• Title/Summary/Keyword: Detection probability

Search Result 1,121, Processing Time 0.033 seconds

Preliminary Perfomances Anlaysis of 1.5-m Scale Multi-Purpose Laser Ranging System (1.5m급 다목적형 레이저 추적 시스템 예비 성능 분석)

  • Son, Seok-Hyeon;Lim, Jae-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
    • /
    • v.49 no.9
    • /
    • pp.771-780
    • /
    • 2021
  • The space Debris laser ranging system is called to be a definite type of satellite laser ranging system that measures the distance to satellites. It is a system that performs POD (Precise Orbit Determination) by measuring time of flight by firing a laser. Distance precision can be measured in mm-level units, and it is the most precise system among existing systems. Currently, KASI has built SLR in Sejong and Geochang, and utilized SLR data to verify the precise orbits of the STSAT-2C and KOMASAT-5. In recent years, due to the fall or collision of space debris, its satellites have been threatened, and in terms of security, laser tracking of space objects is receiving great interest in order to protect their own space assets and protect the safety of the people. In this paper, a 1.5m-class main mirror was applied for the system design of a multipurpose laser tracking system that considers satellite laser ranging and space object laser tracking. System preliminary performance analysis was performed based on Link Budget analysis considering specifications of major components.

Development of GK2A Convective Initiation Algorithm for Localized Torrential Rainfall Monitoring (국지성 집중호우 감시를 위한 천리안위성 2A호 대류운 전조 탐지 알고리즘 개발)

  • Park, Hye-In;Chung, Sung-Rae;Park, Ki-Hong;Moon, Jae-In
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.31 no.5
    • /
    • pp.489-510
    • /
    • 2021
  • In this paper, we propose an algorithm for detecting convective initiation (CI) using GEO-KOMPSAT-2A/advanced meteorological imager data. The algorithm identifies clouds that are likely to grow into convective clouds with radar reflectivity greater than 35 dBZ within the next two hours. This algorithm is developed using statistical and qualitative analysis of cloud characteristics, such as atmospheric instability, cloud top height, and phase, for convective clouds that occurred on the Korean Peninsula from June to September 2019. The CI algorithm consists of four steps: 1) convective cloud mask, 2) cloud object clustering and tracking, 3) interest field tests, and 4) post-processing tests to remove non-convective objects. Validation, performed using 14 CI events that occurred in the summer of 2020 in Korean Peninsula, shows a total probability of detection of 0.89, false-alarm ratio of 0.46, and mean lead-time of 39 minutes. This algorithm can be useful warnings of rapidly developing convective clouds in future by providing information about CI that is otherwise difficult to predict from radar or a numerical prediction model. This CI information will be provided in short-term forecasts to help predict severe weather events such as localized torrential rainfall and hail.

A Study of Tram-Pedestrian Collision Prediction Method Using YOLOv5 and Motion Vector (YOLOv5와 모션벡터를 활용한 트램-보행자 충돌 예측 방법 연구)

  • Kim, Young-Min;An, Hyeon-Uk;Jeon, Hee-gyun;Kim, Jin-Pyeong;Jang, Gyu-Jin;Hwang, Hyeon-Chyeol
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
    • /
    • v.10 no.12
    • /
    • pp.561-568
    • /
    • 2021
  • In recent years, autonomous driving technologies have become a high-value-added technology that attracts attention in the fields of science and industry. For smooth Self-driving, it is necessary to accurately detect an object and estimate its movement speed in real time. CNN-based deep learning algorithms and conventional dense optical flows have a large consumption time, making it difficult to detect objects and estimate its movement speed in real time. In this paper, using a single camera image, fast object detection was performed using the YOLOv5 algorithm, a deep learning algorithm, and fast estimation of the speed of the object was performed by using a local dense optical flow modified from the existing dense optical flow based on the detected object. Based on this algorithm, we present a system that can predict the collision time and probability, and through this system, we intend to contribute to prevent tram accidents.

The Application of Distributed Synthetic Environment Data to a Military Simulation (분포형 합성환경자료의 군사시뮬레이션 적용)

  • Cho, Nae-Hyun;Park, Jong-Chul;Kim, Man-Kyu
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
    • /
    • v.19 no.4
    • /
    • pp.235-247
    • /
    • 2010
  • An environmental factor is very important in a war game model supporting military training. Most war game models in Korean armed forces apply the same weather conditions to all operation areas. As a result, it fails to derive a high-fidelity simulation result. For this reason this study attempts to develop factor techniques for a high-fidelity war game that can apply distributed synthetic atmospheric environment modeling data to a military simulation. The major developed factor technology of this study applies regional distributed precipitation data to the 2D-GIS based Simplified Detection Probability Model(SDPM) that was developed for this study. By doing this, this study shows that diversely distributed local weather conditions can be applied to a military simulation depending on the model resolution from theater level to engineering level, on the use from training model to analytical model, and on the description level from corps level to battalion level.

A Key distribution Scheme for Information Security at Wireless Sensor Networks (무선 센서 네트워크에서 정보 보호를 위한 키 분배 기법)

  • Kim, Hoi-Bok;Shin, Jung-Hoon;Kim, Hyoung-Jin
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
    • /
    • v.14 no.6
    • /
    • pp.51-57
    • /
    • 2009
  • Wireless sensor networks consist of numerous sensor nodes that have inexpensive and limited resources. Generally, most of the sensors are assigned to the hazardous or uncontrollable environments. If the sensor nodes are randomly assigned to the wide target area, it is very hard to see the accurate locations of sensor nodes. Therefore, this study provides an efficient key distribution scheme to solve these problems. Based on the provided scheme, the study enabled the closely neighboring nodes to exchange information with each other after securing safe links by using the pre-distributed keys. At the same time, the provided scheme could increase the probability of multiparty key detection among nodes by using the location information of sensor node. Lastly, the study intended to show the superiority of the limitation method through a performance test.

A numerical application of Bayesian optimization to the condition assessment of bridge hangers

  • X.W. Ye;Y. Ding;P.H. Ni
    • Smart Structures and Systems
    • /
    • v.31 no.1
    • /
    • pp.57-68
    • /
    • 2023
  • Bridge hangers, such as those in suspension and cable-stayed bridges, suffer from cumulative fatigue damage caused by dynamic loads (e.g., cyclic traffic and wind loads) in their service condition. Thus, the identification of damage to hangers is important in preserving the service life of the bridge structure. This study develops a new method for condition assessment of bridge hangers. The tension force of the bridge and the damages in the element level can be identified using the Bayesian optimization method. To improve the number of observed data, the additional mass method is combined the Bayesian optimization method. Numerical studies are presented to verify the accuracy and efficiency of the proposed method. The influence of different acquisition functions, which include expected improvement (EI), probability-of-improvement (PI), lower confidence bound (LCB), and expected improvement per second (EIPC), on the identification of damage to the bridge hanger is studied. Results show that the errors identified by the EI acquisition function are smaller than those identified by the other acquisition functions. The identification of the damage to the bridge hanger with various types of boundary conditions and different levels of measurement noise are also studied. Results show that both the severity of the damage and the tension force can be identified via the proposed method, thereby verifying the robustness of the proposed method. Compared to the genetic algorithm (GA), particle swarm optimization (PSO), and nonlinear least-square method (NLS), the Bayesian optimization (BO) performs best in identifying the structural damage and tension force.

Proposal for Government Quality Assurance Risk Assessment System for Military Supplies (군수품 정부품질보증 위험성 평가제도 개선을 위한 제언)

  • Namsu Ahn
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
    • /
    • v.51 no.2
    • /
    • pp.155-170
    • /
    • 2023
  • Purpose: Nowadays, the risk assessment system is widely used in many industrial and public areas to reduce the possible risks. The system is used to determine the priorities of the government quality assurance works in Defense Agency for Technology and Quality. However, as the risk assessment system is used for other purposes, there are some items that need improvement, and in this study, we propose improvement plans by benchmarking the risk assessment systems of other institutions. Methods: In this paper, first, the procedures of risk assessment system used in many industrial sites were reviewed, and how each institution specialized and applied the system. Afterwards, by benchmarking various risk assessment systems, an improvement plan on how to operate the risk assessment system in the case of government quality assurance for centrally procured military supplies was presented, and practical application cases were presented to prove the usefulness of the improvement plan. Results: The proposed risk assessment system differs from the existing system in five major aspects. First, inputs, outputs, and key performance indicators were specified from the systematic point of view. Second, risk analysis was analyzed in four dimensions: probability of occurrence, impact, detection difficulty. Third, risk mitigation measures were classified, control, transfer, and sharing. Fourth, the risk mitigation measures were realized through document verification, product verification, process verification, and quality system evaluation. Finally, risk mitigation measures were implemented and the effectiveness of the risk mitigation measures was evaluated through effectiveness evaluation. Conclusions: In order for the risk assessment procedure proposed in this study to be applied to actual work, it is necessary to obtain the consent of the person involved in the work due to the increased time for risk identification and preparation of the government quality assurance log, and a change in the information system that performs the actual work is required. Therefore, the authors of this study plan to actively perform internal seminar presentations and work improvement suggestions to apply these research outputs to actual work.

Aviation Convective Index for Deep Convective Area using the Global Unified Model of the Korean Meteorological Administration, Korea: Part 2. Seasonal Optimization and Case Studies (안전한 항공기 운항을 위한 현업 전지구예보모델 기반 깊은 대류 예측 지수: Part 2. 계절별 최적화 및 사례 분석)

  • Yi-June Park;Jung-Hoon Kim
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.33 no.5
    • /
    • pp.531-548
    • /
    • 2023
  • We developed the Aviation Convective Index (ACI) for predicting deep convective area using the operational global Numerical Weather Prediction model of the Korea Meteorological Administration. Seasonally optimized ACI (ACISnOpt) was developed to consider seasonal variabilities on deep convections in Korea. Yearly optimized ACI (ACIYrOpt) in Part 1 showed that seasonally averaged values of Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC) and True Skill Statistics (TSS) were decreased by 0.420% and 5.797%, respectively, due to the significant degradation in winter season. In Part 2, we developed new membership function (MF) and weight combination of input variables in the ACI algorithm, which were optimized in each season. Finally, the seasonally optimized ACI (ACISnOpt) showed better performance skills with the significant improvements in AUC and TSS by 0.983% and 25.641% respectively, compared with those from the ACIYrOpt. To confirm the improvements in new algorithm, we also conducted two case studies in winter and spring with observed Convectively-Induced Turbulence (CIT) events from the aircraft data. In these cases, the ACISnOpt predicted a better spatial distribution and intensity of deep convection. Enhancements in the forecast fields from the ACIYrOpt to ACISnOpt in the selected cases explained well the changes in overall performance skills of the probability of detection for both "yes" and "no" occurrences of deep convection during 1-yr period of the data. These results imply that the ACI forecast should be optimized seasonally to take into account the variabilities in the background conditions for deep convections in Korea.

The Diagnostic Performance of the Length of Tumor Capsular Contact on MRI for Detecting Prostate Cancer Extraprostatic Extension: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

  • Tae-Hyung Kim;Sungmin Woo;Sangwon Han;Chong Hyun Suh;Soleen Ghafoor;Hedvig Hricak;Hebert Alberto Vargas
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
    • /
    • v.21 no.6
    • /
    • pp.684-694
    • /
    • 2020
  • Objective: The purpose was to review the diagnostic performance of the length of tumor capsular contact (LCC) on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) for detecting prostate cancer extraprostatic extension (EPE). Materials and Methods: PubMed and EMBASE databases were searched up to March 24, 2019. We included diagnostic accuracy studies that evaluated LCC on MRI for EPE detection using radical prostatectomy specimen histopathology as the reference standard. Quality of studies was assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2 tool. Sensitivity and specificity were pooled and graphically presented using hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic (HSROC) plots. Meta-regression and subgroup analyses were conducted to explore heterogeneity. Results: Thirteen articles with 2136 patients were included. Study quality was generally good. Summary sensitivity and specificity were 0.79 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.73-0.83) and 0.67 (95% CI 0.60-0.74), respectively. Area under the HSROC was 0.81 (95% CI 0.77-0.84). Substantial heterogeneity was present among the included studies according to Cochran's Q-test (p < 0.01) and Higgins I2 (62% and 86% for sensitivity and specificity, respectively). In terms of heterogeneity, measurement method (curvilinear vs. linear), prevalence of Gleason score ≥ 7, MRI readers' experience, and endorectal coils were significant factors (p ≤ 0.01), whereas method to determine the LCC threshold, cutoff value, magnet strength, and publication year were not (p = 0.14-0.93). Diagnostic test accuracy estimates were comparable across all assessed MRI sequences. Conclusion: Greater LCC on MRI is associated with a higher probability of prostate cancer EPE. Due to heterogeneity among the studies, further investigation is needed to establish the optimal cutoff value for each clinical setting.

Empirical Forecast of Corotating Interacting Regions and Geomagnetic Storms Based on Coronal Hole Information (코로나 홀을 이용한 CIR과 지자기 폭풍의 경험적 예보 연구)

  • Lee, Ji-Hye;Moon, Yong-Jae;Choi, Yun-Hee;Yoo, Kye-Hwa
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
    • /
    • v.26 no.3
    • /
    • pp.305-316
    • /
    • 2009
  • In this study, we suggest an empirical forecast of CIR (Corotating Interaction Regions) and geomagnetic storm based on the information of coronal holes (CH). For this we used CH data obtained from He I $10830{\AA}$ maps at National Solar Observatory-Kitt Peak from January 1996 to November 2003 and the CIR and storm data that Choi et al. (2009) identified. Considering the relationship among coronal holes, CIRs, and geomagnetic storms (Choi et al. 2009), we propose the criteria for geoeffective coronal holes; the center of CH is located between $N40^{\circ}$ and $S40^{\circ}$ and between $E40^{\circ}$ and $W20^{\circ}$, and its area in percentage of solar hemispheric area is larger than the following areas: (1) case 1: 0.36%, (2) case 2: 0.66%, (3) case 3: 0.36% for 1996-2000, and 0.66% for 2001-2003. Then we present contingency tables between prediction and observation for three cases and their dependence on solar cycle phase. From the contingency tables, we determined several statistical parameters for forecast evaluation such as PODy (the probability of detection yes), FAR (the false alarm ratio), Bias (the ratio of "yes" predictions to "yes" observations) and CSI (critical success index). Considering the importance of PODy and CSI, we found that the best criterion is case 3; CH-CIR: PODy=0.77, FAR=0.66, Bias=2.28, CSI=0.30. CH-storm: PODy=0.81, FAR=0.84, Bias=5.00, CSI=0.16. It is also found that the parameters after the solar maximum are much better than those before the solar maximum. Our results show that the forecasting of CIR based on coronal hole information is meaningful but the forecast of goemagnetic storm is challenging.