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A Baltic Dry Index Prediction using Deep Learning Models

  • Bae, Sung-Hoon;Lee, Gunwoo;Park, Keun-Sik
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.17-36
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    • 2021
  • Purpose - This study provides useful information to stakeholders by forecasting the tramp shipping market, which is a completely competitive market and has a huge fluctuation in freight rates due to low barriers to entry. Moreover, this study provides the most effective parameters for Baltic Dry Index (BDI) prediction and an optimal model by analyzing and comparing deep learning models such as the artificial neural network (ANN), recurrent neural network (RNN), and long short-term memory (LSTM). Design/methodology - This study uses various data models based on big data. The deep learning models considered are specialized for time series models. This study includes three perspectives to verify useful models in time series data by comparing prediction accuracy according to the selection of external variables and comparison between models. Findings - The BDI research reflecting the latest trends since 2015, using weekly data from 1995 to 2019 (25 years), is employed in this study. Additionally, we tried finding the best combination of BDI forecasts through the input of external factors such as supply, demand, raw materials, and economic aspects. Moreover, the combination of various unpredictable external variables and the fundamentals of supply and demand have sought to increase BDI prediction accuracy. Originality/value - Unlike previous studies, BDI forecasts reflect the latest stabilizing trends since 2015. Additionally, we look at the variation of the model's predictive accuracy according to the input of statistically validated variables. Moreover, we want to find the optimal model that minimizes the error value according to the parameter adjustment in the ANN model. Thus, this study helps future shipping stakeholders make decisions through BDI forecasts.

Trends in Hardware Acceleration Techniques for Fully Homomorphic Encryption Operations (완전동형암호 연산 가속 하드웨어 기술 동향)

  • Park, S.C.;Kim, H.W.;Oh, Y.R.;Na, J.C.
    • Electronics and Telecommunications Trends
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2021
  • As the demand for big data and big data-based artificial intelligence (AI) technology increases, the need for privacy preservations for sensitive information contained in big data and for high-speed encryption-based AI computation systems also increases. Fully homomorphic encryption (FHE) is a representative encryption technology that preserves the privacy of sensitive data. Therefore, FHE technology is being actively investigated primarily because, with FHE, decryption of the encrypted data is not required in the entire data flow. Data can be stored, transmitted, combined, and processed in an encrypted state. Moreover, FHE is based on an NP-hard problem (Lattice problem) that cannot be broken, even by a quantum computer, because of its high computational complexity and difficulty. FHE boasts a high-security level and therefore is receiving considerable attention as next-generation encryption technology. However, despite being able to process computations on encrypted data, the slow computation speed due to the high computational complexity of FHE technology is an obstacle to practical use. To address this problem, hardware technology that accelerates FHE operations is receiving extensive research attention. This article examines research trends associated with developments in hardware technology focused on accelerating the operations of representative FHE schemes. In addition, the detailed structures of hardware that accelerate the FHE operation are described.

User Requirements Analysis for Vitalization of Open Source GIS Software in Korea (국내 오픈소스 공간정보 소프트웨어 활성화를 위한 요구사항 분석)

  • Kang, YoungOk;Kwon, HoeYun
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.99-107
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    • 2015
  • Recently, the open source software market is becoming bigger and bigger as its demand keeps increasing worldwide. A variety of policies have been driven in Korea in order to vitalize the open source software. However, the performance for vitalizing the open source GIS software has not been initiated yet. The purpose of this research is to generate the support plan to vitalize the domestic open source GIS software which is appropriate for real field by analyzing the actual demand and user requirements. For this purpose we reviewed all the researches related to the vitalization of the open source software and conducted a survey based on the awareness of the open source GIS software, the current vitalization status, the adoption intent and necessary strategies for vitalization. According to the survey, the intent of adopting the open source GIS software is relatively high in both enterprises(97%) and universities(89%). On the other hand it is very low in public organizations(69%). As a result, the survey implies that more intense public relations are needed to escalate the awareness of the open source GIS software in the public organizations. In addition, the survey shows that both education and technology support are definitely needed as a strategies for the vitalization of the open source GIS software. We expect that this research can be utilized as a basic material for the policy making of the vitalization of the open source GIS software in Korea in the future.

A Periodical Key Refreshment Scheme for Compromise-prone Sensor Nodes (오염에 취약한 센서노드들을 위한 주기적인 키갱신 방안)

  • Wang, Gi-Cheol;Kim, Ki-Young;Park, Won-Ju;Cho, Gi-Hwan
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.44 no.11
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    • pp.67-77
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    • 2007
  • In sensor networks, it is very important to refresh communication keys of sensors in a periodic or on-demand manner. To perform a dynamic key management efficiently, sensor networks usually employ cluster architecture and each CH (Cluster Head) is responsible for key management within its cluster. In cluster-based sensor networks, CHs are likely to be targets of capture attacks, and capture of CHs threatens the survival of network significantly. In this paper, we propose a periodical key refreshment scheme which counteracts against capture of CHs. First, the proposed scheme reduces the threat caused by compromise of CHs by forcing each CH to manage a small number of sensors and changing CH role nodes periodically. Second, the proposed scheme flings attackers into confusion by involving other nodes in a key establishment between BS (Base Station) and a CH. Our numerical analyses showed that the proposed scheme is more secure than other schemes and robust against compromise of CHs.

A Study on the Application of As-Built Drawings for Updating Digital Maps (수치지도 수정.갱신을 위한 건설공사 준공도면 활용방안 연구)

  • Shin, Dong-Bin;Yu, Seon-Cheol
    • Journal of Korea Spatial Information System Society
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 2008
  • Increased demand for the latest spatial information, it is necessary to study the complement current map updating systems for responding the diverse environment of the national territory information. This study suggests the way to update 1/5,000 digital maps with the application of as-built drawings based on current systems. This study compares current as-built drawings with digital maps, and consider intra and international related cases and regulations. This study also selects case areas based on different types of as-built drawings and updates digital maps with the application of as-built drawings. After the consideration of systems and regulations related to as-built drawings, the research results, including the improvement and the application of as-built drawings, are presented. It is expected that the foundation to provide more rapid and accurate geographic information can be achieved from the research result.

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Effectiveness of Web-Based On-line Corporate Education: The Case of 'L' Company (웹기반 온라인 기업교육의 성과에 관한 연구: L기업의 사례를 중심으로)

  • Ryu, Il;Kim, Jae-Jon;Cho, Young-Man
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.33-48
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    • 2003
  • The increasing demand for the distance learning has created a need to explore the implications of the emerging paradigm shift in the learning environment. For the use of information technology to improve learning processes, the pedagogical assumptions underlying the design of information technology for educational purposes must be understood. However, little theoretical development or empirical research has examined learning effectiveness in web-based distance learning. Thus, this paper reviews from research in management communications, education, social psychology, and information systems literatures to develop an conceptual model of influences on web-based corporate education outcomes. The hypotheses empirically examined using survey data from 152 students of 'L' company. The data support the validity and reliability of our constructs. And the hypotheses of this study get partially significant support. Finally, the implications of this survey results are discussed in terms of learning performance.

Channel Resource Allocation Scheme Provided for Fair QoS in ECMA-392-Based Ship Area Networks (ECMA-392 기반 선박 내 네트워크에서 Fair QoS 제공을 위한 채널 자원 할당 방안)

  • Lee, Seung Beom;Back, Jong Sang;Park, Soonyoung;Lee, Seong Ro
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.39C no.12
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    • pp.1280-1288
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, we use the ECMA-392 standard, the first cognitive radio networks to meet the demand for IT services in the ship. First, we learn about ECMA-392-based network and examine the consideration and the problems for assigning channels to the device. And, we propose a fair channel resource allocation to ensure efficiently channel required by device groups in ECMA-392 MAC protocol. This is a method to reallocate the channels fairly with considering the channel assignment parameters to a new device group and existing device groups. The simulation results show that the proposed scheme improves throughputs compared to the existing one.

Research on Improving Quality Management for Underground Space Integration Map - Focusing on pipe-type underground facilities - (지하공간통합지도 품질관리 개선방안 연구 - 관로형 지하시설물을 중심으로 -)

  • Bae, Sang-Keun;Kim, Sang-Min;Yoo, Eun-Jin
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.50 no.2
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    • pp.221-235
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    • 2020
  • The development and utilization of underground spaces are increasing as the use of land based on ground surface became limited due to rapid urbanization triggered by population growth and industrialization. Despite its merit of efficient use of limited land and space, it may contribute to occurrence of various disasters such as sinkholes and damage to underground facilities. After the sinkholes formed and occurred across the country in 2014, there has been an effort to establish Underground Space Integration Map containing 15 types of underground information. Still, there is an increasing demand to improve the quality of underground information stemmed from continuation of such events including the rupture of the hot water pipe in Goyang-si and the fire in the KT site in Ahyeon-dong, Seoul. Hereby, with the aim to improve the quality of Underground Space Integration Map, this study analyzes quality standards, regulations, and guidelines related to spatial data to improve quality inspection standards and methods included in the production rules for the Underground Space Integration Map. In particular, it suggests improvement plan for data quality management for pipe-type underground facilities, known as lifelines, which are essential part of daily life of the citizens, and the largest cause for accidents according to 15 types of underground information managed through the Underground Space Integration Map.

A Study on the Economic Benefit of Urban Parking Lot Tree Shading -In the Case of University of California Davis Parking Lot- (도시 주차장내 수목그늘의 경제적 이익 연구 -미국 캘리포니아 데이비스 대학 주차장을 사례로-)

  • Jang Dong-Su;McPherson E. G.
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.33 no.6 s.113
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    • pp.98-108
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    • 2006
  • The climate of urban area is an unstable type with considerable seasonal variation in precipitation wind speed, and temperature and it grows worse. Besides, ozone is a serious air pollutant in most of large cities. So worldwide, some of large cities are investing in forestry options to offset their climate problems, but lack of information has hindered comparisons of urban un cost effectiveness to other options. This research intends to study the economic benefits of tree shading of 19 parking lots in UCD campus. The economic benefits of tree shading are air conditioning savings, air quality, stormwater run-off, and other benefits. Especially, this study focuses how much the economic benefit of parking lot shading has been increased from 1995 to 2003 year by aerophoto. Some data on dimensions of parking lots and the number, size, tree species, and location of trees around each parking lot was inventoried. Two aerophotos(1995,2003) were used in order to analyze the increasement of tree canopy in 19 parking lots for 8 years. However, increasing coverage of trees and managing them for healthy growth would not be sufficient for avoiding adverse impacts by future climate change. Additional measures should be followed such as an increase of energy use efficiency and development of substitute energy. For example, coverage of trees help to save cooling energy by blocking solar radiation reaching parking cars and building structures through shading, and creating cool micro-climates through evapotranspiration. They also reduce heating demand by decreasing air infiltration and heat conduction out of the interior of buildings. Proper arrangement of vegetation over the parking lots can reduce cooling and heating costs. So proper planting design around hard space paving including species selection and location can significantly save cooling and heating energy. And a reduction in car and building's heating and cooling costs results in the reduction in energy demand which causes to emissions of air pollutants. Total increased tree canopy from 1995 to 2003 is $8,470.45m^2$ and the economic benefits is US$ 5,282.10. The economic benefit of one tree has been US$ 7.21 for 8 years. And an annually increased benefit is US$ 0.9 per a tree. If this kind of study is applied to studying the economic benefits of tree canopy in parking lots of Korea, it could result in guidelines of tree planting of parking lots. Because the trees selected for planting in parking lots were not suitable for an environment, the guidelines should contain a recommended list of trees. The guidelines should propose the shading percentage of parking lot when we plan a parking lot and contain the maintenance of trees in order to maximize the economic benefits of tree canopy.

A Case Study on Lifetime for Electric Multiple Units (도시철도차량의 내구연한관련 사례분석)

  • Chung, Jong-Duk;Pyun, Jang-Sik;Park, Kee-Jun
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2008.06a
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    • pp.1008-1013
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    • 2008
  • Currently, the use of the subway system as a public transportation has been an increasing demand due to the complex transportation structure in Korea. The subway system provides on time arrival and departure, relatively comfortable riding, and convenient access in the metropolitan area. Among several areas of the operation of the subway system, the safety of subway vehicle itself is of important because the rolling stocks carry the passengers, and the safety and reliability of rolling stocks are directly affected for the safety of subway passengers. In this research, various advanced engineering analysis techniques for the precision diagnosis assessment of subway EMUs have been introduced and the diagnosis assessment results have been used to provide the critical information for the lifetime assessment of EMUs.

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