• 제목/요약/키워드: Demographic change

검색결과 379건 처리시간 0.028초

기후변화의 대응수단으로서 국립공원 내 전기자동차 도입의 비시장적 가치 추정에 관한 탐색적 연구 (Measuring the Non-market Value of the Introduction of Electric Vehicles to National Parks Against Climate Change)

  • 김상태;민웅기;김남조
    • 문화경제연구
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.81-102
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    • 2014
  • 전 세계적으로 발생하고 있는 온실가스 배출의 중요한 원인 중 하나는 교통부문에서의 탄소배출이다. 이와 관련하여 최근 활발하게 논의되고 있는 전기자동차의 개발과 보급은 자연자원을 중심으로 운영되는 관광지의 지속가능성을 유지하기 위해서 필요하다. 우리나라를 대표하는 자연자원 중심의 관광지인 국립공원에서는 탐방객 관리나 업무를 위해 주로 내연기관으로 구성된 차량이 이용되고 있는데, 이 때문에 매연, 소음 등으로 환경문제가 발생하고 있다. 이를 억제하기 위해서 전기자동차를 도입할 필요가 있다. 본 연구는 국립공원의 친환경적 운영을 위해 전기자동차 사용의 경제적 가치를 분석하고, 이를 통해 전기자동차에 대한 청정운행모델을 개발할 수 있는 기초적인 선행연구로서 기능하기 위해 이루어졌다. 본 연구의 분석과정에서 지불의사금액 추정을 위해 설문지법을 이용한 로짓모형을 활용하였다. 조사모집단은 20세이상 전국 성인남녀이며, 성 연령별로 균등할당하여 조사를 실시하였다. 설문지에는 양분선택형 질문과 인구통계학적 사항에 관한 질문이 포함되었다. 분석결과 전기자동차 도입을 위해 지불 가능한 1인당 환경보전기금은 3,948원으로 추정되었으며, 전기자동차 도입으로 발생하는 국립공원의 가치는 5,613,813만원으로 나타났다. 국립공원에 전기자동차를 도입할 경우, 환경적으로 국립공원의 환경의 질을 개선할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다. 국립공원에서의 전기자동차 도입은 기후 변화에 대응하기 위한 적극적 수단으로서 운영될 수 있는 대안적 친환경행동이라 할 수 있다.

인구구조 변동 추세를 반영한 미세먼지 노출에 의한 조기 사망자 추정 (Estimation of Premature Deaths due to Exposure to Particulate Matter (PM2.5) Reflecting Population Structure Change in South Korea)

  • 박정현;장용철;이종현
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제49권6호
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    • pp.362-371
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    • 2023
  • Background: PM2.5 pollution has been a persistent problem in South Korea, with concentrations consistently exceeding World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines. The aging of the population in the country further exacerbates the health impacts of PM2.5 since older adults are more susceptible to the adverse effects of air pollution. Objectives: This study aims to evaluate how the health impact (premature death) due to long-term exposure to PM2.5 in South Korea could change in the future according to the trend of change in the country's population structure. Methods: The study employs a relative risk function, which accounts for age-specific relative risks, to assess the changes in premature deaths by age and region at the average annual PM2.5 concentration for 2022 and at PM2.5 concentration improvement levels. Premature deaths were estimated using the Global Exposure Mortality Model (GEMM). Results: The findings indicate that the increase in premature deaths resulting from the projected population structure changes up to 2050 would significantly outweigh the health benefits (reduction in premature deaths) compared to 2012. This is primarily attributed to the rising number of premature deaths among the elderly due to population aging. Furthermore, the study suggests that the effectiveness of the current domestic PM2.5 standard would be halved by 2050 due to the increasing impact of population aging on PM2.5-related mortality. Conclusions: The study highlights the importance of considering trends in population structure when evaluating the health benefits of air pollution reduction measures. By comparing and evaluating the health benefits in reflection of changes in population structure to the predicted PM2.5 concentration improvements at the provincial level, a more comprehensive assessment of regional air quality management strategies can be achieved.

미래 사회의 변화와 가정과교육의 방향 탐색 - '삶 중심 교과'와 '행복 교과'로서의 성격 재인식을 중심으로 - (An Exploratory study on the Direction of Home Economics Education associated with the future social change: focusing on the new recognition of the characteristic as the Subjects for Life and Happiness)

  • 왕석순
    • 한국가정과교육학회지
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.17-32
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    • 2016
  • 이 연구는 환경 스캐닝의 방법을 적용하여 다양한 미래사회의 변화들을 분석하고, 미래사회의 변화로 야기된 새로운 교육적 요구에 대해 우리 교육이 어떻게 대응하고 있는가를 진단하고자 하였다. 또, 미래 사회의 변화로 야기된 새로운 교육적 요구를 가정과 교육이 어떤 교육적 가치를 발휘하여 담보할 수 있는지를 규명하기 위해, 가정과교육의 성격이 가진 교육적 가치와 그 당위성을 규명하고자 하였다. 마지막으로, 가정과교육을 재구조화할 수 있는 이론적 틀을 개발하여 제시하고자 하였다. 미래의 주요한 변화는 1) 저출산, 고령화로 인한 인구구조의 변화, 2) 예측불가능한 각종 자연재해와 각종 사건 사고들로 인한 생활 환경의 위험성 증대, 3) 인공지능이 주도하는 유비쿼터스 환경으로의 급진전, 4) 국경없는 경제사회의 도래와 직업의 변화, 5) 북한의 변화 등으로 분석되었다. 이러한 미래변화는 교육에 대한 새로운 요구를 증폭시켜 왔지만, 우리 교육은 여전히 지육교육에 치중하여 구성적 지능 계발에 치중하고 있으며, 정서역량을 학습의 대상으로 이해하고 있지 못하여 미래사회의 유연한 인성을 가진 개인을 양성하는데 한계를 보이고 있는 것으로 진단되었다. 가정과교육은 현재 우리 교육이 보이는 문제점을 보완할 수 교육적 역할을 담보할 수 있는 교육적 가치를 가진 교과의 성격을 가진다. 가정과교육은 전통적으로 인간의 실용적 지능 계발에 유리한 인간의 '삶' 전반을 교육내용으로 하는 '삶 중심의 생활교과'라는 성격을 가지고 있다. 또 가정교과는 감사성향, 공감능력, 다양한 친사회적 행동 등의 다양한 행복추구역량을 기르는데 효과적인 '행복 중심 교과'로서의 성격을 가진다. '삶 중심 교과'의 성격과 '행복 교과'의 성격을 구현할 수 있는 가정과교육의 재구조화를 위해 삶의 틀(나, 가족, 지역사회, 일)과 Alderfer의 ERG 이론에서 제시한 인간의 위계적 욕구(존재, 관계, 성장)를 각각의 축으로 한 2차원의 이론적 틀을 개발하여 제시하였다. 이 연구에서 개발한 재구조화의 이론적 틀(frame)을 재검토하고 방향을 실증하는 후속연구를 기대한다.

민간경비 관리자의 리더십 유형이 경비원의 직무만족 및 조직몰입에 미치는 영향 (A Study on the Effectiveness of Private Security Administrator's Leadership Style on Organizational commitment as well as Job Satisfaction of Private Security)

  • 김창호;이영석;김평수
    • 시큐리티연구
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    • 제10호
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    • pp.53-77
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    • 2005
  • 우리나라는 IMF이후 급격한 경기침체로 각 기업을 비롯한 산업체의 구조조정 등 조직내 불신과 갈등이 확산되어 가고 있다. 어느 조직이든 지속적으로 생존${\cdot}$발전하기 위해서는 경영환경 변화에 유연하게 대처해야 할 것이다. 이를 위해서는 조직구성원들의 심리적 일체감과 조직에 대한 애착을 도모하고 열정을 높여주는 관리자의 리더십이 무엇보다 중요시된다. 이처럼 리더십의 중요성에도 불구하고 민간경비학 연구영역에서는 관리자의 리더십과 조직의 성과로 직결되는 직무만족 및 조직몰입에 관한 연구가 매우 미비한 실정이라 할 수 있다. 이러한 관점에서 본 연구는 민간경비 관리자의 리더십유형이 직무만족 및 조직몰입에 미치는 영향을 규명함으로써 이 분야에서의 경험적${\cdot}$이론적 자료를 축적하고, 나아가 민간경호경비 분야 발전에 필요한 경영자료를 제시하는데 그 목적을 두고 있다. 민간경비 관리자의 리더십 유형이 경비원의 직무만족 및 조직몰입에 미치는 영향을 보면 다음과 같다. 첫 번째로, 연령이 높고 월수입이 많을수록 변혁적 리더십을 보이는 관리자를 더 높게 평가하고 신뢰하고 있는 것으로 나타났으며, 연령이 낮고 전문대학 졸업의 경비원일수록 자신에게 돌아오는 손익관계에 의한 계산적 몰입이 더 높게 나타나는 것으로 나타났다. 두 번째로, 관리자가 창의적인 관점을 개발하도록 자극을 주는 리더십을 보일수록 경비원의 직무 만족이 감소하고 있으며, 조건적인 보상을 요구하는 리더십을 보일수록 직무만족이 높아지는 경향을 나타내고 있다. 세 번째로, 관리자가 카리스마적 리더십을 발휘할수록 경비원들이 조직에 대하여 감정적으로 애착을 갖고 조직과의 일체감을 갖는 경향을 나타내고 있다.

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노동력수급의 요인분석과 전망 (An Empirical Analysis of The Determinants and Long-term Projections for The Demand and Supply of Labor force)

  • 김중수
    • 한국인구학
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.41-53
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    • 1986
  • The purpose of this paper is two-fold. One is to investigate the determinants of the demand supply of labor, and another is to project long-term demand and supply of labor. The paper consists of three parts. In the first part, theoretical models and important hypotheses are discussed: for the case of a labor supply model, issues regarding discouraged worker model, permanent wage hypothesis, and relative wage hypothesis are examined and for the case of a demand model, issues regarding estimating an employment demand equation within the framework of an inverted short-run produc- tion function are inspected. Particularly, a theoretical justification for introducing a demographic cohort variable in a labor supply equation is also investigated. In the second part, empirical results of the estimated supply and demand equations are analyzed. Supply equations are specified differently between primary and secondary labor force. That is, for the case of primary labor force groups including males aged 25 and over, attempts are made to explain the variations in participation behavior within the framework of a neo-classical economics oriented permanent wage hypothesis. On the other hand, for the case of females and young male labor force, variations in participation rates are explained in terms of a relative wage hypothesis. In other words, the participation behavior of primary labor force is related to short-rum business fluctuations, while that of secondary labor force is associated with intermediate swings of business cycles and demographic changes in the age structure of population. Some major findings arc summarized as follows. (1) For the case of males aged 14~19 and 2O~24 groups and females aged 14∼19, the effect of schhool enrollment rate is dominant and thus it plays a key role in explaining the recent declining trend of participation rates of these groups. (2) Except for females aged 20∼24, a demographic cohort variable, which captures the impact of changes in the age structure on participation behavior, turns out to show positive and significant coefficients for secondary labor force groups. (3) A cyclical variable produce significant coefficients for prime-age males and females reflecting that as compared to other groups the labor supply behavior of these groups is more closely related to short-run cyclical variations (4) The wage variable, which represents a labor-leisure trade-off turns out to yield significant coefficients only for older age groups (6O and over) for both males and females. This result reveals that unlike the experiences of other higer-income nations, the participation decision of the labor force of our nation is not highly sensitive with respect to wage changes. (5)The estimated result of the employment demand equation displays that given that the level of GNP remains constant the ability of the economy to absord labor force has been declining;that is, the elasticity of GNP with respect to labor absorption decreasre over time. In the third part, the results of long-term projections (for the period of 1986 and 1995) for age-sex specific participation rates are discussed. The participation rate of total males is anticipated to increase slightly, which is contrary to the recent trend of declining participation rates of this group. For the groups aged 25 and below, the participation rates are forecast to decline although the magnitude of decrease is likely to shrink. On the other hand, the participation rate of prime- age males (25 to 59 years old) is predicted to increase slightly during 1985 and 1990. For the case of females, except for 20∼24 and 25∼34 age groups, the participation rates are projected to decrease: the participation rates of 25∼34 age group is likely to remain at its current level, while the participation rate of 20∼24 age group is expected to increase considerably in the future (specifi- cally, from 55% in 1985 to 61% in 1990 and to 69% in 1995). In conclusion, while the number of an excess supply of labor will increase in absolute magnitude, its size as a ratio of total labor force is not likely to increase. However, the age composition of labor force is predicted to change; that is, the proportion of prime-age male and female labor force is projected to increase.

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Predictors of Hepatitis B Preventive Behavioral Intentions in Healthcare Workers

  • Morowatishaifabad, Mohammad ali;Sakhvidi, Mohammad Javad Zare;Gholianavval, Mahdi;Boroujeni, Darioush Masoudi;Alavijeh, Mahdi Mirzaei
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.139-142
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    • 2015
  • Background: Healthcare workers' practices regarding hepatitis B have an important effect on the control of this problem in workplaces. Methods: A questionnaire-based cross-sectional study was used to investigate the role of knowledge, cues to action, and risk perceptions as predictors of preventive behavioral intentions for hepatitis B among healthcare works in Broujen, Iran (n = 150). History of hepatitis B vaccination, hepatitis B surface antigen test, and demographic characteristics were investigated. The psychometric properties of the questionnaire were established. Results: Those who had a history of hepatitis B surface antigen test had a statistically significant higher level of risk perceptions ($30.89{\pm}4.08$ vs. $28.41{\pm}3.93$, p < 0.01) and preventive behavioral intentions ($5.05{\pm}1.43$ vs. $4.45{\pm}1.29$, p < 0.01). The mean score of cues to action was significantly correlated with age and work history (r = 0.20, p = 0.02 and r = 0.19, p = 0.02). Preventive behavioral intentions were significantly correlated with cues to action and risk perceptions but not with knowledge level. Cognitional factors were responsible for a 17% change in observed variance of preventive behavioral intentions, which was statistically significant. Conclusion: Risk perceptions were the most important determinant of preventive behavioral intentions for hepatitis B among health personnel; thus, emphasizing risk perceptions is recommended in educational programs aimed at increasing health personnel's practices regarding hepatitis B.

농촌지역 노인의 영양소 적정섭취 수준과 건강관련 삶의 질 (Quality of Nutrient Adequacy and Health-related Quality of life of the Rural Elderly)

  • 이미숙
    • 대한지역사회영양학회지
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    • 제20권6호
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    • pp.423-432
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    • 2015
  • Objectives: In Korea, the percentage of elderly is increasing at an unprecedented rate, and is expected to account for 40% of the population by 2060. This massive demographic change stresses the importance of research on aging as it is necessary to improve the quality of life (QoL) of this population. This study aimed to examine the health-related quality of life (HRQoL) of the rural elderly and to clarify its association with the nutrient adequacy ratio (NAR). Methods: A cross-sectional study was performed in S-gun, Chonbuk, a critical agricultural area. The elderly people without abnormal physical functioning composed our study population and the data were collected by personal visits to 336 elderly people aged over 65 years (110 males and 226 females). Subjects were interviewed with questionnaires pertaining to general characteristics and EuroQol (EQ-5D). Nutrient intakes were assessed two days by 24-hours recall method. Subjects were defined as high QOL group if EQ-5D index with Nam's model was above the median. Results: Generally, EQ-5D index was lower in women than in man, and lower in older subjects than in younger subjects. The percentages of people below the median were 42% (low QoL group) and 58% (high QoL group) were found to be the above the median. The high QoL group had higher NAR, especially for vitamin C, vitamin B1, vitamin B2 and folate. All dimensions in the EQ-5D were affected by NAR of some nutrients and especially anxiety/depression dimension was significantly correlated with NAR of 5 nutrients (protein, calcium, iron, vitamin C and vitamin B1) and EQ-5D scores. Conclusions: HRQol was significantly reduced in elderly with increasing age and this was more pronounced in women than in man. The NAR of some nutrients were associated with the EQ-5D index, especially anxiety/depression dimension, among rural elderly.

조기 뇌동맥류 수술전에 항섬유소융해제 치료의 이점 (Benefits of Antifibrinolytic Therapy before Early Aneurysm Surgery)

  • 김종문;강성돈
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • 제30권6호
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    • pp.729-733
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    • 2001
  • Objective : Antifibrinolytic treatment after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage has been shown to have no significant effect on outcome since a reduction in the rate of rebleeding was offset by an increase in the incidence of hydrocephalus and ischemic events. As the results of early aneurysm surgery and a change of strategy in the intensive medical treatment, outcome in patients with cerebral ischemia has been improved. On the other hand, rebleeding still remains as a major cause of death. A short course of tranexamic acid(TA) was tried to study its efficacy and safety in reducing the incidence of rebleeding before aneurysm surgery. Methods : A total of 507 patients with ruptured cerebral aneurysm operated within 3 days after the attack from 1990 to 1999 were included in this study. Group A consisted of 302 consecutive patients treated from 1990 through 1995 served as control. Two hundred-five patients in group B were treated with TA from 1996 through 1999. Both groups were evaluated for comparability of demographic and clinical variables including age, Hunt-Hess grade, Fisher grade, aneurysm location, hypertension, day of surgery, and initial hydrocephalus. The relationships of TA with rebleeding, ischemia, and chronic hydrocephalus were also studied. Results : There was no significant difference in patient demographics and clinical characteristics between group A and group B. Sixteen patients(5.3%) suffered a recurrent hemorrhage in group A and three(1.5%) in group B(p<0.05). Chronic hydrocephalus requiring a shunt was found in a significantly greater proportion in group B than in group A(p<0.05). The incidence of cerebral ischemia was not elevated in group B compared with group A. Conclusion : Considering the fact that the reduction of fatal rebleeding outweighed the increased incidence of hydrocephalus, the authors believe that a short course of TA is beneficial in diminishing the risk of rebleeding prior to early surgical intervention.

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장애인치과학 수업 전후의 치의학 전문대학원 학생들의 장애인에 대한 인식 변화 연구 (STUDENT ATTITUDES TOWARD PEOPLE WITH DISABILITIES : A COMPARISON BETWEEN BEFORE AND AFTER CLASS OF SPECIAL CARE DENTISTRY)

  • 이효주;방재범;이은영;김광철
    • 대한장애인치과학회지
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2014
  • Patients with disabilities are a significant segment of Korea population. However, they encounter more challenges when seeking dental care. So, dentists and students who are future dental providers should have a responsibility to provide oral care services for them. In this study, we hypothesize that the education of special care dentistry may influence positive attitudes of the disabled. The attitudes are influenced by demographic variables such as gender, religion, experience of volunteer activities and marital status. Therefore, the objective of this study was to explore the change of attitudes of students towards people with disabilities between before and after class of special care dentistry. 72 students enrolled at the Kyung Hee University were surveyed. All participants attended class of Special Care dentistry in the third grade. The survey was conducted two times, just before class and after class. The attitudes of students were assessed using the well-documented ATDP (Attitude Toward Disabled Person)-O(Original) scale and MAS (Multidimensional Attitudes Scales Toward Persons with Disabilities) scale through the methodology of questionnaires. The results indicated that gender, experience of volunteer activities and marital status did not affect their ATDP and MAS score. In religious affiliation, only, there were statistically significant difference in student attitudes between before and after class of Special care dentistry. It means that habitual religious activity may offer stronger effects on student's attitude than short-term education. Therefore, long-term and specific educational experiences are needed to promote positive attitudes for people with disability.

Leisure Time Physical Activity in Saudi Arabia: Prevalence, Pattern and Determining Factors

  • Amin, Tarek Tawfik;Al Khoudair, Ali Salah;Al Harbi, Mohammad Abdulwahab;Al Ali, Ahmed Radi
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.351-360
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    • 2012
  • Background: Identification of reliable predictors of leisure time physical activity (LTPA) will enable healthcare providers to intervene and change the patterns of LTPA in the population to improve community health. Objectives: The objectives of this study were to determine prevalence and pattern of LTPA among adult Saudis aged 18-65 years, and to define the socio-demographic determinants that correlate with LTPA in Al-Hassa, Saudi Arabia. Subjects and Methods: A cross-sectional study of 2176 adult Saudis attending urban and rural primary health care centers were selected using a multistage proportionate sampling method. Participants were personally interviewed to gather information regarding socio-demographics, physical activity pattern using the Global Physical Activity Questionnaire (GPAQ). Physical activity (PA) in each domain was expressed in metabolic equivalents (METs). Results: The median total METs minutes/week for LTPA for both genders was 256, higher for men (636 METs minutes/week) compared to women (249METs minutes/week). Overall, only 19.8% of the total PA was derived from LTPA. Of the sampled population 50.0% reported doing no leisure activity. Using the cut off of 600 METs-minutes/day or 150 minutes of moderate intensity over 5 or more days/week, only 21.0% of the included sample were considered as being sufficiently active and 10.4% were in the high active category with beneficial health effects. Multivariate regression analysis showed that male, younger age (<35 years), absence of chronic disease conditions and moderate level of total PA were significant predictors for being active in the LTPA domain. Conclusion: The prevalence and intensity of LTPA among the included sample demonstrated low levels. Nearly 80% of the included sample population did not achieve the recommended LTPA level with beneficial health effects. Female gender, urban residence and associated chronic diseases correlated with a low LTPA.