paper presents a new methodology to evaluate the load carrying capacity of deteriorated non-slender concrete bridge pier columns by construction of the full P-M interaction diagrams. The proposed method incorporates the actual material properties of deteriorated columns, and accounts for amount of corrosion and exposed corroded bar length, concrete loss, loss of concrete confinement and strength due to stirrup deterioration, bond failure, and type of stresses in the corroded reinforcement. The developed structural model and the damaged material models are integrated in a spreadsheet for evaluating the load carrying capacity for different deterioration stages and/or corrosion amounts. Available experimental and analytical data for the effects of corrosion on short columns subject to axial loads combined with moments (eccentricity induced) are used to verify the accuracy of proposed model. It was observed that, for the limited available experimental data, the proposed model is conservative and is capable of predicting the load carrying capacity of deteriorated reinforced concrete columns with reasonable accuracy. The proposed analytical method will improve the understanding of effects of deterioration on structural members, and allow engineers to qualitatively assess load carrying capacity of deteriorated reinforced concrete bridge pier columns.

A Study on High Speed Railway Track Deterioration Prediction (고속선 궤도틀림진전예측에 관한 연구)

  • Shim, Yun-Seop;Kim, Ki-Dong;Lee, Sung-Uk;Woo, Byoung-Koo;Lee, Ki-Woo
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2010.06a
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    • pp.261-267
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    • 2010
  • Present maintenance of a high speed railway is after the fack maintenance that executes a task when measured value goes over threshold value except some planned maintenance. It is difficult from efficient management of maintenance human resource and equipment commitment because it is difficult to predict quantity of maintenance targets. Corrective maintenance is pushed back on the repair priority of other target to need repair and it is exceeded repair cost potentially. For safety and dependable track management because track deterioration prediction is linked directly with track's life and safety of train service, it is very important that track management be based on preventive maintenance. In this study, we propose statistics model of track quality to use track inspection data and forecast model for track deterioration prediction.

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An on-line Deterioration Analysis Method of Inverters using Averaged Switch Modeling (평균 스위치 모델링에 의한 인버터의 온라인 열화진단기법)

  • Park, Chan-Guk;Choi, Young-Gil;Koo, Tae-Geun
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2003.07b
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    • pp.1199-1201
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents an averaged switch model for an on-line deterioration analysis of inverters. The model is based on the operational characteristics of power diodes and IGBTS. Switching loss mechanisms are described and divided into the diode reverse-recovery mechanism, the IGBT current-tailing phenomenon, the IGBT turn-on time, and the output capacitances of the IGBTS and diodes. The deterioration analysis parameters are derived from the averaged switch modeling and the parameters can determinate the deterioration of the inverters.

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Influence of System Voltage Harmonics on Arrester Deterioration Diagnostic Techniques by Leakage Current Measurement (누설전류측정에 의한 피뢰기 열화진단기술에 있어 전원고조파의 영향)

  • Kil, Gyung-Suk;Han, Joo-Sup
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2002.08a
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    • pp.142-145
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    • 2002
  • This paper describes an influence of system voltage harmonics on arrester deterioration diagnostic techniques based on leakage current measurement because the resistive current is composed of two components caused by nonlinear characteristics of arrester and by system voltage harmonics. Resistive leakage currents of arresters, which can be evaluated by the third harmonic component of total leakage currents, increase with its deterioration progress. In this paper, we developed a PSpice model for ZnO arrester to simulate the harmonics' effect described above. In simulation, pure sinusoidal voltage and the $3^{rd}$ harmonic voltage are applied to the model, and the leakage current changes are compared. The simulation results showed that the magnitudes of resistive leakage current depend not only on the phase of system voltage harmonics but also on the magnitude of it.

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Assessment of the Deterioration of Large-Diameter Pipe Networks (II) : Application to Metropolitan Multi-Regional Water Supply System (1st Phase) (대구경 관로의 노후도 평가 연구(II) : 수도권 광역상수도(1단계) 적용)

  • Lee, Seung-Hyun;Yoon, Ki-Yong;Kim, Eung-Seok
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.1096-1101
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    • 2014
  • This study (II) has appled the new assessment model of large-diameter pipe deterioration proposed by the study (I) to the metropolitan multi-regional water supply system (1st phase). In the total 30 pipelines, 24 and 27 pipelines were required for improvement as results from the existing evaluation methods 1995 and 2002, respectively. The assessment results were almost similar in the new developed model and the existing methods. It is founded that the new simple model developed in this study can produce reliable results, consistent with those from the existing methods requiring many factors for a pipe deterioration assessment. It is therefore expected that the new model would be helpful in practical applications of a pipe deterioration assessment since it can save both temporal and economic costs for experiments and analysis, as compared with existing assessment methods.

Parametric Study on Track Deterioration by Various Track Type of Serviced Line (운행선 궤도형식별 궤도열화에 미치는 매개변수 연구)

  • Choi, Jung-Youl;Park, Jong-Yoon;Chung, Jee-Seung
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.239-244
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    • 2022
  • In this study, the key parameters affecting the deterioration of each track type were derived based on field inspections and laboratory tests. The existing track deterioration model was limited to the ballasted tracks, and the deterioration evaluation of concrete tracks was insufficient. In this study, the laboratory test was performed to evaluate the performance and condition of track components to derive the deterioration factors reflecting the characteristics of various track structures. In addition, through analysis of track maintenance history data, parameters affecting track deterioration and maintenance were derived. The key parameters for presenting a track deterioration model based on the track performance of ballasted and concrete tracks through field inspection, track maintenance history data analysis, and performance test of track components using on-site specimens were identified as track support stiffness, Ballast gravel, track settlement and Resilience pad were presented.

Behavior of double lining due to long-term hydraulic deterioration of drainage system

  • Shin, Jong-Ho;Lee, In-Keun;Joo, Eun-Jung
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.52 no.6
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    • pp.1257-1271
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    • 2014
  • The hydraulic deterioration of the drainage system in tunnel linings is one of the main factors governing long-term lining-ground interactions during the lifetime of tunnels. Thus, in the design procedure of a tunnel below the groundwater table, the possible detrimental effects associated with the hydraulic deterioration should be addressed. Hydraulic deterioration in double-lined tunnels can occur because of reasons such as clogging of the drainage layer and drain-pipe blockings. In this study, the coupled mechanical and hydraulic interactions between linings due to drain-pipe blockings are investigated using the finite-element method. A double-lined structural model incorporating hydraulic behavior is developed to represent the coupled structural and hydraulic behavior between the linings and drainage system. It is found that hydraulic deterioration hinders flow into the tunnel, causing asymmetric development of pore-water pressure and consequent detrimental effects to the secondary lining.